Back to Authors

El-Hajj, Victor Gabriel

https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9479-761X

Mayo Clinic

Karolinska Institutet

Citations 20

Spinal fractures in patients with versus without ankylosing spinal disorders: a nationwide propensity score–matched study on survival and health-related quality of life
Rajjoub, Rami , Habashy, Karl J. , Bydon, Mohamad , Vigren, Patrick, El-Hajj, Victor Gabriel , Gerdhem, Paul , Edström, Erik , Elmi‐Terander, Adrian

Journal of Neurosurgery: Spine | September 12, 2025 | Volume: 43 | Issue: 6 | Pages: 742-750

10.3171/2025.4.spine25183 Get It

OBJECTIVE The evidence on ankylosing spinal disorders (ASDs), including ankylosing spondylitis (AS) and diffuse idiopathic skeletal hyperostosis (DISH), in the context of spinal fracture stems from studies with relatively small sample sizes. There are no studies addressing the patient-reported outcome measures (PROMs) and health-related quality of life (HRQOL) outcomes associated with spinal fracture in this population. The aim of this study was to investigate differences in complications, mortality, PROMs, and HRQOL in patients with and without ASD who had been treated for spinal fracture. METHODS This is a nationwide multicenter retrospective study of prospectively collected data from the Swedish Fracture Register. All patients with fractures of the cervical, thoracic, or lumbar spine treated surgically and conservatively between January 2015 and December 2021 were eligible for inclusion. Two groups of patients were formed based on the presence or absence of concomitant ASD. Primary outcomes of interest included death and PROMs. For surgically treated patients, data on complications and reoperation rates were retrieved. Propensity score matching with a ratio of 1:1 was used to balance the groups prior to intergroup comparison. Variables included in the matching process were age, sex, mechanism of injury, neurological function on admission (Frankel grade), injury type (high vs low energy), fracture type, injured spinal level, time to treatment, and type of treatment (surgical vs conservative). Kaplan-Meier analyses were used to study overall survival following injury. RESULTS A total of 14,604 patients without ASD and 1368 patients with ASD were included in this study. High-energy injuries were less frequent in patients with ASD (13% vs 24%, p < 0.001). Moreover, patients with ASD were less likely to be neurologically intact on admission (90% vs 94%, p < 0.001). There were 1707 surgically treated patients without ASD and 559 with the disorder. After matching, a higher overall risk of reoperation was found among patients with ASD (9.1% vs 3.4%, p = 0.007). Surgical site infections requiring reoperation (p = 0.012), but not construct failure or CSF leakage requiring reoperation (p ≥ 0.05), were more common among the patients with ASD. Postmatching, there were no differences in overall survival between ASD and non-ASD cases (p > 0.05). Moreover, patients with and without ASD had similar PROMs, as indicated by the EQ-5D-3L index at 1 year after injury (p = 0.59). CONCLUSIONS Self-reported recovery 1 year after spinal fracture occurred to a similar extent in patients with and without ASD. Moreover, ASD alone was not a significant risk factor for death. Finally, surgically treated patients with ASD experienced higher rates of postoperative complications and reoperations following surgery.
Minimally clinically important relative change instead of difference following surgery for degenerative cervical radiculopathy: a nationwide study on 5300 patients using prospectively collected data
El-Hajj, Victor Gabriel , Staartjes, Victor E. , Atallah, Elias , Bydon, Mohamad , Elmi‐Terander, Adrian , Elmi-Terander, Adrian , El-Hajj, Victor Gabriel , Staartjes, Victor E , Klukowska, Anita Maria , Gerdhem, Paul , Edström, Erik

Journal of Neurosurgery: Spine | September 12, 2025 | Volume: 43 | Issue: 4 | Pages: 464-471

