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Levy, Bruce A.

https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7694-1814

Mayo Clinic

Orlando Health

Citations 226

Duration of Care and Operative Time Are the Primary Drivers of Total Charges After Ambulatory Hip Arthroscopy: A Machine Learning Analysis
Lu, Yining , Lavoie‐Gagne, Ophelie , Pareek, Ayoosh , Kunze, Kyle N. , Forsythe, Brian , Levy, Bruce A. , Krych, Aaron J. , Lu, Yining , Krych, Aaron J , Forsythe, Brian , Forlenza, Enrico M.

Arthroscopy | December 15, 2021 | Volume: 38 | Issue: 7 | Pages: 2204

10.1016/j.arthro.2021.12.012 Get It

Purpose To develop a machine learning algorithm to predict total charges after ambulatory hip arthroscopy and create a risk‐adjusted payment model based on patient comorbidities. Methods A retrospective review of the New York State Ambulatory Surgery and Services database was performed to identify patients who underwent elective hip arthroscopy between 2015 and 2016. Features included in initial models consisted of patient characteristics, medical comorbidities, and procedure‐specific variables. Models were generated to predict total charges using 5 algorithms. Model performance was assessed by the root‐mean‐square error, root‐mean‐square logarithmic error, and coefficient of determination. Global variable importance and partial dependence curves were constructed to show the impact of each input feature on total charges. For performance benchmarking, the best candidate model was compared with a multivariate linear regression using the same input features. Results A total of 5,121 patients were included. The median cost after hip arthroscopy was $19,720 (interquartile range, $12,399‐$26,439). The gradient‐boosted ensemble model showed the best performance (root‐mean‐square error, $3,800 [95% confidence interval, $3,700‐$3,900]; logarithmic root‐mean‐square error, 0.249 [95% confidence interval, 0.24‐0.26]; R 2 = 0.73). Major cost drivers included total hours in facility less than 12 or more than 15, longer procedure time, performance of a labral repair, age younger than 30 years, Elixhauser Comorbidity Index (ECI) of 1 or greater, African American race, residence in extreme urban and rural areas, and higher household and neighborhood income. Conclusions The gradient‐boosted ensemble model effectively predicted total charges after hip arthroscopy. Few modifiable variables were identified other than anesthesia type; nonmodifiable drivers of total charges included duration of care less than 12 hours or more than 15 hours, operating room time more than 100 minutes, age younger than 30 years, performance of a labral repair, and ECI greater than 0. Stratification of patients based on the ECI highlighted the increased financial risk borne by physicians via flat reimbursement schedules given variable degrees of comorbidities. Level of Evidence Level III, retrospective cohort study.
The Proximal Tibia Loses Bone Mineral Density After Anterior Cruciate Ligament Injury: Measurement Technique and Validation of a Quantitative Computed Tomography Method
Holmes, David R. , Murthy, Naveen S. , Levy, Bruce A. , Dahm, Diane L., Rhee, Peter C. , Krych, Aaron J. , Murthy, Naveen, Krych, Aaron J , Marigi, Erick M. , Holmes, David R., Stuart, Michael J.

Arthroscopy, Sports Medicine, and Rehabilitation | November 2, 2021 | Volume: 3 | Issue: 6 | Pages: No page available

