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Duarte-García, Alí

0000-0003-1749-5719

Mayo Clinic

Division of Rheumatology, Department of Medicine, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, Minnesota.

Citations 58

2025 American College of Rheumatology ( ACR ) Guideline for the Treatment of Systemic Lupus Erythematosus
Sammaritano, Lisa R. , Askanase, Anca , Bermas, Bonnie L. , Dall’Era, Maria , Duarte‐García, Alí , Hiraki, Linda T. , Aranow, Cynthia , Barnado, April , Broder, Anna , Chowdhary, Vaidehi , Hersh, Aimee O. , Jules, Marimee, Kalunian, Kenneth , Smith, Benjamin J. , Smith, Natalie, Thomas, Asha , Timlin, Homa , Cunha, Joanne S., DeQuattro, Kimberly , Gomes, Laís Lopes Almeida , Iyer, Priyanka , Johannemann, Andrew, Jorge, April , Kasturi, S.Psi. Taufik , Khawandi, Jana , Legge, Alexandra , Liang, Kimberly P. , Lockwood, Megan M. , Sánchez-Rodríguez, Alain , Turgunbaev, Marat, Williams, Jessica N. , Turner, Amy S. , Aranow, Cynthia , Barnado, April , Brunner, Hermine I , Chong, Benjamin F , Hersh, Aimee O , Rubinstein, Tamar B , Smith, Benjamin J , Wallace, Daniel J , Bartels, Christie M , DeQuattro, Kimberly , Figueroa-Parra, Gabriel , Garg, Shivani , Gomes, Lais Lopes Almeida , Cuéllar-Gutiérrez, María C, Jorge, April , Kasturi, Shanthini , Kawtharany, Hassan , Liang, Kimberly P , Lockwood, Megan M , Sanchez-Rodriguez, Alain , Williams, Jessica N , Turner, Amy S , Duarte-García, Alí , Sammaritano, Lisa R , Askanase, Anca , Bermas, Bonnie , Son, Mary Beth F. , Werth, Victoria P. , Chong, Benjamin F. , Izmirly, Peter , Kamen, Diane L. , Thomas, Asha, Azzam, Muayad , Bartels, Christie M. , Fava, Andrea , Figueroa‐Parra, Gabriel , Garg, Shivani , Cuéllar‐Gutiérrez, María C. , Kawtharany, Hassan , Mustafa, Reem A

Arthritis Care & Research | November 3, 2025 | Volume: 78 | Issue: 7 | Pages: 815-839

10.1002/acr.25690 Get It

Objective To provide evidence‐based and expert guidance for the treatment and management of non‐renal systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE); treatment and management of lupus nephritis are addressed in a separate guideline. Methods Clinical questions for treatment and management of SLE were developed in the PICO format (population, intervention, comparator, and outcome). Systematic literature reviews were developed for each PICO question, and the Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development, and Evaluation (GRADE) methodology was used to assess evidence quality and formulate recommendations. The Voting Panel achieved a consensus of ≥70% agreement on the direction (for or against) and strength (strong or conditional) of each recommendation. Results We present recommendations and ungraded, consensus‐based good practice statements for the treatment and management of SLE that are applicable to pediatric and adult patients. Recommendations emphasize uniform treatment with hydroxychloroquine, limiting duration of glucocorticoid use, and early introduction of conventional and/or biologic immunosuppressive therapies to achieve and maintain control of SLE inflammation (remission or a low level of disease activity), reduce SLE‐related morbidity and mortality, and minimize medication‐related toxicities. Conclusion This guideline presents direction regarding treatment and management of SLE and provides a foundation for well‐informed, shared clinician–patient decision‐making. These recommendations should not be used to limit or deny access to therapies, as treatment decisions may vary due to the unique clinical situation and personal preferences of each person with SLE.
A Qualitative Analysis of Patient Perspectives and Preferences in Lupus Management to Guide Lupus Guidelines Development
Garg, Shivani , Hartel, Izzy, Sammaritano, Lisa R. , Askanase, Anca , Bermas, Bonnie L. , Dall’Era, Maria , Duarte‐García, Alí , Rovin, Brad H. , Turner, Amy S. , Williams, Bené, Ung, Brian , Bhavsar, Hiya, Gore‐Massy, Monique , Pulido, Nahirannette, Guerrero, N Hernandez, Smith, Natalie, Machua, Wambui, Hiraki, Linda T. , Rovin, Brad H , Turner, Amy S , Hiraki, Linda T , Duarte-García, Alí , Garg, Shivani , Sammaritano, Lisa R , Askanase, Anca , Bermas, Bonnie , Werth, Victoria P. , Mustafa, Reem A , Williams, Bené, Pulido, Nahirannette, Guerrero, Natacha, Son, Mary Beth F.