10.3171/2025.4.spine2598 Get It

OBJECTIVE The landscape of healthcare policies has undergone significant reforms, with a notable shift toward a patient-centered basis. This change has prioritized the use of metrics reflecting subjective patient-reported outcome measures (PROMs). However, these metrics are often limited, especially in terms of determining clinically relevant changes over time. The concept of the minimal clinically important difference (MCID) has been introduced to address this limitation. In this study, the authors aimed to assess the predictive capability of relative change and its corresponding threshold value, the minimal clinically important relative change (MCIRC), as an alternative to the absolute difference and MCID. METHODS Prospectively collected data from 2006 to 2021 were obtained from the Swedish Spine Registry (Swespine). PROMs included the numeric rating scale (NRS) neck and arm pain scores, the EQ-5D index and EQ visual analog scale (VAS), and the Neck Disability Index (NDI). Anchor-based methods were used to determine MCID and MCIRC. Absolute differences and relative changes were compared in terms of predictive power using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC). RESULTS A total of 5323 patients were included. The chosen MCID values were −3 for NRS neck pain, −3 for NRS arm pain, 0.08 for EQ-5D index, 13 for EQ VAS, and −30 for NDI scores. The chosen MCIRC values were −40% for NRS neck pain, −50% for arm pain, 323% for EQ-5D index, 55% for EQ VAS, and −33% for NDI scores. Relative change was superior for NRS neck and arm pain scores and NDI, while absolute difference was superior for EQ-5D and EQ VAS scores. CONCLUSIONS Relative change and its corresponding MCIRC were found to be more appropriate as a surrogate of subjective satisfaction when studying the NRS and NDI scores, whereas absolute difference and MCID was more appropriate when addressing EQ-5D index and EQ VAS scores.
Minimal Clinically Important Difference and Relative Change in Patient-Reported Outcomes After Surgery for Cervical Spondylotic Myelopathy: A Nationwide Study of 1,700 Patients
El-Hajj, Victor Gabriel , Staartjes, Victor E. , Atallah, Elias , Babaei, Darius, Bydon, Mohamad , Elmi‐Terander, Adrian , Elmi-Terander, Adrian , El-Hajj, Victor Gabriel , Staartjes, Victor E , Klukowska, Anita Maria , Gerdhem, Paul , Edström, Erik

Neurosurgery | July 10, 2025 | Volume: 98 | Issue: 2 | Pages: 358-364

10.1227/neu.0000000000003596 Get It

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Healthcare policies have seen significant reforms, with a marked transition toward a patient-centered approach. This shift emphasizes the use of subjective patient-reported outcome measures as key metrics. However, these measures often face limitations, particularly in identifying clinically meaningful changes over time. To address this challenge, the concept of the minimal clinically important difference (MCID) was introduced. This study aims to evaluate the predictive effectiveness of relative change and its associated threshold, the minimal clinically important relative change (MCIRC), as a potential alternative to absolute differences and the MCID. METHODS: Data prospectively collected between 2006 and 2021 from the Swedish Spine Registry (Swespine) were analyzed. Patient-reported outcome measures included the Numeric Rating Scale (NRS) for neck and arm pain, the EQ5D index, EQ VAS, and the Neck Disability Index (NDI). Anchor-based methods were used to calculate the MCID and MCIRC. The predictive performance of absolute differences and relative changes was compared using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve. RESULTS: 1756 patients were included. The selected MCID values were −3 for NRS neck pain intensity, −2 for arm pain intensity, 0.09 for the EQ5D index, 7 for EQ VAS, and −12 for NDI scores. For MCIRC, the chosen values were −47% for NRS neck pain intensity, −40% for arm pain intensity, 386% for the EQ5D index, 52% for EQ VAS, and −32% for NDI scores. On area under the ROC curve, relative change was superior for NRS neck and arm pain scores and NDI, while absolute difference was superior for EQ5D and EQ VAS scores. CONCLUSION: Relative change, along with its associated minimal clinically important value (MCIRC), proved to be a more suitable indicator of subjective satisfaction for NRS and NDI scores. By contrast, absolute differences and the MCID were better suited for evaluating the EQ5D index and EQ VAS scores.
Surgical versus conservative management of spinal cord cavernous malformations: a systematic review and comparative meta-analysis
Llano, Juan P Navarro-Garcia de , Ortega-Ruiz, Omar R. , Ravindran, Krishnan , Kumar, Jeyan S. , Williams, Lindsy N., Bydon, Mohamad , Ríos-Zermeño, Jorge , Ghaith, Abdul Karim , El-Hajj, Victor Gabriel , Greco, Elena, Goyal, Anshit , Tawk, Rabih G.