10.1016/j.asmr.2021.09.010 Get It

Purpose To develop a standardized method for tibial tunnel volumetric bone mineral density (BMD) analysis with quantitative computed tomography (qCT) using cadaveric specimens to provide validation of this technique on a healthy control population and to determine whether osteopenia occurs following an anterior cruciate ligament (ACL) injury. Methods: qCT was used to develop a volumetric BMD (mg/cm 3 ) measurement technique throughout the region of a standard tibial tunnel. This method was applied to 90 lower extremities, including 10 matched cadaveric knees, 10 matched healthy knees, 25 ACL‐injured knees, and 25 contralateral ACL‐uninjured knees. The mean total and segmental (proximal, middle, and distal) tibial tunnel BMD were analyzed. Results The mean entire tibial tunnel BMD measured 165.8 ± 30.5 mg/cm 3 (cadaver), 255.9 ± 28.2 mg/cm 3 (healthy control), 290.3 ± 36.4 mg/cm 3 (ACL‐injured), and 300.1 ± 35.1 (ACL‐uninjured). Segmental tibial tunnel BMD demonstrated distal one‐third segments as the greatest areas of BMD, followed by proximal one‐third, and middle one‐third for all cohorts with all pairwise comparisons ( P < .001). The mean BMD was significantly greater in the uninjured extremity compared with the injured extremity in the entire tunnel (290.3 vs 300.1; P < .001), proximal (271.2 vs 279.1; P = .002), middle (167.6 vs 179.6; P < .001), and distal segments (432.7 vs 441.7; P = .004) at an average of 8 weeks following ACL injury. Conclusions A standardized method to quantitatively measure the volumetric BMD within the region of a standard tibial tunnel for ACL reconstruction was successfully developed and validated. Significant osteopenia of the injured knee occurs following ACL injury when compared with the contralateral uninjured knee. This observation has potential clinical implications for ACL graft tibial fixation and healing. Level of Evidence Descriptive diagnostic study, Level III.
Lateral Meniscal Tears in Young Patients: A Comparison of Meniscectomy and Surgical Repair
Duethman, Nicholas C., Wilbur, Ryan R. , Song, Bryant M. , Levy, Bruce A. , Krych, Aaron J. , Krych, Aaron J , Stuart, Michael J. , Camp, Christopher L.

Orthopaedic Journal of Sports Medicine | October 11, 2021 | Volume: 9 | Issue: 10 | Pages: No page available

10.1177/23259671211046057 Get It

Background: Meniscal tears are common in active patients, but treatment trends and surgical outcomes in young patients with lateral meniscal tears are lacking. Purpose: To evaluate treatment trends, outcomes, and failure rates in young patients with lateral meniscal tears. Study Design: Cohort study; Level of evidence, 3. Methods: Patients aged ≤25 years treated surgically for isolated lateral meniscal tears from 2001 to 2017 were identified. Treatment trends were compared over time. International Knee Documentation Committee (IKDC) scores and failure rates were compared by treatment modality (meniscectomy vs meniscal repair). Failure was defined as reoperation, symptomatic osteoarthritis, or a severely abnormal IKDC score. Univariate regression analyses were performed to predict failure and IKDC scores based on treatment, type and location of tear, or extent of meniscectomy. Results: Included were 217 patients (226 knees) with a mean age of 17.4 years (range, 7-25 years); of these patients, 144 knees (64%) were treated with meniscectomy and 82 knees (36%) with meniscal repair. Treatment with repair increased over time compared with meniscectomy ( P < .001). At a minimum 2-year follow-up (mean, 6.1 ± 3.9 years), 107 patients (110 knees) had IKDC scores, and analysis indicated that although scores in both groups improved from pre- to postoperatively (repair: from 69.5 ± 13.3 to 97.4 ± 4.3; meniscectomy: from 75.7 ± 9.0 to 97.3 ± 3.9; P < .001 for both), improvement in IKDC score was greater after repair (27.9 ± 13.9) versus meniscectomy (21.6 ± 9.4) ( P = .005). Included in the failure analysis were 184 patients (192 knees) at a mean follow-up of 8.4 ± 4.4 years. The rates of reoperation, symptomatic osteoarthritis, and failure were not significantly different between the meniscectomy and repair groups. Conclusion: An increase was seen in the rate of isolated lateral meniscal tear repair in young patients. IKDC score improvement was greater after repair than meniscectomy, although postoperative IKDC scores were similar. Symptomatic arthritis, reoperation, and failure rates were similar between groups; however, there was a trend for increased arthritis symptoms in patients treated with meniscectomy, especially total meniscectomy. Treatment modality, type and location of tear, and amount of meniscus removed were not predictive of final IKDC scores or failure.
Association Between Structural Change Over Eighteen Months and Subsequent Symptom Change in Middle‐Aged Patients Treated for Meniscal Tear
Katz, Jeffrey N. , Collins, Jamie E. , Marx, Robert G. , Mandl, Lisa A. , Levy, Bruce A. , Wright, Rick W. , Jarraya, Mohamed , MacFarlane, Lindsey A. , Chang, Yuchiao , Mandl, Lisa A , MacFarlane, Lindsey A , Losina, Elena , Collins, Jamie E , Katz, Jeffrey N , Jones, Morgan H. , Spindler, Kurt P , Marx, Robert G. , Guermazi, Ali , Losina, Elena

