Gisslinger, Heinz

Abstract Abstract 1746 Diagnosis of essential thrombocythemia (ET) has been updated in the last World Health Organization (WHO) classification, that provides a guideline to distinguish ET from early/prefibrotic primary myelofibrosis. These two conditions differ in term of disease evolution and survival (Barbui et al, J. Clin. Oncol. 2011). To design a prognostic model for survival in WHO-defined ET (International Prognostic Score for Essential Thrombocythemia, IPSET), we studied 891 patients with strict WHO diagnostic criteria. Demographics have been presented elsewhere (Barbui et al, J. Clin. Oncol. 2011). We tested the prognostic impact on survival of age, prior thrombosis, leukocyte count, platelet count, hemoglobin level, JAK mutational status, splenomegaly. Harrell's C concordance statistics were used to set the best cutoff levels of continuous variables in order to predict survival. Univariate Cox proportional hazard regression showed that age over 60 years (P<.0001), leukocyte count greater than 11 x109/L (P<.0001), anemia (P=.04), platelet count greater than 1000 x109/L (P<.004) and prior history of thrombosis (P< 0001) were significant risk factors for survival. Age over 60 years (hazard ratio-HR- 6.5, 95% CI: 3.9–10.7; P<.0001), leukocyte count greater than 11 × 109/L (HR: 3.1, 95% CI: 2–4.7; P<.0001) and prior history of thrombosis (HR: 2.9, 95% CI: 1.9–4.5; P< 0001) retained statistical significance on survival by multivariable analysis and were included in the new prognostic model. We assigned each factor an integer weight close to the corresponding HR in the multivariable Cox regression: weight 2 for age over 60 years; weight 1 for leukocyte count greater than 11 x109/L and for prior thrombosis. Finally, we defined the IPSET score by allocating patients into three risk categories with significantly different survival according to the sum of weights: low risk (sum of weights=0; n= 342; median survival not reached), intermediate risk (sum=1-2; N=374; median survival 24.5 years), and high risk (sum=3-4, n=158; median survival 13.8 years). Fisher exact test did not reveal a difference in the distribution of the causes of death among IPSET categories. We validated the model in two independent cohorts: one from Germany (132 WHO-defined ET) and another from France (234 ET patients not strictly diagnosed according to WHO). Log rank test and Cox regression showed significant differences in term of survival among IPSET categories in both series. Finally, we designed an age-specific IPSET model for patients younger than 60 years (IPSET-y). Using the same methodology, we found that age over 45 years (weight 2), leukocyte count greater than 11 × 109/L (weight 1) and prior history of thrombosis (weight 1) were independent risk factors for survival. IPSET-y defined three risk categories (LR, sum=0; IR, sum=1-2; HR, sum=3–4) with a median survival not reached in LR and IR, and of 22.3 years in HR. In conclusion, IPSET, based on age over 60 years, leukocyte count greater than 11 x109/L and history of thrombosis allows prognostic assessment of WHO-defined ET. The validation process makes IPSET applicable in all patients phenotypically appearing as ET. IPSET models may be useful for treatment decision-making. Disclosures: Vannucchi: Italfarmaco: Consultancy; Novartis: Honoraria. Gisslinger:AOP Orphan Pharmaceuticals AG: Research Funding.

