Roger, Véronique L.

Background: Referral to a skilled nursing facility (SNF) should contribute to reducing hospital readmissions; however, a “revolving door” phenomenon after admission to SNF has been hypothesized to drive readmissions. The urgent need to study the impact of SNF on readmissions in heart failure (HF) was recently emphasized, yet this has never been studied in the community. Objectives: To evaluate the association between discharge to SNF and 30-day readmissions in a community cohort of hospitalized incident HF patients. Methods: Olmsted County, MN residents hospitalized with first ever (incident) HF (International Classification of Diseases-9 th Revision code 428) from 1995 through 2010 were identified. HF was validated by Framingham criteria. Patients residing in a SNF prior to hospitalization were excluded from the analysis. Logistic regression was used to examine the association between discharge to SNF and 30-day readmissions. Results: Among 1360 HF patients (mean age 74±14, 47% male), 241(18%) were referred to a SNF. Overall, 296 (22%) patients were readmitted within 30-days after index hospitalization. The proportion of 30-day readmissions was greater among patients discharged to a SNF compared to patients discharged home (27% vs 21%, p=0.031). After adjustment for age and sex, patients discharged to a SNF had a 40% increase in the odds of having a hospital readmission within 30 days post HF compared to those discharged home (OR: 1.42, 95% CI 1.01-1.99). Further adjustment for year of HF diagnosis, ejection fraction, anemia, renal function, dementia and cancer did not alter the strength of the association (OR: 1.43, 95% CI: 0.99-2.09). Conclusion: Among community patients with HF, 30-day readmissions remain frequent and are more likely to occur among patients discharged to a SNF compared to those discharged home. These data provide new insight into the drivers of HF readmissions and suggest that interventions targeted to HF patients in SNFs may be warranted.

Background: Contemporary data on survival after incident acute coronary syndrome (ACS), including both myocardial infarction (MI) and unstable angina (UA), are limited. Objective: To describe survival after incident ACS, to determine if it differs by ACS type (MI or UA) and to determine whether it has improved over time. Methods: Olmsted County, MN residents hospitalized between 1/1/2005-12/31/2010 were screened for incident ACS. ACS was defined as either MI validated by standard epidemiological criteria or UA validated by the Braunwald classification. Patients were followed for death from any cause. Cox proportional hazards regression was used to determine whether survival differed by ACS type, while adjusting for year of diagnosis, age, sex and comorbidities. Results: Among 1,160 incident ACS cases (mean±SD age 66.9±14.8, 60% male), 35% were UA and 65% were MI. After a mean (SD) follow up of 3.7 (2.1) years, 274 deaths occurred. The 3-year Kaplan-Meier survival estimate for MI was 79.6% (95% CI: 76.7%-82.6%) and for UA was 84.9% (95% CI: 81.3%-88.6%) (log-rank p=0.011). The association of ACS type with survival differed by age (p=0.056). After adjustment for year of diagnosis, sex and comorbidities, no difference in survival was observed between ACS types among those aged <60 (HR for MI vs. UA: 0.64, 95% 0.29-1.42). By contrast, among patients aged 60-79, those with an MI had 2 times the risk of death compared to those with UA (HR: 2.04, 95% CI: 1.24-3.37). Patients aged 80 or older who had an MI had a 40% increased risk of death compared to patients of the same age who had UA (HR: 1.42, 95% CI: 1.02-1.98). There was no difference in survival over time (HR for 2010 vs. 2005: 0.91, 95% CI: 0.61-1.36). Conclusions: Survival did not differ between UA and MI patients younger than 60, however among patients 60 or older, survival was worse among those with an MI. Survival after ACS did not change over the study period.