Arthritis Care & Research | October 5, 2021 | Volume: 75 | Issue: 2 | Pages: 340-347

10.1002/acr.24796 Get It

ObjectiveMiddle‐aged subjects with meniscal tear treated with arthroscopic partial meniscectomy (APM) experience greater progression of damage to joint structures on imaging than subjects treated nonoperatively. It is unclear whether these changes are clinically relevant. The goal of this study was to assess whether worsening in magnetic resonance imaging (MRI)–assessed tissue damage over 18 months leads to subsequent worsening in knee pain over the subsequent 3.5 years.MethodsWe used data from the Meniscal Tear in Osteoarthritis Research (MeTeOR) trial of APM versus physical therapy for subjects ages ≥45 years with knee pain, cartilage damage, and meniscal tear. We assessed whether change in cartilage surface area damage score (and other structural measures) from baseline to 18 months, assessed on MRI with the MRI Osteoarthritis Knee Score (MOAKS) system, was associated with change in Knee Injury and Osteoarthritis Outcome Score (KOOS) pain score (range 0–100; 100 = worst) from 18 to 60 months.ResultsThe primary analysis included 168 subjects with complete MRI data at baseline and 18 months and KOOS data at 18 and 60 months. We did not observe clinically important associations between change in cartilage surface area score between baseline and 18 months and change in pain scores from 18 to 60 months. Pain scores in the worst tertile for cartilage surface area damage score progression worsened by 0.45 points more than in the best tertile (95% confidence interval –4.45, 5.35). Similarly, we did not observe clinically important associations between changes in bone marrow lesions, osteophytes, or synovitis and subsequent pain.ConclusionWe did not observe clinically important associations between early changes in cartilage damage and other structural measures and worsening in pain over the subsequent 3.5 years. Further follow‐up is required to assess this association over a longer follow‐up period.
Association Between Graft Choice and 6-Year Outcomes of Revision Anterior Cruciate Ligament Reconstruction in the MARS Cohort
Group, MARS, Wright, Rick W. , Huston, Laura J. , Haas, Amanda K. , Pennings, Jacquelyn S. , Cooper, Daniel E. , Dunn, Warren R. , Lantz, Brett A., Stuart, Michael J., Albright, John P., Amendola, Annunziato , Andrish, Jack T. , Annunziata, Christopher C., Arciero, Robert A. , Bach, Bernard R. , Baker, Champ L., Bartolozzi, Arthur R. , Baumgarten, Keith M. , Bechler, Jeffery R., Berg, Jeffrey H., Bernas, Geoffrey A., Brockmeier, Stephen F. , Brophy, Robert H. , Bush‐Joseph, Charles A., Butler, J. Brad, Campbell, John D. , Carey, James L. , Carpenter, James E. , Cole, Brian J. , Cooper, Jonathan M. , Cox, Charles L. , Creighton, R. Alexander , Dahm, Diane L., Flanigan, David C. , Frederick, Robert W., Ganley, Theodore J. , Garofoli, Elizabeth A. , Gatt, Charles J. , Gecha, Steven R., Hame, Sharon L. , Hannafin, Jo A., Harner, Christopher D. , Harris, Norman Lindsay, Hechtman, Keith S., Hershman, Elliott B., Hoellrich, Rudolf G., Johnson, David C. , Johnson, Timothy S. , Kaeding, Christopher C. , Kamath, Ganesh V. , Klootwyk, Thomas E., Levy, Bruce A. , Benjamin, C. , Maiers, G. Peter, Marx, Robert G. , Matava, Matthew J. , Mathien, Gregory M., McCarty, Eric C. , McCormack, Robert G. , Miller, Bruce S. , Nissen, Carl W. , O’Neill, Daniel F., Parker, Richard D., Purnell, Mark L., Ramappa, Arun J. , Rauh, Michael A. , Rettig, Arthur C., Sekiya, Jon K., Slauterbeck, James R., Smith, Matthew V. , Spang, Jeffrey T. , Svoboda, LTC Steven J., Taft, Timothy N., Tenuta, Joachim J., Tingstad, Edwin M., Vidal, Armando F. , Viskontas, Darius G., White, Richard A., Wolcott, Michelle L., Wolf, Brian R. , York, James J. , Svoboda, Steven J. , Brophy, Robert H. , McCarty, Eric C , Group, MARS, Allen, Christina R. , DeBerardino, Thomas M. , Spindler, Kurt P , Stuart, Michael J., Campbell, John D., David, Tal S. , Giffin, J. Robert , Johnson, David C., Jones, Morgan H. , McAllister, David R. , Owens, Brett D. , Shea, Kevin G. , Sherman, Orrin H. , Williams, James S.

