Potter, John D.

Abstract Introduction: Both smoking and alcohol consumption have been associated with modestly increased risks of colorectal cancer (CRC). Reports have suggested that these associations may differ by tumor molecular subtype, with stronger associations for microsatellite unstable (MSI-H) tumors. Methods: We used a population-based case-unaffected sibling design including 2,248 sibships (2,253 cases; 4,486 siblings) recruited to the Colon Cancer Family Registry to evaluate the association between smoking, alcohol consumption, and CRC. Associations were assessed using conditional logistic regression, treating sibship as the matching factor. Results: Although there were no statistically significant associations between any smoking variable and CRC overall, smoking did confer an increased risk of certain types of CRC. We observed an association between pack-years of smoking and rectal cancer [odds ratio (OR), 1.85; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.23-2.79 for >40 pack-years versus nonsmokers; Ptrend = 0.03], and there was an increased risk of MSI-H CRC with increasing duration of smoking (OR, 1.94; 95% CI, 1.09-3.46 for >30 years of smoking versus nonsmokers). Alcohol intake was associated with a modest increase in risk for CRC overall (OR, 1.21; 95% CI, 1.03-1.44 for 12+ drinks per week versus nondrinkers), with more marked increases in risk for MSI-L CRC (OR, 1.85; 95% CI, 1.06-3.24) and rectal cancer (OR, 1.48; 95% CI, 1.08-2.02). Conclusions: We found associations between cigarette smoking and increased risks of rectal cancer and MSI-H CRC. Alcohol intake was associated with increased risks of rectal cancer and MSI-L CRC. These results highlight the importance of considering tumor phenotype in studies of risk factors for CRC. (Cancer Epidemiol Biomarkers Prev 2009;18(10):2745–50)

Abstract Family history is a strong predictor of colorectal cancer risk; however, a diagnosis of colorectal cancer among first-degree relatives has not been systematically investigated as a function of the colorectal cancer molecular subtypes related to tumor microsatellite instability (MSI) status. We investigated whether the observable familial colorectal cancer risks differed according to tumor MSI subtypes, stratified as MSI-High (>30% instability), MSI-Low (<30% instability), and MSS (no instability). Data from 3,143 population-based colorectal cancer cases from five institutions were assessed for family history according to the Amsterdam criteria and the Bethesda guidelines, age at diagnosis, sex, tumor location, and MSI status. The distribution of patient characteristics by MSI status was compared using polytomous logistic regression. Overall, 2.8% colorectal cancer cases met the Amsterdam criteria and 37% met the Bethesda guidelines. There were 14% MSI-High, 13% MSI-Low, and 73% MSS colorectal cancers. MSI-High (P < 0.0001) and MSI-Low tumors (P = 0.01) were more proximally located than MSS tumors. MSI-High tumors were more common among females (P < 0.001). The highest proportion of MSI-High tumors occurred in cases <40 years of age whereas the age-dependent distribution of MSI-Low tumors was unchanged. MSI-High tumors showed a statistically significant association with increasing numbers of first-degree relatives with colorectal cancer (P = 0.002); this association disappeared, however, when MSI-High cases meeting Amsterdam criteria were removed from the analysis. MSI-Low tumors did not show a similar association with family history of colorectal cancer. Familial risk associated with MSI-High tumors is primarily driven by the Amsterdam-criteria patients. MSI-Low tumors may represent a distinct subtype of colorectal cancer with respect to certain epidemiologic variables studied here. (Cancer Epidemiol Biomarkers Prev 2009;18(3):967–75)

Abstract Microsatellite instability (MSI) occurs in 10% to 20% of colorectal cancers (CRC) and has been attributed to both MLH1 promoter hypermethylation and germline mutation in the mismatch repair (MMR) genes. We present results from a large population- and clinic-based study of MLH1 methylation, immunohistochemistry, and MMR germline mutations that enabled us to (a) estimate the prevalence of MMR germline mutations and MLH1 methylation among MSI-H cases and help us understand if all MSI-H CRC is explained by these mechanisms and (b) estimate the associations between MLH1 methylation and sex, age, and tumor location within the colon. MLH1 methylation was measured in 1,061 population-based and 172 clinic-based cases of CRC. Overall, we observed MLH1 methylation in 60% of population-based MSI-H cases and in 13% of clinic-based MSI-H cases. Within the population-based cases with MMR mutation screening and conclusive immunohistochemistry results, we identified a molecular event in MMR in 91% of MSI-H cases: 54% had MLH1 methylation, 14% had a germline mutation in a MMR gene, and 23% had immunohistochemistry evidence for loss of a MMR protein. We observed a striking age difference, with the prevalence of a MMR germline mutation more than 4-fold lower and the prevalence of MLH1 methylation more than 4-fold higher in cases diagnosed after the age of 50 years than in cases diagnosed before that age. We also determined that female sex is an independent predictor of MLH1 methylation within the MSI-H subgroup. These results reinforce the importance of distinguishing between the underlying causes of MSI in studies of etiology and prognosis. (Cancer Epidemiol Biomarkers Prev 2008;17(11):3208–15)