Journal of Neurosurgery: Spine | January 31, 2025 | Volume: 42 | Issue: 4 | Pages: 509-519

10.3171/2024.10.spine24432 Get It

OBJECTIVE Spinal cord cavernous malformations (SCCMs) are rare vascular malformations with a capricious prognosis. Given the eloquent nature of the spinal cord, considerable surgical morbidity may be encountered. Therefore, conservative management has emerged as a valid alternative, especially for incidental lesions diagnosed on ubiquitous imaging. The aim of this systematic review and meta-analysis was to evaluate the safety and efficacy of surgical versus conservative management of SCCMs. METHODS Following PRISMA guidelines, this study included articles published in full-text form comparing the outcomes following conservative and surgical management of SCCMs. Collected variables included the total number of patients, spine level, resection, myelotomy, follow-up duration, bleeding, motor weakness, pain, bladder and/or bowel dysfunction, and neurological improvement or deterioration after discharge. The primary outcome of interest was long-term functional outcome. RESULTS Eleven articles comprising 515 patients were included, of whom 343 (66.6%) underwent resection and 172 (33.4%) were managed conservatively. Patients who underwent surgery were more likely to have preoperative motor deficits, hemorrhagic episodes, and bladder and/or bowel dysfunction, indicating increased disease severity. Resection was associated with significantly improved long-term functional outcomes (OR 3.27, 95% CI 1.72–6.24) compared with conservative management. There was no significant difference between the two groups regarding odds of long-term clinical deterioration (OR 1.03, 95% CI 0.35–3.03). However, the risk of hemorrhagic episodes during follow-up was higher in the conservative group (17.3%) compared with the surgical group (1.69%). The odds of hemorrhage during follow-up were lower in the surgical group, although not statistically significant (OR 0.24, 95% CI 0.05–1.05). CONCLUSIONS This study highlights that while surgical management of SCCMs is associated with better long-term functional outcomes and reduced risk of recurrent hemorrhage, treatment decisions must be carefully tailored to the individual patient, particularly given the potential risks associated with surgery. Conservative management, although less invasive, carries a nonnegligible risk of hemorrhage during follow-up, warranting close monitoring. These findings parallel management strategies used for brainstem cavernomas, for which surgery is reserved for cases with low surgical risk and worsening neurological symptoms. However, the limitations of current data, including selection bias and heterogeneity in reporting, emphasize the need for a multi-institutional registry to better define the natural history of SCCMs and inform future management strategies.
Traumatic Vertebral Artery Injury After Subaxial Cervical Spine Injuries: Incidence, Risk Factors, and Long-Term Outcomes: A Population-Based Cohort Study
El-Hajj, Victor Gabriel , Habashy, Karl J. , Cewe, Paulina , Atallah, Elias , Singh, Aman , Fletcher‐Sandersjöö, Alexander , Bydon, Mohamad , Fagerlund, Michael, Jabbour, Pascal , Elmi‐Terander, Adrian , Elmi-Terander, Adrian , El-Hajj, Victor Gabriel , Jabbour, Pascal , Gerdhem, Paul , Edström, Erik

