Pike, James Russell

Abstract INTRODUCTION Associations of arterial stiffness, measured through pulse wave velocity (PWV), with incident dementia may be driven by age‐related structural changes to the arterial wall or by elevated blood pressure. METHODS Dementia‐free White or Black participants in the community‐based Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) cohort study with measures of PWV were examined. The associations of carotid‐femoral PWV (cfPWV) and total, structural, and load‐dependent PWV with dementia were estimated using Poisson regression models and Cox proportional hazards models. Dementia cases were defined by physician‐adjudicated review, telephone interviews, hospitalization records, and death certificates. RESULTS Of 4818 participants included in the study population (mean age: 75 years; 41% male, 21% Black), 1067 (22%) developed dementia over a median follow‐up of 9.0 years. Higher cfPWV, total PWV, structural PWV, and load‐dependent PWV were associated with greater dementia risk. DISCUSSION Both structural and pressure‐related arterial stiffness mechanisms may underlie the link between PWV and dementia.

Abstract Aims Alcohol and its relationship with cardiovascular disease (CVD) remain contentious. Several observational studies have found cardioprotective associations, while Mendelian randomization studies have found null or harmful effects of moderate drinking. Biases, including abstainer misclassification and sick-quitter effects, may obscure true associations. It is widely understood that former drinkers are often sick quitters. However, removal of former drinkers from analyses addresses bias in the abstainer group but fails to account for induced survivorship among current drinkers. This study sought to determine whether adjusting for biases altered the association between alcohol and CVD by comparing conventional models with those using (i) occasional drinkers as the reference group instead of lifetime abstainers and (ii) ‘intention-to-treat’ reallocation of former drinkers based on past drinking patterns. Methods and results The Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis is a prospective cohort study of 6814 participants aged 45–84 years between 2000 and 2002 without baseline CVD. A total of 6755 participants were included after excluding those with missing data. Alcohol consumption was self-reported and classified as lifetime abstainer, former, or current drinker [occasional (≤1 drink/week), light (2–7 drinks/week), moderate (8–14 drinks/week), heavy (>14 drinks/week)]. Outcomes included coronary artery calcium (CAC; 0, 1–100, 101–300, and >300) and clinical events [myocardial infarction (MI), stroke, cardiovascular mortality, composite major adverse cardiovascular events (MACEs), and heart failure]. Of 6755 participants, 20.6% were lifetime abstainers, 24.1% former drinkers, and 55.3% current drinkers. Adjusting for biases altered the observed relationship between alcohol and CVD, showing increased harm with light drinking, decreased protection with moderate drinking, and a dose–response relationship between alcohol and CAC, particularly CAC >300 in adjusted models. Protective associations between moderate drinking and MI [hazard ratio (HR): 0.64, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.38–1.06] and cardiovascular mortality (HR: 0.81, 95% CI: 0.53–1.25) were attenuated and became non-significant. Light drinking shifted from null to increased risk for MI (HR: 1.46, 95% CI: 1.11–1.92), stroke (HR: 1.54, 95% CI: 1.17–2.03), MACE (HR: 1.33, 95% CI: 1.12–1.57), and heart failure (HR: 1.42, 95% CI: 1.10–1.84). Conclusion Associations between alcohol and CVD in observational studies are sensitive to methodologic variation. Results from models correcting for abstainer/sick-quitter biases may help explain discrepant results from previous studies.

BACKGROUND: Cerebral microbleeds (CMBs) are associated with dementia, but the impact of specific microbleed patterns (with distinct pathophysiologies) is unclear. Lobar CMBs commonly result from cerebral amyloid angiopathy (sometimes with cortical superficial siderosis [cSS]), while subcortical microbleeds indicate a hypertensive cause. This study investigates the association of CMB presence, patterns, and frequency with dementia risk. METHODS: Participants from the ARIC-NCS (Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities-Neurocognitive Study), a community-based longitudinal cohort, with a 3T research magnetic resonance imaging scan at visit 5 (2011–2013) and without prior intracerebral hemorrhage or dementia were included. CMB and cSS presence and location were evaluated using a T2* gradient-recalled echo sequence. Each individual’s pattern of CMBs was classified as no CMBs, subcortical only, mixed (subcortical and lobar±cSS), lobar±cSS only, or cSS. Dementia adjudication was determined by blinded review of cognitive testing, informant interviews, and hospital discharge codes or death certificates (from follow-up visits and ongoing surveillance). Cox proportional hazards models assessed associations between CMBs and incident dementia through 2020, adjusted for demographics, vascular risk factors, and white matter hyperintensities. RESULTS: Among 1583 participants (mean age, 76 years; 24.7% cumulative dementia incidence over a median of 23.6 follow-up years), 361 had CMBs. Compared with individuals without CMBs, those with mixed (hazard ratio, 1.99 [95% CI, 1.40–2.83]) or lobar±cSS (hazard ratio, 1.96 [95% CI, 1.30–2.97]) CMB patterns had increased dementia risk, whereas individuals with a subcortical-only pattern did not (hazard ratio, 1.04 [95% CI, 0.78–1.39]). cSS presence (n=21; versus absence) showed an increased risk of dementia (hazard ratio, 2.57 [95% CI, 1.36–4.89]). Greater numbers of microbleeds across all CMB subtypes exhibited an increased risk of dementia. CONCLUSIONS: Lobar and mixed CMB patterns and increasing numbers of CMBs are associated with incident dementia. Certain CMB patterns have differential associations with dementia, but severe enough disease burden, regardless of CMB distribution, is associated with increased dementia risk.