Abstract Abstract 3846 INTRODUCTION There is strong evidence indicating that the clear-cut separation of prefibrotic primary myelofibrosis (PMF) from essential thrombocythemia (ET) by consequent application of the World Health Organization (WHO) 2008 criteria is reflected in different, well defined clinical pictures and divergent prognoses (Barbui et al, JCO 2011,Thiele et al, Blood 2011). Very recently the specific risk profile for arterial and venous thrombosis in WHO- diagnosed ET was published (Carobbio et al, Blood 2011). In PMF so far all published data on vascular events were exclusively based on overt disease manifestations until now there are no data available regarding prefibrotic stages. Consequently, we aimed to evaluate the corresponding risk profile of patients with WHO-diagnosed prefibrotic PMF. METHODS A total number of 264 patients with WHO-defined prefibrotic PMF derived from either the Medical University of Vienna or an International Database (Barbui et al, JCO 2011) were studied. Nonfatal thrombotic events considered in this study were reported as rates per 100 patient-years and included transient ischemic attacks, thrombotic cerebrovascular accidents, coronary artery disease, myocardial infarction, peripheral arterial disease, deep vein thrombosis of peripheral vasculature, pulmonary embolism, and abdominal large vein thrombosis. Cardiovascular risks factors considered, comprised of arterial hypertension, diabetes mellitus and tobacco use. To evaluate risk factors for total thrombosis and for arterial and venous events in particular multivariate Cox- regression analysis including the co-variables sex, age, previous thrombotic event, laboratory parameters measured at diagnosis and need for cytoreductive and/or antiplatelet therapy during follow-up was calculated. P values less than 0.05 were considered as statistically significant. RESULTS After a median follow- up of 5.8 years (range0.0 – 27.2), the total rate of non fatal thrombotic events was 2.1% patient-years (95% CI, 1.5–2.8); the incidence of arterial events was higher (1.7% patient- years) than of venous events (0.6% patient-years).Considering thrombosis in general a higher white blood cell (WBC) count enhances the risk significantly (p=0.005; HR 1.15). This is also true in arterial events in particular (p=0.047; HR 1.12). A lower platelet count is associated with a higher risk for thrombotic events; for thrombosis in general this association is of borderline significance (p=0.056; HR 0.99), for arterial thrombosis in particular of significance (p= 0.042; HR 0.99). A lower hemoglobin level is associated with a higher risk for venous thrombosis (p=0.007; HR 0.59). CONCLUSION Leukocytosis appears as a risk factor for thrombosis in general and also for arterial thrombosis in particular in WHO-diagnosed prefibrotic PMF. Moreover, higher platelet counts seem to decrease significantly the risk for thrombotic events in general and arterial thrombosis in particular. Anemia is associated with a higher risk for venous thrombosis. These observations are partly in line with recently published findings in WHO-diagnosed ET (Carobbio et al,2011) and might indicate the existence of a specific risk profile for thrombotic events in prefibrotic PMF. This is the first study reporting data on the risk profile for thrombosis in WHO-diagnosed prefibrotic PMF. Certainly these findings ask for validation in a larger patient population. Disclosures: Gisslinger: Novartis: Speakers Bureau; Celgene Austria: Research Funding, Speakers Bureau; AOP-Orphan Pharmaceuticals AG: Speakers Bureau. Vannucchi:Novartis: Honoraria.