Arthritis Care & Research | November 3, 2025 | Volume: 78 | Issue: 7 | Pages: 925-935

10.1002/acr.25693 Get It

Objective A patient‐centered approach for chronic disease management, including systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE), aligns treatment with patients’ values and preferences, leading to improved outcomes. This paper summarizes how patient experiences, perspectives, and priorities informed the American College of Rheumatology (ACR) 2024 Lupus Nephritis (LN) and 2025 SLE screening, treatment guidelines. Methods We completed a cross‐sectional qualitative study using content analysis of two Patient Panel meetings for the ACR LN and SLE guidelines. Key themes were presented by Patient Panel representatives during Voting Panel Meetings along with evidence for each recommendation, to ensure comprehensive discussions and align treatment recommendations with patients’ priorities and values. Results Nineteen people (90% women) with diagnoses of SLE and/or LN participated in the Patient Panels and 17 consented to use their feedback for analysis. Thematic analysis of their discussions revealed nine patient‐reported key themes in three domains: (1) treatment and monitoring of LN and SLE: medication side effects, daily function, treatment goals, and monitoring and screening; (2) clinical communication: strategies to optimize communication and provider and structural impediments to effective communication; and (3) improving transparency and information sharing: clinical trial participation, and medical costs and insurance coverage. These themes were actively incorporated into discussions during the Voting Panels for the ACR LN and SLE guidelines. Conclusion This work supported the integration of patient experiences in the clinical practice guideline development process and aligned recommendations with real‐world patient experiences and priorities, thereby enhancing the clinical applicability of the ACR LN and SLE guidelines. image
2024 American College of Rheumatology (ACR) Guideline for the Screening, Treatment, and Management of Lupus Nephritis
Sammaritano, Lisa R. , Askanase, Anca , Bermas, Bonnie L. , Dall’Era, Maria , Duarte‐García, Alí , Hiraki, Linda T. , Rovin, Brad H. , Alvarado, Anthony, Aranow, Cynthia , Broder, Anna , Chowdhary, Vaidehi , Contreras, Gabriel, Felix, Christele, Gibson, Keisha L. , Hersh, Aimee O. , Kalunian, Kenneth , Rollins, Brandi , Smith, Benjamin J. , Thomas, Asha , Timlin, Homa , Ward, Michael D. , Cunha, Joanne S., DeQuattro, Kimberly , Figueroa‐Parra, Gabriel , Greco, Jessica , Cuéllar‐Gutiérrez, María C. , Iyer, Priyanka , Johannemann, Andrew, Jorge, April , Kasturi, S.Psi. Taufik , Khawandi, Jana , Legge, Alexandra , Liang, Kelly V. , Lockwood, Megan M. , Sánchez-Rodríguez, Alain , Turgunbaev, Marat, Williams, Jessica N. , Turner, Amy S. , Aranow, Cynthia , Barnado, April , Brunner, Hermine I , Ferucci, Elizabeth D , Hersh, Aimee O , Smith, Benjamin J , Wallace, Daniel J , Bartels, Christie M , DeQuattro, Kimberly , Figueroa-Parra, Gabriel , Garg, Shivani , Cuéllar-Gutiérrez, María C, Jorge, April , Kasturi, Shanthini , Kawtharany, Hassan , Kirou, Kyriakos A , Lockwood, Megan M , Sanchez-Rodriguez, Alain , Williams, Jessica N , Turner, Amy S , Duarte-García, Alí , Rovin, Brad H , Askanase, Anca , Bermas, Bonnie , Son, Mary Beth F. , Barnado, April , Contreras, Gabriel, Ferucci, Elizabeth D. , Izmirly, Peter , Kamen, Diane L. , Rollins, Brandi, Thomas, Asha, Azzam, Muayad , Bartels, Christie M. , Fava, Andrea , Garg, Shivani , Kawtharany, Hassan , Kirou, Kyriakos A. , Mustafa, Reem A

Arthritis & Rheumatology | May 7, 2025 | Volume: 77 | Issue: 9 | Pages: 1115-1135

