Guglielmelli, Paola

Abstract “Nonclassical” myeloproliferative neoplasms (MPNs) and myelodysplastic/myeloproliferative neoplasms (MDS/MPNs) represent a heterogeneous group of malignancies characterized by a wide range of clinical manifestations. Unlike classical MPNs, there is no standardized management approach for these conditions, particularly concerning the indications for and management of allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplantation. To address this gap, the European Society for Blood and Marrow Transplantation (EBMT) Practice Harmonization and Guidelines (PH&G) Committee and the Chronic Malignancies Working Party (CMWP) have collaborated to develop shared guidelines aimed at optimizing the selection and management of patients with these rare forms of neoplasms. A comprehensive review of the literature from the publication of the revised fourth edition of the (2016) World Health Organization classification onward was conducted. A multidisciplinary group of experts in the field convened to produce this document, which was developed through multiple rounds of draft circulation. Key recommendations include the early identification of potential transplant candidates, particularly in cases of chronic neutrophilic leukemia, chronic eosinophilic leukemia (CEL)/CEL, not otherwise specified (CEL-NOS), myeloid/lymphoid neoplasm with eosinophilia and tyrosine kinase gene fusions with FGFR1, JAK2, ABL1, and FLT3 rearrangements, MDS/MPN with neutrophilia/atypical chronic myeloid leukemia, and MDS/MPN, NOS. For patients with MPN, NOS/MPN unclassifiable, standard recommendations for myelofibrosis should be applied. Similarly, in MDS/MPN with thrombocytosis, transplantation is recommended on the basis of established MDS guidelines. Given the current lack of robust evidence, this document will serve as a valuable resource to guide future research activities, providing a framework for addressing critical unanswered questions and advancing the field.

ABSTRACTOverviewSex and gender have emerged as central modifiers of disease biology, phenotype, and clinical outcomes in myeloproliferative neoplasms (MPNs). This review will uniquely highlight issues affecting women with MPN and articulate their relevant determinants.Epidemiology and DiagnosisA higher overall prevalence of MPN has been established in women. The incidence of essential thrombocythemia (ET) predominates, while, conversely, polycythemia vera (PV) and myelofibrosis (MF) are seen in lower frequencies as compared to men. Diagnostic criteria are dictated by sex‐driven physiological variances in hemoglobin and hematocrit levels in PV, mandating separate diagnostic thresholds, respectively: > 16.0 g/dL and > 48% in women vs. > 16.5 and > 49% in men.Genetic Framework and PhenotypeWomen with MPN harbor fewer acquired somatic mutations and a lower frequency of high‐risk mutations than their male counterparts; lower JAK2V617F driver variant allele frequency and attenuated allele burden kinetics have also been reported. Women with MPN are younger at diagnosis than men and, contingent on subtype, display more indolent disease features. Importantly, validated symptom burden assessments consistently disclose higher scores in women vs. men.Thrombosis and OutcomesWomen with MPN have a unique thrombotic diathesis with respect to men, more frequently involving the splanchnic venous system in those ultimately diagnosed with PV. Outcomes data depict female sex as a variable associated with more favorable clinical trajectories, including lower rates of MF/leukemic transformation and secondary cancers, as well as improved overall survival rates vis‐à‐vis men.Life‐Cycle Windows, Pregnancy, and PostpartumPotential challenges at each significant life stage will be addressed: puberty, preconception and fertility, and perimenopause; these include issues surrounding oral contraceptives and hormone use. Prospective studies suggest overall favorable maternal and fetal outcomes with pregnancy in women with MPN. Full details on risks and reported outcomes will be discussed, as well as a risk‐adapted approach to management informed by obstetric and thrombosis history. Recommendations include aspirin 81 mg daily in all patients and cytoreduction with interferon‐α in those with antecedent thrombosis, as well as in low‐risk cases with higher‐risk features (e.g., poorly controlled hematocrit and recurrent fetal loss). Antepartum anticoagulation with low molecular weight heparin (LMWH) is recommended in cases with previous venous thromboembolism.Conclusions and Future DirectionsThis review highlights female sex and gender as critical drivers of MPN incidence, presentation, and natural history. It further outlines the impact and management of MPN as related to unique female reproductive phases. A sex‐informed lens will be required in order to recalibrate current prognostic tools, a requisite to refining patient counselling and clinical decision‐making in line with precision medicine. Moreover, while several mechanisms underpinning sex‐defined discrepancies have been defined, these mandate further prospective study. Finally, sex and gender‐based differences must be weighted in clinical trials with systematized procedures to correct participation imbalances in favor of sex and gender equity.