Background: Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most common cardiac arrhythmia in clinical practice, causes substantial morbidity, and is associated with an excess risk of mortality. However, information on contemporary time trends in survival after AF is lacking. Thus, we aimed to determine whether survival after incident AF has changed over the last decade in a community-based cohort of 3413 individuals with incident AF between 2000 and 2010. Methods: Olmsted County, MN residents 18 years of age and older with a first-ever AF or atrial flutter event between 2000 and 2010 were identified using inpatient and outpatient diagnostic codes and electrocardiograms. Deaths from any cause were ascertained through August 31, 2012 and time trends in survival after AF were examined using Kaplan-Meier curves and Cox proportional hazards regression. Results: Among 3413 individuals with incident AF (52% men, age range 18-104) between 2000 and 2010, 1561 deaths were observed over a median follow-up of 3.4 years. Survival did not differ by year of AF diagnosis (figure). In addition, the proportion of cardiovascular disease-related deaths compared to non-cardiovascular deaths did not differ over time. After adjustment for age, sex, and Charlson comorbidity index, the hazard ratios for all-cause mortality were 1.09 (95% CI 0.97-1.23) for those diagnosed with AF in 2004-2007 vs. 2000-2003 and 1.04 (95% CI 0.90-1.12) for 2008-2010 vs. 2000-2003. Furthermore, the risk of death did not differ by sex after adjustment for age and comorbidity (HR 1.00, 95% CI 0.90-1.11 for men vs. women). Conclusions: In the community, survival after AF has remained constant over the last decade despite substantial changes in the recommendations for treatment of AF. This underscores the importance of identification of prognostic factors and continued surveillance of outcomes in AF, as well as a better understanding of how to optimize the management of AF to improve outcomes in these patients.

0024 Background: There is evidence for the role of inflammation in the pathogenesis of coronary disease. Relative lymphocytopenia was reported for the diagnosis of myocardial infarction (MI), but little is known about its prognostic value. This study was undertaken to test the hypothesis that relative lymphocytopenia was associated with cardiac events (defined as recurrent MI, congestive heart failure or cardiac death) after MI among Olmsted County residents. Methods: MIs were validated using standard epidemiological criteria using enzymes, chest pain and Minnesota coding of the ECG. The entire community medical record, available via the Rochester Epidemiology Project, was reviewed to determine incident status and ascertain outcomes. Relative lymphocytopenia was defined as percent lymphocytes<20, 3%. Results: Between 1979 and 1994, an incidence cohort of 1653 validated MIs (mean age 67 ± 14, 43% women) was assembled. At the time of index MI, relative lymphocytopenia was present in 51% of the cases. After a mean follow-up of 6.9 ± 5.4 years, 471 pts had experienced recurrent MIs, 849 pts CHF and 602 cardiac deaths occurred. The 5-year event-free survival was 35% for cases with relative lymphocytopenia vs 52% for those without(p<0.001). After adjustment for age and current smoking, relative lymphocytopenia was associated with a 21% increase in the risk of cardiac event (RR 1.21, 95% CI 1.1-1.4; p=0.003). Conclusion: Relative lymphocytopenia is associated with cardiac events after incident MI. These data support the role of inflammation in the outcome of coronary disease.

P46 While heart failure (HF), an emerging epidemic, complicates myocardial infarction (MI), little is known on the predictors of HF post-MI, in particular the impact of reperfusion therapy. This population-based study was undertaken to examine the association between clinical characteristics and post-MI HF between 1979 and 1994. Hospitalized incident MIs were validated using enzymes, chest pain, and Minnesota coding of the ECG. Framingham criteria were used to ascertain both in- and outpatient HF. Proportional hazard regression was used to identify predictors of CHF. In the study period, 1657 patients (pts.) (mean age 67.2 ± 13.9 years, 43% women) had an incident MI. History of diabetes, hypertension and prior HF was found in 19%, 54% and 11% of pts respectively. After 5 years, 43% of pts had experienced HF. Factors independently associated with HF were (see table). There was a 2% decline per year in occurrence of HF. Adding reperfusion therapy in the model attenuated the association between year and HF (adjusted RR for reperfusion 0.67, 95% CI 0.53, 0.84, p=0.006; adjusted for year 0.99; 95% CI 0.97, 1.01, p=0.37). Thus, while remaining frequent post-MI CHF has declined over time. Reperfusion therapy accounted for most of the effect of year. Table 1.

