106 Background: Androgen deprivation therapy (ADT) is one of the main treatment options for locally advanced and metastatic prostate cancer. Neuroendocrine prostate cancer (NEPC) is inherently less sensitive or even resistant to ADT. NEPC can be observed de novo (e.g., small cell prostate cancer) but more commonly arises after exposure to ADT. We hypothesized that a gene expression signature of NEPC when measured in primary tumor specimens (RP) of prostatic adenocarcinoma may be useful for predicting patients with innate resistance to ADT. Methods: Expression profiles of 1023 PCa patients treated with RP were obtained from the Decipher GRID database. These were split into training (n=529) and validation (n=494) sets and stratified by the receipt of adjuvant ADT (n=243) or no adjuvant ADT (n=780). A literature review of ADT resistance and neuroendocrine genes identified 1,557 genes as candidates. This set was further filtered, using logistic regression to select a 52-gene ADT resistance signature (ARS). ARS was trained using a generalized linear model with lasso regularization. Survival c-index and Kaplan Meier was used to compare survival differences between treated and untreated patients with high and low ARS scores (defined by median split). Results: In validation cohorts, the ARS was predictive of metastasis in cohorts receiving adjuvant ADT (10-year metastasis free survival c-index of 0.69 (95% CI 0.59-0.78) as compared to 0.45 (95% CI 0.29-0.61) in patients not treated with ADT). Similarly in a separate cohort of untreated patients that received no ADT until after metastatic onset, ARS was not prognostic (c-index 0.53). Among ADT treated patients, those with low ARS scores had a 10 year MFS of 87%, versus 70% in those with high ARS scores (p<0.001). In the subset of men who received ADT after metastatic onset and who developed castrate-resistant prostate cancer (CRPC, n = 41), median time to treatment failure was 1 year in patients with high ARS compared to 2 years for those with low ARS scores (p=0.07). Conclusions: A 52-gene ADT resistance signature was developed which showed significant differences in metastasis-free survival among adjuvant hormone treated but not untreated patients.
Contemporary treatment patterns and short-term outcomes in men with very high-risk prostate cancer.
103 Background: Beginning in 2014, the National Comprehensive Cancer Network (NCCN) recognized very high-risk (VHR) prostate cancer (cT3b-T4, or primary Gleason pattern 5, or more than 4 biopsy cores with Gleason score 8-10, or multiple HR features) as a classification distinct from high-risk (HR) disease. Using prospectively collected institutional data, we describe contemporary treatment patterns and short-term outcomes in the VHR population. Methods: Men who underwent radical prostatectomy (RP) between January 2010 and June 2015 were identified using the Johns Hopkins RP database, and trends in management were compared across the study period. Pathological and short-term clinical outcomes were assessed in men with VHR cancer. Non organ-confined disease (NOCD) was defined as ≥ pT3 disease or lymph node positivity, persistent postoperative PSA as ≥ 0.2 ng/mL, and biochemical recurrence (BCR) as a PSA ≥ 0.2 ng/mL following an initial undetectable postoperative PSA. Results: During the study period, 4,954 men underwent RP, of which 161 (3.2%) men had VHR cancer at diagnosis. The annual proportion of men who underwent RP with VHR cancer increased over the study period (chronologically 1.8%, 1.0%, 3.3%, 4.1%, 5.6%, and 5.2%; p<0.001). Sixteen percent of men with VHR disease were enrolled in pre-surgical clinical trials, with an increase from 0% of men in 2010 to 19.1% in 2015 (p=0.11). At RP, 39% of the VHR cohort had seminal vesicle invasion, 26% had lymph node involvement, and a total of 74% had NOCD. Following surgery, 33% of men had PSA persistence, and 40% experienced either PSA persistence or BCR during follow-up (median 13.4 months). Of 136 men with at least one follow-up assessment, 15 (11.0%) developed metastasis; 33% of the cohort was treated with radiation therapy, 42% with androgen deprivation, and 15% with docetaxel. Conclusions: The VHR population carries the greatest risk of clinical progression following local treatment. Over the past five years, we have observed increasing surgical treatment and clinical trial enrollment at our institution. Continued assessment of post-operative interventions and outcomes will help to facilitate counseling and establish point estimates from which to power clinical trials.
Molecular Analysis of Low Grade Prostate Cancer Using a Genomic Classifier of Metastatic Potential