Importance TMEM106B is a frontotemporal lobar degeneration (FTLD) genetic susceptibility factor, and TMEM106B protein aggregates are a feature of aging and neurodegeneration. Whether TMEM106B protein levels are associated with clinical features is unknown. Objective To investigate the clinical associations of cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) TMEM106B in FTLD. Design, Setting, and Participants This cross-sectional study was conducted in 2 independent frontotemporal dementia (FTD) cohorts (recruitment from April 2009 through July 2023, with analyses from January 2025 through April 2026), with a 2-year follow up. This multicenter clinical study integrated clinical, genetic, biomarker, and neuroimaging data. Individuals were recruited through the University of California, San Francisco (n = 3733), or ALLFTD (n = 2343). Participants with available CSF were included. A discovery cohort (n = 271) included participants with sporadic neuropathology-confirmed FTLD; presymptomatic or symptomatic carriers of pathogenic variants in C9orf72 , GRN , or MAPT ; or controls. An independent validation cohort (n = 383) included participants with clinically diagnosed sporadic FTD, Alzheimer disease (AD), and controls. Exposures CSF samples for TMEM106B quantification with aptamer proteomics (SomaScan version 3.0 [discovery cohort] and SomaScan version 4.1 [validation cohort]). Main Outcomes and Measures Parametric tests compared the primary outcome, CSF TMEM106B, by disease severity, TMEM106B rs1990622 genotype, sex, clinical syndrome, pathological diagnosis, and pathogenic variant and determined associations with brain volume. Results In the discovery (n = 271; 136 women [51%]; median [IQR] age, 59 [38-80] years) and validation (n = 383; 183 women [48%]; median [IQR] age, 64 [50-78] years) cohorts, lower CSF TMEM106B was associated with more severe disease (β, −0.15; 95% CI, −0.24 to −0.04; P = .003), lower frontotemporal brain volumes (β, 0.42; 95% CI, 0.24-0.61; P < .001), and faster clinical progression (β, −2.21; 95% CI, −3.70 to −0.72; P = .001). Associations of TMEM106B with clinical disease severity were independent of those with neurofilament light chain. TMEM106B levels were influenced by TMEM106B rs1990622 genotype, where individuals with the protective G/G genotype had lower levels than the risk A/A genotype. CSF TMEM106B levels did not differentiate between FTLD subtypes or between FTLD and AD. Conclusions and Relevance Per the results of this cross-sectional study, TMEM106B is detectable in CSF and levels reflect disease severity in sporadic and genetic FTLD and AD, but levels are also influenced by the TMEM106B rs1990622 genotype. CSF TMEM106B could support further studies to understand the mechanisms of disease and develop clinical tools in FTLD and other neurodegenerative diseases.
Individualized Atrophy‐Based Prediction of Dementia Progression in Familial Frontotemporal Lobar Degeneration With Bayesian Linear Mixed‐Effects Modeling
Annals of Neurology | January 29, 2026 | Volume: 99 | Issue: 5 | Pages: 1315-1326
Objective Age of symptom onset is highly variable in familial frontotemporal lobar degeneration (f‐FTLD). Accurate prediction of onset would inform clinical management and trial enrollment. Prior studies indicate that individualized maps of brain atrophy can predict conversion to dementia in f‐FTLD. We used a Bayesian linear mixed‐effect (BLME) prediction method for identifying accelerated brain volume loss to predict conversion to dementia. Methods Participants included 234 asymptomatic or prodromal carriers of C9orf72 , GRN , or MAPT mutations (including 21 dementia converters) with ≥3 longitudinal magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) T1‐weighted scans. The BLME models established individual voxel‐wise gray matter trajectories using the first 2 scans. Person‐specific clusters of accelerated volume loss were estimated in subsequent scans and tested as predictors of dementia conversion compared with other approaches in time‐varying Cox proportional hazard models covarying for age. Receiver‐operating characteristic (ROC) curves estimated utility of cluster volume in discriminating which participants