Kollmeyer, Thomas M.

36 Background: Following radical prostatectomy (RP), 30-40% of patients have adverse pathology and are deemed at high risk for metastatic progression. The objective of this study was to validate the ability of Decipher, a genomic classifier (GC), to improve prediction of metastatic disease progression compared with clinical variables in order to better identify candidates for therapy intensification. Methods: A previously developed 22-feature GC model was validated in a prospectively designed case-cohort study of a clinically high-risk population (i.e., with one or more adverse pathological features) of 1,010 RP patients treated at Mayo Clinic between 2000-2006. A random sample of 20% of the cohort was subjected to microarray analysis and GC scores were generated for 219 patients. The primary endpoint, the c-index for predicting metastatic disease progression (i.e., positive bone or CT scans) was evaluated in a blinded analysis. Cox modeling and decision curve analyses were used to compare the performance of GC to individual clinical variables and prediction models. Results: GC had a c-index 0.79 (95% CI 0.71-0.86) that was significantly better than any single clinical variable. Cumulative incidence curves in the cohort showed that 72% of patients had low GC scores with only 3% and 6% incidence of metastatic disease at 5 and 10 years post RP. In contrast, for the 28% of patients with high GC scores, the cumulative incidence was 17% and 25% at 5 and 10 years post RP. Decision curve analysis showed that the GC model had higher overall net benefit compared to clinical variables over a wide range of ‘decision-to-treat’ thresholds for risk of metastasis. In multivariable modeling with clinicopathologic variables, GC remained the only significant independent predictor of metastasis (HR=1.51, for each 0.1 unit increment, p<0.001). Conclusions: GC can better predict metastatic disease progression compared with clinical variables and may select among patients with adverse pathology a majority that is in fact at low risk for metastasis.

175 Background: The efficient delivery of adjuvant and salvage therapy after radical prostatectomy in patients with prostate cancer is hampered by a lack of biomarkers to assess the risk of clinically significant recurrence and progression. Methods: Mayo Clinic Radical Prostatectomy Registry (RP) patient specimens were selected from a case-control cohort with 14 years median follow-up for training and initial validation of an expression biomarker genomic classifier (GC). An independent, blinded case-cohort study of high-risk RP subjects was used to validate GC, comparing the performance of GC to a multivariate logistic regression clinical model (CM) and GC combined with clinical variables (genomic-clinical classifier, GCC) for predicting clinical recurrence (defined as positive bone or CT scan within 5 years after biochemical recurrence). The concordance index (c-index) and Cox model were used to evaluate discrimination and estimate the risk of clinical recurrence. Results: In the training subset (n=359), both GC and GCC had a c-index of 0.90 whereas CM had a c-index of 0.76. In the internal validation set (n=186), GC and GCC had a c-index of 0.76 and 0.75, while CM had a c-index of 0.69. In an independent high-risk study (n=219), GC and GCC had a c-index of 0.77 and 0.76, while CM had a c-index of 0.68. In subset analysis of Gleason score 7 patients within the high-risk group, GC and GCC showed improved discrimination with c-index of 0.78 and 0.76, respectively compared to 0.70 for CM. In the high-risk group, the risk of recurrence by GC model score quartiles at 5 years after RP was estimated at 1%, 5%, 5% and 18%. Conclusions: The GC model shows improved performance over CM in the prediction of clinical recurrence in a high-risk cohort and in subset analysis of Gleason score 7 patients. The addition of clinical variables to the GC model did not significantly contribute to classifier performance in patients with high-risk features. We are further testing the performance of the GC and GCC models and their usefulness in guiding decision-making (e.g., for the adjuvant therapy setting) in additional studies of prostate cancer clinical risk groups.