10.1002/art.43212 Get It

ObjectiveThe objective is to provide evidence‐based and expert guidance for the screening, treatment, and management of lupus nephritis.MethodsThe Core Team developed clinical questions for screening, treatment, and management of lupus nephritis using the PICO format (population, intervention, comparator, and outcome). Systematic literature reviews were completed for each PICO question, and the Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development and Evaluation (GRADE) methodology was used to assess the quality of evidence and to formulate recommendations. The Voting Panel achieved a consensus ≥70% on the direction (for or against) and strength (strong or conditional) of each recommendation.ResultsWe present 28 graded recommendations (7 strong, 21 conditional) and 13 ungraded, consensus‐based good practice statements for the screening and management of lupus nephritis. Our recommendations focus on the unifying principle that lupus nephritis therapy is continuous and ongoing, rather than consisting of discrete induction/initial and maintenance/subsequent therapies. Therapy should include pulse glucocorticoids followed by oral glucocorticoid taper and two additional immunosuppressive agents for 3–5 years for those achieving complete renal response.ConclusionThis guideline provides direction for clinicians regarding screening and treatment decisions for management of lupus nephritis. These recommendations should not be used to limit or deny access to therapies, as treatment decisions may vary due to the unique clinical situation and personal preferences of each individual patient.
Thrombocytopenia and autoimmune hemolytic anemia in antiphospholipid antibody-positive patients: Descriptive analysis of the AntiPhospholipid syndrome alliance for clinical trials and InternatiOnal networking (APS ACTION) clinical database and repository (
Erton, Zeynep Belce , Leaf, Rebecca Karp , Andrade, Danieli , Clarke, Ann E. , Tektonidou, Maria G. , Pengo, Vittorio , Sciascia, Savino , Kello, Nina , López-Pedrera, C. , Jesús, Guilherme Ramires de , Atsumi, Tatsuya , Zhang, Zhouli, Branch, D. Ware , Pazzola, Giulia, Rodríguez-Almaraz, Esther , Petri, Michelle , Artım-Esen, Bahar , Zuo, Yu , Willis, Rohan , Barber, Megan R W, Roubey, Robert, Erkan, Doruk, de Jesus, Guilherme , Branch, D Ware , Duarte-García, Alí , Rodriguez-Almaraz, Esther , Petri, Michelle , Cervera, Ricard , Artim-Esen, Bahar , Quintana, Rosana M , Zuo, Yu , Willis, Rohan , Radin, Massimo , Meroni, PierLuigi , Bertolaccini, Maria Laura , Cohen, Hannah , Tektonidou, Maria G , Sciascia, Savino , Gea, Josep Pardos , Paredes, D. , Belmont, H. Michael , Fortin, Paul R. , Zhang, Zhouli, Efthymiou, Maria , Andréoli, Laura , Duarte‐García, Alí , Shi, Hui , Barber, Megan R.W. , Skeith, Leslie , Cohen, Hannah , Erkan, Doruk