Background: A decline in all forms of coronary revascularization has been previously reported. Whether the decline has continued after the turn of the century is unknown as well as whether it is influenced by trends in the use and results of coronary angiography. Methods: All diagnostic and therapeutic coronary procedures performed among Olmsted County, MN residents from 2000-2015 were analyzed. Standardized rates (per 100,000 population) were calculated applying the direct method and temporal trends compared using Poisson regression models. Trends in disease severity, defined as 3-vessel and/or left main coronary artery disease (CAD), were assessed using logistic regression models. Results: Between 2000 and 2015, 11,691 coronary angiographies were performed (63% men; 54% ≥ 65 years of age). The age- and sex-standardized rates of angiography decreased over time (p trend < 0.001; Figure). Overall, 30% of the subjects had 3-vessel and/or left main CAD, and this proportion decreased over time (age- and sex-adjusted odds ratios (95% CI) for severe CAD: 0.68 (0.62-0.76) in 2005-2009 and 0.69 (0.63-0.77) in 2010-2015 compared with 2000-2004). Among 5,222 coronary revascularization procedures performed, 78% were PCI and 22% CABG. The age- and sex-standardized rates of any revascularization declined during the study period, reflecting temporal decreases in both PCI and CABG (all p trend < 0.001; Figure). The declines in angiography rates, CAD severity, and revascularization utilization were consistently greater in women than men (all P for interactions < 0.01). Conclusions: Declines in all forms of coronary revascularization, which were greater in women than men, have occurred in Olmsted County, MN, from 2000-2015. The declines occurred in the context of fewer angiograms performed in the population and reduced severity of anatomic CAD.

Introduction: Little is known about the characteristics and resources that enable patients with heart failure (HF) to engage in effective self-management. To address this gap in knowledge, we measured personal and health care resources for self-management and examined associations with mortality among patients with HF. Methods: We surveyed 5543 residents of 11 counties in Southeast Minnesota with a first-ever code for HF [International Classification of Disease, Ninth Revision code 428 or Tenth Revision code I50] between 1/1/2013 and 3/31/2016. Self-management resources were measured with the health care and personal subscales of the Chronic Illness Resources Survey (CIRS), both of which included 3 questions on a 5-point scale. The responses were averaged and participants were categorized as low if the mean score was below the median of the distribution (range from 1 to 5). The survey was returned by 2866 participants (response rate 52%) and those with complete data on the main items of interest were retained for analysis (N=2212). Cox proportional hazards regression was used to determine the association between each subscale and mortality. Results: Among 2212 participants (mean age 72.8 years, 54.1% men) the median health care score was 4, while the personal score was 3. Those with low health care resources were older and less educated than those with a higher score (p<0.05), while those with low personal resources had less comorbidities and lower education attainment compared to those with a higher score (p<0.05). After a mean (SD) follow-up of 1.3 ± 0.6 years, 207 deaths occurred. Low levels of both self-management resources were associated with an increased risk of death compared with patients with high levels (Table). Conclusions: Having limited self-management resources is associated with an increased risk of mortality among patients with HF. Thus, interventions aimed at supporting self-management among patients with HF may improve outcomes.

