Fahy, J.V.

Abstract Rationale: The club cell secretory protein (CC16), encoded by the SCGB1A1 gene, has an anti-inflammatory role in airways diseases, including asthma (Li, AJRCCM 2023; Voraphani, AJRCCM 2023). We hypothesize that additional pathway genes regulated or co-expressed with CC16 have cumulative effects on asthma severity outcomes by modulating airway inflammation and maintaining lung homeostasis. Methods: As published previously, four genes were downregulated in CC16 knockout experiments and correlated with CC16 levels: BPIFA1, SFTPD, LTF, and LYZ (Iannuzo, Front. Immunol 2023). We developed a four-gene biomarker score in 94 patients with asthma from the NHLBI-sponsored Severe Asthma Research Program (SARP3) who underwent research bronchoscopy for lower airway epithelial brushings, RNA isolation, and bulk RNA sequencing. We log-transformed the raw values of each transcript; obtained standardized residuals from regression models that included sex, age, and batch effects; and summed the standardized residuals of all four proteins to estimate a standardized sum score (Zhai, JACI Allergy 2024). Logistic regression models tested the four-gene score, three-gene score without LTF, and individual transcripts for associations with exacerbations during 12-month follow-up and zero-inflated negative binomial regression for number of exacerbations. Results: 30.85% percent of 94 patients experienced at least one exacerbation at the end of follow-up. The CC16-associated four-gene biomarker score showed protective effects on asthma exacerbation risk with a 54% percent reduction in exacerbation risk for every one-fold higher score (OR=0.46, 95% CI: 0.27-0.78, p =0.0040, Figure 1). Transcript expression of BPIFA1 (OR=0.87, 95% CI:0.66-1.16, p=0.337), SFTPD (OR=0.33, 95% CI:0.04-2.52, p=0.283), LYZ (OR=0.62, 95%CI:0.28-1.39, p=0.248), and LTF (OR=0.36, 95% CI:0.18-0.74, p=0.0053) all indicated protective directionality with respect to exacerbation risk. However, only LTF demonstrated a statistically significant association. When we excluded LTF, the remaining three-gene score showed a trend toward association with risk (OR=0.64, 95% CI:0.40-1.03, p=0.068) and was significantly associated with number of exacerbations (RR=0.49, 95% CI:0.26-0.95, p=0.034). Compared to LTF alone (OR=0.48, PPV=0.50, NPV=0.71, Sensitivity=0.14, AUC=0.65), the combined four-gene score (OR=0.46, PPV=0.60, NPV= 0.73, Sensitivity=0.21, AUC=0.68) showed improved predictive performance. Conclusions: We identified a CC16-associated transcriptomic predictive score for asthma exacerbations, with LTF showing the strongest effect. Although the other three genes showed individually weak and non-significant associations with exacerbations, the three gene score was significant for number of exacerbations.We demonstrate the potential of this transcriptomic score as a predictive biomarker for asthma severity-related outcomes. Further research investigating these genes and their interaction with other CC16-associated immune pathways could provide insight into therapeutic targets.