Mutational Analysis of Patients With Colorectal Cancer in CALGB/SWOG 80405 Identifies New Roles of Microsatellite Instability and Tumor Mutational Burden for Patient Outcome
PURPOSE CALGB/SWOG 80405 was a randomized phase III trial that found no statistically significant difference in overall survival (OS) in patients with first-line metastatic colorectal cancer treated with chemotherapy plus either bevacizumab or cetuximab. Primary tumor DNA from 843 patients has been used to discover genetic markers of OS. PATIENTS AND METHODS Gene mutations were determined by polymerase chain reaction. Microsatellite status was determined by genotyping of microsatellites. Tumor mutational burden (TMB) was determined by next-generation sequencing. Cox proportional hazard models were used, with adjusting factors. Interaction of molecular alterations with either the bevacizumab or the cetuximab arms was tested. RESULTS Patients with high TMB in their tumors had longer OS than did patients with low TMB (hazard ratio [HR], 0.73 [95% CI, 0.57 to 0.95]; P = .02). In patients with microsatellite instability–high (MSI-H) tumors, longer OS was observed in the bevacizumab arm than in the cetuximab arm (HR, 0.13 [95% CI, 0.06 to 0.30]; interaction P < .001 for interaction between microsatellite status and the two arms). Patients with BRAF mutant tumors had shorter OS than did patients with wild-type (WT) tumors (HR, 2.01 [95% CI, 1.49 to 2.71]; P < .001). Patients with extended RAS mutant tumors had shorter OS than did patients with WT tumors (HR, 1.52 [95% CI, 1.26 to 1.84]; P < .001). Patients with triple-negative tumors (WT for NRAS/ KRAS/ BRAF) had a median OS of 35.9 months (95% CI, 33.0 to 38.8 months) versus 22.2 months (95% CI, 19.6 to 24.4 months ) in patients with at least one mutated gene in their tumors ( P < .001). CONCLUSION In patients with metastatic colorectal cancer treated in first line, low TMB, and BRAF and RAS mutations are negative prognostic factors. Patients with MSI-H tumors benefited more from bevacizumab than from cetuximab, and studies to confirm this effect of MSI-H are warranted.
Impact of consensus molecular subtyping (CMS) on overall survival (OS) and progression free survival (PFS) in patients (pts) with metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC): Analysis of CALGB/SWOG 80405 (Alliance).
3511 Background: CALGB 80405 was a randomized Ph3 trial showing no OS or PFS difference in mCRC pts treated with Bevacizumab (BV) or Cetuximab (Cet) in the first line. A Nanostring platform was used to determine the CMS classification of 392 KRAS wt (codon 12 and 13) primary tumors and correlated it with OS and PFS in patients enrolled in 80405. Methods: CMS for 392 of 431tumors were defined using a custom CRC Nanostring panel (39 CMS classification not possible). Stratified Cox proportional hazard model was used to evaluate the effect of CMS classification stratified by prior radiation, prior chemotherapy, adjusting for age, sex, race, primary in place, liver met only, and sidedness. Results: We found CMS1 (14%), CMS2 (47%), CMS3 (2%), CMS4 (29%), NonConsensus (8%). Results are shown in Table 1. Patients with CMS1 who received BV had significantly longer OS than those who received Cet (HR 0.47, 95% CI [0.24, 0.92]). Patients with CMS2 who received BV tended to have shorter OS than those who received Cet (HR 1.41, CI [0.95, 2.08]). Conclusions: Our data suggest that CMS is associated with OS and PFS in first line therapy in mCRC patients. Preliminary data suggest that certain CMS may be associated with efficacy of Bev and Cet based chemotherapy. CMS classification should be explored as a stratification factor in future trials. Support: U10CA180821, U10CA180830, U10CA180882 Clinical trial information: NCT00265850. [Table: see text]
Somatic DNA mutations, MSI status, mutational load (ML): Association with overall survival (OS) in patients (pts) with metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC) of CALGB/SWOG 80405 (Alliance).