The American Journal of Sports Medicine | July 14, 2021 | Volume: 49 | Issue: 10 | Pages: 2589-2598

10.1177/03635465211027170 Get It

Background: Although graft choice may be limited in the revision setting based on previously used grafts, most surgeons believe that graft choice for anterior cruciate ligament (ACL) reconstruction is an important factor related to outcome. Hypothesis: In the ACL revision setting, there would be no difference between autograft and allograft in rerupture rate and patient-reported outcomes (PROs) at 6-year follow-up. Study Design: Cohort study; Level of evidence, 2. Methods: Patients who had revision surgery were identified and prospectively enrolled in this cohort study by 83 surgeons over 52 sites. Data collected included baseline characteristics, surgical technique and pathology, and a series of validated PRO measures. Patients were followed up at 6 years and asked to complete the identical set of PRO instruments. Incidence of additional surgery and reoperation because of graft failure were also recorded. Multivariable regression models were used to determine the predictors (risk factors) of PROs, graft rerupture, and reoperation at 6 years after revision surgery. Results: A total of 1234 patients including 716 (58%) men were enrolled. A total of 325 (26%) underwent revision using a bone-patellar tendon-bone (BTB) autograft; 251 (20%), soft tissue autograft; 289 (23%), BTB allograft; 302 (25%), soft tissue allograft; and 67 (5%), other graft. Questionnaires and telephone follow-up for subsequent surgery information were obtained for 809 (66%) patients, while telephone follow-up was only obtained for an additional 128 patients for the total follow-up on 949 (77%) patients. Graft choice was a significant predictor of 6-year Marx Activity Rating Scale scores ( P = .024). Specifically, patients who received a BTB autograft for revision reconstruction had higher activity levels than did patients who received a BTB allograft (odds ratio [OR], 1.92; 95% CI, 1.25-2.94). Graft rerupture was reported in 5.8% (55/949) of patients by their 6-year follow-up: 3.5% (16/455) of patients with autografts and 8.4% (37/441) of patients with allografts. Use of a BTB autograft for revision resulted in patients being 4.2 times less likely to sustain a subsequent graft rupture than if a BTB allograft were utilized ( P = .011; 95% CI, 1.56-11.27). No significant differences were found in graft rerupture rates between BTB autograft and soft tissue autografts ( P = .87) or between BTB autografts and soft tissue allografts ( P = .36). Use of an autograft was found to be a significant predictor of having fewer reoperations within 6 years compared with using an allograft ( P = .010; OR, 0.56; 95% CI, 0.36-0.87). Conclusion: BTB and soft tissue autografts had a decreased risk in graft rerupture compared with BTB allografts. BTB autografts were associated with higher activity level than were BTB allografts at 6 years after revision reconstruction. Surgeons and patients should consider this information when choosing a graft for revision ACL reconstruction.
Sex differences in the prevalence of radiographic findings of structural hip deformities in patients with symptomatic femoroacetabular impingement
Melugin, Heath P. , Hale, Rena F. , Song, Bryant M. , Okoroha, Kelechi R. , Levy, Bruce A. , Krych, Aaron J. , Krych, Aaron J , Zhou, Jun