Lupus | April 4, 2025 | Volume: 34 | Issue: 6 | Pages: 617-625

10.1177/09612033251332258 Get It

Background/Purpose APS ACTION Registry was created to study the natural course of antiphospholipid syndrome (APS) over 10 years in persistently antiphospholipid antibody (aPL) positive patients with or without systemic autoimmune rheumatic diseases (SARDs). Our primary objective was to compare the characteristics of aPL-positive patients with or without thrombocytopenia (TP) and/or autoimmune hemolytic anemia (AIHA). Methods The registry inclusion criteria are positive aPL based on the Revised Sapporo APS Classification Criteria, tested at least twice within 1 year prior to enrollment. For the primary comparison of demographic, clinical, and serologic characteristics in this retrospective study, we divided patients into two groups: TP/AIHA ever and never. Thrombocytopenia was defined as a platelet count of <100,000 x 10 9 /L tested twice at least 12 weeks apart, and AIHA was defined as anemia with hemolysis and a positive direct antiglobulin test (DAT). For the secondary analysis, we compared patients with TP versus AIHA, and the immunosuppressive use stratified by systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) classification. Results As of April 2022, of 1,039 patients (primary aPL/APS: 618 [59%]; SLE classification: 334 [31%]) included in the registry, 228 (22%) had baseline (historical or current) TP and/or AIHA (TP only: 176 [17%]; AIHA only: 35 [3%], and both: 17 [2%]). Thrombocytopenia and/or AIHA was significantly associated with Asian race, SLE classification, cardiac valve disease, catastrophic/microvascular APS, triple aPL (lupus anticoagulant, anticardiolipin antibody, and anti-β 2 -glycoprotein-I antibody) positivity, and SLE-related serologic and inflammatory markers. When 101/618 (16%) primary aPL/APS patients and 101/334 (34%) SLE patients with TP and/or AIHA were compared, azathioprine and mycophenolate mofetil were more commonly reported in lupus patients, however corticosteroid, intravenous immunoglobulin, and rituximab use were similar between groups. Conclusion In our large multi-center international cohort of persistently aPL-positive patients, approximately one-fifth had active or historical TP and/or AIHA at registry entry; half of these patients had additional SLE. Cardiac valve disease, catastrophic/microvascular APS, and triple aPL-positivity were aPL-related clinical and laboratory manifestations associated with TP and/or AIHA, suggesting a more severe APS clinical phenotype in aPL-patients with TP and/or AIHA.
2024 American College of Rheumatology ( ACR ) Guideline for the Screening, Treatment, and Management of Lupus Nephritis
Sammaritano, Lisa R. , Askanase, Anca , Bermas, Bonnie L. , Dall’Era, Maria , Duarte‐García, Alí , Hiraki, Linda T. , Rovin, Brad H. , Alvarado, Anthony, Aranow, Cynthia , Broder, Anna , Chowdhary, Vaidehi , Contreras, Gabriel, Felix, Christele, Gibson, Keisha L. , Hersh, Aimee O. , Kalunian, Kenneth , Rollins, Brandi , Smith, Benjamin J. , Thomas, Asha , Timlin, Homa , Ward, Michael D. , Bartels, Christie M. , Cunha, Joanne S., DeQuattro, Kimberly , Figueroa‐Parra, Gabriel , Greco, Jessica , Iyer, Priyanka , Johannemann, Andrew, Jorge, April , Kasturi, S.Psi. Taufik , Khawandi, Jana , Legge, Alexandra , Liang, Kelly V. , Lockwood, Megan M. , Sánchez-Rodríguez, Alain , Turgunbaev, Marat, Williams, Jessica N. , Turner, Amy S. , Aranow, Cynthia , Barnado, April , Brunner, Hermine I , Ferucci, Elizabeth D , Hersh, Aimee O , Smith, Benjamin J , Wallace, Daniel J , Bartels, Christie M , DeQuattro, Kimberly , Figueroa-Parra, Gabriel , Garg, Shivani , Cuéllar-Gutiérrez, María C, Jorge, April , Kasturi, Shanthini , Kawtharany, Hassan , Kirou, Kyriakos A , Lockwood, Megan M , Sanchez-Rodriguez, Alain , Williams, Jessica N , Turner, Amy S , Duarte-García, Alí , Rovin, Brad H , Askanase, Anca , Bermas, Bonnie , Son, Mary Beth F. , Barnado, April , Contreras, Gabriel, Ferucci, Elizabeth D. , Izmirly, Peter , Kamen, Diane L. , Rollins, Brandi, Thomas, Asha, Azzam, Muayad , Fava, Andrea , Garg, Shivani , Cuéllar‐Gutiérrez, María C. , Kawtharany, Hassan , Kirou, Kyriakos A. , Mustafa, Reem A

Arthritis Care & Research | March 26, 2025 | Volume: 77 | Issue: 9 | Pages: 1045-1065