ABSTRACTA total of 142 patients with myeloproliferative neoplasms (MPNs) or acute myeloid leukemia (AML) associated with multihit TP53 mutations (mTP53 MUT) were accessed from the Mayo Clinic database and included (i) chronic phase MPN (MPN‐CP; N = 19), (ii) accelerated phase MPN (MPN‐AP; N = 14), (iii) blast phase MPN (MPN‐BP; N = 28), and (iv) AML (N = 81). Concurrent ASXL1 MUT, EZH2 MUT, IDH1,MUT and IDH2 MUT were more common in MPN‐MUTBP‐mTP53 compared to AML‐mTP53 MUT. At median of 11.6 months follow‐up, 124 (87%) deaths and 19 (13%) allogeneic stem cell transplantations (ASCT) were documented. Overall survival (OS), calculated from the time of mTP53 MUT detection, was similar between MPN‐BP‐mTP53 MUT (median 4.6 months) and MPN‐AP‐mTP53 MUT (5.6 months; p = 0.5) but both were inferior to MPN‐CP‐mTP53 MUT (11.6 months, p < 0.01). OS in MPN‐CP‐mTP53 MUT was similar to that of AML‐mTP53 MUT (median 7.4 months, p = 0.07). In multivariable analysis, OS was favorably affected by ASCT (HR 0.4, p = 0.03) and disease stage (i.e., chronic phase disease) or achieving response to pre‐transplant chemotherapy (HR 0.2, p < 0.01) and unfavorably by the presence of concurrent TET2 MUT or DNMT3A MUT (HR 2.7, p < 0.01). Based on these risk factors, a 3‐tiered risk model was constructed: low (no risk factors; N = 18; median OS 23.8 months); intermediate (one risk factor; N = 44; 11.1 months); and high (two or more risk factors; N = 80; 4 months; p < 0.01). The current study highlights the equally detrimental impact of mTP53 MUT on long‐term survival in MPN and AML and identifies predictors of short‐term survival.

ABSTRACT Myelofibrosis (MF) is a myeloproliferative neoplasm that is accompanied by driver JAK2 , CALR , or MPL mutations in more than 90% of cases, leading to constitutive activation of the JAK–STAT pathway. MF is a multifaceted disease characterized by trilineage myeloid proliferation with prominent megakaryocyte atypia and bone marrow fibrosis, as well as splenomegaly, constitutional symptoms, ineffective erythropoiesis, extramedullary hematopoiesis, and a risk of leukemic progression and shortened survival. Therapy can range from observation alone in lower‐risk and asymptomatic patients to allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplantation, which is the only potentially curative treatment capable of prolonging survival, although burdened by significant morbidity and mortality. The discovery of the JAK2 V617F mutation prompted the development of JAK inhibitors (JAKi) including the first‐in‐class JAK1/JAK2 inhibitor ruxolitinib and subsequent approval of fedratinib, pacritinib, and momelotinib. The latter has shown erythropoietic benefits by suppressing hepcidin expression via activin A receptor type 1 (ACVR1) inhibition, as well as reducing splenomegaly and symptoms. However, the current JAKi behave as anti‐inflammatory drugs without a major impact on survival or disease progression. A better understanding of the genetics, mechanisms of fibrosis, cytopenia, and the role of inflammatory cytokines has led to the development of numerous therapeutic agents that target epigenetic regulation, signaling, telomerase, cell cycle, and apoptosis, nuclear export, and pro‐fibrotic cytokines. Selective JAK2 V617F inhibitors and targeting of mutant CALR by immunotherapy are the most intriguing and promising approaches. This review focuses on approved and experimental treatments for MF, highlighting their biological background.

