Patel, Reshma

AbstractDespite advances in acute myeloid leukemia (AML) treatment, significant unmet medical needs remain. Surrogate end points for overall survival can accelerate the approval of novel therapies. Measurable residual disease (MRD) is a promising surrogate end point candidate, providing a sensitive and quantitative assessment of disease burden. Numerous studies have demonstrated that negative MRD status—across diverse methodologies, assessment timepoints and thresholds, patient subgroups, and clinical settings—independently predicts improved survival. Although MRD can inform therapeutic decisions at the patient level, its formal integration as a primary surrogate end point in regulatory frameworks for clinical trials requires rigorous validation. MRD Partnership and Alliance in AML Clinical Treatment (MPAACT) is a research consortium among industry and academic leaders. MPAACT actively engages with regulatory agencies, health technology assessment bodies, technology vendors, and patient groups to establish a pathway for validating MRD as a surrogate end point in AML clinical trials. For the current article, the authors reviewed the status of MRD assessment, its use in recent clinical trials, current MRD assessment methodologies, standardization, regulatory guidance, statistical approaches, and patient access considerations necessary for MRD to become a surrogate clinical trial end point. The extensive collaboration between MPAACT, global industry, and academic partners—including data sharing and resource integration—underscores the collective commitment to advancing AML therapies. Establishing MRD as a surrogate end point could accelerate the development and approval of innovative treatments, ultimately improving patient outcomes.

PURPOSE Newly approved drugs and combinations treating multiple myeloma (MM) have resulted in substantial improvements in patients' survival. To deliver rapid access to newer therapies, an earlier end point to expedite clinical trials is needed. Our objective was to evaluate the minimal residual disease–negative complete response (MRD-CR) as an intermediate end point for progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) in newly diagnosed (ND) transplant-eligible (NDTE) patients, ND transplant-ineligible (NDTinE) patients, and patients with relapsed/refractory (RR) MM. PATIENTS AND METHODS Individual patient data from 20 randomized multicenter trials were collected. Eleven studies (4,773 patients) with sufficient data were analyzed to evaluate whether 9- or 12-month MRD-CR classified at a 10 –5 threshold could be reasonably likely to predict the clinical benefit of new agents regarding PFS and OS. Global odds ratio (OR) was estimated using the bivariate Plackett Copula model. Supportive evaluation included correlations of the treatment effects on MRD-CR end points and PFS/OS, evaluated by both linear regression ( R 2 weighted least squared ) and Copula ( R 2 Copula ) models. RESULTS The analysis demonstrated that both 9- and 12-month MRD-CR strongly correlated with PFS at patient level in NDTE patients, NDTinE patients, and patients with RRMM. Global ORs ranged from 3.06 to 16.24, all with 95% CIs excluding 1.0. Encouraging trial-level correlations ( R 2 , 0.61-0.70) were observed by pooling three populations and were stronger ( R 2 , 0.67-0.78) in the ND population. Similar results were observed for OS. CONCLUSION Our findings provided the support for use of MRD-CR classified at a 10 –5 threshold at either 9 or 12 months after starting of the treatment, as an intermediate end point to support accelerated approvals, in future trials in NDTE patients, NDTinE patients, and patients with RRMM.

AbstractThe development of novel agents has transformed the treatment paradigm for multiple myeloma, with minimal residual disease (MRD) negativity now achievable across the entire disease spectrum. Bone marrow–based technologies to assess MRD, including approaches using next-generation flow and next-generation sequencing, have provided real-time clinical tools for the sensitive detection and monitoring of MRD in patients with multiple myeloma. Complementary liquid biopsy–based assays are now quickly progressing with some, such as mass spectrometry methods, being very close to clinical use, while others utilizing nucleic acid–based technologies are still developing and will prove important to further our understanding of the biology of MRD. On the regulatory front, multiple retrospective individual patient and clinical trial level meta-analyses have already shown and will continue to assess the potential of MRD as a surrogate for patient outcome. Given all this progress, it is not surprising that a number of clinicians are now considering using MRD to inform real-world clinical care of patients across the spectrum from smoldering myeloma to relapsed refractory multiple myeloma, with each disease setting presenting key challenges and questions that will need to be addressed through clinical trials. The pace of advances in targeted and immune therapies in multiple myeloma is unprecedented, and novel MRD-driven biomarker strategies are essential to accelerate innovative clinical trials leading to regulatory approval of novel treatments and continued improvement in patient outcomes.