Abstract Background Alcohol consumption and its relationship with cardiovascular disease (CVD) remains controversial. Observational studies have reported J-shaped associations suggesting cardioprotective effects of moderate drinking, while other observational and Mendelian Randomization studies have found dose-response harm. Biases such as abstainer misclassification, sick quitter effects, and residual confounding may obscure true associations. This study aimed to reassess alcohol’s impact on CVD using novel methods to minimize bias. Purpose We evaluated the relationship between alcohol and subclinical (coronary artery calcium [CAC]) and clinical (myocardial infarction [MI], stroke, cardiovascular death, major adverse cardiovascular events [MACE], and heart failure) outcomes in the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA). We compared conventional models with those using (1) occasional drinkers as the reference group instead of lifetime abstainers and (2) intention-to-treat (ITT) reallocation of former drinkers based on past drinking patterns. Methods MESA is a prospective cohort study of 6,814 participants aged 45-84 years without baseline CVD. Alcohol use was classified as lifetime abstainer, former drinker, or current drinker (occasional [≤1 drink/week], light [2-7 drinks/week], moderate [8-14 drinks/week], heavy [>14 drinks/week]). We used multinomial logistic regression for CAC and Cox proportional hazards models for clinical outcomes across four models: (1) non-drinker reference, (2) lifetime abstainer reference, (3) occasional drinker reference, and (4) occasional drinker reference with ITT reallocation of former drinkers to their previous drinking levels. Results Increasing alcohol consumption correlated with a dose-response increase in CAC. Heavy drinking was consistently associated with severe CAC (>300). In fully adjusted models, light (OR: 1.23, 95% CI: 1.02-1.48), moderate (OR: 1.27, 95% CI: 1.04-1.55), and heavy drinking (OR: 1.42, 95% CI: 1.12-1.78) were associated with higher CAC scores compared to occasional drinkers. Traditional models replicated protective effects of moderate drinking for MI and cardiovascular mortality. However, these associations attenuated in adjusted models. Moderate drinking showed an attenuated, non-significant benefit for MI (HR: 0.64, 95% CI: 0.38-1.06) and cardiovascular mortality (HR: 0.81, 95% CI: 0.53-1.25) in fully adjusted models. Light drinking shifted from null to increased risk for MI (HR: 1.46, 95% CI: 1.11-1.92), stroke (HR: 1.54, 95% CI: 1.17-2.03), MACE (HR: 1.33, 95% CI: 1.12-1.57), and heart failure (HR: 1.42, 95% CI: 1.10-1.84). Conclusion Adjusting for abstainer and sick quitter biases altered the observed relationship between alcohol and CVD, showing increased harm with light drinking, attenuated protective effects of moderate drinking, and a dose-response relationship for CAC in bias-adjusted models. These findings illustrate the importance of methodology in alcohol-CVD relationships.

Abstract Background Plasma biomarkers of Alzheimer's disease (AD) pathology and neurodegeneration provide a non‐invasive method to assess brain pathology associated with dementia and cognitive decline. However, it remains unclear whether these biomarkers are differentially associated with changes in specific cognitive domains or how they relate to subsequent cognitive change in participants with or without cognitive impairment. Methods Plasma biomarkers were assayed in a subset of ARIC participants using Quanterix SiMoA technology on stored specimens collected in midlife (visit 3: 1993‐95, mean age: 59) and late‐life (visit 5: 2011‐13, mean age: 77). Biomarkers included amyloid‐β 42 to amyloid‐β 40 (Aβ42:Aβ40) ratio, phosphorylated tau at threonine 181 ( p ‐Tau181), neurofilament light (NfL), and glial fibrillary acidic protein (GFAP). Factor scores for global cognition and cognitive domains (memory, language, executive function) were calculated from ten neuropsychological tests administered at visits 5 (2011‐13), 6 (2016‐17), 7 (2018‐19), 8 (2020), and 9 (2021‐22). Linear mixed effects models with multiple imputation of pre‐death cognitive change estimated the association between biomarkers in midlife and late‐life, and biomarker change from midlife to late‐life, with 5‐year change in late‐life global and domain‐specific cognition, adjusting for demographics, lifestyle and cardiovascular risk factors, and APOE‐ε4 status. Exploratory analyses examined effect modification of the biomarker‐global cognition associations by visit 5 adjudicated cognitive impairment. Results Among 1515 participants with plasma biomarkers (60.7% female, 25.5% identified as Black), 39% had late‐life cognitive impairment (Table 1). Higher midlife NfL and GFAP were associated with faster 5‐year declines in global cognition and language during late‐life (Table 2). Only midlife NfL was associated with faster late‐life memory decline. No midlife biomarkers were associated with executive function. In late‐life, lower Aβ42:Aβ40 and higher p ‐Tau 181, NfL, and GFAP were associated with faster declines in global cognition, memory, and language. Midlife to late‐life changes in p ‐Tau 181, NfL, and GFAP were associated with declines in global cognition and language. No consistent effect modification by cognitive impairment was observed (Figure 1). Conclusions Plasma biomarkers of AD pathology, neuronal injury, and astrogliosis, measured at different life epochs (midlife vs. late‐life) show distinct association patterns with subsequent changes in cognitive function across domains.

