Bailey, Kent R.

Background The optimal timing for surgery in patients with mitral regurgitation is disputed. Because of the frequency of left ventricular dysfunction, which is difficult to predict, early surgery has been recommended, but its potential benefits have not been demonstrated. Methods and Results The outcomes of 221 patients (mean age, 65±13 years; 71% males) with flail leaflets diagnosed with two-dimensional echocardiography between 1980 and 1989 who were eligible for operation were analyzed. Group I comprised 63 patients who had early mitral valve surgery (within 1 month after diagnosis). Group II comprised 158 patients initially treated conservatively (80 of whom were operated on later). Group I patients were younger ( P =.009), had more symptoms ( P <.0001), and were more frequently in atrial fibrillation ( P =.023) than group II patients. There was no difference in ejection fraction between the groups. The early surgery strategy was followed by an improved overall survival rate ( P= .028) and a lower incidence of cardiovascular deaths ( P =.025), congestive heart failure ( P =.046), and new chronic atrial fibrillation ( P =.032), as confirmed by multivariate analysis (adjusted risk ratios of 0.31, 0.18, 0.38, and 0.05, respectively; all P< .02). Conclusions In patients with mitral regurgitation due to flail leaflets, the strategy of early surgery versus conservative management is associated with an improved long-term survival rate, decreased cardiac mortality, and decreased morbidity after diagnosis. This outcome advantage suggests that early surgery is a reasonable treatment option to be considered in low-risk candidates with repairable valves and severe mitral regurgitation.

Background Elevated lipoprotein(a) [Lp(a)] levels have been associated with the presence of atherosclerotic disease. However, the results of prospective studies of Lp(a) and cardiovascular disease have been contradictory. Methods and Results From 1968 through 1982, lipoprotein analysis was performed in 11 335 Olmsted County residents. Quantitative cholesterol and triglycerides were obtained along with semiquantitative Lp(a) levels based on electrophoretic pattern. Lp(a) bands were scored from 0 (absent) to 3 (increased). A cohort of 4967 men and 4968 women with no prior history of atherosclerotic disease who had baseline Lp(a) determinations were followed up for 14 years for development of coronary artery disease (CAD) and cerebrovascular disease (CVD). During 131 330 person-years of follow-up, there were 1848 CAD events and 841 CVD events. Age, diabetes, hypertension, cholesterol, and triglycerides were significantly and independently associated with an increased risk of CAD and CVD in men and women. There was a significant increase in the adjusted hazards ratio for CAD with increasing Lp(a) levels for men and women. For Lp(a) level 3, the hazard ratio was 1.9 (range, 1.3 to 2.9) in women and 1.6 (range, 1.0 to 2.5) in men. The adjusted hazard ratio for CVD showed an irregular association with Lp(a) levels in men and no association in women. Conclusions In this cohort of 9936 men and women initially free of cardiovascular disease who were followed up for 14 years, Lp(a) was a significant predictor of risk of future CAD. Lp(a) was a weak risk factor for CVD in men and was not a significant predictor of CVD risk in women.

BackgroundQuantitative Doppler echocardiography and proximal flow convergence methods are validated techniques for quantifying mitral regurgitation. However, the clinical interpretation of the values calculated is hindered by the absence of calibration of ranges of severity in large numbers of patients.Methods and ResultsIn 180 consecutive patients (men, 62%; mean age±SD, 66±11 years), the results of Doppler quantification of isolated mitral regurgitation were calibrated by use of left ventricular angiographic grading performed within 3 months in routine practice and without intervening events. The thresholds of the quantitative variables corresponding to the angiographic grades were identified by maximizing the sum of sensitivity and specificity and minimizing their difference. The mitral regurgitation grade by angiography was 2.7±1.3. The mean value and correlation with angiographic grades for effective regurgitant orifice were 43±37 mm andr=.79 (P<.0001); for regurgitant volume, 62±45 mL andr=.80 (P<.0001); and for regurgitant fraction, 45±17% andr=.78 (P<.0001). Despite some overlap, differences between mitral regurgitation grades were all significant (allP<.05). The thresholds for severe mitral regurgitation (grade 4) were 60 mL, 50%, and 40 mm2for regurgitant volume, regurgitant fraction, and orifice, respectively.ConclusionsIn routine practice in large numbers of patients in a clinical laboratory, Doppler echocardiographic quantification of mitral regurgitation shows highly significant correlation with qualitative angiographic grades. Despite an expected overlap between classes, the calibration by angiography of grading ranges for the quantitative variables provides a framework for their interpretation and allows the definition in clinical practice of thresholds for severe mitral regurgitation.