Journal of Hip Preservation Surgery | June 22, 2021 | Volume: 8 | Issue: 3 | Pages: 233-239

10.1093/jhps/hnab050 Get It

ABSTRACTThe purpose of this study was to determine the sex differences in the overall prevalence of radiographic femoroacetabular impingement (FAI) deformity patients presenting with hip pain and to identify the most common radiographic findings in male and female patients. A geographic database was used to identify patients between the age of 14 and 50 years with hip pain from 2000 to 2016. A chart and radiographic review was performed to identify patients with cam, pincer and mixed-type FAI. A total of 374 (449 hips) out of 612 (695 hips) male patients and 771 (922 hips) out of 1281 (1447 hips) female patients had radiographic features consistent with FAI. Ninety-four male hips (20.9%) and 45 female hips (4.9%) had cam type, 20 male hips (4.5%) and 225 female hips (24.4%) had pincer type and 335 male hips (74.6%) and 652 female hips (70.7%) had mixed type. The overall prevalence of radiographic findings consistent with FAI in male and female patients with hip pain was 61.1% and 60.2%, respectively. Mixed type was the most prevalent. The most common radiographic finding for cam-type FAI was an alpha angle &gt;55°, and the most common radiographic finding for pincer-type FAI was a crossover sign. Male patients were found to have a higher prevalence of cam-type deformities, whereas female patients were found to have a higher prevalence of pincer-type deformities.
Consensus-based classification system for intra-operative management of labral tears during hip arthroscopy—aggregate recommendations from high-volume hip preservation surgeons
Lall, Ajay C. , Annin, Shawn , Chen, Jeffrey , Diulus, Samantha C. , Ankem, Hari K. , Shapira, Jacob , Meghpara, Mitchell B. , Hartigan, David E. , Krych, Aaron J. , Levy, Bruce A. , Domb, Benjamin G. , Krych, Aaron J , Domb, Benjamin G , Rosinsky, Philip J. , Maldonado, David R.

Journal of Hip Preservation Surgery | May 19, 2021 | Volume: 7 | Issue: 4 | Pages: 644-654

10.1093/jhps/hnab043 Get It

Abstract The purpose of this study was to survey high-volume hip preservation surgeons regarding their perspectives on intra-operative management of labral tears to improve decision-making and produce an effective classification system. A cross-sectional survey of high-volume hip preservation surgeons was conducted in person and anonymously, using a questionnaire that is repeated for indications of labral debridement, repair and reconstruction given the torn labra are stable, unstable, viable or non-viable. Twenty-six high-volume arthroscopic hip surgeons participated in this survey. Provided the labrum was viable (torn tissue that is likely to heal) and stable, labral debridement would be performed by 76.92% of respondents for patients &gt;40 years of age and by &gt;84% of respondents for stable intra-substance labral tears in patients without dysplasia. If the labrum was viable but unstable, labral repair would be performed by &gt;80% of respondents for patients ≤40 years of age and &gt; 80% of respondents if the labral size was &gt;3 mm and located anteriorly. Presence of calcified labra or the Os acetabuli mattered while deciding whether to repair a labrum. In non-viable (torn tissue that is unlikely to heal) and unstable labra, labral reconstruction would be performed by 84.62% of respondents if labral size was &lt;3 mm. The majority of respondents would reconstruct calcified and non-viable, unstable labra that no longer maintained a suction seal. Surgeons performing arthroscopic hip labral treatment may utilize this comprehensive classification system, which takes into consideration patient age, labral characteristics (viability and stability) and bony morphology of the hip joint. When choosing between labral debridement, repair or reconstruction, consensus recommendations from high-volume hip preservation surgeons can enhance decision-making.
Incidence of Hip Dysplasia Diagnosis in Young Patients With Hip Pain: A Geographic Population Cohort Analysis
LaPrade, Matthew D. , Melugin, Heath P. , Hale, Rena F. , Leland, Devin P. , Bernard, Christopher D. , Trousdale, Robert T. , Levy, Bruce A. , Krych, Aaron J. , Krych, Aaron J , Sierra, Rafael J.