Neurosurgery | January 14, 2025 | Volume: 96 | Issue: 4 | Pages: 881-891

10.1227/neu.0000000000003173 Get It

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Vertebral artery injury (VAI) because of traumatic subaxial cervical spine injury is a rare but potentially devastating condition as it could lead to stroke. The aim of this study was to examine the incidence, risk factors, outcomes, and radiographic predictors of VAI in patients surgically treated for subaxial cervical spine injuries at a tertiary care trauma center. METHODS: This is a retrospective population-based cohort study, including all patients surgically treated for traumatic subaxial cervical spine injuries at the study center between 2006 and 2018. Primary outcomes included mortality and morbidity after the injury. Propensity score matching, survival, univariable, and multivariable analyses were used to study the outcomes of interest. RESULTS: Traumatic VAI primarily occurred after high-energy traumas such as motor vehicle accidents and falls from heights. The median age was 64.4 years (47.4-69.1), and 69% were male. In the cohort of patients with subaxial cervical injury, 54% had a spinal cord injury (SCI). In the subgroup with VAI, the frequency of SCI was 66% and a concomitant SCI and VAI were associated with a more severe American Spinal Cord Injury Association Impairment Scale grade ( P = .015). However, after accounting for age, sex, and associated injuries, VAI did not affect postoperative complications, short- or long-term outcomes, or mortality rates. Facet joint dislocation was a unique radiographic predictor of VAI (odds ratio 3.8 [CI 1.42-10.7], P = .009). CONCLUSION: The findings suggest that clinical outcomes of patients with traumatic cervical spine injuries were not negatively affected by the presence of a VAI. Several radiographic factors were associated with VAI; however, only facet joint dislocation remained as an independent predictor of this injury.
Determining the Predictors of Recurrence or Regrowth Following Spinal Astrocytoma Resection: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis
Hoang, Harry , Mellal, Amine , Dulloo, Milad, Nguyen, Ryan , Saïdi, N. , Magableh, Hamzah M , Cailleteau, Alexis, Ghaith, Abdul Karim , El-Hajj, Victor Gabriel , Elmi‐Terander, Adrian , Nguyen, Ryan T , Al-Saidi, Neil Nazar , Magableh, Hamzah , Ghaith, Abdul Karim , Elmi-Terander, Adrian , El-Hajj, Victor Gabriel , Dulloo, Milad, Cailleteau, Alexis

Brain Sciences | December 4, 2024 | Volume: 14 | Issue: 12 | Pages: 1226

10.3390/brainsci14121226 Get It

Background/Objectives: Spinal astrocytomas (SA) represent 30–40% of all intramedullary spinal cord tumors (IMSCTs) and present significant clinical challenges due to their aggressive behavior and potential for recurrence. We aimed to pool the evidence on SA and investigate predictors of regrowth or recurrence after surgical resection. Methods: A systematic review and meta-analysis were conducted on peer-reviewed human studies from several databases covering the field of SA. Data were collected including sex, age, tumor location, extent of resection, histopathological diagnosis, and adjuvant therapy to identify predictors of SA recurrence. Recurrence was defined as failure of local tumor control or regrowth after treatment. Results: A total of 53 studies with 1365 patients were included in the meta-analysis. A postoperative deterioration in neurological outcomes, as assessed by the modified McCormick scale, was noted in most of the patients. The overall recurrence rate amounted to 41%. On meta-analysis, high-grade WHO tumors were associated with higher odds of recurrence (OR = 2.65; 95% CI: 1.87, 3.76; p = 0.001). Similarly, GTR was associated with lower odds of recurrence compared to STR (OR = 0.33; 95% CI: 0.18, 0.60; p = 0.0003). Sex (p = 0.5848) and tumor location (p = 0.3693) did not show any significant differences in the odds of recurrence. Intraoperative neurophysiological monitoring was described in 8 studies and adjuvant radiotherapy in 41 studies. Conclusions: The results highlight the significant importance of tumor grade and extent of resection in patient prognosis. The role of adjuvant radiotherapy remains unclear, with most studies suggesting no differences in outcomes, with limitations due to potential confounders.
Impact of proton versus photon adjuvant radiotherapy on overall survival in the management of skull base and spinal chordomas: a National Cancer Database analysis
El-Hajj, Victor Gabriel , Hoang, Harry , Saïdi, N. , Graepel, Stephen , Atallah, Elias , Elmi‐Terander, Adrian , Lehrer, Eric J. , Brown, Paul D. , Bydon, Mohamad , Al-Saidi, Neil Nazar, Graepel, Stephen P, Elmi-Terander, Adrian , Al-Saidi, Neil Nazar , Ghaith, Abdul Karim , Nguyen, Ryan H.