ABSTRACT The clinical relevance of TP53 mutations ( TP53 MUT ) in myeloproliferative neoplasms (MPN) and their prognostic interaction with MPN subtype designation has not been systematically studied. In the current study, 114 patients with MPN harboring TP53 MUT (VAF ≥ 2%) were evaluated for overall survival (OS), calculated from the time of TP53 MUT detection: chronic phase myelofibrosis (MF‐CP; N = 61); blast‐phase (MPN‐BP; N = 31) or accelerated‐phase (MPN‐AP; N = 16) MPN, and polycythemia vera/essential thrombocythemia (PV/ET; N = 6). Sixty‐five (57%) patients harbored International Consensus Classification (ICC)‐defined multihit TP53 MUT and 56 (49%) monosomal/complex karyotype (MK/CK). Majority of MPN‐BP (90%) and MPN‐AP (81%) while 39% of MF‐CP and none of PV/ET patients harbored multihit TP53 MUT . OS in MPN‐BP and MPN‐AP was equally dismal (median 6 vs. 4.5 months, respectively; p = 1.0), regardless of multihit configuration ( p = 0.44), while OS in TP53 MUT MPN‐BP/AP ( N = 47; median 4 months) was inferior to that of a separate cohort ( N = 49) with TP53 wild‐type MPN‐BP/AP (median 11 months; p < 0.01). OS in MF‐CP was significantly shorter with multihit versus non‐multihit TP53 MUT (median 10 vs. 35 months; HR 2.9; p < 0.01), independent of other MF‐relevant genetic risk factors, including ASXL1/SRSF2/U2AF1 mutations. Multihit TP53 MUT was also associated with inferior survival following allogeneic stem cell transplant (ASCT): median 9 months versus “not reached” in patients with ( N = 9) versus without ( N = 8) multihit TP53 MUT ( p < 0.01). The presence of multihit or non‐multihit TP53 MUT in MPN‐BP/AP or multihit TP53 MUT in MF‐CP is associated with exceptionally poor prognosis and justifies inclusion into the ICC category of “myeloid neoplasms with mutated TP53 .” By contrast, detection of non‐multihit TP53 MUT , by itself, might not endanger short‐term survival in MF‐CP, PV, or ET.

Importance Essential thrombocythemia, a clonal myeloproliferative neoplasm with excessive platelet production, is associated with an increased risk of thrombosis and bleeding. The annual incidence rate of essential thrombocythemia in the US is 1.5/100 000 persons. Observations Patients with essential thrombocythemia have a persistent platelet count of 450 × 10 9 /L or greater. The differential diagnosis includes myeloproliferative neoplasms (polycythemia vera, primary myelofibrosis, chronic myeloid leukemia); inflammatory conditions such as rheumatoid arthritis and systemic lupus erythematosus; infections; splenectomy; iron deficiency anemia; and solid tumors such as lung cancer. Approximately 90% of individuals with essential thrombocythemia have genetic variants that upregulate the JAK-STAT (signal transducer and activator of transcription 5) signaling pathway, including Janus kinase 2 (JAK2, 64%), calreticulin (CALR , 23%), and myeloproliferative leukemia virus oncogene (MPL , 4%). The median age at diagnosis of essential thrombocythemia is 59 years. The median overall survival exceeds 35 years in those diagnosed at 40 years or younger. Patients with essential thrombocythemia are at increased risk of arterial thrombosis (11%), venous thrombosis (7%), and hemorrhagic complications (8%). Thrombosis risk is increased among those with a history of thrombosis, age older than 60 years, a JAK2 gene variant, and cardiovascular risk factors (eg, hypertension, diabetes mellitus, hyperlipidemias, tobacco use). Use