Myelodysplastic syndromes with isolated deletion of chromosome 5q [MDS-del(5q)] constitute a distinct biological entity traditionally associated with favorable outcomes, although up to one quarter of patients progress to acute myeloid leukemia (AML). Existing prognostic models, developed in heterogeneous MDS populations, may not adequately capture risk within this subgroup. We assembled an international cohort of 682 patients with MDS-del(5q) to evaluate the performance of the IPSS-R and IPSS-M, identify prognostic variables, and develop a disease-specific prognostic tool, the IPSS-del(5q). Most patients were classified as lower-risk by IPSS-R (94.4%) and IPSS-M (85.5%), yet both systems showed limited discriminatory ability (C-indices ≈0.5). Independent adverse prognostic factors included age ≥70 years, male sex, anemia (hemoglobin ≤10 g/dL), thrombocytopenia (platelets ≤100×10⁹/L), the presence of one additional chromosomal abnormality, ≥2 gene mutations, SF3B1 mutations, and high-risk TP53 status. Six variables were included in the IPSS-del(5q), stratifying patients into standard-risk (74.3%) and high-risk (25.7%) groups with significantly different LFS (69.2 vs. 32.0 months; p<0.01). Moreover, this model reclassified 19.1% of lower-risk IPSS-R and 14.6% of lower-risk IPSS-M patients into the high-risk IPSS-del(5q) group. However, its discriminative power remained modest, with a C-index of 0.60. Overall, this study provides the most comprehensive prognostic evaluation of MDS-del(5q) to date, demonstrates the limited discriminatory capacity of existing MDS scores in this entity, and underscores the need to develop refined disease-specific prognostic approaches for this MDS subtype.
Refining the prognostic hierarchy of TP53 multihit alterations and isolated deletion of chromosome 5q in myelodysplastic syndromes
Abstract Background & aim: Myelodysplastic syndromes with isolated deletion of chromosome 5q (MDS-del(5q)) are associated with low-risk features and favorable prognosis. In contrast, TP53 multihit alterations, typically reflecting biallelic inactivation, are associated with high-risk features and adverse outcomes across MDS subtypes. Although current classification systems exclude MDS-del(5q) cases with TP53 multihit from low-risk categories, the prognostic significance of these alterations in this specific context remains unclear. Methods: We conducted an international, multicenter, retrospective study comparing MDS-del(5q) per 2017 WHO criteria with TP53 multihit alterations (MDS-del(5q) TP53 multihit) from 21 international institutions, to MDS with low blast counts with TP53 multihit alterations without isolated del(5q) (MDS-LB TP53 multihit) from the public data from the study of Bernard et al., Nat Med 2020. Clinical and biological data were collected at diagnosis. Genetic profiling included G-banding and NGS of myeloid genes. TP53 multihit was defined as >1 TP53 mutation or a single mutation with 17p deletion, copy-neutral loss of heterozygosity (LOH), or variant allele frequency (VAF) ≥50%. Patients were stratified as lower- or higher-risk based on IPSS-R and IPSS-M scores. Lower-risk included those with IPSS-R ≤3.5 points or very-low, low, or moderate-low IPSS-M, while higher-risk included those with IPSS-R >3.5 points or moderate-high, high, or very-high IPSS-M. Clinical, molecular features, overall survival (OS), and AML progression were compared between MDS-del(5q) TP53 multihit and MDS-LB TP53 multihit groups. Finally, outcomes between patients with likely biallelic TP53 multihit status, defined as harboring a single TP53 mutation accompanied by a co-occurring deletion/LOH of 17p or a TP53 VAF ≥50%, versus those considered less likely to be biallelic, thus still classified as multihit, defined as having >1 TP53 mutation but a combined VAF <50%, were compared in both MDS-del(5q) and MDS-LB groups. Statistical analysis was performed using R (version 4.2.2). Results: We included 113 patients with a median follow-up of 81.1 months (95% CI 74.9–NR). A total of 45 (39.8%) were MDS-del(5q) TP53 multihit, and 68 (60.2%) MDS-LB TP53 multihit. Compared to MDS-LB TP53 multihit, patients with MDS-del(5q) TP53 multihit had significantly higher platelet counts (209 ×10⁹/L vs. 77 ×10⁹/L) and were more frequently classified as lower-risk by both IPSS-R (75.4% vs. 9.8%) and IPSS-M (90.2% vs. 24.6%). The median number of mutations per patient, excluding TP53, was 1 in both groups, and only SF3B1 mutations were significantly more frequent in the MDS-del(5q) TP53 multihit group compared to MDS-LB TP53 multihit (20.5% vs. 2.9%; p<0.01). Regarding survival, MDS-del(5q) TP53 multihit patients showed an improved OS compared to MDS-LB