10.1002/acr.25528 Get It

Objective The objective is to provide evidence‐based and expert guidance for the screening, treatment, and management of lupus nephritis. Methods The Core Team developed clinical questions for screening, treatment, and management of lupus nephritis using the PICO format (population, intervention, comparator, and outcome). Systematic literature reviews were completed for each PICO question, and the Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development and Evaluation (GRADE) methodology was used to assess the quality of evidence and to formulate recommendations. The Voting Panel achieved a consensus ≥70% on the direction (for or against) and strength (strong or conditional) of each recommendation. Results We present 28 graded recommendations (7 strong, 21 conditional) and 13 ungraded, consensus‐based good practice statements for the screening and management of lupus nephritis. Our recommendations focus on the unifying principle that lupus nephritis therapy is continuous and ongoing, rather than consisting of discrete induction/initial and maintenance/subsequent therapies. Therapy should include pulse glucocorticoids followed by oral glucocorticoid taper and two additional immunosuppressive agents for 3–5 years for those achieving complete renal response. Conclusion This guideline provides direction for clinicians regarding screening and treatment decisions for management of lupus nephritis. These recommendations should not be used to limit or deny access to therapies, as treatment decisions may vary due to the unique clinical situation and personal preferences of each individual patient.
Predictors of Mortality in Antiphospholipid Antibody–Positive Patients: Prospective Results From Antiphospholipid Syndrome Alliance for Clinical Trials and International Networking Clinical Database and Repository
Ahmadzadeh, Yasaman , Magder, Larry S., Paredes, D. , Tektonidou, Maria G. , Sciascia, Savino , Andréoli, Laura , Signorelli, Flávio , Fortin, Paul R. , Barilaro, Giuseppe , Clarke, Ann E. , Atsumi, Tatsuya , López-Pedrera, C. , Branch, D. Ware , Willis, Rohan , Kello, Nina , Zhang, Zhuoli , Rodríguez-Almaraz, Esther , Artım-Esen, Bahar , Pazzola, Giulia, Thaler, Jonathan , Barber, Megan R.W. , Roubey, Robert, Cohen, Hannah, Petri, Michelle , Erkan, Doruk , Tektonidou, Maria G , Sciascia, Savino , Andreoli, Laura , Fortin, Paul R , Clarke, Ann E , Zhang, Zhuoli , Duarte-García, Alí , Radin, Massimo , Petri, Michelle , Erkan, Doruk , Ahmadzadeh, Yasaman , Magder, Larry S., Andrade, Danieli , Pengo, Vittorio , Efthymiou, Maria , Belmont, H. Michael , Knight, Jason S , Gea, Josep Pardos , Pons‐Estel, Guillermo , Shi, Hui , Duarte‐García, Alí , Thaler, Jonathan, Skeith, Leslie , Meroni, PierLuigi , Bertolaccini, Maria Laura , Cohen, Hannah

Arthritis Care & Research | February 3, 2025 | Volume: 77 | Issue: 6 | Pages: 760-766

10.1002/acr.25503 Get It

ObjectiveThe objective was to determine the mortality rate as well as the causes and predictors of death in antiphospholipid antibody (aPL)–positive patients with and without antiphospholipid syndrome (APS) classification.MethodsThe inclusion criterion for the multicenter international Antiphospholipid Syndrome Alliance for Clinical Trials and International Networking (APS ACTION) registry is positive aPLs according to the Revised Sapporo Classification Criteria tested within one year before enrollment. Patients are observed every 12 ± 3 months with clinical data and blood collection. For this prospective analysis, we first analyzed the causes of death for patients reported as “deceased.” Secondly, we analyzed risk factors for death using the adjusted Cox proportional hazards model and calculated survival probability using the Kaplan‐Meier model based on different age groups.ResultsOf 967 patients, 43 (5%) were deceased after a median follow‐up of 5.3 years. Based on the univariate analysis, deceased patients, compared to living patients, were more likely to be older and have a history of arterial thrombosis, catastrophic APS, concomitant systemic autoimmune diseases (SAIDs), and baseline cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk factors. Based on the Cox proportional hazards model adjusted for age and for each of the strongest predictors of death, arterial thrombosis (hazard ratio [HR] 2.94, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.50–5.76), concomitant SAIDs (HR 2.97, 95% 1.56–5.63), and baseline any CVD risk factor (HR 2.43, 95% CI 1.05–5.71) were significantly associated with mortality.ConclusionIn our cohort of persistently aPL‐positive patients, the mortality rate was 5% after a median follow‐up of five years and was highest for patients ≥60 years old at registry entry. History of arterial thrombosis, concomitant SAIDs, and baseline any CVD risk factor independently predicted future death.
Treatment trends of systemic lupus erythematosus from 2007 to 2023 in the USA
Figueroa‐Parra, Gabriel , Heien, Herbert C., Warrington, Kenneth J. , Shah, Nilay D. , Crowson, Cynthia S. , Duarte‐García, Alí , Duarte-García, Alí , Warrington, Kenneth J , Figueroa-Parra, Gabriel , McCoy, Rozalina G.

