Objectives To evaluate the prognostic significance of germline variation in candidate genes in patients with castration‐resistant prostate cancer (CRPC). Methods Germline DNA was extracted from peripheral blood mononuclear cells of patients with CRPC enrolled in a clinically annotated registry. Fourteen candidate genes implicated in either initiation or progression of prostate cancer were tagged using single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) from HapMap with a minor allele frequency of >5%. The primary endpoint was overall survival (OS), defined as time from development of CRPC to death. Principal component analysis was used for gene levels tests of significance. For SNP‐level results the per allele hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) under the additive allele model were estimated using Cox regression, adjusted for age at CRPC and Gleason score (GS). Results A total of 240 patients with CRPC were genotyped (14 genes; 84 SNPs). The median (range) age of the cohort was 69 (43–93) years. The GS distribution was 55% with GS ≥8, 32% with GS = 7 and 13% with GS <7 or unknown. The median (interquartile range) time from castration resistance to death for the cohort was 2.67 (1.6–4.07) years (144 deaths). At the gene level, a single gene, JAK2 was associated with OS ( P < 0.01), and 11 of 18 JAK2 SNPs were individually associated with OS after adjustment for age and GS. A multivariate model consisting of age, GS, rs2149556 (HR 0.67; 95% CI 0.38–1.18) and rs4372063 (HR 2.17; 95% CI 1.25–3.76) was constructed to predict survival in patients with CRPC (concordance of 0.69, P < 3.2 × 10 −9 ). Conclusions Germline variation in the JAK2 gene was associated with survival in patients with CRPC and warrants further validation as a potential prognostic biomarker.
Radiographic size of retroperitoneal lymph nodes predicts pathological nodal involvement for patients with renal cell carcinoma: development of a risk prediction model
BJU International | January 22, 2016 | Volume: 118 | Issue: 5 | Pages: 742-749
Objectives To evaluate the ability of clinical and radiographic features to predict lymph node (pN1) disease among patients with renal cell carcinoma undergoing radical nephrectomy (RN), and to develop a preoperative risk prediction model. Patients and Methods In all, 220 patients with preoperative computed tomography scans available for review underwent RN with lymph node dissection (LND) from 2000 to 2010. Radiographic features were assessed by one genitourinary radiologist blinded to pN status. Associations of features with pN1 disease were evaluated using logistic regression to develop predictive models. Model performance was assessed using area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) and decision curve analysis. Results The median (interquartile range) lymph node yield was 10 (5–18). In all, 55 patients (25%) had pN1 disease at RN. On univariable analysis, the maximum lymph node (LN) short axis diameter [odds ratio (OR) 1.17; P < 0.001] predicted pN1 disease with an AUC of 0.84. Although several clinical and radiographic features were associated with pN1 disease, only two were retained in the multivariable model: maximum LN short axis diameter (OR 1.19; P <0.001) and radiographic perinephric/sinus fat invasion (OR 44.64; P = 0.01), with an AUC of 0.85. On decision curve analysis, the single variable and multivariable models showed similar net benefit. Conclusion Two radiographic features, maximum LN short axis diameter and perinephric/sinus fat invasion, outperformed traditional clinical variables in predicting pN1 disease. Maximum LN short axis diameter alone showed excellent predictive performance, and, if validated externally, would provide for a simple model to guide patient selection for LND.
Decreased Skeletal Muscle Mass is Associated with an Increased Risk of Mortality after Radical Nephrectomy for Localized Renal Cell Cancer
Journal of Urology | August 18, 2015 | Volume: 195 | Issue: 2 | Pages: 270-276
Abstract Background: We investigated the association of germline genetic variation in hormone biosynthesis and metabolism genes with prostate cancer specific mortality in a cohort of advanced prostate cancer patients. Methods: We genotyped 852 single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) from 97 genes in a cohort of 267 advanced prostate cancer patients at the time of progression to castration recurrence (CRPC) during on-going androgen ablation. Tagging SNPs with minor allele frequency (MAF) of >5% and r2 ≥0.8 were selected from HapMap, NIEHS and Seattle SNP databases. Medical records were queried for cause of death. The primary endpoint of time to prostate cancer specific mortality (PCSM), was pre-defined as time from development of CRPC to death from prostate cancer progression. Principle components analysis was used for gene-levels tests, and to account for multiple testing, we calculated the false discovery rate (FDR). For SNP level results, Hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) were estimated using cox regression. Results: The median age of the cohort was 72 years at CRPC. 43% had a Gleason score (GS)=8-10, 33% a GS=7, and 24% a GS<7. After a median follow up of 1.8 years (IQ range: 0.8-3.3 years), 139 patients died, of which 107 were due to prostate cancer progression. In unadjusted gene level analyses, UGT1A7 (p=0.0059; FDR=0.19), UGT1A10 (p=0.0017; FDR=0.17) and UGT1A3 (p=0.0037; FDR=0.18) were associated with PCSM. After adjusting for age and GS, SNPs strongly associated with PCSM are listed in the Table. Conclusions: Variation in UGT genes involved in hormone metabolism yield prognostic information in CRPC. Further validation is needed to develop these as prognostic biomarkers. Citation Format: {Authors}. {Abstract title} [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the 102nd Annual Meeting of the American Association for Cancer Research; 2011 Apr 2-6; Orlando, FL. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2011;71(8 Suppl):Abstract nr 4174. doi:10.1158/1538-7445.AM2011-4174