converted to dementia within 24 months. Results The BLME cluster volume predicted conversion to dementia in f‐FTLD mutation carriers overall and separately in C9orf72 , GRN , and MAPT , with comparable hazard ratios observed for atrophy W‐maps and regional volumes. Within a 24‐month timeframe, BLME cluster volume discriminated dementia converters from non‐converters with larger areas under the curve (AUCs) than other approaches. Interpretation Bayesian‐modeled individualized atrophy scores predict dementia progression among asymptomatic f‐FTLD mutation carriers and may have increased utility compared with other structural imaging methods when studying individuals over shorter timeframes that align with clinical trial design. ANN NEUROL 20269999:n/a–n/a
Gene-Specific Effects on Brain Volume and Cognition of
TMEM106B
in Frontotemporal Lobar Degeneration
Neurology | September 25, 2024 | Volume: 103 | Issue: 8 | Pages: No page available
ImportanceFrontotemporal lobar degeneration (FTLD) is relatively rare, behavioral and motor symptoms increase travel burden, and standard neuropsychological tests are not sensitive to early-stage disease. Remote smartphone-based cognitive assessments could mitigate these barriers to trial recruitment and success, but no such tools are validated for FTLD.ObjectiveTo evaluate the reliability and validity of smartphone-based cognitive measures for remote FTLD evaluations.Design, Setting, and ParticipantsIn this cohort study conducted from January 10, 2019, to July 31, 2023, controls and participants with FTLD performed smartphone application (app)–based executive functioning tasks and an associative memory task 3 times over 2 weeks. Observational research participants were enrolled through 18 centers of a North American FTLD research consortium (ALLFTD) and were asked to complete the tests remotely using their own smartphones. Of 1163 eligible individuals (enrolled in parent studies), 360 were enrolled in the present study; 364 refused and 439 were excluded. Participants were divided into discovery (n = 258) and validation (n = 102) cohorts. Among 329 participants with data available on disease stage, 195 were asymptomatic or had preclinical FTLD (59.3%), 66 had prodromal FTLD (20.1%), and 68 had symptomatic FTLD (20.7%) with a range of clinical syndromes.ExposureParticipants completed standard in-clinic measures and remotely administered ALLFTD mobile app (app) smartphone tests.Main Outcomes and MeasuresInternal consistency, test-retest reliability, association of smartphone tests with criterion standard clinical measures, and diagnostic accuracy.ResultsIn the 360 participants (mean [SD] age, 54.0 [15.4] years; 209 [58.1%] women), smartphone tests showed moderate-to-excellent reliability (intraclass correlation coefficients, 0.77-0.95). Validity was supported by association of smartphones tests with disease severity (r range, 0.38-0.59), criterion-standard neuropsychological tests (r range, 0.40-0.66), and brain volume (standardized β range, 0.34-0.50). Smartphone tests accurately differentiated individuals with dementia from controls (area under the curve [AUC], 0.93 [95% CI, 0.90-0.96]) and were more sensitive to early symptoms (AUC, 0.82 [95% CI, 0.76-0.88]) than the Montreal Cognitive Assessment (AUC, 0.68 [95% CI, 0.59-0.78]) (z of comparison, −2.49 [95% CI, −0.19 to −0.02]; P = .01). Reliability and validity findings were highly similar in the discovery and validation cohorts. Preclinical participants who carried pathogenic variants performed significantly worse than noncarrier family controls on 3 app tasks (eg, 2-back β = −0.49 [95% CI, −0.72 to −0.25]; P < .001) but not a composite of traditional neuropsychological measures (β = −0.14 [95% CI, −0.42 to 0.14]; P = .32).Conclusions and RelevanceThe findings of this cohort study suggest that smartphones could offer a feasible, reliable, valid, and scalable solution for remote evaluations of FTLD and may improve early detection. Smartphone assessments should be considered as a complementary approach to traditional in-person trial designs. Future research should validate these results in diverse populations and evaluate the utility of these tests for longitudinal monitoring.