3504 Background: CALGB 80405 was a randomized phase III trial that found no difference in OS in first-line mCRC pts treated with either bevacizumab (Bev) or cetuximab (Cet). Primary tumor DNA from 361 pts, including KRAS mutant (mut) pts, has been profiled for somatic gene mutations/ML/MSI to discover molecular markers of OS. Methods: Mutations in 11 genes were determined by PCR, MSI by microsatellite analysis, and ML by next-generation sequencing (FoundationOne). Cox proportional hazard models are used, stratified by prior XRT and +/- adjuvant chemotherapy; adjusted by age, race, gender, synchronous vs. metachronous, liver metastases, sidedness, all RAS. Results: BRAF: Mut pts had shorter OS than wild-type (wt) pts (HR 1.92, 95% CI 1.34,2.75; p<0.001); HR 1.65 (1.09,2.50) after adjusting for sidedness (p 0.022). In mut pts longer OS is observed in Bev arm vs. Cet arm (p 0.041); in wt pts no arm difference is observed (p 0.291, table). MSI: OS does not differ between MSI-H and MSI-S pts (HR 0.78 [0.40, 1.52], p 0.450). In MSI-H pts longer OS is observed in Bev arm vs. Cet arm (p 0.002); in MSI-S pts no difference is observed (p 0.305, table). ML: Hypermutated MSI-H pts are excluded. In a subset of 205 pts, pts with ML>5 (N=93) have longer OS than pts with ML≤5 (N=112) (HR 0.65 [0.42,1.00], p 0.048). In Bev arm higher ML confers longer OS than lower ML (HR 0.85 [0.80,0.96], p 0.004); in Cet arm no difference is observed (HR 0.99 [0.90,1.09], p 0.862). Conclusions: BRAF is a strong negative prognostic factor in mCRC, even when sidedness is taken into account. ML is a novel marker for further evaluation. The effect of Bev and Cet in either BRAF mut or MSI-H pts should be tested in larger datasets. Updated results from more screened samples will be presented. [Table: see text]
Primary (1°) tumor location as an independent prognostic marker from molecular features for overall survival (OS) in patients (pts) with metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC): Analysis of CALGB / SWOG 80405 (Alliance).
3503 Background: 80405 found no OS or Progression Free Survival (PFS) difference when bevacizumab (BV) or cetuximab (Cet) was added to 1st-line FOLFOX or FOLFIRI in All RAS wild type (wt) mCRC pts. There was a significant 1° side by biologic interaction (P int: OS = 0.008, PFS = 0.001) favoring pts with left-sided (L) 1°. Analyses of 1° tumors beyond All RAS includes Consensus Molecular Subtype (CMS), BRAF and MSI. (CMS results - see Lenz et al; BRAF -see Innocenti et al) We asked whether 1° tumor location - L vs right (R) - is an independent prognostic marker when these other molecular features are considered. Methods: We used a Cox proportional hazard model stratified by prior XRT and +/- adjuvant chemo; adjusted for age, gender, synchronous vs metachronous, CMS, MSI and BRAF status. Pts with transverse (T) tumors were excluded in this analysis. Results: Sidedness was determined in 782 pts (L - 472; R - 256; T -54). Molecular data from 728 pts (with L - and R-sided 1°s) was available as follows: KRAS -- 291, NRAS -393, BRAF - 393, MSI - 378, CMS - 533. L vs R mOS: 32.9 v 19.6 months (mo) (p < 0.0001). See Table for OS results in All RAS / BRAF wt and BRAF mutant (mut) pts. Sidedness (R vs L) is an independent prognostic marker even after adjusting for all these molecular features: HR = 1.392 (1.032, 1.878), p = 0.031. Conclusions: Primary tumor location is an independent prognostic factor when adjusted for age, gender, synchronous/metachronous, CMS, MSI and BRAF status. We are exploring clinical variables such as tumor burden, metastatic sites and measurability of disease in an attempt to explain the impact of sidedness. Support: U10CA188021, U10CA180882. Eli Lilly and Co, Genentech/Roche, Pfizer, Sanofi. Clinical trial information: NCT002655850. [Table: see text]