Journal of Neurosurgery | August 24, 2024 | Volume: No volume available | Issue: No issue available | Pages: 1-9

10.3171/2024.5.jns24511 Get It

OBJECTIVE Chordomas are rare tumors that originate from undifferentiated remnants of the notochord. Currently, there are no established guidelines regarding the choice of adjuvant radiation modality for patients surgically treated for chordomas. Using a nationwide, multicenter database, the authors aimed to compare long-term survival outcomes associated with the use of proton or photon adjuvant therapy for the management of chordomas of skull base and spine. METHODS The National Cancer Database (NCDB) was queried for chordoma cases from 2004 to 2017. Patient, tumor, and treatment characteristics were extracted from the database. The primary outcome was overall survival (OS). Kaplan-Meier survival analyses were conducted to investigate differences in outcome on propensity score–matched cohorts of patients treated with proton or photon adjuvant radiotherapy. RESULTS Of the 3490 patients available, 424 met the inclusion criteria for this study. In the prematching analysis, patients receiving adjuvant photon therapy were significantly older (median age 57.0 vs 45.0 years, p < 0.001) and were more commonly male (61% vs 43%, p < 0.001) compared with those receiving proton therapy. Races were equally distributed among radiotherapy modalities (p = 0.64). Patients with chordomas of the mobile spine or sacrum were less likely to receive proton compared with photon therapy (37% vs 58%). Patients receiving proton therapy were more often represented among private insurance holders (69% vs 52%, p < 0.001) as well as in the highest income quartile (52% vs 40%, p = 0.008). Patients traveled farther to receive proton, as opposed to photon, therapy (median 59.0 vs 34.9 miles, p < 0.001). On postmatching Kaplan-Meier analysis encompassing all chordoma cases, no difference in OS between photon and proton therapy was revealed (HR 0.75, 95% CI 0.39–1.44; p = 0.39). A Kaplan-Meier analysis only including patients with skull base chordomas reached similar results (HR 0.83, 95% CI 0.31–2.22; p = 0.71). In patients with spine chordomas, however, a significant difference was found, as proton therapy exhibited a superior OS over photon therapy (HR 0.28, 95% CI 0.09–0.81; p = 0.012). CONCLUSIONS Based on this nationwide analysis, patients with private insurance and higher income were more likely to receive proton adjuvant radiotherapy, while those with spinal or sacral chordomas were less likely to receive this modality. Despite this disparity, an OS benefit was observed in patients with chordomas of the spine and sacrum who received adjuvant proton therapy, in comparison with a matched cohort of patients treated with photon therapy. Conversely, this advantageous outcome was not evident in cases of chordomas located at the skull base.
Minimally invasive posterior cervical foraminotomy versus the anterior transcorporeal approach for cervical radiculopathy: a systematic review and meta-analysis
Rajjoub, Rami , Nguyen, Ryan, El-Hajj, Victor Gabriel , Onyedimma, Chiduziem , Yolcu, Yagiz U. , Elmi‐Terander, Adrian , Bydon, Mohamad , Jarrah, Ryan , Elmi-Terander, Adrian , El-Hajj, Victor Gabriel , Nguyen, Ryan, Ghaith, Abdul Karim , Biase, Gaetano De , Akinduro, Oluwaseun O. , Abode-Iyamah, Kingsley

Journal of Neurosurgery: Spine | August 10, 2024 | Volume: 41 | Issue: 4 | Pages: 508-518

