Dingli, David

Two Letters to Blood address the risks of COVID-19 in populations with precursors of hematological disease. In the first article, Miller and colleagues report on whether clonal hematopoiesis of intermediate potential (CHIP) is associated with adverse outcomes with COVID-19, finding no association between CHIP and 28-day mortality while providing data indirectly linking IL-6 signaling and patient outcomes. In the second article, Ho and colleagues investigate the outcomes of patients with monoclonal gammopathy of undetermined significance (MGUS) with COVID-19, reporting that one-fourth had a severe infection and that on multivariable analysis, adverse outcomes are more likely if immunoparesis is present.

Abstract The treatment landscape for relapsed multiple myeloma (MM) has increased. In this study we aimed to characterize 2nd (n = 1439) and 3rd (n = 1104) line regimens and compare the results between subgroups based on the year of treatment initiation (2nd line: 2003–2008, 2009–2015, 2016–2021; 3rd line: 2004–2009, 2010–2015, and 2016–2021). In both 2nd and 3rd line we observed increasing use of novel agents (from 78–95% and from 77–95%, respectively) and triplet regimens (from 15–69% and from 21–71%, respectively). Most frequently used regimens in the last studied periods included lenalidomide-dexamethasone (RD; 14%), carfilzomib-RD (12%) and daratumumab-RD (10%) for 2nd line, and daratumumab-pomalidomide-dexamethasone (11%) and daratumumab-RD (10%) for 3rd line. Median time to next treatment from 2nd line therapy has improved from 10.4 months (95% CI 8.4–12.4) to 16.6 months (95% CI 13.3–20.3; p < 0.001). The median overall survival from 1st relapse increased from 30.9 months (95% CI 26.8–183.0) to 65.8 months (95% CI 50.7–72.8; p < 0.001). Over the last two decades more patients were treated with newer agents and triplets for relapsed MM. The landscape of regimens has become more diverse, and the survival after 1st relapse is continually improving.

Abstract Bortezomib, a proteasome inhibitor (PI), has shown efficacy in the treatment of newly diagnosed and relapsed light chain (AL) amyloidosis, and is often used in combination with cyclophosphamide and dexamethasone. Ixazomib is the first oral PI to be approved in routine practice but has not yet been evaluated in the upfront treatment setting. Newly diagnosed AL amyloidosis patients with measurable disease and adequate organ function were enrolled. The primary objective was to determine the hematologic response rate of ixazomib in combination with cyclophosphamide and dexamethasone. Treatment was given for 12 cycles, followed by ixazomib maintenance until progression. Thirty-five patients were included; their median age was 67 years, and 69% were male. Major organ involvement included heart (66%) and kidneys (54%). A median of 4 induction cycles (range, 1-12) were administered. The overall hematologic response to induction was 63% and included complete response in 11.4% and very good partial response in 37.1% of patients. One patient was upstaged to complete response during maintenance. The most common reason for going off study was the institution of alternate therapy (61%). With a median follow-up of 29.7 months for the living patients, the 2-year progression-free survival and overall survival were 74% and 78%, respectively. The median time to alternate therapy was 7.5 months. Grade ≥3 hematologic and nonhematologic adverse events occurred in 23% and 49% of patients. Given ixazomib’s favorable toxicity profile, which is an important advantage for the typically frail AL population, further evaluation of ixazomib in other combinations in the upfront setting is warranted. This trial was registered at www.clinicaltrials.gov as #NCT01864018.

AbstractWith a view to finding new applications of biomedical system dynamics, this article expands upon on our talk at the 2021 International System Dynamics Conference on the occasion of receiving the J. W. Forrester Award for the article, “Personalized ESA doses for anemia management in hemodialysis patients with end‐stage renal disease” (System Dynamics Review 2018, 34(1–2): 121–153). We summarize the evolution of a project which took place in a clinical setting between 2008 and 2015 that led to the award‐winning article. We present concepts from receptor theory that informed the first system dynamics application of biophysical system dynamics to the successful diagnosis, prescription, administration, and improvement of individualized patient care. We expand upon these ideas to present a generalized structure, DART (Dynamic Approach to Receptor Theory). It can be used to simulate the physiological effects of any agent, be it an exogenous pharmacological agent, an endogenous enzyme or hormone, or a toxin of some sort. We suggest including within the pharmacological technical literature easily acquired but frequently omitted critical parameter values and rate constants. These would enable researchers to perform transient analyses of biophysical phenomena in addition to static equilibrium analyses typically performed. With the availability of this data, we suggest that the fundamental tools of system dynamics might be used to reconceptualize the 100‐year‐old field of “occupation theory” (today, receptor theory) to deliver high‐resolution insights into physiological dynamics and the preventive, prescriptive, and palliative interventions they might require. It is our hope that these ideas could pave the way forward to novel, groundbreaking applications in biomedical system dynamics. © 2022 System Dynamics Society.