Global platform trial design for tau (MAPT) mutation carriers
Alzheimer's & Dementia | December 25, 2023 | Volume: 19 | Issue: S18 | Pages: No page available
AbstractBackgroundPathogenic mutations in the MAPT (tau) gene cause familial frontotemporal lobar degeneration (f‐FTLD). No disease‐modifying treatments exist. Tau therapeutics being tested in other tauopathies may be suitable candidates, but the small number of identified mutation carriers prohibits traditional clinical trial designs from achieving adequate power. Platform trial designs permit multiple therapies to be tested in parallel and improve power by sharing placebo groups across treatment arms. We evaluate whether a platform design could improve the likelihood of identifying an effective treatment for MAPT mutation carriers.MethodALLFTD and GENFI observational data were used to simulate MAPT prevention and early symptomatic clinical trials (CDR®+NACC‐FTLD≤1). Only presymptomatic participants (CDR®+NACC‐FTLD = 0) within 2.5 years of expected symptom onset based on disease progression models (DPM) were included. First, we evaluated the time and sample size required to test five treatments using a platform design compared to sequential randomized control trials. Platform designs assumed a max of three treatment arms at any time, with new arms enrolling upon completion of prior arms. Each arm randomized 60 mutations carriers 3:1 treatment to placebo, with a placebo group shared across arms. Minimum follow up was 1.5 years with common close. Sequential trials assumed 90 participants allocated 1:1 treatment to placebo, with three‐month intervals between trials. Using a platform design, we compared a novel method for testing therapeutic effects using DPMs to account for differential rates of expected progression compared to traditional mixed models for repeated measures (MMRM) tests controlling for baseline CDR®+NACC‐FTLD.ResultFive treatments could be tested in a platform design using 300 participants (75% treated) over five years, compared to 450 participants (50% treated) over 13 years using traditional, sequential trials. Platform trial simulations indicated that with 80% power, DPM‐based analytic approach could detect a 25% treatment effect, whereas traditional MMRM could only detect a 40% effect.ConclusionPlatform designs combined with DPM‐based analyses provide a path to testing more treatments with fewer participants. Adequately powered MAPT platform trials are feasible but require a global clinical trial infrastructure.
AbstractBackgroundClinical trials are underway to treat familial frontotemporal lobar degeneration (f‐FTLD). This is a rare disease, and a limited number of mutation carriers have been identified; thus, efficient trial design is critical. Multimodal, latent disease progression models (DPM) can estimate time to symptom onset and define the temporal ordering of biomarker changes. DPMs can also be leveraged to select endpoints and potentially supplement analyses by integrating historical data. Recent draft FDA guidance for gene therapy trials in neurological disease supports these novel approaches to clinical trials.MethodParticipants included 1,049 members of families affected by f‐FTLD, due to mutations in GRN, MAPT, or C9orf72 genes, who were enrolled in ALLFTD or GENFI. A Bayesian repeated measures model incorporated multimodal data to estimate disease progression, conditional on latent disease age (proximity to symptom onset), in 677 mutations carriers (GRN (n=233), MAPT (n=151) and C9orf72 (n=293)). Family members without pathogenic mutations were used as the reference group. Mean follow‐up was 1.1 (SD=1.1) years. Jointly modeled longitudinal variables included neuropsychological scores, CDR®+NACC‐FTLD Box Score, MRI volumes of brain regions affected by f‐FTLD, and plasma levels of neurofilament light chain (NfL).ResultDisease progression curves were similar across ALLFTD and GENFI cohorts. Plasma NfL elevations occurred earliest, up to 10 years before symptom onset, and NfL was the most powerful endpoint in the asymptomatic stage. MRI abnormalities occurred next, closer to symptom onset. The earliest MRI changes relative to symptom onset were observed in C9orf72+. GRN mutation carriers showed the most rapid acceleration in all biomarkers, and this acceleration occurred in close proximity to symptom onset. Neuropsychological measures and CDR®+NACC‐FTLD Box Score were among the most promising endpoints in the symptomatic stage. Trial simulations indicated that using latent disease age as an enrollment criterion would allow some asymptomatic mutation carriers to be enrolled without sacrificing power.ConclusionSimilarity in disease progression across ALLFTD and GENFI participants suggests these models will apply to international trials. Model‐derived estimates of disease progression curves indicate that endpoint selection should be specific to disease stage and mutation, and DPMs would facilitate greater participant enrollment.