A novel prognostic model for patients with sarcomatoid renal cell carcinoma
BJU International | April 15, 2014 | Volume: 115 | Issue: 3 | Pages: 405-411
Objective To demonstrate sarcomatoid differentiation is an independent prognostic feature for patients with grade 4 renal cell carcinoma ( RCC ) with or without distant metastases. To identify independent predictors of survival, evaluate the correlation between the amount of sarcomatoid differentiation and cancer‐specific survival ( CSS ), and to design a multivariate prognostic model for patients with sarcomatoid RCC . Patients and Methods We used the Mayo Clinic Nephrectomy Registry to identify 204 post‐nephrectomy patients with sarcomatoid‐variant RCC , as well as 207 patients with unilateral grade 4 RCC without sarcomatoid features for comparison. All slides were reviewed by one pathologist. CSS was estimated using the K aplan– M eier method. The associations of clinical and pathological features with death from RCC were evaluated using Cox proportional hazards regression models. Results For all patients with grade 4 RCC , the presence of sarcomatoid differentiation was associated with a 58% increased risk of death from RCC ( P < 0.001). For patients with grade 4 non‐metastatic ( M0 ) RCC , the presence of sarcomatoid differentiation was associated with an 82% increased risk of death from RCC ( P < 0.001). For patients with sarcomatoid RCC , the 2009 primary tumour classifications, presence of regional lymph nodes and distant metastases, coagulative tumour necrosis, and the amount of sarcomatoid differentiation were each significantly associated with death from RCC in a multivariate setting. After adjusting for other prognostic variables, each 10% increase in the amount of sarcomatoid differentiation was associated with a 6% increased risk of death from RCC ( P = 0.028). Patients whose tumours contained ≥30% (median amount) sarcomatoid differentiation were 52% more likely to die from RCC compared with patients whose tumours contained <30% sarcomatoid differentiation (hazard ratio 1.52; P = 0.018). Conclusions Among patients with grade 4 RCC , either with or without distant metastases at surgery, sarcomatoid differentiation is significantly associated with adverse survival in a multivariate setting. We also suggest for the first time that the percentage of sarcomatoid differentiation is an independent prognostic feature in a multivariate setting. The 2009 primary tumour classifications, regional lymph node status, the presence of distant metastases classifications, coagulative tumour necrosis, and the amount of sarcomatoid differentiation are independent predictors of survival for patients with sarcomatoid RCC .
Feasibility and Oncologic Control after Percutaneous Image Guided Ablation of Metastatic Renal Cell Carcinoma
Journal of Urology | March 14, 2014 | Volume: 192 | Issue: 2 | Pages: 357-363
Objective To determine renal function eligibility for cisplatin‐based chemotherapy using our experience with radical cystectomy ( RC ) patients. Patients and Methods Using the M ayo C linic C ystectomy R egistry, we identified 768 patients treated with RC without neoadjuvant chemotherapy for urothelial carcinoma from 1980–2005. Glomerular filtration rate ( GFR ) was estimated using the C hronic K idney D isease E pidemiology C ollaboration ( CKD‐EPI ) equation and a value of ≥60 mL/min was considered eligible for cisplatin‐based chemotherapy. Factors associated with change in GFR (from preoperative to 3‐month postoperative) were assessed using linear regression. Results The median age was 68 years, while the median GFR was 60 mL/min both preoperatively and 3 months after RC . Overall, 405 (53%) patients had a GFR of <60 mL/min before surgery and 387 (50%) had a GFR of <60 mL/min at 3 months after RC . Patients with hydronephrosis (209 patients) had significantly lower preoperative GFRs than with patients without hydronephrosis (median 52 vs 62 mL/min, respectively; P < 0.001). Among the 363 patients with a GFR of ≥60 mL/min before RC , 91 (25%) had a decline in renal function to a GFR of <60 mL/min at 3 months after RC . In multivariable analyses, older age ( P < 0.001), higher preoperative GFR ( P < 0.001) and continent urinary diversion ( P = 0.011) were significantly associated with a negative change in GFR after RC . Conclusions Our results suggest that nearly half of patients undergoing RC are not eligible to receive perioperative cisplatin‐based chemotherapy based on renal function status. About a quarter of patients eligible for cisplatin before surgery are no longer eligible after RC . Certain patient characteristics and surgical factors are more likely to experience a negative change in GFR after RC and should be counselled accordingly.
Association of Microvascular and Capillary-Lymphatic Invasion with Outcome in Patients with Renal Cell Carcinoma
Journal of Urology | January 23, 2013 | Volume: 190 | Issue: 1 | Pages: 37-43