Background The use of exercise echocardiography for the diagnosis of coronary artery disease (CAD) has been validated in pilot studies but is not documented in clinical practice and in women comparatively with men. The objectives of this study were to determine the effects of sex and of test verification bias on the diagnostic performance of exercise echocardiography. Methods and Results Three thousand six hundred seventy-nine consecutive patients (1714 women, 1965 men) who underwent an exercise echocardiographic study were studied; the observed sensitivity, specificity, and correct classification rate were calculated among 340 patients (244 men, 96 women) who underwent angiography; to study the effect of test verification bias, sensitivity and specificity were estimated for all patients who underwent exercise echocardiography including those not referred to angiography. In the angiographic group, the prevalence of CAD was 60% in women and 80% in men. The observed sensitivity and specificity of exercise echocardiography was 78% and 44% in men and 79% and 37% in women. After adjustment for test verification bias, the estimated sensitivity was lower in women (32% versus 42% in men), whereas specificity was similar in both sexes. The positive predictive value was lower in women (66%) compared with men (84%). Conclusions In clinical practice, test verification bias results in a lower observed specificity and a higher sensitivity of exercise echocardiography. In women, positive predictive value and adjusted sensitivity are lower compared with that in men.

BackgroundAortic valve replacement for aortic stenosis (AS) carries an increased risk in the presence of left ventricular (LV) systolic dysfunction. Few data are available on the outcome of such patients.Methods and ResultsBetween 1985 and 1992, 154 consecutive patients (107 men and 47 women) with LV systolic dysfunction (ejection fraction [EF] ≤35%) underwent aortic valve replacement for AS. The mean preoperative characteristics included EF, 27±6%; aortic valve mean gradient, 44±18 mm Hg; aortic valve area, 0.6±0.2 cm2; and cardiac output, 4.1±1.5 L/min. Simultaneous coronary artery bypass graft surgery was performed in 78 patients (51%). Perioperative (30-day) mortality was 9% (14 of 154 patients). Fifty patients died during follow-up. Coronary artery disease (P=.002) and a reduced preoperative cardiac output (P=.03) were significantly related to reduced overall survival rate by multivariate analysis. Postoperative improvement occurred in most patients; 88% were New York Heart Association class III or IV before surgery versus 7% after surgery. Postoperative EF was assessed in 76% of survivors; 76% of these demonstrated improvement. By multivariate analysis, change in EF was inversely related to coronary disease (P=.002) and preoperative aortic valve area (P=.03).ConclusionsDespite LV dysfunction, the risk of aortic valve replacement for AS was acceptable and related to coronary artery disease and mean aortic gradient, and long-term survival was related to coronary disease and cardiac output. Improvement in symptoms and EF occurred in most patients.

BackgroundIndications for surgical correction of aortic regurgitation have been established mostly in men and have not been validated in women. The outcome of this surgical correction in women is unknown.Methods and ResultsBaseline characteristics and postoperative outcomes were compared between 51 women and 198 men undergoing surgery for isolated aortic regurgitation between 1980 and 1989. Compared with men, women had surgery rarely for severe left ventricular enlargement (systolic diameter ≥55 mm in 11% versus 27%,P=.031; diastolic diameter ≥80 mm in 0% versus 16%,P<.0001) and more often for class III to IV symptoms (59% versus 32%,P<.0001). Operative mortalities were similar in women and men (3.9% and 4.5%, respectively). Among operative survivors, 10-year survival was worse for women than for men (39±9% versus 72±4%,P=.0002) and, in contrast with men, was worse than expected for women (P<.0001). Independent predictors of late survival were different for men (age and ejection fraction) and women (age and concomitant coronary bypass grafting). By multivariate analysis, female sex was an independent predictor of worse late survival (adjusted relative risk, 1.80; 95% CI, 1.04 to 3.11).ConclusionsThe generalization to women of the unadjusted left ventricular diameter surgical criteria established in men results in irrelevant criteria almost never reached in women, who often undergo surgery after developing severe symptoms. After surgery, women exhibit an excess late mortality, suggesting that surgical correction of aortic regurgitation should be considered at an earlier stage in women.