AbstractBackgroundGlioblastoma (GBM) exhibits profound intratumoral genetic heterogeneity. Each tumor comprises multiple genetically distinct clonal populations with different therapeutic sensitivities. This has implications for targeted therapy and genetically informed paradigms. Contrast-enhanced (CE)-MRI and conventional sampling techniques have failed to resolve this heterogeneity, particularly for nonenhancing tumor populations. This study explores the feasibility of using multiparametric MRI and texture analysis to characterize regional genetic heterogeneity throughout MRI-enhancing and nonenhancing tumor segments.MethodsWe collected multiple image-guided biopsies from primary GBM patients throughout regions of enhancement (ENH) and nonenhancing parenchyma (so called brain-around-tumor, [BAT]). For each biopsy, we analyzed DNA copy number variants for core GBM driver genes reported by The Cancer Genome Atlas. We co-registered biopsy locations with MRI and texture maps to correlate regional genetic status with spatially matched imaging measurements. We also built multivariate predictive decision-tree models for each GBM driver gene and validated accuracies using leave-one-out-cross-validation (LOOCV).ResultsWe collected 48 biopsies (13 tumors) and identified significant imaging correlations (univariate analysis) for 6 driver genes: EGFR, PDGFRA, PTEN, CDKN2A, RB1, and TP53. Predictive model accuracies (on LOOCV) varied by driver gene of interest. Highest accuracies were observed for PDGFRA (77.1%), EGFR (75%), CDKN2A (87.5%), and RB1 (87.5%), while lowest accuracy was observed in TP53 (37.5%). Models for 4 driver genes (EGFR, RB1, CDKN2A, and PTEN) showed higher accuracy in BAT samples (n = 16) compared with those from ENH segments (n = 32).ConclusionMRI and texture analysis can help characterize regional genetic heterogeneity, which offers potential diagnostic value under the paradigm of individualized oncology.

Abstract Background: Specific germline alterations within the TERT, EGFR, CCDC26, CDKN2A/B, PHLDB1, TP53 and RTEL1 regions are associated with development of glioma. While some of these germline variants are associated with all gliomas (e.g. rs2736100 in TERT), others are associated with a specific morphologic and/or molecular subtype. For example, the RTEL1 region variants are associated with primary glioblastoma and rs55705857 in CCDC26 is associated with 1p/19q co-deleted oligodendrogliomas and with IDH mutant astrocytic gliomas. We hypothesized that germline variants in these regions will be associated with other molecular subtypes. The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) and other groups have described molecular subtypes of glioma based on acquired somatic mutation patterns. Herein, we grouped glioma patients into mutation-based molecular subgroups based on three molecular alterations and determined if germline polymorphisms are associated with these mutation-based molecular subtypes. Methods: Five molecular subtypes were defined based on combinations of the following molecular alterations: TERT promoter mutation (TERTmut vs. TERTwt), IDH1/2 mutation (IDH mut vs. IDH wt) and 1p/19q co-deletion (1p19qcodel vs. 1p19q noncodel). Germline single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) were evaluated by custom Illumina array analysis of blood-derived DNA and 1K genome imputation. Results: One hundred ninety-nine gliomas (24 oligodendrogliomas, 59 mixed oligoastrocytomas, 41 grade 2-3 astrocytomas and 75 glioblastomas) had both SNP data and mutation data available in order to assign them into the five molecular subgroups. The prevalence of each of the molecular subtypes was as follows: TERTmut/IDHmut/1p19qcodel (20%), TERTmut/IDHmut/1p19qnoncodel (5%), TERTmut/IDHwt/1p19qnoncodel (32%), TERTwt/IDHmut/1p19qnondel (35%) and TERTwt/IDHwt/1p19qnoncodel (8%). The TERT SNP (rs2736100) was protective for TERTmut/IDHmut/1p19qnoncodel and TERTwt/IDHmut/1p19qnoncodel gliomas. The CCDC26 SNP (rs55705857) was strongly associated with the risk of developing TERTmut/IDHmut/1p19qcodel and TERTwt/IDHmut/1p19qnoncodel gliomas. The TP53 SNP (rs7837822) was strongly associated with risk of developing TERTmut/IDHmut/1p19qnoncodel and TERTwt/IDHmut/1p19qnoncodel gliomas. Interestingly, while one RTEL1 region SNP (rs6062297) was strongly associated with glioma risk, RTEL1 SNPs rs6010620 and rs2297440 were protective for the development of TERTmut/IDHwt/1p19qnoncodel gliomas. We are currently in the process of validating these results using the TCGA glioblastoma and low grade glioma data. Conclusions: Glioma patients can be meaningfully classified according to their acquired mutation subtype. Importantly, our results suggest that there are significant associations between germline polymorphisms and mutation-based glioma molecular subtypes. Citation Format: Jeanette E. Eckel-Passow, Thomas M. Kollmeyer, Gobinda Sarkar, Anisha Chada, Paul A. Decker, Matthew L. Kosel, Alissa A. Caron, Hugues Sicotte, Kannabiran Nandakumar, Naresh Prodduturi, Brian P. O'Neill, Daniel H. Lachance, Robert B. Jenkins. The association of glioma germline risk SNPs with mutation-based molecular subgroups. [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the 105th Annual Meeting of the American Association for Cancer Research; 2014 Apr 5-9; San Diego, CA. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2014;74(19 Suppl):Abstract nr 4714. doi:10.1158/1538-7445.AM2014-4714