Raghavan, Sheelakumari

Abstract There is increasing interest in Alzheimer’s disease related plasma biomarkers due to their accessibility and scalability. We hypothesized that integrating plasma biomarkers with other commonly used and available participant data (MRI, cardiovascular factors, lifestyle, genetics) using machine learning (ML) models can improve individual prediction of cognitive outcomes. Further, our goal was to evaluate the heterogeneity of these predictors across different age strata. This longitudinal study included 1185 participants from the Mayo Clinic Study of Aging who had complete plasma analyte work-up at baseline. We used the Quanterix Simoa immunoassay to measure neurofilament light, Aβ1–42 and Aβ1–40 (used as Aβ42/Aβ40 ratio), glial fibrillary acidic protein, and phosphorylated tau 181 (p-tau181). Participants’ brain health was evaluated through gray and white matter structural MRIs. The study also considered cardiovascular factors (hyperlipidemia, hypertension, stroke, diabetes, chronic kidney disease), lifestyle factors (area deprivation index, body mass index, cognitive and physical activities), and genetic factors (APOE, single nucleotide polymorphisms, and polygenic risk scores). An ML model was developed to predict cognitive outcomes at baseline and decline (slope). Three models were created: a base model with groups of risk factors as predictors, an enhanced model included socio-demographics, and a final enhanced model by incorporating plasma and socio-demographics into the base models. Models were explained for three age strata: younger than 65 years, 65–80 years, and older than 80 years, and further divided based on amyloid positivity status. Regardless of amyloid status the plasma biomarkers showed comparable performance (R² = 0.15) to MRI (R² = 0.18) and cardiovascular measures (R² = 0.10) when predicting cognitive decline. Inclusion of cardiovascular or MRI measures with plasma in the presence of socio-demographic improved cognitive decline prediction (R² = 0.26 and 0.27). For amyloid positive individuals Aβ42/Aβ40, glial fibrillary acidic protein and p-tau181 were the top predictors of cognitive decline while Aβ42/Aβ40 was prominent for amyloid negative participants across all age groups. Socio-demographics explained a large portion of the variance in the amyloid negative individuals while the plasma biomarkers predominantly explained the variance in amyloid positive individuals (21% to 37% from the younger to the older age group). Plasma biomarkers performed similarly to MRI and cardiovascular measures when predicting cognitive outcomes and combining them with either measure resulted in better performance. Top predictors were heterogeneous between cross-sectional and longitudinal cognition models, across age groups, and amyloid status. Multimodal approaches will enhance the usefulness of plasma biomarkers through careful considerations of a study population’s socio-demographics, brain and cardiovascular health.

AbstractINTRODUCTIONAge‐related and Alzheimer's disease (AD) dementia–related neurodegeneration impact brain health. While morphometric measures from T1‐weighted scans are established biomarkers, they may be less sensitive to earlier changes. Neurite orientation dispersion and density imaging (NODDI), offering biologically meaningful interpretation of tissue microstructure, may be an advanced brain health biomarker.METHODSWe contrasted regional gray matter NODDI and morphometric evaluations concerning their correlation with (1) age, (2) clinical diagnosis stage, and (3) tau pathology as assessed by AV1451 positron emission tomography.RESULTSOur study hypothesizes that NODDI measures are more sensitive to aging and early AD changes than morphometric measures. One NODDI output, free water fraction (FWF), showed higher sensitivity to age‐related changes, generally better effect sizes in separating mild cognitively impaired from cognitively unimpaired participants, and stronger associations with regional tau deposition than morphometric measures.DISCUSSIONThese findings underscore NODDI's utility in capturing early neurodegenerative changes and enhancing our understanding of aging and AD.Highlights Neurite orientation dispersion and density imaging can serve as an effective brain health biomarker for aging and early Alzheimer's disease (AD). Free water fraction has higher sensitivity to normal brain aging. Free water fraction has stronger associations with early AD and regional tau deposition.

Abstract Sex and gender—biological and social constructs—significantly impact the prevalence of protective and risk factors, influencing the burden of Alzheimer's disease (AD; amyloid beta and tau) and other pathologies (e.g., cerebrovascular disease) which ultimately shape cognitive trajectories. Understanding the interplay of these factors is central to understanding resilience and resistance mechanisms explaining maintained cognitive function and reduced pathology accumulation in aging and AD. In this narrative review, the ADDRESS! Special Interest Group (Alzheimer's Association) adopted a multidisciplinary approach to provide the foundations and recommendations for future research into sex‐ and gender‐specific drivers of resilience, including a sex/gender‐oriented review of risk factors, genetics, AD and non‐AD pathologies, brain structure and function, and animal research. We urge the field to adopt a sex/gender‐aware approach to resilience to advance our understanding of the intricate interplay of biological and social determinants and consider sex/gender‐specific resilience throughout disease stages. Highlights Sex differences in resilience to cognitive decline vary by age and cognitive status. Initial evidence supports sex‐specific distinctions in brain pathology. Findings suggest sex differences in the impact of pathology on cognition. There is a sex‐specific change in resilience in the transition to clinical stages. Gender and sex factors warrant study: modifiable, immune, inflammatory, and vascular.