Background In patients with mitral regurgitation, surgical intervention produces immediate improvement in symptoms, but the long-term incidence and significance of postoperative congestive heart failure are unknown. Methods and Results The long-term outcome of 576 operative survivors of surgical correction of pure mitral regurgitation performed between 1980 and 1989 was analyzed. Survival was 77±2% and 56±3% at 5 and 10 years, respectively. Cumulative incidence of congestive heart failure was 23±2%, 33±3%, and 37±3% at 5, 10, and 14 years, respectively. Survival after the first episode of congestive heart failure was dismal, 44±4% at 5 years. Cause of congestive heart failure was left ventricular dysfunction in two thirds of the patients and valvular dysfunction in the other third. With multivariate analysis, the independent predictors of postoperative heart failure were preoperative ejection fraction ( P =.0001), coronary artery disease ( P =.0017), and New York Heart Association functional class ( P =.012), with borderline value for atrial fibrillation ( P =.10). The performance of valve repair was independently predictive of a lower incidence of the combined end point of death and heart failure ( P =.001), compared with valve replacement. Conclusions Congestive heart failure frequently occurs late after surgical correction of mitral regurgitation and portends dismal prognosis. This complication is due most often to left ventricular dysfunction; its main determinant is decreased left ventricular function preoperatively. These data should lead to earlier indication of surgical correction of mitral regurgitation, before left ventricular dysfunction occurs.

BackgroundIn patients with mitral valve prolapse, spontaneous changes of the effective regurgitant orifice during systole are not well documented. Such changes can now be analyzed by use of the proximal isovelocity surface area method, but the changes raise concern about the reliability of this method for assessing overall severity of regurgitation in these patients.Methods and ResultsIn a prospective study of 42 patients with mitral valve prolapse, the effective mitral regurgitant orifice was calculated at four phases of systole (early, mid, mid-late, and late) as the ratio of regurgitant flow to regurgitant velocity by use of the proximal isovelocity surface area method. Throughout systole, the effective regurgitant orifice increased significantly, from 32±27 mm2in early systole to 41±27 in midsystole, 55±30 in mid-late systole, and 107±66 mm2during late systole (P<.0001). Phasic regurgitant volume increased from early to mid-late systole but decreased in late systole. For quantitation of the overall effective regurgitant orifice, four approaches using the proximal isovelocity surface area were compared with simultaneously performed quantitative Doppler echocardiography (54±30 mm2) and quantitative two-dimensional echocardiography (51±29 mm2). All correlations were good (r>.95), but overestimation was considerable when the largest flow convergence was used (70±39 mm2; bothP<.0001), significant when the simple mean of the four phases was used (59±36 mm2;P=.005 andP=.0007, respectively), mild when a weighted mean of the four phases was used (55±33 mm2;P=.41 andP=.01, respectively), and no overestimation was observed when the effective regurgitant orifice calculated at maximum regurgitant velocity was used (54±30 mm2;P=.29 andP=.17, respectively).ConclusionsPhasic changes of mitral regurgitation are observed in patients with mitral valve prolapse. The effective regurgitant orifice increases throughout systole. Regurgitant volume also increases initially but tends to decrease in late systole. These changes can lead to overestimation of the overall degree of regurgitation, but properly timed measurements made by use of the proximal isovelocity surface area method allow an accurate estimation of the overall effective regurgitant orifice.