Abstract Abstract 457 Introduction- The 2008 World Health Organization (WHO) diagnostic criteria for myeloproliferative neoplasms (MPN) underscore the role of bone marrow (BM) morphology in distinguishing essential thrombocythemia (ET) from early, and at times prefibrotic, primary myelofibrosis (PMF) that clinically presents like ET. The value of such a distinction in predicting clinical outcome has been questioned by some investigators. Study Design- Clinician scientists and hematopathologists from seven international centers of excellence for ET convened to design a clinicopathologic database of patients locally diagnosed and treated as ET. Study eligibility criteria included availability of treatment-naïve BM specimens obtained within one year of diagnosis. All bone marrows subsequently underwent a central blinded re-review by the author of the pertinent WHO chapter (JT) who applied strict WHO guidelines to identify cases of early PMF that were spuriously diagnosed as ET. Results- Revision of the BM biopsies according to the WHO morphological criteria confirmed ET in 891 patients (81%). Diagnosis was revised to early, prefibrotic PMF in 180 patients (16%). The remaining 33 (3%) BM specimens were qualitatively inadequate for accurate classification or represented unclassified cases. i) At presentation, early PMF, as opposed to true ET, was characterized by higher leukocyte (p<0.0001) and platelet (p=0.002) counts, lower hemoglobin (p=0.01) and hematocrit (p=0.001) levels, higher serum lactate dehydrogenase level (p<0.0001), higher circulating CD34+ cell count (p=0.03) and higher rate of palpable splenomegaly. JAK2V617F mutational frequency was 60% in each of the two groups. ii) Median follow-up was 6.2 years for ET and 7.0 years for early PMF. During this period, the rates of arterial (1.2-1.4% patients/year) and venous (0.6 patients/year) thrombotic complications were similar in the two groups. However, patients with early PMF, as compared to those with ET, were more likely to develop overt myelofibrosis (1% vs. 0.5% patients/year; RR=2.0, p=0.04) or acute leukemia (0.6% vs. 0.1% patients/year; RR=5.2, p=0.001). Cumulative leukemic transformation rate at 10 and 15 years was 0.7% and 2.1% in true ET versus 5.8% and 11.7% in PMF Similarly, survival was significantly worse in patients with early PMF (mortality rate: 2.7% vs. 1.3% patients/year; RR=2.1, p=0.002).The 10 and 15-years overall survival rates were: 89% and 80% in true ET versus 76% and 59% in PMF. On multivariable analysis, other risk factors for poor survival were age > 60 years (HR=6.3, p<0.0001), a leukocyte count of > 11×109/L (HR=2.13, p<0.0001) and history of thrombosis (HR=3.0, p<0.0001). Conclusions- The current study validates the clinical relevance of strict adherence to WHO criteria in the diagnosis of ET and provides seminal information on the survival and risk of leukemic transformation in strictly WHO-defined ET, which appears to be substantially better than previously assumed. Disclosures: No relevant conflicts of interest to declare.

Abstract Abstract 1904 Poster Board I-927 BACKGROUND: Pomalidomide is an IMiDsó immunomodulatory drug that was created by chemical modification of thalidomide with the intent to reduce toxicity and enhance therapeutic activity. In a phase-2 randomized study of patients with myelofibrosis (MF), treatment with pomalidomide alone or in combination with a short course of prednisone was shown to be well tolerated and active in alleviating anemia ( JCO 2009). Herein, we report observations during the longer-term follow-up of those patients who had responded to a pomalidomide-containing treatment regimen. METHODS: Both primary and post polycythemia vera/essential thrombocythemia MF were included in the current study. Protocol eligibility criteria included absolute neutrophil count of × 109/L, platelet count of 50 × 109/L and hemoglobin level of < 10 g/dL. Patients with prior thalidomide or lenalidomide therapy were excluded from study participation. Response was assessed by the International Working Group for Myelofibrosis Research and Treatment criteria (IWG-MRT) (Blood. 