8022 Background: Bone marrow (BM) assessment of minimal residual disease (MRD) is being considered as a surrogate endpoint in clinical trials and is prognostic for survival in multiple myeloma (MM). Timing of BM assessment is variable across Chimeric Antigen Receptor T cell (CART) therapy trials and differs from standard of care practice. BM myeloma cell clearance can be detected by month 1 post CART, even before serum immunofixation becomes negative. BM is still hypocellular at month 1, thus prognostic value of MRD negative (MRDneg) at this timepoint is unclear. We examined impact of Day 30 MRD status in patients (pts) who received CART at Mayo Clinic. Methods: Medical records were reviewed retrospectively for MM pts who received CART between 8/2016 and 6/2021. PFS and OS were plotted by Kaplan-Meier method. Results: Sixty MM pts received CART and had BM biopsy at month 1. Median age was 62 yrs, 53% were male, and 78% were BM MRDneg by flow cytometry. Baseline demographics were similar between MRDneg and MRD+ (Table). Overall, 85% (40/47) who were month 1 BM MRDneg had i/u FLC<normal. Patients who achieved CR/sCR had higher rates of BM MRDneg (100% vs 61%, p<0.001) and i/u FLC< normal (89% vs 58%, p<0.001). At month 1, 24/60 (40%) pts had hypocellular BM. Serial BM samples at month 3 (n=35), 6 (n=28) and 12 (n=23) showed MRDneg rate of 93% (25/27), 56% (9/16) 58% (7/12), respectively.. Rate of hypocellularity was 54% (19/35), 32% (9/28) and 30% (7/23), respectively. Among the MRDneg/hypocellular pts at month 1, hypocellular BM was seen in 8/11 (73%) pts at month 3 and 2/4 (50%) pts at month 6 and 12. Compared to MRD+, pts who had BM MRDneg at months1 had longer PFS (Table). PFS was not statistically significantly different between pts who had BM MRDneg and were either hypocellular or not. MRDneg pts with i/u FLC<normal at months1 had better median PFS compared to those who did not. (MRD+:2.9 months (1.2-NR). MRDneg/FLC>normal: 4.9 months (2.3-NR). vs MRDneg/FLC<normal:17.9 months (11.8-NR), p<0.0001). Conclusions: Hypocellular BM is common in the 3 months post CART. Regardless of BM cellularity, BM MRDneg at month 1 correlates with deep response and prolonged PFS. Majority of BM MRDneg pts at month 1 also had FLC<normal. BM MRDneg status and FLC normalization were associated with longer survival. Our data support the continued evaluation of BM early post CART infusion as a prognostic tool. [Table: see text]

