O’Reilly, Eileen M.

3528 Background: CALGB 80405 is a phase III clinical trial of FOLFOX and FOLFIRI w/ randomly assigned cetuximab or bevacizumab. Novel machine learning approaches to the study dataset provide valuable insights into CRC prognosis and management of CRC progression. Methods: Using a Monte Carlo Bayesian Generalized Linear Model analytical platform, we built an ensemble of models for overall survival (OS). We used 99 baseline and demographic variables, including 1904 patients w/ 1o side and 949 w/ KRAS wild-type status. Building an ensemble of predictive models reduces risk of overfitting, estimates model uncertainty and identifies key variables by model consensus as measured by ensemble frequency (freq). We fit gender and 1o side (L vs R) stratum-specific models to examine differences in drivers of disease in those strata. Results: 1o side (avg Cox hazard ratio = 0.89, R side reference), ECOG performance status (1.30, reference level 0), AST concentration (1.01), peripheral neutrophil percentage (1.01) and local primary and abdominal site of disease indicators (1.22; 1.26) were key variables predictive of OS ( > 75% freq). In 1o side stratum-specific models, urine protein level (1.61), treatment intent (0.75, nonpalliative as reference) and hemoglobin concentration (0.85) were more associated w/ L side progression (freq > 85% in L stratum model, < 20% in R), while liver and lung sites of disease (2.3; 1.09) were more associated w/ R side progression (freq > 65% in R stratum model, < 20% in L). Predictors of 1o left-sidedness included age (avg log odds ratio = 0.02), hemoglobin (0.41), and abdominal (3.79) and liver (0.68) sites of disease. Modest differences in disease prognostic factors existed between genders: women more influenced by metastatic status, age, liver site of disease and creatinine level; men more influenced by urine protein level and prior diabetes. Conclusions: 1o side plays a central role in potentially explaining both variation in OS and differences in drivers of OS. Availability of these measures at baseline enables better sense of disease course at initiation of treatment. Support: U10CA180821, U10CA180882, Eli Lilly & Co., Genentech, Pfizer Clinical trial information: NCT00265850.

AbstractVenous thromboembolism (VTE) is a frequent complication of cancer associated with morbidity, mortality, increased hospitalizations and higher health care costs. Cancer patients at increased risk for VTE can be identified using a validated risk assessment score, and the incidence of VTE can be reduced in high-risk settings using anticoagulation. Rivaroxaban is a potent, oral, direct, factor Xa inhibitor approved for the prevention and treatment of thromboembolic events, including VTE. CASSINI is a double-blind, randomized, parallel-group, multicentre study comparing rivaroxaban with placebo in adult ambulatory patients with various cancers who are initiating systemic cancer therapy and are at high risk of VTE (Khorana score ≥ 2). Patients with primary brain tumours or those at risk for bleeding are excluded. Approximately 700 patients will be randomized 1:1 to rivaroxaban 10 mg daily or placebo for up to 6 months if there is no evidence of VTE from compression ultrasonography (CU) during screening or from routine care imaging within 30 days prior to randomization. Mandatory CU will also be performed at weeks 8 and 16 (±7 days), and at study end (±3 days). The primary efficacy hypothesis is that anticoagulation with rivaroxaban reduces the composite of objectively confirmed symptomatic or asymptomatic, lower-extremity, proximal deep-vein thrombosis (DVT); symptomatic, upper-extremity DVT; symptomatic or incidental pulmonary embolism; and VTE-related death compared with placebo. The primary safety objective is to assess major bleeding events (Clinical trial information: NCT02555878).

370 Background: The Phase 1 portion of a Phase 1/2 trial of Necuparanib (“Necu”) combined with nab-paclitaxel (nabP) + gemcitabine (gem) in patients with metastatic pancreatic cancer (ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier NCT01621243) showed acceptable safety and tolerability and encouraging signals of activity and established a dose for the randomized, placebo (PBO)-controlled Phase 2 portion. Methods: In Phase 2, patients received daily s.c. injections of either 5 mg/kg Necu daily or PBO, combined with i.v. 125 mg/m2 nabP and 1000 mg/m2 gem (Days 1, 8, 15 of each 28-day cycle). The primary endpoint was overall survival (OS); other endpoints included progression-free survival (PFS), response rates, safety, and CA19.9 levels. An interim futility analysis was conducted in July 2016 once 57 deaths (50% of the target number of 114 events required for trial completion) had occurred. Results: The analysis was conducted on data from 120 randomized patients (62 Necu, 58 PBO). The Z-score for futility was -0.42 (prespecified boundary of -0.148 was crossed as actual score was lower). Median OS was Necu = 10.71 and PBO = 9.99 months; hazard ratio (HR) = 1.12 (favoring PBO); OS curves were intertwined. PFS was Necu = 5.52 and PBO = 6.93 months; HR = 0.97. RECIST response rates were comparable between arms: complete response, Necu = 0%, PBO = 3%; partial response, Necu = 26%, PBO = 26%; stable disease, Necu = 31%, PBO = 34%; disease control rate, Necu = 56%, PBO = 64%. The most common Grade 3+ adverse events (AEs) were neutropenia (Necu = 33%, PBO = 33%), thrombocytopenia (Necu = 27%, PBO = 5%), and anemia (Necu = 22%, PBO = 11%). There were lower rate of serious AEs with Necu (48%) vs. PBO (60%). Modest increases in APTT, AST, and ALT were noted following Necu relative to PBO. 23% of Necu and 5% of PBO patients were IgG positive with an anti-heparin/PF4 antibody titer of ≥ 0.4 at any time. There were no treatment differences for decreases in CA19.9. Conclusions: No new safety signals were observed and the toxicity profile was considered manageable; however, Necu in combination with nabP and gem did not show a sufficient level of efficacy in metastatic pancreatic cancer to warrant continued enrollment. Clinical trial information: NCT01621243.