of aspirin (81-100 mg/d) is suggested for most patients with essential thrombocythemia to lower thrombosis risk. In a retrospective study of 300 affected patients with a low thrombosis risk (younger than 60 years with no prior thrombosis), those not taking aspirin (100 mg/d) had a risk of arterial thrombosis of 9.4/1000 patient-years and a venous thrombosis risk of 8.2/1000 patient years; cardiovascular risk factors were associated with a higher risk of arterial thrombi (incidence rate ratio, 2.5 [95% CI, 1.02-6.1]), and a JAK2 gene variant was associated with increased risk of venous thrombosis (incidence rate ratio, 4.0 [95% CI, 1.2-12.9]). In a randomized trial of 114 patients at higher risk for thrombosis (age older than 60 years or a prior thrombotic event), cytoreduction with hydroxyurea significantly lowered the risk of arterial or venous thrombotic events compared with no cytoreductive therapy (3.6% vs 24%; P &amp;lt; .01). At a median of 8.5 years from diagnosis, approximately 10% of patients with essential thrombocythemia develop myelofibrosis and about 3% develop acute myeloid leukemia. Conclusions Essential thrombocythemia is a rare clonal myeloproliferative neoplasm associated with an increased risk of venous and arterial thrombosis, hemorrhage, myelofibrosis, and acute myeloid leukemia. Based on individual risk factors for thrombosis, persons with essential thrombocythemia may be treated with low-dose aspirin, either alone or in combination with a cytoreductive drug such as hydroxyurea.

Background An increased risk of second cancers (SC), in patients with myeloproliferative neoplasms (MPN), has been suggested by a number of population-based and cancer registry studies (Blood 2011;118:6515). Such studies often included patients belonging to a broad category of MPN entities and did not always account for history of cancer prior to the diagnosis of MPN, associated comorbidities, mutations, or treatments received, in assessing risk association and prediction (Leukemia 2019;33:1996). The current study seeks to fill knowledge gaps, in this regard, in the context of a biologically more homogeneous MPN setting, vis-ẚ-vis polycythemia vera (PV) and essential thrombocythemia (ET). Methods The present study was conducted under an institutional review board approved minimum risk protocol that allowed retrospective collection and analysis of data from Mayo Clinic patient records. Diagnostic criteria were according to the International Consensus Classification (Blood 2022; 140:1200). Documented primary cancers were annotated in 17 categories, not including pre-cancerous conditions or MPN progressions. SC was defined as any cancer that developed after 3 months from the initial diagnosis of MPN. Cox proportional hazard regression model was used for univariable and multivariable analysis. Kaplan-Meier plots were used for time-to-event assessment (considering the first in case of multiple events). Results The study population included 1,968 consecutive patients (median age 60 years; 56% females) with PV (N=1,001) or ET (N=967), seen at the Mayo Clinic between 1970 and 2024. Median follow-up was 8.6 years. The incidences of arterial/venous thrombosis were14%/12% at diagnosis and 12%/10% after diagnosis. Co-morbid conditions included diabetes (12%), hypertension (52%), tobacco use (16%), and history of autoimmune/inflammatory disease (AID; 6%); hyperlipidemia was annotated in PV cases only (51%). Non-driver