TP53 multihit (median OS of 57.0 months (95%CI, 43.0–112.0) vs 14.0 months (95%CI, 8.6–19.0); p<0.01). Moreover, while the risk of progression to AML at 48 months were comparable between groups (34.9% for MDS-del(5q) TP53 multihit and 33.0% for MDS-LB TP53 multihit; p=0.8), a significant difference was observed in the timing of AML progression: median time to AML evolution of 31.7 months (IQR 23.4–55.3) in the MDS-del(5q) TP53 multihit group and 7.2 months (IQR 4.1–12.9) in the MDS-LB TP53 multihit group (p<0.01). Notably, no significant differences in outcomes were found between TP53 multihit and most likely biallelic cases in both MDS-del(5q) and MDS-LB cohorts. The impact of complex karyotype (CK) in MDS-LB TP53 multihit was also explored. MDS-LB TP53 multihitwith CK showed a significantly worse OS compared to MDS-LB TP53 multihitwithout CK (median OS of 10.0 months (95% CI 7.5–17.0) vs 40.0 months (95% CI 14.0–NA); respectively; p<0.001. However, the incidence of AML and median time to AML evolution were comparable between both groups. Finally, OS between MDS-LB TP53 multihit patients without CK and the MDS-del(5q) TP53 multihit cohort was compared. Median OS was significantly shorter in the former group (median of 40 months) compared to the latter (median of 61 months) (p <0.01) Conclusions: These findings underscore that, in contrast to other TP53-multihit MDS subtypes, MDS-del(5q) with TP53 multihit alterations constitute a clinically distinct entity with better outcomes, thereby warranting reconsideration of its place in current classification systems.
Will a Peripheral Blood (PB) Sample Yield the Same Diagnostic and Prognostic Cytogenetic Data as the Concomitant Bone Marrow (BM) In Myelodysplasia? An International Study Comparing Cytogenetics and Interphase FISH Using Parallel PB and BM Samples
Abstract Abstract 2922 The myelodysplastic syndromes (MDS) are a heterogeneous group of hematological malignancies characterized by ineffective hematopoiesis and a highly variable clinical course, for which novel treatments are beginning to emerge. Conventional cytogenetic studies (CCS) of bone marrow (BM) are routinely used in clinical practice to detect abnormal clones in proliferating (metaphase) cells, identifying clonal aberrations in ∼50% of de novo MDS cases. Cytogenetics is also one of the key International Prognostic Scoring System (IPSS) components used to estimate overall survival and leukemia-free survival in MDS. Chromosome abnormalities may be quantified at presentation and during treatment by the use of fluorescence in situ hybridization (FISH) with DNA probes for specific chromosome loci (e.g., chromosomes 5, 7, 8 and 20) in non-proliferating (interphase) nuclei. However, it is not clear whether or not peripheral blood CCS will yield the same diagnostic and prognostic data as bone marrow CCS at disease presentation or whether patients without apparent chromosome abnormalities by CCS have “hidden” abnormalities that can be identified by interphase FISH. To answer these questions, 15 members of the International Working Group on MDS Cytogenetics agreed to perform CCS and FISH in parallel on both peripheral blood and bone marrow samples collected from MDS patients. To be certain that all participating sites scored and interpreted their individual FISH data in a similar fashion, a quality assurance (QA) study was completed with each site studying two identical test (proficiency) samples. Concordance among sites was very good to excellent allowing for the establishment of a standardized protocol with clear scoring criteria before patient samples were processed. In the second phase of the study, a total of 77 MDS patients were accrued to the study with 61% showing an abnormal karyotype. A FISH panel consisting of eight probe sets [-5/5q-, -7/7q-/der(1;7), +8/8q-, -11/+11/11q-/add(11q), 12p-/+21/t(12;21), -13/13q-, 17p- and 20q-/i(20q)/i(20p), Abbott Molecular, Inc.] was performed on both specimen types. While CCS was frequently unsuccessful (57.5%) in the PB specimens, FISH was informative (concordant with BM/PB CCS) in 92% of cases, with 49% of PB FISH demonstrating an abnormal clone. FISH was discordant in 4 of 77 BM and PB samples (5%), while CCS and FISH on BM and PB were discordant in 6 of 77 BM specimens (8%) and 6 of 73 PB specimens (8%). The data suggest that evaluation of interphase nuclei from PB on follow-up (non-diagnostic) FISH studies on MDS patients will be equally informative (and less costly and stressful) as a BM sample. Disclosures: Slovak: PerkinElmer: Employment. Haferlach:MLL Munich Leukemia Laboratory: Employment, Equity Ownership, Research Funding. Ohyashiki:Nippon Shinyaku Co., Ltd.: Research Funding.