10.3171/2024.5.spine2497 Get It

OBJECTIVE Surgical decompression is often indicated for symptomatic cases of cervical radiculopathy. In the cervical spine, minimally invasive posterior cervical foraminotomy (MIS-PCF) and the anterior transcorporeal approach (ATCA) are modern techniques available to surgeons. This systematic review and single-arm meta-analysis aimed to assess surgical and patient-reported outcomes of MIS-PCF and ATCA for cervical radiculopathy. METHODS A systematic review of the literature was conducted using 1) Ovid; 2) Epub Ahead of Print and In-Process, In-Data-Review & Other Non-Indexed Citations; and 3) Scopus databases, which reported outcomes following cervical decompression using MIS-PCF or the ATCA. Specifically, baseline characteristics, operative outcomes, and changes in visual analog scale (VAS) neck pain score were assessed. The quality of the studies was graded using the modified Newcastle-Ottawa Scale for observational studies. RESULTS Forty studies with 1661 patients were identified. The comparative analysis of both techniques revealed no significant differences in complication (7%, 95% CI 5%–10%, p = 0.75) or reoperation rates (5%, 95% CI 3%–7%, p = 0.41). Additionally, there were no significant differences in estimated blood loss (55.39, 95% CI 44.62–66.16 ml, p = 0.55) or operative time (85.15, 95% CI 65.38–104.92 minutes, p = 0.05). The ATCA showed significantly greater improvement (p < 0.01) in VAS neck pain scores following surgery (ATCA point reduction 6.7, 95% CI 6.0–7.5 points vs MIS-PCF 3.0, 95% CI 1.0–5.0 points). CONCLUSIONS The ATCA and MIS-PCF are effective modern techniques for the surgical treatment of radiculopathy. Both approaches showed comparable postoperative outcomes, including complication and reoperation rates. However, the ATCA was shown to provide significantly greater improvement in VAS neck pain scores.
Proton versus photon adjuvant radiotherapy: a multicenter comparative evaluation of recurrence following spinal chordoma resection
Nguyen, Ryan, Ravindran, Krishnan , Perez‐Vega, Carlos , Dominari, Asmina, Battistin, Umberto , Suárez-Meade, Paola , Kalani, Maziyar A. , Rose, Peter S. , Bydon, Mohamad , Dominari, Asimina , Montaser, Alaa, Perez-Vega, Carlos, Lee, Seung-Jin, Moussalem, Charbel, Ghaith, Abdul Karim , Nguyen, Ryan, El-Hajj, Victor Gabriel , Montaser, Alaa S. , Biase, Gaetano De , Lee, Seung Jin, Moussalem, Charbel K. , Patel, Naresh P. , Clarke, Michelle J. , Abode-Iyamah, Kingsley , Akinduro, Oluwaseun O.