mutation information was available in 620 patients: TET2 (13%), ASXL1 (7%), DNMT3A (5%), SRSF2 (3%), SF3B1 (3%) and TP53 (2%). A history of another cancer was documented in 598 (30%) patients and included cancers documented before/at (N=291; 15%) or after (N=404; 20%) the diagnosis of MPN, with only the latter being referred to as “SC”. Most frequent cancer type was non-melanoma skin cancer (NMSC), accounting for 28% of cancers diagnosed before/at MPN, and 47% of SC; other SC types included lymphoid neoplasms (10%), melanoma (10%), prostate cancer (9%), and trachea/lung/bronchial cancer (8%), as the most frequent. On multivariable analysis, cancer history, before/at or after MPN diagnosis, clustered with age &gt;60 years (OR 2.7), male sex (OR 1.5), and history of AID (OR 1.7). History of cancer prior to MPN diagnosis, NMSC or otherwise, was associated with inferior overall survival (p&lt;0.01); by contrast, neither myelofibrosis-free (p=0.5) nor leukemia-free (p=0.8) survival was affected. Median time from MPN diagnosis to SC was 5.7 years. In multivariable analysis including all cancers, SC-free survival was adversely affected by age&gt;60 years (HR 2.5; p&lt;0.01), male sex (HR 1.7; p&lt;0.01), history of previous cancer (HR 2.5, p&lt;0.01), and AID history (HR 1.6; p&lt;0.01); all these 4 risk factors remained significant after excluding NMSC. Interestingly, among informative cases, SRSF2 mutation also predicted SC (HR 2.6; p=0.02), even after NMSC cases were excluded (HR 3.4; p=0.02). Pre-MPN history of cancer did not affect either arterial (p=0.9) or venous thrombosis-free survival (p=0.7), in age- and sex-adjusted analysis. Conversely, after excluding post-SC thrombotic events, venous (p=0.02) but not arterial (p=0.1) events, occurring after MPN diagnosis, were predictive of SC. This association remained significant in multivariable analysis that included age, sex, and venous thrombosis history (p=0.03). Additional observations from this study, include an independent association between SC and hyperlipidemia in PV (p&lt;0.01) and ruxolitinib monotherapy with NMSC (HR 9; p&lt;0.01). Conclusions The risk of SC in patients with MPN is significantly higher in older patients, men, and in the presence of pre-MPN cancer history and AID. Incidental venous, but not arterial, thrombosis was associated with subsequent SC, not NMSC. The observed association of SC with SRSF2 mutations and hyperlipidemia is noted but requires further validation.

Background The prognostic relevance of TP53 mutations (TP53MT) in acute myeloid leukemia (AML) and myelodysplastic syndromes (MDS) has been extensively studied and the information accessed for defining the new International Consensus Classification (ICC) category of “myeloid neoplasms with mutated TP53” (Blood 2022;140:1200). The latter designation requires ≥10% TP53 variant allele frequency (VAF) for AML and MDS/AML and in case of MDS, multi-hit TP53 or ≥10% VAF associated with complex karyotype (CK). We examined the prognostic relevance of TP53MT in myeloproliferative neoplasms (MPN), specified by subtype and disease stage. Methods The current study was conducted under an institutional review board approved minimum risk protocol. Additional informative cases from the University of Florence, Italy and the South Australian Myeloid Neoplasm Registry were included. Diagnostic criteria and assignment of TP53 allelic state were according to the ICC. Next-generation