Abstract Recent publications have reported that common variants on 8q24 are associated with both prostate and colorectal cancers (CRC). In addition, one of these studies (the ARCTIC study) initially observed an association with a single nucleotide polymorphism (SNP) on 9p24 that was not confirmed in some of their validation data sets. In the research described here, we conducted a case-unaffected sibling analysis using population- and clinic-based discordant sibships (N = 1,567 sibships) from the Colon Cancer Family Registry (Colon CFR) to investigate the associations between common variants at 9p24 and 8q24 and risk of CRC. We also evaluated whether these associations differed by age, family history, and tumor characteristics, including microsatellite instability and tumor site. Associations were estimated using conditional logistic regression, treating sibship as the matching factor. Analyses were adjusted for age and sex, and stratified by ascertainment source (population versus clinic). We observed an association between a SNP on 9p24 (rs719725) and risk of CRC in the population-based series (AA versus CC: odds ratios, 1.46; 95% confidence interval, 1.06–2.02; AC versus CC: odds ratios, 1.50; 95% confidence interval, 1.14–1.98; P = 0.011 on 2 df). In the population-based series, we also detected statistically significant associations between two SNPs on 8q24, rs10505477 and rs6983267, and risk of CRC (P = 0.005 and P = 0.002, respectively). There was no evidence of statistically significant heterogeneity by age at diagnosis, family history of CRC, microsatellite instability, or tumor site at either locus and no evidence of interaction between SNPs on 8q24 and 9p24. These data suggest that common variants may play important roles in the risk of CRC. [Cancer Res 2007;67(23):11128–32]

Abstract Background: Family studies have served as a cornerstone of genetic research on colorectal cancer. Materials and Methods: The Colorectal Cancer Family Registry (Colon CFR) is an international consortium of six centers in North America and Australia formed as a resource to support studies on the etiology, prevention, and clinical management of colorectal cancer. Differences in design and sampling schemes ensures a resource that covers the continuum of disease risk. Two separate recruitment strategies identified colorectal cancer cases: population-based (incident case probands identified by cancer registries; all six centers) and clinic-based (families with multiple cases of colorectal cancer presenting at cancer family clinics; three centers). At this time, the Colon CFR is in year 10 with the second phase of enrollment nearly complete. In phase I recruitment (1998-2002), population-based sampling ranged from all incident cases of colorectal cancer to a subsample based on age at diagnosis and/or family cancer history. During phase II (2002-2007), population-based recruitment targeted cases diagnosed before the age of 50 years are more likely attributable to genetic factors. Standardized protocols were used to collect information regarding family cancer history and colorectal cancer risk factors, and biospecimens were obtained to assess microsatellite instability (MSI) status, expression of mismatch repair proteins, and other molecular and genetic processes. Results: Of the 8,369 case probands enrolled to date, 2,602 reported having one or more colorectal cancer–affected relatives and 799 met the Amsterdam I criteria for Lynch syndrome. A large number of affected (1,324) and unaffected (19,816) relatives were enrolled, as were population-based (4,108) and spouse (983) controls. To date, 91% of case probands provided blood (or, for a few, buccal cell) samples and 75% provided tumor tissue. For a selected sample of high-risk subjects, lymphocytes have been immortalized. Nearly 600 case probands had more than two affected colorectal cancer relatives, and 800 meeting the Amsterdam I criteria and 128, the Amsterdam II criteria. MSI testing for 10 markers was attempted on all obtained tumors. Of the 4,011 tumors collected in phase I that were successfully tested, 16% were MSI-high, 12% were MSI-low, and 72% were microsatellite stable. Tumor tissues from clinic-based cases were twice as likely as population-based cases to be MSI-high (34% versus 17%). Seventeen percent of phase I proband tumors and 24% of phase II proband tumors had some loss of mismatch repair protein, with the prevalence depending on sampling. Active follow-up to update personal and family histories, new neoplasms, and deaths in probands and relatives is nearly complete. Conclusions: The Colon CFR supports an evolving research program that is broad and interdisciplinary. The greater scientific community has access to this large and well-characterized resource for studies of colorectal cancer. (Cancer Epidemiol Biomarkers Prev 2007;16(11):2331–43)