Background: Cardiovascular disease (CVD) remains the leading cause of death for African-American (AA) adults. There is a low prevalence of ideal cardiovascular health (CVH) (as defined by the American Heart Association’s Life’s Simple 7 TM (LS7)), especially diet, physical activity and obesity among AAs placing them at a disproportionately high risk for CVD. The identification of psychosocial stress that may influence ideal CVH could assist in the development of more effective behavior change interventions among AAs. Objectives: The aim of this study is to examine the associations of multidimensional stressors (chronic stress, minor stressors, and major life events - MLEs) with the LS7 components (classified as poor, intermediate and ideal) in AAs. We hypothesize that stress is negatively associated with the likelihood of achievement of intermediate/ideal levels of the LS7 components and LS7 composite score after adjusting for traditional socio-demographic factors. Methods: Using the Jackson Heart Study (JHS), a cohort of AAs based in Jackson, Mississippi (n=4383), we conducted a cross-sectional analysis of the association of stress measures with LS7 components (smoking, diet, physical activity, body mass index, blood pressure, total cholesterol and glucose). This association was measured using logistic regression which assessed the odds ratios (OR, 95% confidence interval (CI)) of the achievement of intermediate/ideal levels of CVH with progressive adjustment for demographic, socioeconomic, behavioral and biomedical factors. A composite LS7 score was calculated [range 0-14; categorized as 0 to 6 (poor), 7 to 8 (intermediate) and 9 to 14 (ideal)]. We also constructed a cumulative stress score as a summation of tertiles of each stress measure (range 3-9). Results: Fewer participants achieved intermediate or ideal CVH for the LS7 components including diet (39%), physical activity (51%) and BMI (47%). Higher chronic stress and minor stressors scores were associated a decreased likelihood of achievement of ideal/intermediate levels for smoking [OR 0.80; 95% CI 0.73-0.88 and OR 0.84; 95% CI 0.75-0.94, respectively). Higher MLE scores were associated decreased likelihood of achievement of ideal/intermediate levels for smoking (OR 0.84; 95% CI 0.76-0.92) and glucose (OR 0.90; 95% CI 0.82-0.98). Those with higher minor stressors and MLE scores were less likely to achieve intermediate or ideal LS7 composite score categories (OR 0.89; 95% CI 0.81-0.97 and OR 0.91; 95% CI 0.84-0.98, respectively). There was no statistically significant association between LS7 composite scores and cumulative stress scores. Conclusions: Our results suggest that key stress measures may contribute adversely to CVH among AAs. These findings provide support for future lifestyle interventions which integrate a focus on alleviating stressors in this high risk population to improve CVH.

Statistical analyses are a crucial component of the biomedical research process and are necessary to draw inferences from biomedical research data. The application of sound statistical methodology is a prerequisite for publication in the American Heart Association (AHA) journal portfolio. The objective of this document is to summarize key aspects of statistical reporting that might be most relevant to the authors, reviewers, and readership of AHA journals. The AHA Scientific Publication Committee convened a task force to inventory existing statistical standards for publication in biomedical journals and to identify approaches suitable for the AHA journal portfolio. The experts on the task force were selected by the AHA Scientific Publication Committee, who identified 12 key topics that serve as the section headers for this document. For each topic, the members of the writing group identified relevant references and evaluated them as a resource to make the standards summarized herein. Each section was independently reviewed by an expert reviewer who was not part of the task force. Expert reviewers were also permitted to comment on other sections if they chose. Differences of opinion were adjudicated by consensus. The standards presented in this report are intended to serve as a guide for high-quality reporting of statistical analyses methods and results.

AbstractBackgroundNon‐statin lipid lowering therapies (LLTs) provide additional treatment options for patients. Use patterns and patient perceptions of non‐statin LLT remain incompletely described.HypothesisThe guideline‐recommended statin intensity remains underutilized in patients treated with and without non‐statin LLT.MethodsThe PALM Registry collected LLT information on patients with or at risk of ASCVD treated at 125 US clinics in 2015. We compared patient perceptions, lipid levels and statin use among patients treated with and without non‐statin LLT.ResultsAmong 7720 patients, 1930 (25.0%) were treated with a non‐statin LLT (1249 fish oil, 417 fibrates, 329 ezetimibe, 196 niacin). Concurrent statin treatment occurred in 73.7%, of which 45.4% were dosed under the guideline‐recommended intensity. Compared with patients on statin alone, patients receiving both a statin and non‐statin LLT (n = 1423) were more likely to be male, white race and to perceive themselves as higher risk of ASCVD compared with their peers (38.5% vs. 34.9%, p = .047). Only 27.4% of patients treated with non‐statin LLT alone perceived themselves at higher risk. Most (75.7%) patients treated with a non‐statin LLT alone reported never being treated with a statin, despite ASCVD in 30.8% of these patients. Among those previously treated with a statin, 59.3% reported being willing to try a statin again.ConclusionsNon‐statin LLT is used in one in four patients with or at risk for ASCVD; its use is frequently in place of statin therapy or in the absence of guideline‐recommended statin intensity. More work is needed to establish statins as first line therapy.