sequencing (NGS) and cytogenetic studies were performed according to institutional standard protocols. Conventional statistical methods were employed. Survival analyses were censored for allogeneic stem cell transplantation (ASCT) and were calculated from the time of first detection of TP53MT. Results 115 patients with MPN and documented pathogenic TP53MT were considered (median age 68.5 years). ICC-defined subtype designations, at time of TP53MT detection, were polycythemia vera (PV) or essential thrombocythemia (ET) (N=9), chronic phase myelofibrosis (MF-CP; N=63), accelerated phase MPN (MPN-AP; N=16), and blast phase MPN (MPN-BP; N=27). Driver mutation distribution was JAK2 64%, CALR 18%, MPL 8%, and triple-negative 10%. Karyotype was monosomal (MK) in 42%, CK 9%, and normal (NK) 35%. Frequent co-mutations were ASXL1 (28%), TET2 (14%), and SRSF2 (14%). TP53MT were classified as ICC-defined multihit in 67 (58%) cases; karyotype in the latter was MK (58%), CK (16%), non-MK/CK (13%), or NK (13%). TP53 VAF was ≥50% in 27 (24%) patients and &lt;10% in 25 (22%). TP53MT included one (N=96) or ≥2 (N=19). MPN subtype- and stage-specific distributions for multihit TP53MT were 91% for MPN-BP, 88% MPN-AP, 44% MF-CP, and 0% ET/PV. In order to examine disease subtype- and stage-specific prognostic contribution of TP53MT, the study population was divided into 10 operational groups: 1) PV/ET non-multihit/non-MK/CK (N=8; VAF range 3-32%); 2) MF-CP non-multihit/non-MK/CK with TP53MT VAF &lt;10% (N=10); 3) MF-CP non-multihit VAF ≥10% and non-MK/CK (N=11); 4) PV/ET/MF-CP non-multihit with MK/CK (N=5); 5) MF-CP multihit/non-MK/CK (N=8); 6) MF-CP multihit and MK/CK (N=20); 7) MPN-BP/AP non-multihit/non-MK/CK (N=2); 8) MPN-BP/AP non-multihit with MK/CK (N=2); 9) MPN-BP/AP multihit/non-MK/CK (N=9); and 10) MPN-BP/AP multihit with MK/CK (N=30). The corresponding median survivals were “not reached”, 55, 42, 6, 18, 10, “not reached”, 4, 4, and 6 months (p&lt;0.01). Survival was similar between groups 1, 2, and 3 (p&gt;0.2 for all comparisons) now referred to as “PV/ET/MF-CP non-multihit/non-MK/CK (N=39)”. Survival was similarly dismal for groups 8, 9, and 10 (p values &gt; 0.3 for all comparisons) now referred to as “MPN-BP/AP with or without multihit TP53MT or MK/CK (N=43)”. Survival was also similar between groups 4, 5, and 6 (p values &gt;3 for all comparisons) now referred to as “PV/ET/MF-CP with multihit TP53MT or MK/CK (N=33)”. The three consolidated groups were subsequently compared for survival that showed a significantly worse outcome for “MPN-BP/AP with or without multihit TP53MT or MK/CK” with median survival of 4 months, compared to 12 months for “PV/ET/MF-CP with multihit TP53MT or MK/CK” (HR 2.3; 95% CI; 1.3-3.9) and 55 months for “PV/ET/MF-CP non-multihit/non-MK/CK” (10.9; 95% CI 5.3-22.4); survival in the latter two groups was also significantly different, in favor of PV/ET/MF-CP non-multihit/non-MK/CK (HR 4.8; 95% CI 2.3-10.1). Conclusions: The presence of multi-hit TP53MT or MK/CK, in MF-CP, and possibly in ET/PV, warrants their inclusion in the ICC category of “myeloid neoplasms with mutated TP53”. By contrast, non-multihit TP53MT in ET/PV/MF-CP, regardless of VAF and in the absence of MK/CK, does not appear to compromise short-term survival. The observations from the current study also suggest a prognostic hierarchy with blast percentage being the most unfavorable, followed by MK/CK and multihit TP53MT.