2006). Pomalidomide was administered daily and continued indefinitely in responding patients. Prednisone was given for the first 3 months only, in a tapering dose schedule, starting at 30 mg/day. RESULTS: A total of 84 patients were enrolled from April 2007 through May 2008 and received treatment with pomalidomide alone 2 mg/day (n=22), pomalidomide 2 mg/day + prednisone (n=19), pomalidomide 0.5 mg/day + prednisone (n=22) or prednisone alone (n=21). Short-term toxicity details have previously been published (Tefferi et al. JCO 2009) and were remarkable for the lack of neuropathy and low prevalence of grade 3 or 4 myelosuppression (5–16%). Based on an intent-to-treat analysis, 16 (25%) of the 63 patients receiving pomalidomide alone or with a 3-month course of prednisone responded at a median of 1.8 months (range 0.9–6.9) from treatment initiation; all responses represented improvement in anemia with little or no effect on splenomegaly. Specifically, 12 of the 16 treatment responders became transfusion independent and the remaining 4 had a hemoglobin increase of > 2 g/dL (median best hemoglobin response = 11.9 g/dL; range 8.5–15.9). Responding patients usually displayed increases in platelet count but there was no consistent change in serum lactate dehydrogenase level. As of August 2009, ten (63%) of the 16 treatment responders were still in anemia remission and receiving pomalidomide therapy; median time on treatment was 19 months (range, 14–26) and median response duration was 17 months (range, 13-24). No new side effects emerged during this period. Six patients discontinued treatment because of either loss of response (n=5) or progressive splenomegaly/leukocytosis (n=1); 3 patients with continued anemia remission have had substantial increases in their spleen size, which qualifies as spleen progression per IWG-MRT. Among 9 patients with available cytogenetic information, all 3 with unfavorable karyotype relapsed while none of the 6 with favorable karyotype did. A small number of patients (n=7) had follow-up bone marrow examination at 1 to 2 years, at the discretion of their treating physician; none of these patients displayed any change in bone marrow fibrosis or JAK2V617F mutational status. Suppression of a monosomy 7 clone was documented in two patients. In one, the percentage of abnormal metaphases decreased from 90% to 15% after 11 months of treatment with pomalidomide but increased back to 100% four months later, when the patient relapsed while still on treatment. In the second patient, the percentage of abnormal metaphases was 65% at baseline, remained at 75% after 10 months of pomalidomide therapy, but decreased to 7% after one month of treatment discontinuation for relapse; a repeat examination in this patient after another 3 months (still off therapy) showed monosomy 7 and new additional abnormalities (including 4q21q25 deletion) in 65% of metaphases evaluated. CONCLUSION: Longer-term follow-up of pomalidomide-treated patients with myelofibrosis confirm the drug's favorable side effect profile. Also, the majority of treatment responders maintain their remission, which is exclusively anemia remission, for at least one year and several remain in remission after 2 years of therapy. The drug has limited effect on splenomegaly and progressive splenomegaly might occur in some patients despite continued remission in anemia. The presence of unfavorable cytogenetic abnormalities predicts relapse. Disclosures: Gale: Celgene: Employment.

Abstract Background In the recent International Prognostic Score for Thrombosis in essential thrombocythemia (IPSET-thrombosis), age and history of thrombosis were confirmed as independent risk factors for future thrombosis and the study also identified independent prothrombotic role for cardiovascular (CV) risk factors and JAK2 V617F mutation (Barbui et al. Blood 2012). Methods In the current study, we re-analyzed the original IPSET-thrombosis data in 1019 patients with WHO-defined ET in whom JAK2 mutational status was available, in order to quantify the individual contributions of JAK2 mutations and CV risk factors in conventionally-assigned low and high risk ET, as well as in age- versus thrombosis-defined high risk status. Results After a median follow-up of 6.8 and 5.0 years in conventionally-assigned low- and high-risk patients, respectively, the overall annual rate of total thrombosis (108 events) in conventionally-assigned low- and high-risk patients was 1.11%-pt/y (CI 0.81-1.52) and 2.46%-pt/y (CI 1.94-3.11) respectively (p=0.001), and the difference was mainly due to a higher frequency of arterial thrombosis in high-risk patients (p<0.001).The influence of JAK2 mutational status and CV-risk factors on the rate of thrombosis in conventionally assigned low- and high-risk groups is presented in the table. Table 1. Additional risk factors N (%) Event Rate % pts/yr (95% CI) P-value P-value P-value trend Low risk 506 (50) 39 1.11 (0.81-1.52) None 200 (40) 7 0.44 (0.21-0.92) ref Cardiovascular risk factor 36 (7) 3 1.05 (0.34-3.25) 0.220 0.227 JAK2V617F 213 (43) 21 1.59 (1.04-2.44) 0.001 0.217 Both 52 (10) 8 2.57 (1.29-5.15) <0.001 ref <0.001 High risk 513 (50) 69 2.46 (1.94-3.11) None 111 (22) 10 1.44 (0.78-2.68) ref Cardiovascular risk factor 44 (9) 4 1.64 (0.62-4.37) 0.909 0.067 JAK2V617F 222 (43) 30 2.36 (1.65-3.38) 0.168 0.082 Both 136 (27) 25 4.17 (2.82-6.17) 0.011 ref 0.005 The number of major arterial and venous thrombosis was reported as rates per 100 patient-years and the difference among groups was assessed by Mantel Cox log-rank test i) Conventionally-assigned low-risk group. Amongst 506 patients, 200 (40%) displayed neither JAK2 mutation nor CV risk factors and their annual rate of thrombosis was 0.44%, as opposed to 1.05% in the presence of CV risk factors (P=NS), 1.59% in the presence of JAK2 mutation (p=0.001) and 2.57% in the presence of both CV risk factors and JAK2 mutation (P<0.001). There was no significant difference when low-risk patients with both JAK2 mutation and CV risk factors were compared with either those with CV risk factors only (p=0.227) or those with JAK2 mutation only (p=0.217). ii) Conventionally assigned high-risk group: The absence or presence of one or both of the aforementioned additional risk factors for thrombosis were documented in 111 (22%), 44 (9%), 222 (43%) and 136 (27%) patients, respectively, with corresponding annual rates of thrombosis at 1.44%, 1.64%, 2.36% and 4.17% (Table). High-risk patients with both risk factors had a significantly higher risk of thrombosis compared to their counterparts with the absence of JAK2 mutations and CV risk factors (p=0.011). Additional analysis revealed limited enhancement of thrombosis risk by either JAK2 mutations or CV risk factors or both in patients whose high-risk status was defined by the presence of thrombosis history, regardless of age (P=NS). In contrast, the presence of JAK2 mutations, with or without CV risk factors, might have affected thrombosis risk in patients where high-risk status was defined by age alone (p=0.05). Conclusions The current study suggests the possibility of considering four risk categories in ET: "very low risk" group (age ≤60 years and without thrombosis history, JAK2 mutations or CV risk factors); "low risk" (age ≤60 years and without thrombosis history but with JAK2 mutations or CV risk factors); "intermediate risk" (age>60 years but without thrombosis history or JAK2 mutations); and "high risk" (thrombosis history at any age or JAK2 -mutated patients who are older than 60 years of age). Treatment recommendations for each one of the above-mentioned new risk categories should be examined in the context of prospective controlled studies. Disclosures Barbui: Novartis: Speakers Bureau. Vannucchi:Novartis Pharmaceuticals Corporation: Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees, Research Funding, Speakers Bureau; Shire: Speakers Bureau; Baxalta: Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees. Buxhofer-Ausch:AOP Orphan: Research Funding. De Stefano:Novartis: Research Funding, Speakers Bureau; Janssen Cilag: Research Funding; Shire: Speakers Bureau; GlaxoSmithKline: Speakers Bureau; Bruno Farmaceutici: Research Funding; Roche: Research Funding; Amgen: Speakers Bureau; Celgene: Speakers Bureau. Gisslinger:Janssen Cilag: Honoraria, Speakers Bureau; AOP ORPHAN: Consultancy, Honoraria, Research Funding, Speakers Bureau; Geron: Consultancy; Sanofi Aventis: Consultancy; Celgene: Consultancy, Honoraria, Research Funding, Speakers Bureau; Novartis: Honoraria, Research Funding, Speakers Bureau.

