Dispenzieri, Angela

BackgroundSarcopenia increases with age and is associated with poor survival outcomes in patients with cancer. By using a deep learning–based segmentation approach, clinical computed tomography (CT) images of the abdomen of patients with newly diagnosed multiple myeloma (NDMM) were reviewed to determine whether the presence of sarcopenia had any prognostic value.MethodsSarcopenia was detected by accurate segmentation and measurement of the skeletal muscle components present at the level of the L3 vertebrae. These skeletal muscle measurements were further normalized by the height of the patient to obtain the skeletal muscle index for each patient to classify them as sarcopenic or not.ResultsThe study cohort consisted of 322 patients of which 67 (28%) were categorized as having high risk (HR) fluorescence in situ hybridization (FISH) cytogenetics. A total of 171 (53%) patients were sarcopenic based on their peri‐diagnosis standard‐dose CT scan. The median overall survival (OS) and 2‐year mortality rate for sarcopenic patients was 44 months and 40% compared to 90 months and 18% for those not sarcopenic, respectively (p < .0001 for both comparisons). In a multivariable model, the adverse prognostic impact of sarcopenia was independent of International Staging System stage, age, and HR FISH cytogenetics.ConclusionsSarcopenia identified by a machine learning–based convolutional neural network algorithm significantly affects OS in patients with NDMM. Future studies using this machine learning–based methodology of assessing sarcopenia in larger prospective clinical trials are required to validate these findings.

Abstract Overall Survival estimates from diagnosis are valuable for guiding treatment, but do not consider the years already survived. Conditional survival (CS) provides dynamic survival predictions over time. This study was conducted to estimate CS at 1–8 years from diagnosis and the impact of baseline prognostic factors on CS in multiple myeloma (MM) patients. This is a retrospective study including 2556 MM patients diagnosed between 2004–2019. CS (t|s) was defined as the probability of surviving t years given survival of s years. Median age was 64 years. Median follow-up was 6.2 years and median overall survival from diagnosis was 7.5 years. The 5-year CS estimates at s = 0, 1, 2, 3, and 5 years were 0.64, 0.61, 0.61, 0.61, and 0.58, respectively. On multivariate analysis, age ≥ 65 and proteasome inhibitor + immunomodulatory-based induction were associated with decreased survival and increased survival, respectively, retained at 5 years. The adverse impact of 1q gain/amplification, high-risk IgH translocation, and ISS-3 was significant at 1 and 3 years but not 5 years. Chromosome 17 abnormality was associated with decreased survival only at 1 year. Among MM patients, 5-year CS was stable at 1–5 years from diagnosis. The prognostic impact of high-risk cytogenetic factors decreased with additional years survived.