Background Previous studies have suggested a higher prevalence of autoimmune or inflammatory diseases (AID) in patients with myeloproliferative neoplasms (MPN) (Haematologica 2010; 95:1216); more recent studies have suggested the absence of impact on tumor genetics or disease outcome (Leukemia 2023; 37:1741). In the current study, we conducted a before and after MPN diagnosis survey, in order to examine the prevalence of AID and its impact on overall and transformation-free survival as well as the risk of thrombosis or other co-morbidities, such as cancer. Methods The current study was conducted under an institutional review board approved minimum risk protocol. Diagnostic criteria were according to the International Consensus Classification (Blood 2022; 140:1200). AID was operationally classified as occuring before or after diagnosis, with the latter requiring first diagnosis occuring ≥3 months after MPN diagnosis. Non-driver mutations were screened by next-generation sequencing (NGS) and was available for 620 patients. Cox proportional hazard regression model was used for univariate and multivariable analysis. Kaplan-Meier plots were used for time-to-event assessment, using JMP Pro 17.0.0 software SAS Institute, Cary, NC, USA. Results The study population included 1,968 consecutive patients with polycythemia vera (PV; N=1,001) or essential thrombocythemia (ET; N=967), seen at the Mayo Clinic between 1970 and 2024. Mutation information was available in 620 patients. AID was diagnosed before or after MPN diagnosis in 157 (8%) patients, including 121 (6%) before and 43 (4%) after. 134 (85%) patients had history of only one AID while 23 (15%) had ≥2 AIDs. The most prevalent diagnoses included organ-specific AID (48 cases before and 21 after MPN diagnosis), inflammatory arthritis (37 before and 6 after), connective tissue diseases (17 before and 7 after) and inflammatory dermatosis (20 before and 4 after). For each one of these four categories, thyroid disorders (21 before and 6 after), rheumatoid arthritis (22 before and 2 after), antiphospholipid syndrome (8 before and 1 after), and psoriasis (11 before and 4 after) were the most frequent, respectively. Patients with pre-MPN AID history were older (p=0.02) and were more likely to have ET vs. PV and be females (p&lt;0.01); they were also more likely to present with venous (18% vs. 12%, p=0.04) but not arterial (p=0.2) thrombosis. Pre-MPN AID history was significantly associated with pre-MPN cancer history, with the latter including (25% vs 14%, p&lt;0.01) or excluding (18% vs 10%, p&lt;0.01) non melanoma skin cancers (NMSC). Pre-MPN AID history did not correlate with driver or other mutations (including TET2, ASXL1, DNMT3A), leukocyte, neutrophil, monocyte, or lymphocyte counts (p≥0.1 in all instances). Pre-MPN history of AID did not affect overall (p=0.08), myelofibrosis-free (p=0.3), leukemia-free (p=0.3), arterial thrombosis-free (p=0.9), or venous thrombosis-free (p=0.6) survival. Second cancer-free survival (SC-FS), including (p&lt;0.01) or excluding (p&lt;0.01) NMSC, was negatively affected by pre-MPN history of AID. Multivariate analysis confirmed the independent detrimental effect of a pre-MPN history of AID (HR 1.7, p&lt;0.01) on SC-FS; other independent risk factors for SC-FS were older age (p&lt;0.01), male sex (p&lt;0.01) and pre-MPN history of cancer (p&lt;0.01). The association between pre-MPN history of AID and second cancer was also apparent when the latter was limited to lymphoproliferative neoplasms, although with borderline significance (p=0.08), which was further confirmed by adjusting for age and sex (p=0.09). Median time from MPN diagnosis to post-MPN AID was 9 years (range 1-23), which was similar between PV and ET (p=0.5). Post-MPN development of AID was more likely in females (HR 2.3; p=0.01) and in patients with pre-MPN history of AID (HR 4.8; p&lt;0.01) or hypertension (HR 2.1; p&lt;0.03). These risk factors remained significant during multivariable analysis of post-MPN AID-free survival. Conclusions The current study suggests an increased risk of post-MPN AID and second cancers, in patients with pre-MPN history of AID. The study also showed a significant association between pre-MPN history of AID and venous thrombosis at time of MPN diagnosis. These observations reinforce the widely suggested role of tumor-extrinsic inflammation in exacerbating MPN-intrinsic thrombophilia and the development of cancer.

