Korja, Miikka

Importance Nontraumatic subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH) represents the third most common stroke type with unique etiologies, risk factors, diagnostics, and treatments. Nevertheless, epidemiological studies often cluster SAH with other stroke types leaving its distinct burden estimates obscure. Objective To estimate the worldwide burden of SAH. Design, Setting, and Participants Based on the repeated cross-sectional Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2021 study, the global burden of SAH in 1990 to 2021 was estimated. Moreover, the SAH burden was compared with other diseases, and its associations with 14 individual risk factors were investigated with available data in the GBD 2021 study. The GBD study included the burden estimates of nontraumatic SAH among all ages in 204 countries and territories between 1990 and 2021. Exposures SAH and 14 modifiable risk factors. Main Outcomes and Measures Absolute numbers and age-standardized rates with 95% uncertainty intervals (UIs) of SAH incidence, prevalence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) as well as risk factor–specific population attributable fractions (PAFs). Results In 2021, the global age-standardized SAH incidence was 8.3 (95% UI, 7.3-9.5), prevalence was 92.2 (95% UI, 84.1-100.6), mortality was 4.2 (95% UI, 3.7-4.8), and DALY rate was 125.2 (95% UI, 110.5-142.6) per 100 000 people. The highest burden estimates were found in Latin America, the Caribbean, Oceania, and high-income Asia Pacific. Although the absolute number of SAH cases increased, especially in regions with a low sociodemographic index, all age-standardized burden rates decreased between 1990 and 2021: the incidence by 28.8% (95% UI, 25.7%-31.6%), prevalence by 16.1% (95% UI, 14.8%-17.7%), mortality by 56.1% (95% UI, 40.7%-64.3%), and DALY rate by 54.6% (95% UI, 42.8%-61.9%). Of 300 diseases, SAH ranked as the 36th most common cause of death and 59th most common cause of DALY in the world. Of all worldwide SAH-related DALYs, 71.6% (95% UI, 63.8%-78.6%) were associated with the 14 modeled risk factors of which high systolic blood pressure (population attributable fraction [PAF] = 51.6%; 95% UI, 38.0%-62.6%) and smoking (PAF = 14.4%; 95% UI, 12.4%-16.5%) had the highest attribution. Conclusions and Relevance Although the global age-standardized burden rates of SAH more than halved over the last 3 decades, SAH remained one of the most common cardiovascular and neurological causes of death and disabilities in the world, with increasing absolute case numbers. These findings suggest evidence for the potential health benefits of proactive public health planning and resource allocation toward the prevention of SAH.

Objective: We previously derived the Unruptured Intracranial Aneurysm Treatment Score (UIATS), designed using a multidisciplinary consensus approach among neurovascular specialists from diverse geographic and practice backgrounds. Here, we report on the development and validation of the final version of UIATS. Method: An international, multidisciplinary (neurosurgery, neuroradiology, neurology, clinical epidemiology) group of 69 (39 panel members and 30 blinded external reviewers) specialists in the research and treatment of UIAs was convened. A web survey-based Delphi consensus process consisting of 7 rounds was utilized to rate numerous features of potential relevance in the assessment and treatment of UIAs and to develop the UIATS. Mean ratings were repeatedly used to determine statistical weight for each factor and then transformed into corresponding scores for every item to create the UIATS. For internal and blinded external validation, 30 representative cases of patients with UIAs were used to test the level of agreement (5 point Likert Scale) with treatment recommendations based on the UIATS. Results: The final UIATS system was designed in three domains (patient-, aneurysm - and treatment-related), comprising 13 different categories and 29 different features (Figure 1). Mean agreement based on Likert scores (5 indicating strong agreement and 1 indicating strong disagreement) was 4·2 for both reviewer cohorts, whereas mean agreement per case was 4·2 (panel members) and 4·5 (external reviewers) (p=0·017, Mann-Whitney-U Test). Conclusion: The final version of UIATS system was internally and externally validated by a large multidisciplinary group of neurovascular specialists, which suggests that the UIATS reflects contemporary decision-making regarding management of a patient with an UIA. The UIATS may aid clinicians in deciding on the appropriate management for an UIA.