Yousuf, Muhammad

ABSTRACT Survival prediction models in essential thrombocythemia (ET) include the International Prognostic Scoring System (IPSET) and the more recently introduced triple‐A (AAA) prognostic score. The latter enlists age and absolute neutrophil (ANC) and lymphocyte (ALC) counts as risk variables. In the current study, a Mayo Clinic discovery cohort of 658 patients with ET was used to identify AAA‐independent risk variables. Accordingly, multivariable analysis‐derived HRs (95% CI) were 15.7 (8.4–29.5) for age > 70 years (8 points); 4.2 (2.3–7.5) for age 50 to 70 years (2 points); 1.8 (1.2–2.5) for ANC ≥ 8 × 10 9 /L (1 point); 1.4 (1.03–1.9) for ALC < 1.7 × 10 9 /L (1 point); 1.8 (1.2–2.6) for absolute monocyte count (AMC) ≥ 0.5 × 10 9 /L (1 point); 1.8 (1.2–2.3) for male sex (1 point); 1.8 (1.3–2.4) for arterial hypertension (1 point); and 1.6 (1.2–2.3) for arterial thrombosis (1 point). HR‐weighted scoring enabled a 4‐tiered risk classification: ultra‐low (0–1 points; N = 94; median survival 42.7 years), low (2–4 points; N = 297; 23 years), intermediate (5 points; N = 66; 17.3 years), and high (6–14 points; N = 201; 10.8 years). Time‐dependent predictive performance at 20/25 years favored AAA + (AUC 0.92/0.91) vs. AAA (0.86/0.86) vs. IPSET (0.81/0.84). The AAA + risk model was subsequently validated by two external cohorts from Israel ( N = 5968) and Italy ( N = 682). In the cohort from Israel, disease‐specific mortality was assessed by comparing observed survival to an age‐ and sex‐matched reference population, which suggested near‐normal life expectancy in ultra‐low risk patients. The current study highlights host‐related factors as the primary determinants of longevity in ET and provides a composite risk score (AAA + ) that is based on complete blood count‐derived parameters and host‐related factors. Predictive performance of the new model was shown to be superior to that of IPSET and AAA.

Abstract Allogeneic stem cell transplant (ASCT) remains the only curative option in chronic myelomonocytic leukemia (CMML). We retrospectively analyzed 138 CMML patients who underwent ASCT at the Mayo Clinic. Patients who transitioned to ASCT while in chronic phase (Group A) displayed superior post-transplant survival (PTS), compared to those in whom ASCT was performed after blast transformation (BT; Group B) (median 95 vs. 16 months; p=0.01). In Group A, PTS was superior in patients with <5% bone marrow (BM) blasts at time of ASCT (median 164 vs. 13.5 months; p=0.01). Other predictors of superior PTS included day-100 BM blast <5% or normal cytogenetics (median 164 vs 18 months; p=0.01) or presence of chronic graft-versus-host-disease (GVHD; median 164 vs. 26 months; p=0.01). Pre-ASCT hypomethylating agent exposure (HR=2.03; p=0.03), and receiving more than one line of pre-ASCT chemotherapy (p=0.01) predicted inferior PTS. In multivariable analysis, predictors of superior GVHD-free and relapse-free survival (GRFS) included the use myeloablative conditioning and the absence of morphologically or cytogenetically apparent disease at day-100. The use of post-transplant cyclophosphamide (PTCy) was associated with higher cumulative incidence of relapse (p=0.02) and numerically inferior PTS (p=0.1). Group B patients also appeared to benefit from achieving BM blast <5% at time of ASCT (p=0.4) as well as at day-100 (p=0.01), in terms of PTS, while full chimerism and normal cytogenetics at day-100 were associated with superior GRFS. These observations support the value of ASCT in CMML, especially if performed prior to BT and in the presence of <5% BM blasts at time of ASCT. Additionally, the observed detrimental impact of PTCy requires additional studies to confirm and investigate the underlying mechanisms.