Background Conventional thrombosis risk stratification in polycythemia vera (PV) considers age &gt; 60 years and thrombosis history for assignment to low (no risk factor) or high (at least 1 risk factor) risk category (J Clin Oncol.2011;29(6):761-70). The current study exclusively focused on low-risk PV with the following objectives: i) estimate the incidence of arterial and venous thrombosis; ii) examine the prognostic relevance of clinical and genetic risk factors for thrombosis; and iii) assess the impact of treatment on thrombosis risk. Methods Patients were retrospectively recruited from the Mayo Clinic, USA, and University of Florence, Italy, PV databases. Diagnosis was according to the International Consensus Classification criteria (Blood 2022;140:1200). Only first major arterial (AT) and unprovoked venous thrombosis (VT) were considered. Conventional statistical methods were applied (JMP Pro 17.0.0, SAS Institute, Cary, NC, USA). Results Mayo Clinic cohort A total of 346 patients with low-risk PV were considered: median age 49 years; males 54%; median hemoglobin 17.7 g/dl; median leukocyte count 10.9 x 109/L; leukocyte count &gt;11 x 109/L 49%; median platelet count 471 x 109/L; cardiovascular (CV) risk factors 47%; hypertension 29%; hyperlipidemia 20%; smoking history 12%; diabetes mellitus 5%. Most frequent mutations, other than JAK2, were ASXL1 (13%) and TET2 (13%). Median follow-up was 13.4 years (1-52) (4,636 patient-years) during which 25 (7%) AT and 20 (6%) VT were documented. The corresponding incidence rates were 5.4 and 4.3 per 1,000 patient-years. In multivariable logistic regression analysis, baseline hemoglobin &gt;17.5 g/dl in women or &gt;20 g/dl in men (15% vs 4%; OR 5.1; p&lt;0.01) and absence of leukocytosis &gt;11 x 109/L (10% vs 4%; OR 2.9; p=0.02) were associated with increased risk of AT; in addition, diabetes mellitus (19% vs 7%; OR 3.9; p=0.06), showed borderline significance; overall incidence of AT was 20% in the presence of ≥2 risk factors (n=61), 7% in the presence of one risk factor (n=177), and 1% in the absence of all three risk factors (n=108; p&lt;0.01). Multivariable analysis for arterial thrombosis-free survival (TFS) confirmed the predictive performance of these risk factors: hemoglobin thresholds (HR 4.4; p&lt;0.01); absence of leukocytosis &gt;11 x 109/L (HR 2.7; p=0.03); and diabetes (HR 2.8; p=0.09); 20-year cumulative incidence of AT was 32% in the presence of ≥2 risk factors and 7% otherwise (p&lt;0.01). In multivariable analysis, smoking history was found to be surprisingly protective against VT (0% vs. 7%; p=0.02) while female gender was associated with a borderline higher risk (8% vs 4%; OR 2.2; p=0.09); VT incidence rates were 9% in the presence of both risk factors (n=144), 4% with one risk factor (n=172), and 0% in the absence of both risk factors (n=40; p=0.02); 20-year cumulative incidence of VT was 10% in the presence of both risk factors and 3% otherwise (p=0.03). ASXL1 and TET2 mutations did not appear to modify the risk of either VT (p=0.59) or AT (p=0.66). Treatment at diagnosis included aspirin and cytoreductive therapy in 63% and 24% of patients, respectively. Aspirin but not cytoreductive therapy was associated with a lower incidence of AT (5% vs 11%; 2.3 vs 3.0 per 1,000 patient-years; p=0.04) and VT (4% vs 10%; 1.9 vs 2.8 per 1,000 patient-years; p=0.03). Thrombosis-free survival was not influenced by documented treatment at diagnosis or at the time of event (p&gt;0.1). University of Florence cohort A total of 284 low-risk PV patients were followed for a median of 9.1 years (1-38) with 19 (7%) AT and 24 (8%) VT events recorded; the corresponding incidence rates were 7.4 and 9.3 per 1,000 patient-years. In this Florence cohort, risk factors for AT were diabetes mellitus (HR 3.9), hyperlipidemia (HR 3.8) and advanced age, with only age remaining significant during multivariable analysis (p=0.03). Predictors of VT included hyperlipidemia (HR 4.2) and hypertension (HR 2.1). Treatment with aspirin or cytoreductive therapy did not impact thrombosis-free survival (p&gt;0.1). Conclusion The current study confirms the infrequent occurrence of AT and VT in low-risk PV but also exposes the challenges in identifying risk factors that are reproducible in different but otherwise well-characterized patient cohorts. Discrepancies were also apparent in retrospective comparison of treatment effects on thrombosis, which reinforces the need for prospective studies.