Boddicker, Nicholas

Abstract Introduction: Chronic lymphocytic leukemia (CLL) is characterized by multiple copy number alterations (CNA) and mutations that are central to disease pathogenesis, prognosis, risk-stratification, and identification of response or resistance to therapies. Fluorescence in situ hybridization (FISH) is gold standard in the clinical laboratory for detecting prognostic CNAs in CLL (e.g. deletion 17p13 (del(17p), deletion 11q23 (del(11q), deletion 13q14 (del(13q), and trisomy 12). Most clinical FISH assays have high specificity and sensitivity, but the technique can detect a limited number of alterations per assay. Importantly, next-generation sequencing (NGS) techniques have become more readily available for clinical applications and are increasingly being used for screening not only mutations, but also copy number abnormalities in multiple genes and chromosomal regions of interest in hematologic malignancies. Here, we evaluated the sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV) and negative predictive value (NPV) using a custom targeted NGS assay for detecting common prognostic chromosomal alterations in CLL and high-count monoclonal B-cell lymphocytosis (MBL), the precursor to CLL. Methods : We designed a SureSelect DNA targeted sequencing panel, covering all exons of 59 recurrently CLL mutated genes and additional amplicons across regions affected by clinically relevant CNAs. All CLL (N=534) and MBL (N=162) patients had pre-treatment peripheral blood mononuclear cells (PBMC) collected within two years of diagnosis. DNA was extracted in cases with purity >80% of CD5+/CD19+ cells. Clinical FISH data was available within 100 days of NGS in all untreated CLL and MBL cases. PatternCNV was used to detect clinically relevant CNAs in chromosomes 11, 12, 13 and 17. We performed a principal component analysis on the CNA calls, excluding chromosomes 11, 12, 13, and 17 to identify clusters of samples. Each cluster was then independently rerun with PatternCNV and the results from chromosomes 11, 12, 13, and 17 were extracted and further analyzed. We excluded samples with low tumor metrics identified by FISH (less than 20% of cells with del(17p), del(11q), trisomy 12 and del(13q)). Results: We sequenced a total of 696 patients of whom 162 were MBL and 534 were untreated CLL. The most commonly mutated genes were NOTCH1 (11.0%), TP53 (8.7%), SF3B1 (7.7%), ATM (4.1%), and CHD2 (3.8%). Based on CNA analyses from the NGS data, we identified 59 (9.1%) individuals with del(17p), 88 (13.4%) individuals with del(11q), 128 (20.0%) individuals with trisomy 12, and 329 (53.0%) individuals with del(13q). All 696 individuals had FISH panels conducted, with 39 (5.6%) individuals with del(17p), 68 (9.8%) individuals with (11q), 119 (17.1%) with trisomy 12, and 295 (42.4%) with del(13q). When we compared our CNA analyses with the FISH data, we found high concordance 95.0% for del(17p), 92.7% del(11p), 94.3% for trisomy 12, and 88.2% for del(13q). For del(17p) we found a sensitivity of 93.9%, specificity of 95.4%, PPV of 52.5%, and NPV of 99.7%. Del(11q) revealed a sensitivity of 88.1%, specificity of 94.0%, PPV of 59.1%, and NPV 98.8%. We found a sensitivity of 93.8%, specificity of 95.6%, PPV 82.0%, and NPV of 98.6% for trisomy 12 and for del(13q) we found a sensitivity of 92.6%, specificity of 90.9%, PPV of 91.7%, and NPV of 93.8%. We found lower PPVs in del(17p) and del(11q) likely due to lower prevalence of these chromosomal abnormalities. Conclusion: Here we show a high sensitivity, specificity, and NPV when comparing targeted sequencing with FISH. FISH panel testing is widely used in clinical practice to characterize highly prognostic chromosomal abnormalities in CLL. Comprehensive genetic profiling with NGS has become increasingly important in the work up of hematologic malignancies and provides additional prognostic and predictive information, including clinically relevant mutations such as TP53, SF3B1, and NOTCH1, tumor mutation load and mutations associated with resistance to chemo-immunotherapy and targeted therapies, such as BTK or BCL2 inhibitors, that FISH cannot offer. We show that NGS can infer clinically relevant CNA in cases without FISH testing while also providing additional clinically relevant information. Figure 1 Figure 1. Disclosures Cerhan: Regeneron Genetics Center: Other: Research Collaboration; Celgene/BMS: Other: Connect Lymphoma Scientific Steering Committee, Research Funding; NanoString: Research Funding; Genentech: Research Funding. Parikh: Pharmacyclics, MorphoSys, Janssen, AstraZeneca, TG Therapeutics, Bristol Myers Squibb, Merck, AbbVie, and Ascentage Pharma: Research Funding; Pharmacyclics, AstraZeneca, Genentech, Gilead, GlaxoSmithKline, Verastem Oncology, and AbbVie: Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees. Kay: Genentech: Research Funding; MEI Pharma: Research Funding; Sunesis: Research Funding; Acerta Pharma: Research Funding; Abbvie: Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees, Research Funding; Janssen: Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees; AstraZeneca: Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees; Bristol Meyer Squib: Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees, Research Funding; Celgene: Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees, Research Funding; Tolero Pharmaceuticals: Research Funding; Rigel: Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees; Morpho-sys: Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees; CytomX Therapeutics: Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees; TG Therapeutics: Research Funding; Juno Therapeutics: Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees; Agios Pharm: Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees; Oncotracker: Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees; Dava Oncology: Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees; Targeted Oncology: Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees; Pharmacyclics: Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees, Research Funding; Behring: Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees.