Lupus Science & Medicine | December 9, 2024 | Volume: 11 | Issue: 2 | Pages: e001317

10.1136/lupus-2024-001317 Get It

Objective To characterise the changing trends in the pharmacological management of SLE in the USA between 2007 and 2023 as new treatment options emerged. Methods In a retrospective cohort study using data from OptumLabs Data Warehouse, we characterised the annual prevalent (ie, all) and incident (ie, new) use of antimalarials, glucocorticoids and immunosuppressive medications among patients with SLE from 2007 to 2023 and assessed for changing trends over time. Results We identified 19 122 adults with SLE; they were 51.2 (SD 16.1) years of age, 89% were female, 61.3% were White, 18.5% were Black and 13.1% were Hispanic. The proportion of prevalent users of antimalarials has decreased from 79.4% in 2007 to 77.2% in 2023 (p=0.0055), while the proportion of incident users fluctuated between a lowest 5.8% in 2021 and a highest 8.1% in 2008 (p=0.008). The proportion of prevalent users of glucocorticoids increased from 64.6% in 2007 to 66.7% in 2023 (p=0.0132), as did the proportion of incident users (12.4% in 2007 to 21.7% in 2023; p<0.0001). The use of cyclophosphamide (2.0% in 2007 to 0.4% in 2023, p<0.0001) has decreased; the use of mycophenolate mofetil (7.7% in 2007 to 10.3% in 2023, p<0.0001), rituximab (1.4% in 2007 to 2.1% in 2023, p<0.0001) and belimumab (0.8% in 2011 to 6.1% in 2023, p=0.0001) has increased. Conclusions Despite increasing availability of alternative treatment options, patients with SLE in the USA increasingly rely on glucocorticoid-based therapy. Efforts to improve the use of antimalarials and steroid-sparing immunosuppressants are needed.
RETRACTED: Targeting mechanistic target of rapamycin complex 2 attenuates immunopathology in systemic lupus erythematosus
Ai, Minji , Jafar‐Nejad, Paymaan , Li, Yanfeng , Gades, Naomi M. , Alexander, Mariam P., Duarte‐García, Alí , Zeng, Hu , Alexander, Mariam P. , Gades, Naomi, Alexander, Mariam P , Bautista-Vargas, Mario, Duarte-García, Alí , Zeng, Hu , Zhou, Xian , Carrer, Michele , Bautista-Vargas, Mario Alejandro

Rheumatology | December 3, 2024 | Volume: 64 | Issue: 6 | Pages: 3964-3974

10.1093/rheumatology/keae662 Get It

Utility of the 2019 EULAR/ACR SLE classification criteria for predicting mortality and hospitalisation: development and cross-validation of ominosity score
Figueroa‐Parra, Gabriel , Hanson, Andrew C. , Sánchez-Rodríguez, Alain , Meade‐Aguilar, José A. , Cuéllar‐Gutiérrez, María C. , Duarte‐García, Alí , Crowson, Cynthia S. , González-Treviño, Mariana, Cuéllar-Gutiérrez, María C, Duarte-García, Alí , Crowson, CS , Figueroa-Parra, Gabriel , Meade-Aguilar, Jose Antonio , González‐Treviño, Mariana , Barbour, Kamil E

RMD Open | November 21, 2024 | Volume: 10 | Issue: 4 | Pages: e004833

10.1136/rmdopen-2024-004833 Get It

Objective The 2019 European Alliance of Associations for Rheumatology (EULAR)/American College of Rheumatology (ACR) systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) classification criteria score (≥20 points) has been associated with poor outcomes. We aimed to evaluate its utility as a predictor for mortality and hospitalisation and to derive and validate an ominosity score based on the SLE classification criteria set. Methods Incident patients with SLE in a population-based cohort were included. The association between the 2019 EULAR/ACR SLE score and mortality and hospitalisation was assessed using Cox regression adjusted for age, sex and calendar year. An ominosity score for mortality was developed based on the SLE criteria set. The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator method was used to estimate model coefficients. Concordance and calibration were assessed by cross-validation and by plotting the observed event rates against the deciles of predicted probabilities. Results Among 374 patients with incident SLE, a EULAR/ACR score ≥20 points was not associated with an increased risk of mortality (HR 1.17, 95% CI 0.67 to 2.03) or first hospitalisation (HR 1.14, 95% CI 0.79 to 1.64) compared with a score ≤19 points. The derived ominosity score for mortality included age, sex, thrombocytopaenia, neuropsychiatric manifestations, subacute cutaneous or discoid lupus, non-scarring alopecia, inflammatory arthritis, renal involvement, antiphospholipid antibodies and hypocomplementaemia. This model demonstrated a concordance=0.76 with adequate calibration. Age and sex were the main predictors, as seen in the model including just age, sex and year (concordance=0.77). Conclusion The 2019 EULAR/ACR SLE criteria score was not associated with mortality and hospitalisation. The derived ominosity score for mortality presented good prediction for mortality but was not better than age and sex alone.