BACKGROUND Dilated cardiomyopathy is an important cause of morbidity and mortality among patients with congestive heart failure. Hemodynamic and prognostic characterization are critical in guiding selection of medical and surgical therapies. METHODS AND RESULTS A cohort of 102 patients with the clinical diagnosis of dilated cardiomyopathy who underwent echocardiographic examination between 1986 and 1990 was identified and followed up through July 1, 1991. Patients with moderate or severe symptoms had lower indices of systolic function and greater left atrial and right ventricular dilation. Mitral inflow Doppler signals were characterized by a restrictive left ventricular filling pattern. In multivariate logistic regression analysis, deceleration time, ejection fraction, and peak E velocity were independently associated with symptom status. Over a mean follow-up of 36 months, 35 patients died. Kaplan-Meier estimated survival at 1, 2, and 4 years was 84%, 73%, and 61%, respectively, and was significantly poorer than that of an age- and sex-matched population. The subgroup with an ejection fraction < 0.25 and deceleration time < 130 milliseconds had a 2-year survival of only 35%. The subgroup with ejection fraction < 0.25 and deceleration time > 130 milliseconds had an intermediate 2-year survival of 72%, whereas patients with an ejection fraction > or = 0.25 had 2-year survivals > or = 95% regardless of deceleration time. In multivariate analysis, ejection fraction and systolic blood pressure were independently predictive of subsequent mortality. Mitral deceleration time was significant in univariate analysis. CONCLUSIONS In patients with the clinical diagnosis of dilated cardiomyopathy, markers of diastolic dysfunction correlated strongly with congestive symptoms, whereas variables of systolic function were the strongest predictors of survival. Consideration of both ejection fraction and deceleration time allowed identification of subgroups with divergent long-term prognoses.

BACKGROUND Left ventricular dysfunction is a frequent cause of death after successful surgical repair of mitral regurgitation. The role of preoperative echocardiographic left ventricular variables in the prediction of postoperative survival and thus their clinical implications remain uncertain. METHODS AND RESULTS The survival of 409 patients operated on between 1980 and 1989 for pure, isolated, organic mitral regurgitation and with a preoperative echocardiogram (within 6 months of operation) was analyzed. The overall survival was 75% at 5 years (90% of expected), 58% at 10 years (88% of expected), and 44% at 12 years (73% of expected). Operative mortality was 6.6% and markedly improved from 1980 to 1984 (10.7%) to 1985 to 1989 (3.7%). Multivariate analysis showed that age (P = .0003), date of operation (P = .003), and functional class (P = .016) but not left ventricular function were predictors of operative mortality. In the most recent period (1985 to 1989), operative mortality was 12.3% in patients age 75 years or older and 1.1% in patients younger than 75 years. Late survival was analyzed in the operative survivors. Multivariate analysis showed that the most powerful predictor was echocardiographic ejection fraction (EF) (P = .0004), followed by age (P = .0031), creatinine level (P = .0062), systolic blood pressure (P = .0164), and presence of coronary artery disease (P = .0237). The late survival at 10 years was 32 +/- 12% for patients with EF < 50%, 53 +/- 9% for EF 50% to 60%, and 72 +/- 4% for EF > or = 60%. The hazard ratio compared with EF > or = 60% was 2.79 (95% confidence interval, 1.65 to 4.72) for EF < 50% and 1.81 (95% confidence interval, 1.11 to 2.95) for EF 50% to 60%. Echocardiographic EF remained the best predictor of late survival, even when combined with left ventricular angiographic variables. The survival of patients with EF > or = 60% was 100% of expected at 10 years but was better in patients in class I or II than in those in class III or IV (82 +/- 6% versus 59 +/- 6%, respectively, at 10 years; P = .0021). The preoperative predictors of operative and late mortality remained significant independent of the type of surgical correction performed in combined multivariate analyses. CONCLUSIONS In organic mitral regurgitation, (1) operative mortality has markedly decreased recently, being at a low 1.1% in patients younger than 75 years, and is predicted by age and symptoms and not by left ventricular function, and (2) left ventricular EF measured by echocardiography is the most powerful predictor of late survival. These results suggest that surgical treatment should be considered early, even in the absence of severe symptoms, in patients with severe mitral regurgitation, before left ventricular dysfunction occurs.