PURPOSETo determine the contribution of germline pathogenic variants (PVs) in hereditary cancer testing panel genes to invasive lobular carcinoma (ILC) of the breast.MATERIALS AND METHODSThe study included 2,999 women with ILC from a population-based cohort and 3,796 women with ILC undergoing clinical multigene panel testing (clinical cohort). Frequencies of germline PVs in breast cancer predisposition genes ( ATM, BARD1, BRCA1, BRCA2, BRIP1, CDH1, CHEK2, PALB2, PTEN, RAD51C, RAD51D, and TP53) were compared between women with ILC and unaffected female controls and between women with ILC and infiltrating ductal carcinoma (IDC).RESULTSThe frequency of PVs in breast cancer predisposition genes among women with ILC was 6.5% in the clinical cohort and 5.2% in the population-based cohort. In case-control analysis, CDH1 and BRCA2 PVs were associated with high risks of ILC (odds ratio [OR] > 4) and CHEK2, ATM, and PALB2 PVs were associated with moderate (OR = 2-4) risks. BRCA1 PVs and CHEK2 p.Ile157Thr were not associated with clinically relevant risks (OR < 2) of ILC. Compared with IDC, CDH1 PVs were > 10-fold enriched, whereas PVs in BRCA1 were substantially reduced in ILC.CONCLUSIONThe study establishes that PVs in ATM, BRCA2, CDH1, CHEK2, and PALB2 are associated with an increased risk of ILC, whereas BRCA1 PVs are not. The similar overall PV frequencies for ILC and IDC suggest that cancer histology should not influence the decision to proceed with genetic testing. Similar to IDC, multigene panel testing may be appropriate for women with ILC, but CDH1 should be specifically discussed because of low prevalence and gastric cancer risk.

PURPOSE The prevalence of germline pathogenic variants (PVs) in established breast cancer predisposition genes in women in the general population over age 65 years is not well-defined. However, testing guidelines suggest that women diagnosed with breast cancer over age 65 years might have < 2.5% likelihood of a PV in a high-penetrance gene. This study aimed to establish the frequency of PVs and remaining risks of breast cancer for each gene in women over age 65 years. METHODS A total of 26,707 women over age 65 years from population-based studies (51.5% with breast cancer and 48.5% unaffected) were tested for PVs in germline predisposition gene. Frequencies of PVs and associations between PVs in each gene and breast cancer were assessed, and remaining lifetime breast cancer risks were estimated for non-Hispanic White women with PVs. RESULTS The frequency of PVs in predisposition genes was 3.18% for women with breast cancer and 1.48% for unaffected women over age 65 years. PVs in BRCA1, BRCA2, and PALB2 were found in 3.42% of women diagnosed with estrogen receptor (ER)–negative, 1.0% with ER-positive, and 3.01% with triple-negative breast cancer. Frequencies of PVs were lower among women with no first-degree relatives with breast cancer. PVs in CHEK2, PALB2, BRCA2, and BRCA1 were associated with increased risks (odds ratio = 2.9-4.0) of breast cancer. Remaining lifetime risks of breast cancer were ≥ 15% for those with PVs in BRCA1, BRCA2, and PALB2. CONCLUSION This study suggests that all women diagnosed with triple-negative breast cancer or ER-negative breast cancer should receive genetic testing and that women over age 65 years with BRCA1 and BRCA2 PVs and perhaps with PALB2 and CHEK2 PVs should be considered for magnetic resonance imaging screening.

Abstract Clinical practice guidelines recommend that individuals with HC MBL are evaluated annually for evidence of progression as it has been shown that they progress to develop CLL requiring therapy at a rate of 1-5%/year. Next-generation sequencing identified 59 genes recurrently mutated in CLL, and we previously showed that the tumor mutational load (TML), i.e., the total number of these genes mutated, is associated with a shorter time to first treatment (TTT) among 112 HC MBLs independent of the CLL international prognostic index (CLL-IPI), an established prognostic score. Herein, we continue to support our finding in additional HC MBLs and report the pooled results across the two cohorts. From the Mayo Clinic CLL Resource, we sequenced a total 167 HC MBL (112 from the initial round and 55 from additional sequencing). We extracted DNA from CD5+/CD19+ B-cells and sequenced the coding regions of 59 driver genes. Somatic mutations were called using MuTect2 in tumor-only mode. Germline variants were eliminated based on minor allele frequencies &gt;0.01% and by those identified in public databases, unless present in known CLL mutation hotspots. After filtering, we computed the TML based on the number of genes with high impact (nonsense, frameshift and splicing) and hotspot mutations. Cox regression was used to estimate hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI), adjusted for sex and CLL-IPI. Stratified analyses were conducted by low/intermediate risk and high/very high CLL-IPI. Of the 167 HC MBL, low risk CLL-IPI comprised 60%, intermediate risk 28%, high risk 12%; and none were very-high risk. The most commonly mutated genes were SF3B1 (11%), NOTCH1 (9%), TP53 (7%), BIRC3 (7%), and MYD88 (6%); and 52 (31%) individuals had mutations in at least one gene. The median follow-up was 4.4 years, and 26 of the 167 individuals progressed to CLL requiring therapy. HC MBL with ≥2 mutated genes had a 28% 5-year risk of needing therapy compared to 6% among those with no mutated genes. Similar to our initial finding (HR=1.53, CI:1.12-2.07; P=0.007), we found a shorter TTT in the additional HC MBLs (HR=4.63, CI:1.57-13.7, P=0.006), and in the pooled cohort (HR=1.72; CI:1.29-2.28, P=0.0002). When we stratified by CLL-IPI risk, TML remained associated with TTT among individuals with low/intermediate CLL-IPI risk in the additional HC MBLs (HR=3.52, CI:1.11-11.2, P=0.03) and in the pooled cohort (HR=2.25, CI:1.34-3.77, P=0.002). A non-significant 2.8 fold association was observed with high risk CLL-IPI in the pooled cohort. In conclusion, the TML along with the CLL-IPI provide clinicians with a more accurate prognostic information regarding disease progression requiring therapy, especially for those MBLs with low to intermediate risk based on CLL-IPI. If validated, these findings may modify current practice guidelines for individuals with HC MBL. Citation Format: Geffen Kleinstern, Cecilia Bonolo de Campos, Nicholas J. Boddicker, Daniel R. O'Brien, Shulan Tian, Chantel Barney, Kari G. Rabe, Cristine Allmer, Laura Bruins, Aaron D. Norman, Timothy G. Call, Sameer A. Parikh, Jose F. Leis, Wei Ding, Huihuang Yan, James R. Cerhan, Neil E. Kay, Celine Vachon, Esteban Braggio, Susan L. Slager. Tumor mutational load derived from recurrently mutated genes in chronic lymphocytic leukemia (CLL) predicts time-to-first treatment in high-count monoclonal B-cell lymphocytosis (HC MBL) [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the American Association for Cancer Research Annual Meeting 2021; 2021 Apr 10-15 and May 17-21. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2021;81(13_Suppl):Abstract nr 884.

Abstract Chronic lymphocytic leukemia (CLL) is a neoplastic disease of mature B-cells with a highly heterogeneous clinical course. While European ancestry (EA) populations present an increased incidence of CLL, African ancestry (AA) populations have a younger median age of onset, higher frequency of adverse prognostic factors, and inferior clinical outcomes. Despite the considerable effort to characterize the genetic landscape of CLL, AA are overwhelmingly underrepresented. Our hypothesis is that the clinical differences observed between AA and EA populations are, in part, explained by underlying genetic features. To address this imbalance, we identified 90 AA patients diagnosed with CLL, 64% of which were untreated at sample collection. RNA and DNA were extracted from CD5+/CD19+ clonal B-cells. We performed mRNA-seq and targeted sequencing in 59 recurrently mutated somatic CLL driver genes. Differentially expressed genes were identified using edgeR. Data was compared to our previously analyzed EA CLL cohort (N=445). The median age at diagnosis was 59 years for AA and 66 for EA and 74% of AA and 50% of EA had unmutated IGHV (u-IGHV) status. When evaluating the entire AA and EA cohorts, there was a significant increased frequency of mutations in TP53, SF3B1, and NFKBIE, identified in 29%, 24%, and 20% of AA CLLs, compared to 5%, 9%, and 9%, respectively, in EA CLLs (p&lt;0.01). When exclusively evaluating the untreated and u-IGHV cases, AA CLLs showed greater proportion of TP53 (30% vs 12%; p=0.0145), NFKBIE (30% vs 15%; p=0.0492), BIRC3 (21% vs 10%; p=0.0697), and KRAS (15% vs 7%; p=0.1683). Furthermore, there was an increase in mutations targeting relevant molecular pathways, such as NF-κB (42% vs 15%) and MAPK (18% vs 8%). Upregulation MAPK pathway was also confirmed by mRNA-seq analysis in the AA u-IGHV CLLs. Because of the high prevalence of TP53 mutations in the AA cohort, we further evaluated differential gene expression in the DNA Damage/Telomere Stress-Induced Senescence pathway. AA CLLs presented a significant downregulation of multiple genes associated with genome stability and cellular DNA damage response - DDR (including TP53 and ATM), double strand break repair (H2AFX and RAD50), telomere maintenance (POT1 and ACD), and cell cycle regulation (RB1, CCNA1, and CCNE2) (FDR&lt;0.05). DDR is responsible for DNA repair or induction of apoptosis, with its deficiency resulting in the accumulation of chromosomal aberrations, negatively impacting clinical outcome in CLL. Disparities in cancer are influenced by numerous factors that affect disease risk, screening and diagnosis, access to treatment, and survival. We identified an increased number of genomic alterations in the AA CLL cohort, primarily inducing activation of NF-κB and MAPK pathways and DDR impairment, with the increased frequency of mutations, notably in TP53 and BIRC3, expected to negatively impact prognosis. Citation Format: Cecilia Bonolo de Campos, Daniel R. O'Brien, Chantal E. McCabe, Huihuang Yan, Geffen Kleinstern, Zhiquan Wang, Laura A. Bruins, Cristine Allmer, Nicholas J. Boddicker, Charla R. Secreto, Aaron D. Norman, Shulan Tian, Kari G. Rabe, Timothy G. Call, Sameer A. Parikh, Jose F. Leis, Wei Ding, Richard Furman, J Brice Weinberg, James R. Cerhan, Celine M. Vachon, Neil E. Kay, Susan L. Slager, Esteban Braggio. Characterization of underlying genomic features among African ancestry populations diagnosed with chronic lymphocytic leukemia [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the American Association for Cancer Research Annual Meeting 2021; 2021 Apr 10-15 and May 17-21. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2021;81(13_Suppl):Abstract nr 2209.

PURPOSE This study assessed the joint association of pathogenic variants (PVs) in breast cancer (BC) predisposition genes and polygenic risk scores (PRS) with BC in the general population. METHODS A total of 26,798 non-Hispanic white BC cases and 26,127 controls from predominately population-based studies in the Cancer Risk Estimates Related to Susceptibility consortium were evaluated for PVs in BRCA1, BRCA2, ATM, CHEK2, PALB2, BARD1, BRIP1, CDH1, and NF1. PRS based on 105 common variants were created using effect estimates from BC genome-wide association studies; the performance of an overall BC PRS and estrogen receptor–specific PRS were evaluated. The odds of BC based on the PVs and PRS were estimated using penalized logistic regression. The results were combined with age-specific incidence rates to estimate 5-year and lifetime absolute risks of BC across percentiles of PRS by PV status and first-degree family history of BC. RESULTS The estimated lifetime risks of BC among general-population noncarriers, based on 10th and 90th percentiles of PRS, were 9.1%-23.9% and 6.7%-18.2% for women with or without first-degree relatives with BC, respectively. Taking PRS into account, more than 95% of BRCA1, BRCA2, and PALB2 carriers had > 20% lifetime risks of BC, whereas, respectively, 52.5% and 69.7% of ATM and CHEK2 carriers without first-degree relatives with BC, and 78.8% and 89.9% of those with a first-degree relative with BC had > 20% risk. CONCLUSION PRS facilitates personalization of BC risk among carriers of PVs in predisposition genes. Incorporating PRS into BC risk estimation may help identify > 30% of CHEK2 and nearly half of ATM carriers below the 20% lifetime risk threshold, suggesting the addition of PRS may prevent overscreening and enable more personalized risk management approaches.

AbstractThe development of cardiovascular disease (CVD) in long‐term survivors of lymphoma is of increasing importance. Here, we characterize the cumulative incidence and risk factors for CVD in lymphoma patients diagnosed in the current treatment era. From 2002–2015, newly diagnosed lymphoma patients (>18 years) were enrollment into a prospective cohort study that captured incident CVD, consisting of congestive heart failure (CHF), acute coronary syndrome (ACS), valvular heart disease (VHD), and arrhythmia. The cumulative incidence of CVD was calculated with death modeled as a competing risk. We estimated the association of treatment with anthracyclines or radiotherapy and traditional CVD risk factors with incidence of CVD using hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) estimated from Cox regression. After excluding prevalent CVD at lymphoma diagnosis, the study consisted of 3063 patients with a median age of 59 years (range 18–95). The cumulative incidence of CVD at 10‐years was 10.7% (95% CI, 9.5%–12.1%). In multivariable analysis, increasing age (HR = 1.05 per year, p < 0.001), male sex (HR = 1.36, p = 0.02), current smoker (HR = 2.10, p < 0.001), BMI > 30 kg/m2 (HR = 1.45, p = 0.01), and any anthracycline treatment (HR = 1.57, p < 0.001) were all significantly associated with risk of CVD. Anthracyclines were associated with increased risk of CHF (HR = 2.71, p < 0.001) and arrhythmia (HR = 1.61, p < 0.01), but not VHD (HR = 0.84, p = 0.58) or ACS (HR = 1.32, p = 0.24) after adjustment for CVD risk factors. Even in the modern treatment era, CVD remains common in lymphoma survivors and preventive efforts are required that address both treatment and CVD risk factors.

Background Diffuse large B-cell lymphoma (DLBCL) is the most common aggressive non-Hodgkin lymphoma subtype with a 5-year survival of ~64%. While DLBCL is treated using immunochemotherapy (IC) with curative intent, 20%-40% of patients do not reach remission or relapse post IC. Clonal somatic mutations have been associated with aging, hematologic malignancies (predominately myeloid), and reduced OS in the general population. The objective of this study was to evaluate the association of clonal somatic mutations with event-free survival (EFS) and overall survival (OS). Methods We studied newly diagnosed DLBCL cases treated with IC who were enrolled in the Molecular Epidemiology Resource (MER) of the University of Iowa/Mayo Clinic Lymphoma Specialized Program of Research Excellence (SPORE). Clinical and treatment data were abstracted from medical records and all patients were systematically followed for disease outcomes. Pre-treatment DNA was extracted from matched peripheral blood and paraffin-embedded tumor tissue, and whole exome sequencing was conducted at 100x coverage. From the peripheral blood, allele counts from GVCF files produced by HaplotypeCaller in GATK were extracted for 42 genes commonly associated with clonal hematopoiesis (e.g. DNMT3A, TET2, and ASXL1). Mutations were deemed clonal somatic if the population minor allele frequency was &lt;0.5% in ExAC and had a variant allele fraction (VAF) that deviated from 0.5 using a binomial distribution test at p&lt;0.001. Furthermore, mutations had to have a minimum alternate read count of at least 5 reads, a VAF greater than or equal to 10%, and met at least one of the following criteria: CAVA impact of "HIGH"; pathogenic/likely pathogenic per ClinVar; or reported in COSMIC at least 10 times. EFS was defined as time from diagnosis to disease progression, relapse, retreatment, or death due to any cause. The association of clonal somatic mutations with prognosis was estimated using Kaplan-Meier curves, and hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) from Cox regression. Associations were adjusted for age at diagnosis, sex, and the International Prognostic Index (IPI). Results The study consisted of 261 DLBCL patients treated with IC. The median age at diagnosis was 65 years (range 20-90) and 56% were male. With a median follow-up time of 5.1 years (range 0.1-15.0), there were 100 events and 80 deaths. A total of 17 (6.5%) patients had clonal somatic mutations, and16 patients were over the age of 60. A total of 8 (of 42) genes had clonal somatic mutations, with SF3B1, ASXL1, and TET2, being the most frequent (4 individuals per gene). VAFs ranged from 0.10 to 0.28 and none of the patients had multiple mutations. Additionally, the clonal somatic variants found in the peripheral blood were abscent in the tumor sample. Of the 17 patients with clonal somatic mutations, 12 had an event while 88 patients without a mutation had an event. In a univariate analysis, clonal somatic mutations were associated with inferior EFS (HR=2.55, 95% CI 1.39-4.68, p=0.002; Figure 1A). After adjusting for age, sex, and IPI, clonal somatic mutations remained associated with inferior EFS (HR=2.02, 95% CI 1.09-3.74, p=0.026). Clonal somatic mutations were also associated with inferior OS in the univariate analysis (HR=2.06, 95% CI 0.99-4.29, p=0.053), which attenuated after multivariate adjustment (HR=1.59, 95% CI: 0.76-3.34, p=0.22, Figure 1B). Although based on small numbers, mutations in SF3B1 were associated with inferior EFS (HR=3.25, 95% CI 1.16-9.12, p=0.025), but did not reach significance for OS (HR=2.56, 95% CI 0.78-8.38, p=0.120). Conclusions In this novel study of newly diagnosed DLBCL patients, clonal somatic mutations were identified in 6.5% of patients and were associated with inferior outcomes. Additional research is required at deeper sequencing to validate these findings and integration with tumor genomics is required to understand the prognosis of DLBCL patients with smaller clonal populations. Disclosures Shah: Dren Bio: Consultancy. Maurer:Celgene / BMS: Research Funding; Pfizer: Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees; Morphosys: Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees; Kite: Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees; Nanostring: Research Funding. Martin:Celgene: Consultancy; Karyopharm: Consultancy, Research Funding; Morphosys: Consultancy; Regeneron: Consultancy; Incyte: Consultancy; Kite: Consultancy; Cellectar: Consultancy; Bayer: Consultancy; Beigene: Consultancy; Sandoz: Consultancy; I-MAB: Consultancy; Janssen: Consultancy; Teneobio: Consultancy. Witzig:AbbVie: Consultancy; Incyte: Consultancy; Acerta: Research Funding; Karyopharm Therapeutics: Research Funding; Immune Design: Research Funding; Spectrum: Consultancy; Celgene: Consultancy, Research Funding; MorphSys: Consultancy. Nowakowski:NanoString: Research Funding; Seattle Genetics: Consultancy; Curis: Consultancy; Kymera: Consultancy; Kite: Consultancy; Ryvu: Consultancy, Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees; MorphoSys: Consultancy, Research Funding; Celgene/BMS: Consultancy, Research Funding. Novak:Celgene/BMS: Research Funding. Cerhan:NanoString: Research Funding; BMS/Celgene: Research Funding.

Abstract Chronic lymphocytic lymphoma (CLL) has one of the highest familial risks among cancers. Monoclonal B-cell lymphocytosis (MBL), the precursor to CLL, has a higher prevalence (13%-18%) in families with 2 or more members with CLL compared with the general population (5%-12%). Although, the rate of progression to CLL for high-count MBLs (clonal B-cell count ≥500/µL) is ∼1% to 5%/y, no low-count MBLs have been reported to progress to date. We report the incidence and natural history of MBL in relatives from CLL families. In 310 CLL families, we screened 1045 relatives for MBL using highly sensitive flow cytometry and prospectively followed 449 of them. MBL incidence was directly age- and sex-adjusted to the 2010 US population. CLL cumulative incidence was estimated using Kaplan-Meier survival curves. At baseline, the prevalence of MBL was 22% (235/1045 relatives). After a median follow-up of 8.1 years among 449 relatives, 12 individuals progressed to CLL with a 5-year cumulative incidence of 1.8%. When considering just the 139 relatives with low-count MBL, the 5-year cumulative incidence increased to 5.7%. Finally, 264 had no MBL at baseline, of whom 60 individuals subsequently developed MBL (2 high-count and 58 low-count MBLs) with an age- and sex-adjusted incidence of 3.5% after a median of 6 years of follow-up. In a screening cohort of relatives from CLL families, we reported progression from normal-count to low-count MBL to high-count MBL to CLL, demonstrating that low-count MBL precedes progression to CLL. We estimated a 1.1% annual rate of progression from low-count MBL, which is in excess of that in the general population.