Wiley, Brandon M.

SUMMARY Aim To evaluate the risks of restrictive red blood cell transfusion strategies (haemoglobin 7–8 g dL −1 ) in patients with and without known cardiovascular disease (CVD). Background Recent guidelines recommend restrictive strategies for CVD patients hospitalised for non‐CVD indications, patients without known CVD and patients hospitalised for CVD corrective procedures. Methods/Materials Database searches were conducted through December 2017 for randomised clinical trials that enrolled patients with and without known CVD, hospitalised either for CVD‐corrective procedures or non‐cardiac indications, comparing effects of liberal with restrictive strategies on major adverse coronary events (MACE) and death. Results In CVD patients not undergoing cardiac interventions, a liberal strategy decreased ( P = 0·01) the relative risk (95% CI) (RR) of MACE [0·50 (0·29–0·86)] ( I 2 = 0%). Among patients without known CVD, the incidence of MACE was lower (1·7 vs 3·9%), and the effect of a liberal strategy on MACE [0·79, (0·39–1·58)] was smaller and non‐significant but not different from CVD patients ( P = 0·30). Combining all CVD and non‐CVD patients, a liberal strategy decreased MACE [0·59, (0·39–0·91); P = 0·02]. Conversely, among studies reporting mortality, a liberal strategy decreased mortality in CVD patients (11·7% vs·13·3%) but increased mortality (19·2% vs 18·0%) in patients without known CVD [interaction P = 0·05; ratio of RR 0·73, (0·53–1·00)]. A liberal strategy also did not benefit patients undergoing cardiac surgery; data were insufficient for percutaneous cardiac procedures. Conclusions In patients hospitalised for non‐cardiac indications, liberal transfusion strategies are associated with a decreased risk of MACE in both those with and without known CVD. However, this only provides a survival benefit to CVD patients not admitted for CVD‐corrective procedures.

Background Optimal methods of mortality risk stratification in patients in the cardiac intensive care unit ( CICU ) remain uncertain. We evaluated the ability of the Sequential Organ Failure Assessment ( SOFA ) score to predict mortality in a large cohort of unselected patients in the CICU. Methods and Results Adult patients admitted to the CICU from January 1, 2007, to December 31, 2015, at a single tertiary care hospital were retrospectively reviewed. SOFA scores were calculated daily, and Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation ( APACHE )‐ III and APACHE ‐ IV scores were calculated on CICU day 1. Discrimination of hospital mortality was assessed using area under the receiver‐operator characteristic curve values. We included 9961 patients, with a mean age of 67.5±15.2 years; all‐cause hospital mortality was 9.0%. Day 1 SOFA score predicted hospital mortality, with an area under the receiver‐operator characteristic curve value of 0.83; area under the receiver‐operator characteristic curve values were similar for the APACHE ‐ III score, and APACHE ‐ IV predicted mortality ( P >0.05). Mean and maximum SOFA scores over multiple CICU days had greater discrimination for hospital mortality ( P <0.01). Patients with an increasing SOFA score from day 1 and day 2 had higher mortality. Patients with day 1 SOFA score <2 were at low risk of mortality. Increasing tertiles of day 1 SOFA score predicted higher long‐term mortality ( P <0.001 by log‐rank test). Conclusions The day 1 SOFA score has good discrimination for short‐term mortality in unselected patients in the CICU, which is comparable to APACHE ‐ III and APACHE ‐ IV . Advantages of the SOFA score over APACHE include simplicity, improved discrimination using serial scores, and prediction of long‐term mortality.