Abstract Philadelphia-negative Myeloproliferative Neoplasms (MPN) include Polycythemia Vera (PV), Essential Thrombocythemia (ET) and Myelofibrosis Primary (PMF) and secondary to PV and ET (PPV-, PET-MF); included are also some less characterized entities defined as unclassified MPN (U-MPN). Risk of arterial and venous thrombosis is increased in MPN patients, and thrombosis is one of most important causes of mortality and morbidity. The risk of venous thrombosis in unusual sites, such as splanchnic vessels (SVT), is particularly associated with MPN; SVT can lead to complications such as portal hypertension, esophageal and gastric varices, ascites and hepatic failure. A recent meta-analysis reported that a MPN is the underlying cause of portal vein thrombosis in 31.5% and of Budd Chiari syndrome in 40.9% of cases (Smalberg, 2012). A significant association of SVT with JAK2V617F mutated MPN was reported (Dentali, 2009) but study of other correlations has been hampered by heterogeneity of available patient cohorts comprising relatively small number of cases. We conducted a retrospective multicenter study collecting clinical and biological data of patients (pts) with SVT associated with MPN diagnosed according to WHO2008 criteria, aiming to describe patients’ characteristics, trends and prognostic factors, and their potential implications for clinical practice. Data were collected from 15 international hematology centers in the framework of IWG-MRT. We collected 475 cases of pts with portal, splenic or mesenteric vein thrombosis (75.2%) or Budd Chiari syndrome (24.8%) associated with MPN. In 32% of cases, simultaneous involvement of portal (69.1% of total thrombosis), splenic (30.5%) and mesenteric (25.3%) veins occurred, and in 1.7% they were associated with Budd Chiari syndrome. Frequency of MPN subtype: 38.1% ET (n=181), 34.9% PV (n=166), 16.2% MF (n=77), 10.8% U-MPN (n=51). Median follow-up 87.9 mo (range 0.5-430); female 61.3% (n=292; P<0.0001 vs male); median age at MPN diagnosis (dg) 44.4 y (range 12-90), at SVT dg 44.9 y (range 17-85). In 229 cases (48%) MPN and SVT dg were coincident, while in 104 (22%) SVT occurred before MPN dg (median 40 mo, range 5-335) and in 129 (27%) during MPN follow up (median 79 mo, range 5-394). JAK2V617F mutational status is available for 361 pts: 99% PV, 84.7% ET, 88.1% PMF and 92.9% U-MPN pts were JAK2V617F positive, with a mean allele burden of 56±27.4%, 33.1±25.5%, 39.3±19.4% and 23.8±11.9%, respectively. Erythropoietin-independent colonies (EEC) were present at diagnosis in 80/110 evaluated cases (72.7%), 38/47 PV (84.4%), 32/45 ET (71.1%), 8/11 PMF (72.7%) and 2/7 U-MPN (28.6%). A concurrent thrombophilic state was found in 38.9% of cases. A 12.3% of pts experienced a recurrence of SVT after a median of 29 mo (range 1-378.3) and 35.8% developed thrombosis in other sites (17.7% arterial, 19.3% venous). Esophageal varices were found in 70.6% from which 31.9% bled. MF transformation occurred in 32/166 PV (19%) and in 23/181 ET (13%) pts, with median time to progression of 122.3 mo (range 5.4-377.3) and 125.1 mo (range 39.3-255.3), respectively. Evolution to acute leukemia (AL) occurred in 12 pts (2.7%), of which 2 PMF, 6 PV and 4 ET. In 3 PV and 1 ET pts a PPV and PET-MF transformation occurred before AL. After SVT, 77% of pts received anticoagulation, 23.5% antiaggregant therapy and 1.5% both; 68.8% received cytotoxic drugs, 11.4% of pts were treated with trans jugular porto-systemic shunt. No differences in survival were noted with these approaches. Beta blocker therapy was used in 48.5% of pts and correlated with improved survival (p=0.041) At last follow up 70/473 pts (14.8%) died; causes of death are evolution to AL (16.4%), other cancers (14.5%), disease progression without AL (12.7%), SVT (10.9%), hepatic failure and venous thrombosis other than SVT (9.1% each), heart failure and arterial thrombosis (7.3% each), hemorrhage (5.5%), renal failure and infection (3.6% each). After 10 y follow up 8/166 PV (5%), 14/181 ET (8%), 14/77 PMF (18%) and 1/51 U-MPN (1.96%) pts died (p<0.01). Survival was significantly affected by occurrence of thrombosis other than SVT (p<0.0001) but not recurrence in splanchnic vessels (p=0.068). This large study confirms the strong association between JAK2V617F-mutated MPN and SVT and identifies the category of U-MPN as the prognostically more favorable; thrombosis at sites outside the splanchnic vasculature remains the leading cause of death. Disclosures: No relevant conflicts of interest to declare.