6579 Background: Treatment strategies in chronic myelomonocytic leukemia (CMML) are not standardized and include hydroxyurea (HU) and hypomethylating agents (HMA). In a phase 3 study comparing HU and decitabine, in proliferative CMML, response rates were higher for decitabine (56% vs 31%; p<0.01) but overall survival was similar (p=0.67) between the two groups (Itzykson, R. JCO, 2023. 41:1888). In the current retrospective study, we examined the survival impact of different treatment strategies among 457 Mayo Clinic patients with CMML. Methods: The current study was conducted under institutional review board approved minimum risk protocols allowing retrospective patient data collection and analysis. Diagnostic criteria were according to the International Consensus Classification (Arber et al. Blood 2022. 140:1200). All statistical analyses were conducted using JMP 17 software. For survival analysis, patients were censored at time of allogeneic stem cell transplant (ASCT). Results: A total of 457 patients were considered (median age 72 years; 68% males). 209 patients received CMML-directed therapy: HU (N=102), HMA (N=78; azacitidine 32 and decitabine 46). Responses were adjudicated separately for leukocytosis and anemia; normalization of leukocyte count was achieved in 21% vs. 16 % (p<0.01) for HU vs. HMA and overall response in anemia in 1% vs. 9% (p=0.02), respectively. Overall survival did not appear to be impacted by different treatment strategies at any stage of CMML; (i) treated vs. untreated (p=0.3), (ii) HU vs. HMA for first-line therapy (p=0.3), and (iii) HU/HMAs vs. other drugs as first-line therapy (p=0.1). Blast transformation-free survival (BTFS) was also similar between HU vs. HMA as well as HU/HMA vs. other drugs. In univariate analysis, BTFS was inferior in patients receiving CMML-directed therapy (p<0.01); the particular association (HR 2; 95% CI 1.2-3.3) retained its significance in multivariable analysis that also included other risk factors for BTFS: bone marrow blast ≥10% (HR 4.3), circulating blast ≥2% (HR 2.7), WBC ≥13 x 10 9 /L (HR 1.8), and ASXL1 mutation (HR 1.7). Conclusions: In the current retrospective study that included a large number of patients with CMML, chemotherapy with HU or HMA did not appear to affect overall survival but might have increased the risk of blast transformation. The study also suggests superiority of HU for the treatment of leukocytosis and HMA for anemia. Predictors of blast transformation-free survival (BTFS) in 457 patients diagnosed with chronic myelomonocytic leukemia (CMML). BTFS Univariable analysis p-value (HR) Multivariable analysis p-value (HR) CMML-directed therapy <0.01 (2.9; 1.8-4.7) <0.01 (2; 1.2-3.3) Bone marrow blasts ≥10% <0.01 (12.4) 0.01 (4.3) Circulating blasts ≥2% <0.01 (5.2) <0.01 (2.7) WBC ≥13 x 10 9 /L <0.01 (2.9) 0.02 (1.8) ASXL1 mut <0.01 (2.1) 0.02 (1.7)

e18600 Background: Recent studies have suggested that basophilia in myeloproliferative neoplasms (MPN), in general, and in primary myelofibrosis (PMF), in particular, might be associated with poor prognosis. In the current study, we examined for clinical and genotype correlates as well as the prognostic impact of absolute eosinophil (AEC) and basophil (ABC) counts in essential thrombocythemia (ET) and polycythemia vera (PV). Methods: Diagnostic criteria were according to the International Consensus Classification. Study patients were selected based on the availability of information on AEC and ABC. Institutional reference range for AEC was 0.03 to 0.48 x 10 9 /L and for ABC 0.01 to 0.08 x 10 9 /L. "Eosinophilia" was defined as an AEC of ≥0.5 x 10 9 /L. "Basophilia" was evaluated both at an ABC of ≥0.1 x 10 9 /L and ABC of ≥0.3 x 10 9 /L, the latter representing 3 x the upper limit of the normal reference range. Results: Essential thrombocythemia 660 patients were considered. Median (range) values for AEC and ABC were 0.2 x 10 9 /L (0-2.8) and 0.07 x 10 9 /L (0-1.7), respectively. On univariate analysis, AEC and ABC, as continuous variables, were predictive of inferior overall (OS; p<0.01 for both) but not leukemia-free (LFS), myelofibrosis-free (MFFS), venous thrombosis-free (VTFS), or arterial thrombosis-free (ATFS) survival. In univariable analysis, AEC ≥0.5 x 10⁹/L and ABC ≥0.1 x 10⁹/L negatively impacted OS (p<0.01 for both); significance was sustained during multivariate analysis that included IPSET risk variables: AEC ≥0.5 x 10⁹/L (p<0.01; HR 1.9) and ABC ≥0.1 x 10 9 /L (p<0.01; HR 1.7). Polycythemia vera 478 patients were considered. Median (range) values for AEC and ABC were 0.27 x 10 9 /L (0-6.5) and 0.12 x 10 9 /L (0-3.2), respectively. In univariable analysis, neither AEC nor ABC, as continuous variables were predictive of OS, LFS, MFFS, VTFS, or ATFS. AEC ≥0.5 x 10⁹/L also did not have any impact on disease progression or thromboses. However, ABC ≥0.1 x 10 9 /L was associated with a lower risk of post-diagnosis arterial thrombosis (p=0.03; HR 0.6), and ABC ≥0.3 x 10 9 /L was predictive of inferior LFS (p<0.01; HR 6.5) and MFFS (p<0.01; HR 2.5). ABC ≥0.3 x 10 9 /L sustained prognostic relevance in LFS (p<0.01; HR 7.6) during multivariable analysis that included leukocytosis, platelet count, basophil percentage, age, and palpable splenomegaly. Similar findings were noted with regards to MFFS for ABC ≥0.3 x 10 9 /L (p=0.01; HR 2.3) when compared against palpable splenomegaly and age. Conclusions: The current study suggests that AEC ≥0.5 x 10 9 /L and ABC ≥0.1 x 10 9 /L in ET are independently associated with shortened overall survival, while basophilia (ABC ≥0.3 x 10 9 /L) in PV is an independent predictor of leukemic and myelofibrotic disease progression.