Abstract Background Plasma biomarkers show promise as a noninvasive method for measuring Alzheimer's disease pathology and neurodegeneration throughout the lifecourse. However, the relationship between longitudinal changes in these biomarkers and late‐life brain morphology in community‐dwelling populations requires further investigation. Method Between 2011 and 2013, 1,977 participants from the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study received an adjudicated cognitive diagnosis and underwent 3 Tesla magnetic resonance imaging scans. Whole‐brain cortical thickness was quantified by Freesurfer. Stored plasma samples collected in midlife (1993‐95, mean age 59.0 years) and late‐life (2011‐13, mean age 76.8 years) from a subsample of 1,515 participants were assayed in 2022 using Quanterix SiMoA. The assay quantified amyloid‐β (Aβ)42/40, phosphorylated tau at threonine 181 ( p ‐Tau181), neurofilament light (NfL), and glial fibrillary acidic protein (GFAP). Linear regression models estimated the association of plasma biomarkers from midlife, late‐life, and the change from midlife to late‐life with cortical thickness in late‐life. Interactions and effect modification by age were examined in exploratory analyses. Result The sample (Table 1) included 920 (60.7%) women, 387 (25.5%) Black participants, 513 (33.9%) participants with mild cognitive impairment, and 85 (5.6%) participants with dementia. The average age in late‐life was 76.8 (5.3 SD) years and the average cortical thickness was 2.27 (0.11 SD) millimeters. Cortical thickness was lower in individuals with adjudicated mild cognitive impairment or dementia compared to individuals without cognitive impairment (2.25 mm versus 2.29 mm, p <0.0001). In models adjusted for demographics, lifestyle factors, cardiovascular factors, and the presence of APOE ε4 alleles, higher midlife measures of p ‐Tau181 and increases from midlife to late‐life in NfL and GFAP were associated with lower cortical thickness in late‐life (Table 2). Concurrent measures of plasma biomarkers in late‐life were associated with lower cortical thickness (Table 2) and exhibited a stronger association among participants ≥75 years compared to <75 years (Table 3). Conclusion Plasma biomarkers of Alzheimer's disease pathology and neurodegeneration obtained in midlife and late‐life were associated with late‐life differences in cortical thickness. Additional longitudinal research is needed to determine whether plasma biomarkers predict cortical thinning over time and may serve as an early indicator of accelerated brain atrophy.

Abstract Blood-based biomarkers show promise as a noninvasive method for measuring Alzheimer’s disease pathology and neurodegeneration throughout the lifecourse. However, the relationship between longitudinal changes in these biomarkers and late-life brain morphology in community-dwelling populations requires further investigation. Between 2011 and 2013, 1,977 participants from the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study received underwent 3 Tesla magnetic resonance imaging scans. Whole-brain cortical thickness was quantified by Freesurfer. Stored plasma samples collected in midlife (1993-95, mean age 59.0 years) and late-life (2011-13, mean age 76.8 years) from a subsample of 1,515 participants (60.7% female, 25.5% Black adults) were assayed in 2022 using Quanterix SiMoA. The assay quantified amyloid-β (Aβ)42/40, phosphorylated tau at threonine 181 (p-Tau181), neurofilament light (NfL), and glial fibrillary acidic protein (GFAP). Linear regression models estimated the association of blood-based biomarkers from midlife, late-life, and the change from midlife to late-life with cortical thickness in late-life. In models adjusted for demographics, lifestyle factors, cardiovascular factors, and the presence of APOE ε4 alleles, higher midlife measures of p-Tau181 and increases from midlife to late-life in NfL and GFAP were associated with lower cortical thickness in late-life. Concurrent measures of p-Tau181, NfL, and GFAP were associated with lower cortical thickness in late-life and exhibited a stronger association among participants ≥75 years old compared to participants &lt;75 years old. Additional longitudinal research is needed to determine whether blood-based biomarkers predict cortical thinning over time and may serve as an early indicator of accelerated brain atrophy.