Orthopaedic Journal of Sports Medicine | March 5, 2021 | Volume: 9 | Issue: 3 | Pages: No page available

10.1177/2325967121989087 Get It

Background: Hip dysplasia is a common source of hip pain and a known cause of early osteoarthritis of the hip. Purpose: To (1) define the population-based incidence of hip dysplasia diagnosis in young patients presenting with hip pain in a large geographically defined cohort, (2) analyze trends regarding presentation and diagnosis of hip dysplasia, and (3) report the rate and type of surgical interventions used to treat this population. Study Design: Cross-sectional study; Level of evidence, 3. Methods: A geographic epidemiological database was queried to identify patients aged 14 to 50 years with hip pain between the years 2000 and 2016. Patient medical records were analyzed, and demographic, imaging, clinical, and treatment history were recorded. Incidence trends were examined by use of linear regression with confidence intervals for age and calendar year. Results: Overall, 1893 patients were included. Of these, 156 patients (196 hips) had a diagnosis of hip dysplasia. The incidence of hip dysplasia diagnosis in patients who reported hip pain was 12.7 per 100,000 person-years. Patients with dysplasia had a mean age of 26.7 ± 9.8 years, while the highest age-adjusted incidence occurred at age 14 to 18 years in both male and female patients. Female patients had double the age-adjusted incidence of male patients (cases per 100,000 person-years: 16.8 [95% CI, 13.9-19.7] vs 8.7 [95% CI, 6.6-10.8]; P < .01). Of the patients who underwent magnetic resonance imaging, 77% had imaging consistent with labral pathology. Patients were treated with physical therapy (67%), intra-articular steroid injection (29%), hip arthroscopy (10%), and periacetabular osteotomy (9%). The use of hip arthroscopy significantly increased over time ( P < .01), whereas the use of steroid injection and periacetabular osteotomy did not ( P < .28 and P < .08, respectively). Conclusion: The incidence of hip dysplasia diagnosis in patients presenting with hip pain was 12.7 per 100,000 person-years. Female patients had twice the age-adjusted incidence of male patients, and the highest age-adjusted incidence occurred in the age range of 14 to 18 years in both sexes. The use of hip arthroscopy to treat patients with hip dysplasia significantly increased over time.
Association Between Baseline Meniscal Symptoms and Outcomes of Operative and Nonoperative Treatment of Meniscal Tear in Patients With Osteoarthritis
MacFarlane, Lindsey A. , Yang, Heidi Y. , Collins, Jamie E. , Brophy, Robert H. , Cole, Brian J. , Mandl, Lisa A. , Marx, Robert G. , Levy, Bruce A. , Safran‐Norton, Clare E., Wright, John, Wright, Rick W. , Mandl, Lisa A , Losina, Elena , Brophy, Robert H. , Collins, Jamie E , Spindler, Kurt P , Guermazi, Ali , Jones, Morgan H. , Martin, Scott D. , Marx, Robert G. , Stuart, Michael J. , Losina, Elena , Katz, Jeffrey N.