e20001 Background: High dose melphalan followed by autologous stem cell transplant (HDM-ASCT) remains the standard of care for transplant-eligible patients with newly diagnosed multiple myeloma (NDMM) despite advances in treatments. Achievement of complete response (CR) is associated with improved overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS); Minimal Residual Disease (MRD) negativity (-) using next generation flow cytometry with a sensitivity of 10-5 is strongly associated with improved PFS and OS. We investigated the rates of conversion to MRD(-), especially MRD(-) CR following HDM-ASCT in patients with NDMM. Methods: We retrospectively reviewed patients with NDMM who underwent early HDM-ASCT at Mayo Clinic Rochester from May 2018 to July 2019. Response assessment was conducted after induction and within 100 days post-ASCT based on 2016 IMWG criteria, except for using Mass-Fix instead of immunofixation. MRD was assessed in bone marrow using the established Euro Flow protocol with sensitivity of 10-5. The FISH assay was used to risk-stratify patients as high-risk (HR) and standard risk (SR) cytogenetics as per the mSMART guidelines. Primary outcome measure was the conversion to MRD(-) CR after ASCT. Secondary outcomes include the overall conversion to MRD(-) irrespective of IMWG response, the impact of HR cytogenetics and pre-ASCT IMWG response on conversion to MRD(-) CR. Results: Two-hundred and ten patients were included; 126 (60%) were male and median age 62 years (range 32–77 years). There were 78 (44%) patients with HR cytogenetics. Pre-ASCT, 23 patients (11%) achieved MRD(-) CR, and 66 (31%) patients achieved MRD(-) CR post ASCT. Of 187 patients not in MRD(-) CR pre-ASCT, 45 (24%) converted to MRD(-) CR. Table provides a breakdown of the conversion rate of pre-ASCT IMWG response category to MRD(-) CR post ASCT and patients with MRD(+) CR had the highest rate (78%) of conversion. The presence of HR cytogenetics did not impact rates of MRD(-) CR achievement post ASCT irrespective of pre-ASCT IMWG response (p = 1.0). Overall, irrespective of IMWG response, 43 (20%) patients were MRD(-) pre-ASCT (19 in VGPR, 24 in CR or better) and 102 (49%) patients were MRD(-) post-ASCT (36 in VGPR, 66 in CR or better). Among 85 patients in VGPR post-ASCT, 36 were MRD(-) of which 8 (22%) progressed, while 49 were MRD(+) of which 24 (49%) progressed (p = 0.014). Conclusions: Upfront HDM-ASCT in patients with NDMM leads to deeper responses with 24% converting to MRD(-) CR and more than doubling of the total rate of MRD(-) irrespective of IMWG response. [Table: see text]

110 Background: Sarcopenia or a loss of muscle mass increases with aging and is associated with increased overall mortality in patients with cancer. Recent advances in machine learning–based CNN algorithms have allowed for the rapid processing of digital images to produce image classifications of body composition. Since incidence of MM is highly associated with aging, we sought to determine if the presence of sarcopenia, as determined by utilizing this machine learning–based CNN algorithm on CT images, had prognostic value in patients with NDMM. Methods: We identified all patients with NDMM from January 2003 to July 2019 who had a standard-dose CT scan that included the L3 vertebral level performed within 6 months of diagnosis. Using a machine learning–based CNN-algorithm, abdominal CT images were analyzed to measure muscle area. These measurements were normalized by dividing the area values by the height of the patient squared (m2) to obtain skeletal muscle index (SMI) values. Patients were categorized as sarcopenic according to international gender-specific consensus cutoffs for SMI (male: < 55 cm2/m2 and female: < 39 cm2/m2). Patients with the following FISH cytogenetics were considered high risk (HR): t(4;14), t(14;16), t(14;20), and deletion 17p/monosomy 17 whereas the remainder were standard risk (SR). Survival analysis was performed using the Kaplan-Meier method and compared via the log-rank method. Results: The study cohort consisted of 344 patients. 68 (20%) were categorized as HR based on FISH cytogenetics.187 (54%) patients were sarcopenic based on their peri-diagnosis standard-dose CT scan. Sarcopenic patients were more likely to have ISS-3 disease (45% vs. 30%; p =.023), be male (73% vs. 48%; p <.001), and be ≥ age 75 (27% vs. 14%; p =.002) compared to non-sarcopenic patients. The median OS for patients with HR FISH and ISS 2 / 3 disease was 40 months and 57 months respectively compared to 90 months and 119 months for those with SR FISH and ISS-1 disease respectively (FISH: p <.004; ISS: p <.001). The median OS for sarcopenic patients was 44 months compared to 90 months for those not sarcopenic (p <.001). The time to next therapy (TTNT) for sarcopenic patients was 39 months compared to 45 months for those not sarcopenic (p =.05). In a multivariable model, the presence of sarcopenia (HR 1.64, 95% CI, 1.05–2.56; p =.03) retained significance in the presence of HR FISH, ISS 2 / 3 disease, and age ≥ 75. Conclusions: Gender-specific sarcopenia identified by a machine learning–based CNN algorithm significantly affects OS in patients with NDMM and is independent of age, ISS stage, and cytogenetic status. Future studies utilizing this machine learning–based methodology of assessing sarcopenia in larger prospective clinical trials are required to validate these findings.