Abstract Background White matter (WM) abnormalities have been implicated in clinically relevant functional decline in multiple system atrophy (MSA). Objective To identify the WM and gray matter (GM) abnormalities in MSA and assess the utility of longitudinal structural and diffusion changes as surrogate markers for tracking disease progression in MSA. Methods Twenty‐seven participants with early MSA [15 with clinically predominant cerebellar (MSA‐C) and 12 with clinically predominant parkinsonian features (MSA‐P)] and 14 controls were enrolled as a part of our prospective, longitudinal study of synucleinopathies. Using structural magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) and diffusion MRI (diffusion tensor and neurite orientation and dispersion density imaging), we analyzed whole and regional brain changes in these participants. We also evaluated temporal imaging trajectories based on up to three annual follow‐up scans and assessed the impact of baseline diagnosis on these imaging biomarkers using mixed‐effect models. Results MSA patients exhibited more widespread WM changes than GM, particularly in the cerebellum and brainstem, with greater severity in MSA‐C. Structural and diffusion measures in the cerebellum WM and brainstem deteriorated with disease progression. Rates of progression of these abnormalities were similar in both MSA subtypes, reflecting increasing overlap of clinical features over time. Conclusion WM abnormalities are core features of MSA disease progression and advance at similar rates in clinical MSA subtypes. Multimodal MRI imaging reveals novel insights into the distribution and pattern of brain abnormalities and their progression in MSA. Selected structural and diffusion measures may be useful for tracking disease progression in MSA clinical trials.

AbstractINTRODUCTIONFemale‐specific reproductive factors and exogeneous estrogen use are associated with cognition in later life. However, the underlying mechanisms are not understood. The present study aimed to investigate the effect of reproductive factors on neuroimaging biomarkers of Alzheimer's disease (AD) and cerebrovascular pathologies.METHODSWe evaluated 389 females (median age of 71.7 years) enrolled in the Mayo Clinic Study of Aging with reproductive history data and longitudinal magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) scans. We used linear mixed effect models to examine the associations between reproductive factors and changes in neuroimaging measures.RESULTSEver hormonal contraception (HC) use was longitudinally associated with higher fractional anisotropy across the corpus callosum, lower white matter hyperintensity (WMH) volume, and greater cortical thickness in an AD meta‐region of interest (ROI). The initiation of menopausal hormone therapy (MHT) > 5 years post menopause was associated with higher WMH volume.DISCUSSIONHC use and initiation of MHT >5 years post menopause were generally associated with neuroimaging biomarkers of cerebrovascular pathologies.Highlights Hormonal contraception use was associated with better brain white matter (WM) integrity. Initiation of menopausal hormone therapy >5 years post menopause was associated with worsening brain WM integrity. Hormonal contraception use was associated with greater cortical thickness. Ages at menarche and menopause and number of pregnancies were not associated with imaging measures. There were few associations between reproductive factors or exogenous estrogens and amyloid or tau PET.

Abstract Background White matter hyperintensities (WMH) are considered hallmark features of cerebral small vessel disease and have recently been linked to Alzheimer’s disease pathology. Their distinct spatial distributions, namely periventricular versus deep WMH, may differ by underlying age-related and pathobiological processes contributing to cognitive decline. We aimed to identify the spatial patterns of WMH using the 4-scale Fazekas visual assessment and explore their differential association with age, vascular health, Alzheimer’s imaging markers, namely amyloid and tau burden, and cognition. Because our study consisted of scans from GE and Siemens scanners with different resolutions, we also investigated inter-scanner reproducibility and combinability of WMH measurements on imaging. Methods We identified 1144 participants from the Mayo Clinic Study of Aging consisting of older adults from Olmsted County, Minnesota with available structural magnetic resonance imaging (MRI), amyloid, and tau positron emission tomography (PET). WMH distribution patterns were assessed on FLAIR-MRI, both 2D axial and 3D, using Fazekas ratings of periventricular and deep WMH severity. We compared the association of periventricular and deep WMH scales with vascular risk factors, amyloid-PET and tau-PET standardized uptake value ratio, WMH volume, and cognition using Pearson partial correlation after adjusting for age. We also evaluated vendor compatibility and reproducibility of the Fazekas scales using intraclass correlations (ICC). Results Periventricular and deep WMH measurements showed similar correlations with age, cardiometabolic conditions score (vascular risk), and cognition, (p < 0.001). Both periventricular WMH and deep WMH showed weak associations with amyloidosis (R = 0.07, p = < 0.001), and none with tau burden. We found substantial agreement between data from the two scanners for Fazekas measurements (ICC = 0.78). The automated WMH volume had high discriminating power for identifying participants with Fazekas ≥ 2 (area under curve = 0.97). Conclusion Our study investigates risk factors underlying WMH spatial patterns and their impact on global cognition, with no discernible differences between periventricular and deep WMH. We observed minimal impact of amyloidosis on WMH severity. These findings, coupled with enhanced inter-scanner reproducibility of WMH data, suggest the combinability of inter-scanner data assessed by harmonized protocols in the context of vascular contributions to cognitive impairment and dementia biomarker research.