Arthritis Care & Research | March 2, 2021 | Volume: 74 | Issue: 8 | Pages: 1384-1390

10.1002/acr.24588 Get It

ObjectivePatients with meniscal tears reporting meniscal symptoms such as catching or locking have traditionally undergone arthroscopy. The present study was undertaken to investigate whether patients with meniscal tears who report meniscal symptoms have greater improvement with arthroscopic partial meniscectomy (APM) than physical therapy (PT).MethodsWe used data from the Meniscal Tear in Osteoarthritis Research (MeTeOR) trial, which randomized participants with knee osteoarthritis (OA) and meniscal tear to APM or PT. The frequency of each meniscal symptom (clicking, catching, popping, intermittent locking, giving way, swelling) was measured at baseline and 6 months. We used linear regression models to determine whether the difference in improvement in Knee Injury and Osteoarthritis Outcome Score (KOOS) pain score at 6 months between patients treated with APM versus PT was modified by the presence of each meniscal symptom. We also determined the percentage of participants with resolution of meniscal symptoms by treatment group.ResultsWe included 287 participants. The presence (versus absence) of any of the meniscal symptoms did not modify the improvement in KOOS pain score between APM versus PT by >0.5 SD (all P interaction >0.05). APM led to greater resolution of intermittent locking and clicking than PT (locking 70% versus 46%, clicking 41% versus 25%). No difference in resolution of the other meniscal symptoms was observed.ConclusionMeniscal symptoms were not associated with improved pain relief. Although symptoms of clicking and intermittent locking had a greater reduction in the APM group, the presence of meniscal symptoms in isolation should not inform clinical decisions surrounding APM versus PT in patients with meniscal tear and knee OA.
Risk of Conversion to Arthroplasty After Hip Arthroscopy: Validation of a Published Risk Score Using an Independent, Prospectively Collected Database
Leland, Devin P. , Lall, Ajay C. , Domb, Benjamin G. , Hartigan, David E. , Levy, Bruce A. , Krych, Aaron J. , Krych, Aaron J , Hevesi, Mario , Rosinsky, Philip J.

The American Journal of Sports Medicine | February 26, 2021 | Volume: 49 | Issue: 5 | Pages: 1192-1198

10.1177/0363546521993829 Get It

Background: Hip arthroscopy is rapidly advancing and increasingly commonly performed. The most common surgery after arthroscopy is total hip arthroplasty (THA), which unfortunately occurs within 2 years of arthroscopy in up to 10% of patients. Predictive models for conversion to THA, such as that proposed by Redmond et al, have potentially substantial value in perioperative counseling and decreasing early arthroscopy failures; however, these models need to be externally validated to demonstrate broad applicability. Purpose: To utilize an independent, prospectively collected database to externally validate a previously published risk calculator by determining its accuracy in predicting conversion of hip arthroscopy to THA at a minimum 2-year follow-up. Study Design: Cohort study (diagnosis); Level of evidence, 1. Methods: Hip arthroscopies performed at a single center between November 2015 and March 2017 were reviewed. Patients were assessed pre- and intraoperatively for components of the THA risk score studied—namely, age, modified Harris Hip Score, lateral center-edge angle, revision procedure, femoral version, and femoral and acetabular Outerbridge scores—and followed for a minimum of 2 years. Conversion to THA was determined along with the risk score’s receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and Brier score calibration characteristics. Results: A total of 187 patients (43 men, 144 women, mean age, 36.0 ± 12.4 years) underwent hip arthroscopy and were followed for a mean of 2.9 ± 0.85 years (range, 2.0-5.5 years), with 13 patients (7%) converting to THA at a mean of 1.6 ± 0.9 years. Patients who converted to THA had a mean predicted arthroplasty risk of 22.6% ± 12.0%, compared with patients who remained arthroplasty-free with a predicted risk of 4.6% ± 5.3% ( P < .01). The Brier score for the calculator was 0.04 ( P = .53), which was not statistically different from ideal calibration, and the calculator demonstrated a satisfactory area under the curve of 0.894 ( P < .001). Conclusion: This external validation study supported our hypothesis in that the THA risk score described by Redmond et al was found to accurately predict which patients undergoing hip arthroscopy were at risk for converting to subsequent arthroplasty, with satisfactory discriminatory, ROC curve, and Brier score calibration characteristics. These findings are important in that they provide surgeons with validated tools to identify the patients at greatest risk for failure after hip arthroscopy and assist in perioperative counseling and decision making.