Abstract Introduction Patients with masked polycythemia vera (mPV) present with hemoglobin (HB) values borderline inferior to those required by the World Health Organization (WHO) diagnostic criteria (HB >16.5g% and >18.5 g% in female and male respectively) but are suspected to have PV for presenting clinico-hematological features. The diagnostic HB values required by the WHO guidelines have been considered surrogate of increased red cell mass (RCM). However, in both males and females HB values are not always equal to an absolute erythrocytosis and conversely a HB concentration below the required cut off level could be associated with an increased red cell mass. We believe that bone marrow (BM) morphology may play an important role in differentiating PV from other MPN entities and reactive changes. In this study we investigated JAK2V617/Exon12-positive patients showing BM features characteristic for PV and classified as mPV or overt PV according to their hemoglobin levels and evaluated their respective outcomes including thrombosis, progression to myelofibrosis (MF), acute leukemia (AL) and overall survival with the purpose to support the diagnosis of PV also in patients presenting with lower HB levels than required by WHO criteria. Materials and Methods A clinicopathological database of patients who were diagnosed and treated for PV was created by clinicians and hematopathologists from seven international centers of excellence for MPNs. Eligibility criteria for entry included the presence of JAK2V617F (or Exon12) mutation, EPO measurement, no evidence of subnormal ferritin levels and the availability of representative, treatment-naive BM biopsies (hematoxylin-eosin staining and silver impregnation after Gomori or Gordon-Sweet). All BM biopsies were centrally re-reviewed by one of the authors (J.T.) who was completely blinded to outcome data. In both mPV and overt PV patients, phlebotomy and cytoreductive therapy were used with the same frequency (p=0.101). Results and Discussion Among 397 mutated patients, with PV BM morphology as defined by WHO, 257 (65%) met the full WHO-2008 criteria. The remaining 140 patients (35%) were classified as mPV for levels of HB at diagnosis, ranging from 16.5 to 18.5 g/dL in men and from 15.0 to 16.5 g/dL in women, and frequent presence of subnormal EPO levels (65%). At baseline, mPV patients were more males, had more previous arterial thrombosis and presented more frequently with platelet counts exceeding the required level of WHO-defined ET (450 x 109/L), often mimicking clinically this entity at onset. After a median follow-up of 3.8 (0-29.8) and 4.5 (0-21.1) years in mPV and overt PV, respectively, time to the first thrombotic event was superimposable in the two groups while time to progression to MF and AL was significantly different .These combined events were recorded in 10% of mPV and 5.8% of overt PV, corresponding to an annual rate of 1.60 % pts/year in mPV and 0.97 % pts/year in overt PV, respectively (p=0.010). In addition, an inferior overall survival was documented in mPV patients in comparison with overt PV (p=0.011). The annual rate of death in mPV was almost twice that of overt PV, mainly due to an excess of hematological transformation (overt MF and AL). Multivariable analysis identified age older than 65 years (hazard ratio (HR) 6.63, P<.0001), WBC >10 x109/L (HR 2.99, P=.005) and diagnosis of mPV (HR 2.38, P=.036) as independent risk factors for survival in these patients. These results show that in JAK2 mutated patients with borderline HB levels, BM features may be a valid support to confirm the suspicion of PV diagnosis. Of interest, recent data demonstrated that all patients with increased RCM also had BM morphology typical of PV. It is tempting to speculate that the clinico-hematologic phenotype of mPV may represent an early stage of a JAK2 mutated MPN, presenting as a variant of PV, with a more rapid progression to MF and AL. The recognition of these early PV patients has an important clinical impact since, in spite of not meeting the full WHO criteria, mPV share the same vascular risk as overt PV. In conclusion, these data suggest that mPV is not necessarily only an early form of classical PV but a distinct entity with disease outcomes akin to primary myelofibrosis. Disclosures: No relevant conflicts of interest to declare.