Abstract Introduction: Colorectal adenomas and other types of polyps are commonly used as end points or risk factors in epidemiologic studies. However, it is not known how accurately patients are able to self-report the presence or absence of adenomas following colonoscopy. Methods: Participants in the Colon Cancer Family Registry provided self-reports of recent colorectal cancer (CRC) screening activity, and whether or not they had ever been told they had a polyp. Positive and negative predictive values for polyp self-report were calculated by comparing medical records with self-reports from 488 participants. Results: The positive predictive value for self-reported polyp was 80.9%, and the negative predictive value was 85.8%. The predictive values did not differ by age group or sex, but participants with a previous diagnosis of CRC had a lower negative predictive value (76.2%) than participants with no personal history of CRC (89.0%; P = 0.04). Conclusions: Predictive values for self-reports of polyps are fairly high, but researchers needing accurate polyp data should obtain medical record confirmation. Pursuing medical records on only those participants self-reporting a polyp could result in an underestimation of the polyp prevalence in a study population. (Cancer Epidemiol Biomarkers Prev 2007;16(9):1898–901)

Abstract Current users of postmenopausal hormones (PMH) have ∼30% to 40% lower risk of colorectal cancer (CRC), although associations with specific types of hormones have been inconsistent. Further, it is not clear whether some tumor types have a different risk. We conducted a case-control study to examine the relationship between PMH and CRC. Cases (n = 1,004), ages 50 to 74 years, were identified from the Surveillance Epidemiology and End Results registry in Washington from 1998 to 2002; controls (n = 1,062) were randomly selected from population lists. Case tissue samples were obtained for microsatellite instability (MSI) analyses. Interviews collected risk-factor data for CRC, including detailed information on PMH. Multivariable logistic regression models estimated odds ratios (OR) and 95% confidence intervals (95% CI). Current use of any PMH was associated with a 20% reduction in CRC risk (95% CI 0.6–0.9). This reduction in risk was limited to women who had taken estrogen plus progestin (EP) preparations only (OR = 0.6, 95% CI 0.5–0.9); there was no association with estrogen-only (E alone) use (OR = 0.9, 95% CI 0.7–1.1). For women with MSI-low or MSI-stable tumors, there was a statistically significant 40% reduction in CRC risk associated with EP use (95% CI 0.4–0.9); there was no clear association with MSI-high tumors. EP use was associated with a decreased risk of CRC; however, there seemed to be no association with E alone data that are consistent with the recent Women's Health Initiative findings. Progestin may enhance the estrogenic effect of conjugated estrogen so the combination may be more biologically active in the colon than E alone. [Cancer Res 2007;67(15):7534–9]

Abstract Smoking has been consistently associated with an increased risk of colorectal adenomas and hyperplastic polyps as well as colorectal cancer. Conversely, nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs (NSAID) have been associated with reduced colorectal cancer risk. We conducted a population-based case-control study to evaluate the joint association between smoking and regular NSAID use with colorectal cancer risk; we also examined these associations stratified by tumor microsatellite instability (MSI). We analyzed 1,792 incident colorectal cancer cases and 1,501 population controls in the Seattle, Washington area from 1998-2002. MSI, defined as MSI high (MSI-H) or MSI-low/microsatellite stable (MSI-L/MSS), was assessed in tumors of 1,202 cases. Compared with nonsmokers, colorectal cancer risk was modestly increased among individuals who had ever smoked. Current NSAID use was associated with a 30% lower risk compared with nonusers. There was a statistically significant interaction between smoking duration and use of NSAIDs (Pinteraction = 0.05): relative to current NSAID users who never smoked, individuals who had both smoked for >40 years and had never used NSAIDs were at the highest risk for colorectal cancer (adjusted odds ratio, 2.8; 95% confidence intervals, 1.8-4.1). Compared with nonsmokers, there was a stronger association within MSI-H tumors with current smoking than there was within MSI-L/MSS tumors. Smokers of long duration were at elevated risk of MSI-H tumors even with NSAID use. The risk of MSI-L/MSS tumors was not elevated among long-duration smokers with long exposure to NSAIDs but was elevated among long-duration smokers who had never used NSAIDs. There seems to be a synergistic inverse association (implying protection) against colorectal cancer overall as a result of NSAID use and nonsmoking, but risk of MSI-H colorectal cancer remains elevated among smokers even when they have a history of NSAID use. (Cancer Res 2006; 66(13): 6877-83)