Neurosurgical Focus | May 4, 2024 | Volume: 56 | Issue: 5 | Pages: E9

10.3171/2024.2.focus23927 Get It

OBJECTIVE Chordomas are rare tumors of the skull base and spine believed to arise from the vestiges of the embryonic notochord. These tumors are locally aggressive and frequently recur following resection and adjuvant radiotherapy. Proton therapy has been introduced as a tissue-sparing option because of the higher level of precision that proton-beam techniques offer compared with traditional photon radiotherapy. This study aimed to compare recurrence in patients with chordomas receiving proton versus photon radiotherapy following resection by applying tree-based machine learning models. METHODS The clinical records of all patients treated with resection followed by adjuvant proton or photon radiotherapy for chordoma at Mayo Clinic were reviewed. Patient demographics, type of surgery and radiotherapy, tumor recurrence, and other variables were extracted. Decision tree classifiers were trained and tested to predict long-term recurrence based on unseen data using an 80/20 split. RESULTS Fifty-three patients with a mean ± SD age of 55.2 ± 13.4 years receiving surgery and adjuvant proton or photon therapy to treat chordoma were identified; most patients were male. Gross-total resection was achieved in 54.7% of cases. Proton therapy was the most common adjuvant radiotherapy (84.9%), followed by conventional or external-beam radiation therapy (9.4%) and stereotactic radiosurgery (5.7%). Patients receiving proton therapy exhibited a 40% likelihood of having recurrence, significantly lower than the 88% likelihood observed in those treated with nonproton therapy. This was confirmed on logistic regression analysis adjusted for extent of tumor resection and tumor location, which revealed that proton adjuvant radiotherapy was associated with a decreased risk of recurrence (OR 0.1, 95% CI 0.01–0.71; p = 0.047) compared with photon therapy. The decision tree algorithm predicted recurrence with an accuracy of 90% (95% CI 55.5%–99.8%), with the lowest risk of recurrence observed in patients receiving gross-total resection with adjuvant proton therapy (23%). CONCLUSIONS Following resection, adjuvant proton therapy was associated with a lower risk of chordoma recurrence compared with photon therapy. The described machine learning models were able to predict tumor progression based on the extent of tumor resection and adjuvant radiotherapy modality used.
Machine learning for enhanced prognostication: predicting 30-day outcomes following posterior fossa decompression surgery for Chiari malformation type I in a pediatric cohort
Elmi‐Terander, Adrian , Ahn, Edward S. , Bydon, Mohamad , Elmi-Terander, Adrian , El-Hajj, Victor Gabriel , El-Hajj, Victor Gabriel , Ghaith, Abdul Karim , Daniels, David J.

Journal of Neurosurgery: Pediatrics | April 13, 2024 | Volume: 34 | Issue: 1 | Pages: 57-65

10.3171/2024.2.peds23523 Get It

OBJECTIVE Chiari malformation type I (CM-I) is a congenital disorder occurring in 0.1% of the population. In symptomatic cases, surgery with posterior fossa decompression (PFD) is the treatment of choice. Surgery is, however, associated with peri- and postoperative complications that may require readmission or renewed surgical intervention. Given the associated financial costs and the impact on patients’ well-being, there is a need for predictive tools that can assess the likelihood of such adverse events. The aim of this study was therefore to leverage machine learning algorithms to develop a predictive model for 30-day readmissions and reoperations after PFD in pediatric patients with CM-I. METHODS This was a retrospective study based on data from the National Surgical Quality Improvement Program–Pediatric database. Eligible patients were those undergoing PFD (Current Procedural Terminology code 61343) for CM-I between 2012 and 2021. Patients undergoing surgery for tumors or vascular lesions were excluded. Unplanned 30-day readmission and unplanned 30-day reoperation were the main study outcomes. Additional outcome data considered included the length of hospital stay, 30-day complications, discharge disposition, and 30-day mortality. Training and testing samples were randomly generated (80:20) to study the 30-day readmission and reoperation using logistic regression, decision tree, random forest (RF), K-nearest neighbors, and Gaussian naive Bayes algorithms. RESULTS A total of 7106 pediatric patients undergoing PFD were included. The median age was 9.2 years (IQR 4.7, 14.2 years). Most of the patients were female (56%). The 30-day readmission and reoperation rates were 7.5% and 3.4%, respectively. Headaches (32%) and wound-related complications (30%) were the most common reasons for 30-day readmission, while wound revisions and evacuation of fluid or blood (62%), followed by CSF diversion-related procedures (28%), were the most common reasons for 30-day reoperation. RF classifiers had the highest predictive accuracy for both 30-day readmissions (area under the curve [AUC] 0.960) and reoperations (AUC 0.990) compared with the other models. On feature importance analysis, sex, developmental delay, ethnicity, respiratory disease, premature birth, hydrocephalus, and congenital/genetic anomaly were some of the variables contributing the most to both RF models. CONCLUSIONS Using a large-scale nationwide dataset, machine learning models for the prediction of both 30-day readmissions and reoperations were developed and achieved high accuracy. This highlights the utility of machine learning in risk stratification and surgical decision-making for pediatric CM-I.