Abstract Abstract 2849 Background We have previously reported on the natural history of polycythemia vera (PV), focusing primarily on overall and leukemia-free survival (ASH Annual Meeting Abstracts. 2011;118(21):277-). In the current study, we present, on behalf of the International Working Group for Myeloproliferative neoplasms Resarch and Treatment (IWG-MRT), our analysis regarding risk factors for thrombosis. Methods Under the auspices of IWG-MRT, seven international centers of excellence for myeloproliferative neoplasms participated in the current study. The two principle investigators (AT and TB) reviewed all the cases and selected 1,545 patients who met the 2008 WHO criteria for PV, were age 18 years or older, diagnosed after 1970, and whose submitted data included diagnostically essential information. Results I: Presenting Features Median age was 61 years (range, 18–95; 51% females). Arterial and venous thrombosis history before or at diagnosis was documented in 246 (16%) patients and 114 (7.4%) patients, respectively. Major hemorrhage hemorrhage before or at diagnosis was documented in 17 (4.5%) patients. Other features at diagnosis included pruritus (36%), microvascular disturbances (28.5%), palpable splenomegaly (36%), abnormal karyotype (12%), leukoerythroblastosis (6%), increased LDH (50%), thrombocytosis (53%), extreme thrombocytosis (platelets >1 million mm3; 4%) leukocytosis (49%), JAK2 V617F (95%), other JAK2 mutations (3%), subnormal serum erythropoietin (Epo) level (81%), and endogenous erythroid colonies (EEC; 73%). History of hypertension (46%), hyperlipidemia (18.3%), diabetes (8.4%), and tobacco use (16%) was also obtained. Results II: Clinical Course To date, 347 (23%) deaths, 50 (3%) leukemic progressions, and 138 (9%) fibrotic transformations have been recorded. Overall, cytoreductive treatment was not used in 416 (27%) patients and the remaining were exposed to different agents based on physician discretion. Post-diagnosis arterial or venous thrombosis occurred in 184 (12%) and 137 (9%) patients, respectively. Results III: Risk Factors for thrombosis Arterial and venous thrombosis-free survival, from time of diagnosis, were separately analyzed using the occurrence of thrombosis as the endpoint (uncensored variable) and last follow-up or death before thrombosis as the censored variable. In univariate analysis, the following were significantly associated with post-diagnosis arterial thrombosis: advanced age, leukocyte count, presence of a leukoerythroblastic smear (LES), history of hypertension and history of arterial thrombosis before or at diagnosis; multivariable analysis using all these five parameters identified arterial thrombosis history (RR 2.5, 95% CI 1.6–4.0; p<0.0001), LES (RR 2.3, 95% CI 1.3–4.2; p=0.005) and history of hypertension (RR 1.6, 95% CI 1.1–2.4; p=0.02) as independent predictors of post-diagnosis arterial thrombosis. Only two parameters predicted post-diagnosis venous thrombosis, in univariate analysis, and both remained significant during multivariable analysis: abnormal karyotype (RR 3.1, 95% CI 1.7–5.4; p=0.0001) and history of venous thrombosis (RR 2.4, 95% CI 1.2–4.9). Of note, the type of JAK2 mutation or presence of either subnormal Epo or EEC did not influence either arterial or venous thrombosis. Results IV: Risk Stratification for arterial and venous thrombosis The figures below illustrated arterial or venous thrombosis-free survival of patients stratified by the absence of all risk factors or presence of one or ≥2 risk factors. For arterial thrombosis, the presence of ≥2 risk factors clearly delineated a high risk group (RR 3.1, 95% CI 1.9–5.0) whereas the presence of one (RR 2.4, 95% CI 1.4–4.2) or two risk factors (RR 10.1, 95% CI 3.6–28.2) for venous thrombosis delineated an intermediate and high risk group, respectively. Conclusions: History of arterial thrombosis and venous thrombosis are key risk factors, respectively, for recurrent arterial and venous thrombosis in PV. In addition, abnormal karyotype is a strong independent risk factor for venous thrombosis and the presence of leukoerythroblastosis and hypertension, for arterial thrombosis. This information allows for a simple and practical risk stratification and raises interesting pathogenetic implications that require further clarification. Disclosures: Vannucchi: Novartis: Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees. Gisslinger:Novartis: Consultancy, Research Funding, Speakers Bureau; Celgene: Consultancy, Research Funding, Speakers Bureau. Passamonti:Novartis: Honoraria, Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees; Celgene: Honoraria, Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees; Sanofi-Aventis: Honoraria, Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees.