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The management of atrial fibrillation (AF), the most common sustained arrhythmia, impacts healthcare resource utilization (HCRU). This study aims to estimate global resource use in AF patients, using the GARFIELD-AF registry. A prospective cohort study was conducted to characterize HCRU in AF patients enrolled in sequential cohorts from 2012 to 2016 in 35 countries. Components of HCRU studied were hospital admissions, outpatient care visits, and diagnostic and interventional procedures occurring during follow-up. AF-related HCRU was reported as the percentage of patients demonstrating at least one event and was quantified as rate-per-patient-per-year (PPPY) over time. A total of 49,574 patients was analyzed, having an overall median follow-up of 719 days. Almost all patients (99.5%) had at least one outpatient care visit, while hospital admissions were the second most frequent medical contact, with similar proportions in North America (37.5%) and Europe (37.2%), and slightly higher in the other GARFIELD-AF countries (42.0%; namely Australia, Egypt, and South Africa). Asia and Latin America showed lower percentages of hospitalizations, outpatient care visits, and diagnostic and interventional procedures. Analyses of GARFIELD-AF highlighted the vast AF-related HCRU, underlying significant geographical differences in the type, quantity, and frequency of AF-related HCRU. These differences were likely attributable to health service availability and differing models of care.

Abstract Background Atrial fibrillation is associated with considerable morbidity and mortality. Real-world reports on the effect of early rhythm control on patient outcomes in patient with recent onset atrial fibrillation are limited. Purpose To assess the effect of early rhythm versus rate control on clinical outcomes in patients with newly diagnosed non-valvular atrial fibrillation. Method The Global Anticoagulant Registry in the FIELD-AF (GARFIELD-AF) is a non-interventional registry of adult (≥18 years) patients with newly diagnosed atrial fibrillation (≤ six weeks' duration) and at least one investigator determined risk factor for stroke. Patients were enrolled in 1317 participating sites in 35 countries between March 2010 and August 2016. Patients with permanent atrial fibrillation were excluded. Stratification to rhythm or rate control was based on treatment strategy initiated at baseline (≤48 days post enrolment). Rhythm control was defined as investigator reported initiation of rhythm control (antiarrhythmic drug(s), cardioversion, or ablation – alone or in combination with rate modifiers). Rate control was defined as investigator reported initiation of rate control and absence of rhythm control therapy. Overlap propensity weighting and Cox proportional-hazards models were used to evaluate effect on outcomes. Results Of 45,382 included patients, 23,858 (52.6%) received rhythm control and 21,524 (47.4%) rate control. Rates of rhythm control were similar throughout the study time period (52.7% in 2010/2011, 54.2% in 2015/2016). Patients in the rhythm control group were younger (median age (Q1; Q3) 68.0 (60.0; 76.0) versus 73.0 (65.0; 79.0)), had lower rates of prior stroke/transitory ischemic attack/systemic embolism (9.4% vs 13.0%), and a lower median GARFIELD death score (4.0 (2.3; 7.5) versus 5.1 (2.8; 9.2)). Median CHA2DS2-VASc Scores were 3.0 (2.0; 4.0) in both groups. Rate of anticoagulation treatment was similar in the rhythm and rate control group (66.0% versus 65.5%). After propensity score overlap weighting, patients of the two groups were well balanced on all observed characteristics. Event rates per 100 person-years (95% confidence interval [CI]) over two years follow-up in the rhythm and rate control group were 2.94 (2.78–3.10) versus 4.43 (4.22–4.64) for mortality, 0.84 (0.75–0.92) versus 1.16 (1.05–1.27) for non-haemorrhagic stroke/systemic embolism and 0.84 (0.76–0.93) versus 1.16 (1.06–1.27) for major bleeding. Adjusted hazard ratios (95% CI) for the same time period were 0.85 (0.79–0.92), 0.84 (0.72–0.97) and 0.9 (0.78–1.04). Conclusion In this large, internation registry, a rhythm control strategy was initiated at baseline in about half of the patients with newly diagnosed non-valvular atrial fibrillation. After adjustment for confounding factors, a significantly lower risk of all-cause mortality and non-haemorrhagic stroke/systemic embolism were observed for patients that received an early rhythm control strategy. Funding Acknowledgement Type of funding sources: Private grant(s) and/or Sponsorship. Main funding source(s): This work was supported by the Thrombosis Research Institute (London, UK).

Objective While greater body mass index (BMI) is associated with increased risk of developing atrial fibrillation (AF), the impact of BMI on outcomes in newly diagnosed AF is unclear. We examine the influence of BMI on outcomes and whether this is modified by sex and evaluate the effect of non-vitamin K oral anticoagulants (NOACs) in patients with high BMI. Methods GARFIELD-AF is a prospective registry of 52 057 newly diagnosed AF patients. The study population comprised 40 482 participants: 703 underweight (BMI <18.5 kg/m 2 ), 13 095 normal (BMI=18.5–24.9 kg/m 2 ), 15 043 overweight (BMI=25.0–29.9 kg/m 2 ), 7560 obese (BMI=30.0–34.9 kg/m 2 ) and 4081 extremely obese (BMI ≥35.0 kg/m 2 ). Restricted cubic splines quantified the association of BMI with outcomes. Comparative effectiveness of NOACs and vitamin K antagonists (VKAs) by BMI was performed using propensity score overlap-weighted Cox models. Results The median age of participants was 71.0 years (Q1; Q3 62.0; 78.0), and 55.6% were male. Those with high BMI were younger, more often had vascular disease, hypertension and diabetes. Within 2-year follow-up, a U-shaped relationship between BMI and all-cause mortality was observed, with BMI of ~30 kg/m 2 associated with the lowest risk. The association with new/worsening heart failure was similar. Only low BMI was associated with major bleeding and no association emerged for non-haemorrhagic stroke. BMI was similarly associated with outcomes in men and women. BMI did not impact the lower rate of all-cause mortality of NOACs compared with VKAs. Conclusions In the GARFIELD-AF registry, underweight and extremely obese AF patients have increased risk of mortality and new/worsening heart failure compared with normal or obese patients.

Abstract Introduction Non-vitamin-K oral anticoagulants (NOACs) were recommended in preference to oral vitamin K antagonists (VKAs) in the 2020 updated guidelines for stroke prevention in atrial fibrillation (AF), from the European Society of Cardiology (ESC). Rivaroxaban is a NOAC that is approved in many countries worldwide for reducing the risk of stroke or systemic embolism in patients with nonvalvular atrial fibrillation (AF). Purpose To explore the baseline characteristics, dosing and 2-year outcomes of patients with AF treated with rivaroxaban. Methods RIVaroxaban Evaluation in Real Life setting (RIVER) is a prospective international, multicenter registry of patients with newly diagnosed non-valvular AF treated with rivaroxaban for the prevention of thromboembolic stroke and at least one investigator-determined risk factor for stroke. Results A total of 5043 patients were enrolled into RIVER between January 2015 and June 2017. Mean (SD) age at diagnosis was 69.5 (11.0) years and 55.7% were males. Caucasian patients represented the largest proportion of patients in RIVER (80.3%), followed by Asians (5.5%) and hispanic/latino (3.7%). Almost all patients (98.5%) were prescribed a single daily dose of rivaroxaban, most commonly 20 mg (77.3%) and 15 mg (20.4%), while a 10 mg dose was prescribed in only 2.3% of patients. During the 2-year follow-up, the rates (95% CI) of all-cause mortality, stroke/SE, and major bleeding were 2.75 (2.43 to 3.12), 0.89 (0.72; 1.11), and 1.26 (1.05 to 1.52) per 100 person years, respectively (Figure 1). The most common cardiovascular cause of death was congestive heart failure (30.4%) and myocardial infarction (11.4%). Leading non-cardiovascular causes of death were malignancy (27.4%), respiratory failure (18.9%) and infections/sepsis (13.2%). Over 2 years, 710 (14.1%) of patients discontinued rivaroxaban. The corresponding proportions at 6 months and 1 year were 7.8% and 10.8%, respectively. Out of all the patients who discontinued, 62 (8.7%) restarted rivaroxaban during their follow-up (Table 1). Conclusion During 2 years of follow up in the international, prospective RIVER registry, rivaroxaban treatment for AF was associated with low rates of stroke or major bleeding. Funding Acknowledgement Type of funding sources: Private grant(s) and/or Sponsorship. Main funding source(s): This work was supported by an unrestricted research grant from Bayer AG, Berlin, Germany, to TRI, London, UK. This work is supported by KANTOR CHARITABLE FOUNDATION for the Kantor-Kakkar Global Centre for Thrombosis Science.

Abstract Introduction Rivaroxaban is recommended as an option for anticoagulation in patients with nonvalvular atrial fibrillation (AF) with one or more risk factors for stroke. The approved/recommended rivaroxaban dose for stroke prevention in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) is solely based on renal function: 20 mg once daily (od) for patients with a creatinine clearance [CrCl] ≥50 ml/min and 15 mg od in patients with CrCl 15–49 mL/min). Purpose To assess the patterns of rivaroxaban prescription as per the creatinine clearances levels and to assess the impact of the rivaroxaban dosing on the rate of events at 2-year follow-up in patients with AF. Methods RIVaroxaban Evaluation in Real Life setting (RIVER) is a prospective international registry of patients with newly diagnosed non-valvular AF treated with rivaroxaban for the prevention of thromboembolic stroke and at least one investigator-determined risk factor for stroke. Adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) were obtained through Cox proportional-hazard model. Results Among 3402 patients with normal renal function (CrCl ≥50 mL/min), 82.1% were prescribed the recommended rivaroxaban dose of 20 mg (od) at baseline. Among 524 patients with moderate or severe renal impairment (CrCl 15–50 mL/min), 55.3% patients received rivaroxaban 15 mg (od), 39.9% received 20 mg (od) and 4.2% 10 mg (od). Non-recommended dosing was rare in patients younger than 70 (13.5%) but more frequent in older patients (28.8%). Non-recommended low dosing was more frequent in Asians (38.9%), compared to non-Asian patients (13.8%). Regarding clinical outcomes, adjusted hazards ratios (HR, presented with 95% confidence intervals) showed that the non-recommended low dosing (&lt;20 mg od) was associated with higher risk of non-cardiovascular mortality (HR 2.09 (1.16–3.77)) in patients with normal renal function. The non-recommended high dosing (&gt;15 mg od) was associated with lower risk of all-cause mortality (HR 0.63 (0.42–0.93)) and cardiovascular mortality (HR 0.32 (0.13–0.77)) and higher risk of major bleeding (HR 2.86 (1.49–5.50)) in patients with moderate to severe renal impairment (figure 1 and 2). Conclusion In patients with normal renal function, non-recommended low dose rivaroxaban was associated with increased cardiovascular mortality without reducing the risk of major bleeding compared to recommended dosing. In patients with CrCl &lt;50 ml/min, non-recommended high dose rivaroxaban was associated with reduced cardiovascular mortality but at the cost of increased major bleeding. These observational data largely support the reduction of rivaroxaban dosing according to renal function but educational strategies are needed to ensure that rivaroxaban is used appropriately. Funding Acknowledgement Type of funding sources: Private grant(s) and/or Sponsorship. Main funding source(s): This work was supported by an unrestricted research grant from Bayer AG, Berlin, Germany, to TRI, London, UK, which sponsors the RIVER registry. This work is supported by KANTOR CHARITABLE FOUNDATION for the Kantor-Kakkar Global Centre for Thrombosis Science.

Objectives This study evaluated the comparative effectiveness of vitamin K antagonists (VKAs), direct thrombin inhibitors (DTIs) and factor Xa inhibitors (FXaI) in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) at risk of stroke in everyday practice. Methods Data from patients with AF and Congestive heart failure, Hypertension, Age 75 years, Diabetes mellitus, prior Stroke, TIA, or thromboembolism, Vascular disease, Age 65-74 years, Sex category (CHA2DS2-VASc) score ≥2 (excluding gender) in the Global Anticoagulant Registry in the FIELD–Atrial Fibrillation registry were analysed using an improved method of propensity weighting, overlap weights and Cox proportional hazards models. Results All-cause mortality, non-haemorrhagic stroke/systemic embolism (SE) and major bleeding over 2 years were compared in 25 551 patients, 7162 (28.0%) not treated with oral anticoagulant (OAC) and 18 389 (72.0%) treated with OAC (FXaI (41.8%), DTI (11.4%) and VKA (46.8%)). OAC treatment compared with no OAC treatment was associated with decreased risk of all-cause mortality (HR 0.82 (95% CI 0.74 to 0.91)) and non-haemorrhagic stroke/SE (HR 0.71 (95% CI 0.57 to 0.88)) but increased risk of major bleeding (HR 1.46 (95% CI 1.15 to 1.86)). Non-vitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulant (NOAC) use compared with no OAC treatment was associated with lower risks of all-cause mortality and non-haemorrhagic stroke/SE (HR 0.67 (95% CI 0.59 to 0.77)) and 0.65 (95% CI 0.50 to 0.86)) respectively, with no increase in major bleeding (HR 1.10 (95% CI 0.82 to 1.47)). NOAC use compared with VKA use was associated with lower risk of all-cause mortality and major bleeding (rates/100 patient-years 3.6 (95% CI 3.3 to 3.9) vs 4.8 (95% CI 4.5 to 5.2) and 1.0 (95% CI 0.9 to 1.1) vs 1.4 (95% CI 1.2 to 1.6); HR 0.79 (95% CI 0.70 to 0.89) and 0.77 (95% CI 0.61 to 0.98) respectively), with similar risk of non-haemorrhagic stroke/SE (rates/100 patient-years 0.8 (95% CI 0.7 to 0.9) versus 1.0 (95% CI 0.8 to 1.1); HR 0.96 (95% CI 0.73 to 1.25). Conclusion Important benefits in terms of mortality and major bleeding were observed with NOAC versus VKA with no difference among NOAC subtypes. Trial registration number NCT01090362.

Abstract Aims Most clinical risk stratification models are based on measurement at a single time-point rather than serial measurements. Artificial intelligence (AI) is able to predict one-dimensional outcomes from multi-dimensional datasets. Using data from Global Anticoagulant Registry in the Field (GARFIELD)-AF registry, a new AI model was developed for predicting clinical outcomes in atrial fibrillation (AF) patients up to 1 year based on sequential measures of prothrombin time international normalized ratio (PT-INR) within 30 days of enrolment. Methods and results Patients with newly diagnosed AF who were treated with vitamin K antagonists (VKAs) and had at least three measurements of PT-INR taken over the first 30 days after prescription were analysed. The AI model was constructed with multilayer neural network including long short-term memory and one-dimensional convolution layers. The neural network was trained using PT-INR measurements within days 0–30 after starting treatment and clinical outcomes over days 31–365 in a derivation cohort (cohorts 1–3; n = 3185). Accuracy of the AI model at predicting major bleed, stroke/systemic embolism (SE), and death was assessed in a validation cohort (cohorts 4–5; n = 1523). The model’s c-statistic for predicting major bleed, stroke/SE, and all-cause death was 0.75, 0.70, and 0.61, respectively. Conclusions Using serial PT-INR values collected within 1 month after starting VKA, the new AI model performed better than time in therapeutic range at predicting clinical outcomes occurring up to 12 months thereafter. Serial PT-INR values contain important information that can be analysed by computer to help predict adverse clinical outcomes.