AbstractBackgroundThe mapping between risk factors and biomarkers with cognitive performance and decline in the older adults is complex and varies significantly across different age and sex groups. Our goals were to (i) develop a machine learning (ML) model to predict baseline cognition and cognitive decline over a 5‐year follow‐up using only baseline assessments, and (ii) identify important modifiable and non‐modifiable predictors of cognitive decline across different age strata.MethodWe utilized longitudinal data from 2219 participants (mean age (SD): 70 (12) years, 49% male) from Mayo Clinic Study of Aging who had 43 features belonging to cardiovascular health, plasma, MRI (diffusion and structural), and lifestyle measures. Cognition was measured using a global cognition z‐score. We built ML models to predict baseline cognition and rate of cognitive decline over 5‐years (linear regression slopes over all individual followup measurements for each participant) using baseline assessments as inputs. We then built a model for each category separately and as a pooled model with all measures included, incorporating education and sex as demographic features in all models (Fig. 1). We applied a multi‐layer stack ensemble ML technique that utilized repeated k‐fold bagging to maximize accuracy. Importance of the top predictors were assessed in three age strata (55‐65 years (31%), 65‐80 years (46%), 80‐95 years (23%)).ResultThe pooled model explained the largest variance for prediction of baseline cognition and cognitive decline (Fig. 2). In individuals ≤80 years, lower NfL was most predictive of higher baseline cognition. A combination of imaging and plasma features predicted the 5‐year cognitive decline. Additionally, in individuals ≤65 years, diabetes and hypertension were important predictors of faster cognitive decline and in those >80, lower BMI and midlife physical/cognitive activity was an important predictor of faster cognitive decline (Fig. 3).ConclusionThe plasma model was best for baseline cognition prediction and imaging model was best for cognitive decline prediction. There was significant heterogeneity in important features across the age strata. In individuals >65 years, plasma GFAP was the most important predictor of cognitive decline. Our model allowed identification of key risk factors that predicted cognitive decline.

AbstractBackgroundSmall vessel disease (SVD) is a common vascular contributor to cognitive impairment and dementia. In this work, we evaluated and compared non‐imaging measures that can predict variability in SVD related white matter (WM) damage in a population‐based sample.MethodWe identified 752 participants in the population‐based sample of Mayo Clinic Study of Aging (≥50 years of age), who had at least 2 diffusion tensor imaging (DTI) scans and white matter hyperintensity (WMH) assessments along with baseline demographics, systemic vascular health, lifestyle, motor impairment, behavioral symptoms, and plasma markers (Summarized in Figure 1). We computed the WM markers of SVD: fractional anisotropy of genu of the corpus callosum (Genu‐FA) representative of early WM changes, WMH representative of late WM changes, and Vascular WM score (combination of Genu‐FA and WMH). Using all available data, we fit linear mixed effect models and evaluated predictors of WM markers by considering each category of features independently (with demographics) as well as by combining all categories of featuresResultPlasma, gait, systemic vascular, and life‐style measures were significant predictors of all three WM markers of SVD (Figure 2). The predictors of early and late WM slightly differed such that there were no additional significant contributions from behavioral and plasma measures to Genu‐FA. In the final composite models shown in Table 1, higher gait speed, lower number of cardiovascular and metabolic conditions (CMC) and lower Unified Parkinson’s disease rating scale scores were associated with better Genu‐FA whereas higher CMC, Beck Anxiety Inventory scores (BAI), and glial acidic protein (GFAP) levels were associated with higher burden of WMH.ConclusionOur observations evaluated the non‐imaging markers of greater WM damage that are relevant to vascular contributions to cognitive impairment to dementia (VCID). We found that in addition to higher vascular risk, worse plasma GFAP, gait measures, and BAI scores were predictors of greater WM damage. Some non‐imaging markers were more associated with early WM changes and others with late WM changes.