We sought to develop a survival model in chronic myelomonocytic leukemia (CMML) that is primarily based on clinical variables and examine additional impact from mutations and karyotype. 457 molecularly-annotated patients were considered. Multivariable analysis identified circulating Blasts ≥2% (1 point), Leukocytes ≥13 x 109/L (1 point), and severe (2 points) or moderate (1 point) Anemia as preferred risk variables in developing a clinical risk Stratification Tool for overall survival (OS), acronymized to "BLAST": low-risk (0 points; median 63 months); intermediate-risk (1 point; median 28 months; HR 2.2, 95% CI 1.6-3.0), and high-risk (2-4 points; median 13 months; 5.4, 4.1-7.3); the corresponding 3/5 year OS rates were 68%/53%, 43%/18%, and 12%/1%. BLAST model performance (AUC 0.77/0.85 at 3/5-years) was shown to be comparable to that of the molecular CMML-specific prognostic scoring system (CMML-mol; AUC 0.73/0.75) and the international prognostic scoring system-molecular (IPSS-M; AUC 0.73/0.74). Multivariable analysis of mutations and karyotype identified PHF6MUT and TET2MUT as being "favorable" and DNMT3AMUT, U2AF1MUT, BCORMUT, SETBP1MUT, ASXL1MUT, NRASMUT, PTPN11MUT, RUNX1MUT, TP53MUT, and adverse karyotype, "unfavorable". Molecular information was subsequently encoded in a combined clinical-molecular risk model (BLAST-mol; AUC 0.80/0.86 at 3/5-years) that included the aforementioned BLAST clinical risk variables and a 3-tiered molecular risk score. BLAST and BLAST-mol were subsequently validated by two separate external cohorts. Independent risk factors for blast transformation included DNMT3AMUT, ASXL1MUT, PHF6WT, leukocytes ≥13 x 109/L, and ≥2% circulating or ≥10% bone marrow blasts. The current study proposes an easy to implement, globally applicable, and molecularly adaptive risk model for CMML.

Background: Tricuspid regurgitation (TR) is a common occurrence in patients with heart failure (HF), and its role in disease progression has gained attention in recent years. While TR can worsen the clinical outcomes in HF patients, its impact on gender, racial and socioeconomic factors remains largely unexplored. With growing evidence supporting the role of percutaneous interventions for the treatment of significant TR, understanding these disparities is more crucial than ever. Methods: Data was extracted from the National Inpatient and National Readmission 2016 - 2020 Databases. We used ICD-10 code I50 to identify the patients primarily admitted for HF and subdivided the cohort into two groups based on presence or absence of TR. We performed multivariable Logistic regression analysis to determine odds of in-hospital mortality and multivariable Cox regression analysis to assess 30- and 90-day hospital readmission in HF patients with and without TR. All the analyses were adjusted for age, gender, insurance status, Charlson co-morbidity index (CCI) and hospital characteristics. STATA 16 software was used for analysis. Results: There was no difference in in-hospital mortality among HF patients with and without TR (OR: 1.04, 95% CI 0.94 – 1.16, p = 0.442) except in certain subgroups of HF patients. HF patients with TR were 6% more likely to have HF-specific readmission in 30-days (HR: 1.06, 95% CI 1.00 – 1.13, p = 0.044) and 9% more likely to have HF-specific readmission in 90-days (HR: 1.09, 95% CI 1.03 – 1.15, p = 0.002). Subgroup analysis revealed significant gender, racial and socioeconomic disparities in in-hospital mortality and readmission outcomes of HF patients with TR compared to those without TR. Conclusion: In our population-based survey analysis, we observed significant gender, racial and socioeconomic disparities in clinical outcomes of HF patients with TR compared to those without TR.