Gilbert, Mark

Abstract Background Methylation class pleomorphic xanthoastrocytoma (mcPXA) comprises tumors with the DNA methylation signature of classical PXA but with a wider histologic spectrum, including overlap with glioblastoma (GBM). Methods To clarify the histologic and molecular scope of mcPXA and characterize its clinical behavior, a cohort of 469 tumor samples from 458 patients matching to mcPXA by the DKFZ classifier (v12.6 score ≥0.85) was interrogated. Results Patient median age was 23 years (range 1-73 years) with a female predominance (259 female/199 male). CDKN2A/B homozygous deletion was observed in 406 of 469 (87%) samples. In samples tested for BRAF p.V600E mutations (n = 279), 240 (86%) harbored the mutation. A chr7+/chr10− pattern was observed in 103 of 469 (22%) samples. Among samples tested for TERT promoter mutations (n = 143), 32 (22%) harbored the mutation. Progression-free and overall survival of patients with mcPXA were comparable to patients with methylation class IDH-mutant astrocytoma, low grade, but a GBM-like subset (ie, cases with a pre-methylation working diagnosis of GBM) showed shorter survival. Histologic features of high grade, including palisading necrosis and microvascular proliferation, were prognostic in mcPXA. Compared to patients with BRAF p.V600E-altered GBM, patients with mcPXA were younger and had a lower frequency of TERT promoter mutations. Conclusion Tumors in mcPXA share molecular characteristics with histologically defined PXA, and high-grade histologic features can help predict their clinical behavior. The use of an epigenetic classification of PXA reveals that this group of tumors is more common than previously appreciated and warrants in-depth study to identify efficacious therapeutic options.

Abstract Durable overall response rate (ORR) remains a meaningful endpoint in recurrent GBM; however, the target ORR for single arm recurrent GBM trials has not been based on historic information or tied to patient outcomes. The current study reviewed past trials in recurrent GBM in order to judiciously define target ORRs for use in recurrent GBM trials. After reviewing 69 treatment arms comprising 4,971 patients, ORR was 6.1%[95% CI 4.23; 8.76%] for cytotoxic chemotherapies (ORR=7.59% for CCNU, 7.57% for TMZ, 0.64% for CPT-11, and 5.32% for other agents), 3.37% for biologic agents, 7.97% for immunotherapies (select trials), and 26.8% for anti-angiogenic agents. ORRs were significantly correlated with median overall survival (mOS) across chemotherapy (R2=0.4078, P< 0.0001), biologics (R2=0.4003, P=0.0003), and immunotherapy trials (R2=0.8994, P< 0.0001), but not anti-angiogenic agents (R2=0, P=0.8937). Pooling data from chemotherapy, biologics, and immunotherapy trials, a meta-analysis indicated a strong correlation between ORR and mOS (R2=0.3164, P< 0.0001; mOS[weeks]=0.6xORR+28.9), suggesting an ORR >20% results in an mOS of > 40.9 weeks, which is double the survival estimate of a treatment with ORR=0% and ≥ 2 months longer than treatments with ORR=5%. Assuming an ineffective therapy (control) has ORR=5%, a trial of 32 patients with a target ORR=20% leads to the 95% confidence interval higher than the control group. We conclude that single arm phase II studies in recurrent GBM with ≥ 32 patients should have a target ORR ≥ 20%. This was associated with a median OS of approximately 1 year. Importantly, durability of response should also be considered and was not assessed in the current meta-analysis.

Abstract BACKGROUND Radiation Therapy Oncology Group 9802 was a phase III trial for patients with centrally confirmed LGG (WHO grade II). Participants ³ 40 years or those with neurosurgeon defined less than gross total resection (GTR) were randomized to radiotherapy (RT) +/- PCV. In a separate cohort, adults age < 40 years with neurosurgeon defined GTR were observed by MRI every 6 months without adjuvant therapy. At last report, outcome for the observation cohort was immature with median follow-up of only 4.4 years. Here, we present mature outcomes for the observation arm. METHODS Eligible adults (as above) were observed by MRI every 6 months. OS and PFS were estimated by Kaplan-Meier method and estimated hazard ratios to characterize the prognostic variables. RESULTS There were 111 eligible patients (median age 30; median KPS = 100). Median follow-up was 16.1 years with 71 (64%) alive at the last follow-up. 79 patients (71%) had progressed with median PFS of 6.9 years. 5, 10, and 15 year-PFS and OS rates were 54%, 39%, 28% and 94%, 77%, and 65%. 1p19q status was codeleted in 32%, IDH1/2 mutant in 78% and MGMT promoter methylated in 39% of tested cases. Multivariate Cox analyses showed that preoperative tumor size ³ 4 cm (HR = 2.43 for PFS, p = 0.001; HR = 2.58 for death, p = 0.016) and residual disease on imaging ³ 1 cm (HR = 2.97 for PFS, P < 0.001; HR = 2.02 for death, p = 0.05) were associated with worse outcomes. Analyses based on molecular results will be presented. CONCLUSION A subset of low-grade gliomas can be observed after the initial resection based on younger age, smaller tumor size, and no residual disease on neuroimaging. This can likely be further refined by prognostic molecular markers. Patients with the most favorable prognostic factors can avoid or delay the acute and long-term side effects of RT and chemotherapy for several years.