AbstractBackgroundNeurite orientation dispersion and density imaging (NODDI) measures from diffusion MRI provide information about tissue microstructure. Our goal was to compare the sensitivity of NODDI to structural MRI (sMRI) in capturing neurodegenerative changes in the gray matter due to aging and dementia.MethodWe included 815 participants [644 cognitively unimpaired (CU), 103 MCI, 68 AD] from the Mayo Clinic Study of Aging (MCSA) and Mayo ADRC with sMRI and multi‐shell diffusion MRI. We assessed gray matter volumes scaled by head size and cortical thicknesses from sMRI and neurite density index (NDI) and isotropic volume fraction (ISOVF) from NODDI. Pairwise Spearman correlations were calculated between imaging measures and Tau‐PET SUVRs in Braak I‐II, III‐IV, and V‐VI regions of interest (ROI) in participants ≥ 60 years. Separate multivariable linear regression models were fit for the prediction of brain age using sMRI and NODDI in 515 CU participants. The predicted age gaps were calculated as chronological age minus predicted age in the remaining participants. We compared age gaps computed by sMRI and NODDI using disease surrogates (APOE4 genotype, AD pathologies via PET, WMH via FLAIR‐MRI, vascular risk, cognition via MMSE).ResultBraak ROIs, sMRI, and NODDI measures were correlated. The correlations between ISOVF and Tau‐PET SUVRs were stronger than correlations between NDI, volume, and thickness and Tau‐PET SUVR (Fig.1). MMSE was more associated with ISOVF than Tau‐PET and other imaging measures. The sMRI regression models had a higher mean absolute error (MAE) of 4.13 years than NODDI models with an MAE of 4.02 years. The NODDI model better predicted age gap separation between CU, MCI, and AD compared to the sMRI model (Fig.2). The NODDI predicted age gap showed stronger correlations with global amyloid‐PET SUVR, meta‐ROI Tau‐PET SUVR, CMC, APOE4, and MMSE (Fig. 3).ConclusionNODDI, especially ISOVF, had stronger correlations with MMSE and Tau‐PET SUVRs across all Braak ROIs. The brain age prediction model trained using NODDI was more sensitive in detecting neurodegeneration changes than sMRI based on associations with disease surrogates. Our work suggests that NODDI in gray matter may be a more sensitive surrogate of neurodegeneration compared to sMRI.

AbstractBackgroundPositron emission tomography (PET) imaging with [18F]flortaucipir allows for in‐vivo visualization of aggregated tau in Alzheimer’s disease (AD). The FDA‐approved label for [18F]flortaucipir PET provides a standardized, clinically applicable definition of tau‐PET positivity by visual interpretation. Here, we studied the concordance between this visual interpretation and quantitative approaches employed in research.MethodWe included 2692 participants (cognitively unimpaired [CU] and impaired [CI, MCI or AD dementia]) from four cohorts (Mayo Clinic Study of Aging and ADRC, ADNI, A4, and A05) with available [18F]flortaucipir PET (mean age: 70.2 y, 50.0% females). Three trained readers assessed each [18F]flortaucipir PET scan according to the FDA‐approved method. Visual reads were compared to an established approach for defining tau‐PET positivity based on SUVR values in a temporal meta‐ROI (Jack, et al. Alzheimers Dement. 2017). Previously defined “lenient” (SUVR = 1.22) and “conservative” (SUVR = 1.30) cut‐points were explored. In addition, visual reads were compared to tau‐PET positivity as defined by a scheme based on the expected spatial progression of tau pathology from the medial temporal lobe (MTL) to the temporal neocortex (NEO) (Ossenkoppele, et al. Nat Med. 2022; cut‐points: SUVRMTL = 1.30, SUVRNEO = 1.37).ResultConcordance between visual and quantitative approaches was limited (Figure 1): the “lenient” and MTL‐NEO methods yielded high rates of quantitative‐positive, visual‐negative scans (73‐52% and 26‐18% for CU and CI, respectively), while the “conservative” cut‐point failed to detect 45% and 13% of the CU and CI visual‐positive scans, respectively. The prevalence of tau‐PET positivity in Aβ‐negative individuals was highest with the “lenient” cut‐point (∼24%) and lowest with visual interpretation (∼3%) (Figure 2). Visual‐positive, quantitative‐negative individuals were more frequently Aβ‐positive than visual‐negative, quantitative‐positive individuals (“lenient”: 86% vs 50%, p<0.001; “conservative”: 87% vs 58%, p<0.001; MTL‐NEO: 85% vs 70%, p = 0.005). Among visually‐positive participants, 164 (28%) showed a tau deposition pattern that deviated from the expected MTL to NEO progression (Figure 3).ConclusionVisual and quantitative methods for [18F]flortaucipir PET are non‐exchangeable. Tau‐PET positivity based on visual interpretation aligns better with Aβ‐pathology. A significant number of visually‐positive participants showed a pattern of tau accumulation that deviated from the expected stereotypical spatial progression and was not detected by standard quantitative methods.