Pattern and degree of individual brain atrophy predicts dementia onset in dominantly inherited Alzheimer's disease
Alzheimer's & Dementia: Diagnosis, Assessment & Disease Monitoring | July 5, 2021 | Volume: 13 | Issue: 1 | Pages: No page available
Abstract Introduction Asymptomatic and mildly symptomatic dominantly inherited Alzheimer's disease mutation carriers (DIAD‐MC) are ideal candidates for preventative treatment trials aimed at delaying or preventing dementia onset. Brain atrophy is an early feature of DIAD‐MC and could help predict risk for dementia during trial enrollment. Methods We created a dementia risk score by entering standardized gray‐matter volumes from 231 DIAD‐MC into a logistic regression to classify participants with and without dementia. The score's predictive utility was assessed using Cox models and receiver operating curves on a separate group of 65 DIAD‐MC followed longitudinally. Results Our risk score separated asymptomatic versus demented DIAD‐MC with 96.4% (standard error = 0.02) and predicted conversion to dementia at next visit (hazard ratio = 1.32, 95% confidence interval [CI: 1.15, 1.49]) and within 2 years (area under the curve = 90.3%, 95% CI [82.3%–98.2%]) and improved prediction beyond established methods based on familial age of onset. Discussion Individualized risk scores based on brain atrophy could be useful for establishing enrollment criteria and stratifying DIAD‐MC participants for prevention trials.
The evolution of brain atrophy across the disease spectrum of familial frontotemporal dementia
Alzheimer's & Dementia | December 7, 2020 | Volume: 16 | Issue: S4 | Pages: No page available
AbstractBackgroundFamilial frontotemporal dementia (f‐FTLD) is typically caused by mutations in one of three genes: microtubule‐associated protein tau (MAPT), progranulin (GRN), and a repeat expansion in the chromosome 9 open reading frame 72 (C9orf72) gene. Accurate characterization of the natural history of each mutation is important for clinical prognostication and clinical trial design, and it could shed light on disease biology. Such models have not been thoroughly developed using participants that represent all disease stages, with longitudinal data. We characterized the trajectory of atrophy in each gene by using longitudinal voxel‐wise analyses of gray matter volume, and we assessed whether functional independence declined in tandem.MethodF‐FTLD participants (n=100) with a known mutation (MAPT+ (n=28), GRN+ (n=33), C9orf72+ (n=39)) were grouped according to disease stage (CDR®+NACC FTLD module). We included participants with at least two structural MRIs at a given disease stage: presymptomatic (CDR®+NACC‐FTLD=0, n=57), mild/questionable (CDR®+NACC‐FTLD=0.5, n=15), and symptomatic (CDR®+NACC‐FTLD ≥1, n=28). We fitted longitudinal linear mixed effects models to extract mean atrophy rates in each lobe compared to longitudinal imaging from family members without mutations (n=60). All results presented below were significant at p<.001.ResultUsing the left frontal lobe as an exemplar, in the presymptomatic stage, MAPT mutation carriers showed the greatest rate of atrophy compared to controls (88 mm3/year more volume loss than controls), followed by GRN+ (65 mm3/year) and then C9orf72+ (49 mm3/year). In the mild/questionable stage, MAPT+ showed a greater divergence from controls (374 mm3/year) than did GRN+ (107 mm3/year) or C9orf72+ (223 mm3/year). In the symptomatic stage, MAPT+ again lost volume at the fastest rate (2,099 mm3/year), followed by GRN+ (1,360 mm3/year). C9orf72 expansion carriers showed a much slower rate of volume loss (115 mm3/year). Similar patterns were observed for other brain regions. In contrast to the imaging results, C9orf72+ exhibited similar rates of functional decline compared to GRN+ and MAPT+ at all levels of disease severity.ConclusionThe primary f‐FTLD genes show divergent atrophy trajectories as a function of disease stage, with C9orf72 expansion carriers exhibiting a slow degeneration throughout the disease course, possibly due to unique pathophysiological mechanisms.
Rates of Brain Atrophy Across Disease Stages in Familial Frontotemporal Dementia Associated With
MAPT
,
GRN
, and
C9orf72
JAMA Network Open | October 28, 2020 | Volume: 3 | Issue: 10 | Pages: e2022847