Niedzwiecki, Donna

Abstract Background Disparities in colon cancer outcomes have been reported across race and socioeconomic status, which may reflect, in part, access to care. We sought to assess the influences of race and median household income (MHI) on outcomes among colon cancer patients with similar access to care. Methods We conducted a prospective, observational study of 1206 stage III colon cancer patients enrolled in the CALGB 89803 randomized adjuvant chemotherapy trial. Race was self-reported by 1116 White and 90 Black patients at study enrollment; MHI was determined by matching 973 patients’ home zip codes with publicly available US Census 2000 data. Multivariate analyses were adjusted for baseline sociodemographic, clinical, dietary, and lifestyle factors. All statistical tests were 2-sided. Results Over a median follow-up of 7.7 years, the adjusted hazard ratios for Blacks (compared with Whites) were 0.94 (95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.66 to 1.35, P = .75) for disease-free survival, 0.91 (95% CI = 0.62 to 1.35, P = .65) for recurrence-free survival, and 1.07 (95% CI = 0.73 to 1.57, P = .73) for overall survival. Relative to patients in the highest MHI quartile, the adjusted hazard ratios for patients in the lowest quartile were 0.90 (95% CI = 0.67 to 1.19, Ptrend = .18) for disease-free survival, 0.89 (95% CI = 0.66 to 1.22, Ptrend = .14) for recurrence-free survival, and 0.87 (95% CI = 0.63 to 1.19, Ptrend = .23) for overall survival. Conclusions In this study of patients with similar health-care access, no statistically significant differences in outcomes were found by race or MHI. The substantial gaps in outcomes previously observed by race and MHI may not be rooted in differences in tumor biology but rather in access to quality care.

AbstractBackgroundEnergy balance-related biomarkers are associated with risk and prognosis of various malignancies. Their relationship to survival in metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC) requires further study.MethodsBaseline plasma insulin-like growth factor (IGF)-1, IGF-binding protein (IGFBP)-3, IGFBP-7, C-peptide, and adiponectin were measured at time of trial registration in a prospective cohort of patients with mCRC participating in a National Cancer Institute–sponsored trial of first-line systemic therapy. We used Cox proportional hazards regression to adjust for confounders and examine associations of each biomarker with overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS). P values are 2-sided.ResultsMedian follow-up for 1086 patients was 6.2 years. Compared with patients in the lowest IGFBP-3 quintile, patients in the highest IGFBP-3 quintile experienced an adjusted hazard ratio (HR) for OS of 0.57 (95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.42 to 0.78; Pnonlinearity < .001) and for PFS of 0.61 (95% CI = 0.45 to 0.82; Ptrend = .003). Compared with patients in the lowest IGFBP-7 quintile, patients in the highest IGFBP-7 quintile experienced an adjusted hazard ratio for OS of 1.60 (95% CI = 1.30 to 1.97; Ptrend < .001) and for PFS of 1.38 (95% CI = 1.13 to 1.69; Ptrend < .001). Plasma C-peptide and IGF-1 were not associated with patient outcomes. Adiponectin was not associated with OS; there was a nonlinear U-shaped association between adiponectin and PFS (Pnonlinearity = .03).ConclusionsAmong patients with mCRC, high plasma IGFBP-3 and low IGFBP-7 were associated with longer OS and PFS. Extreme levels of adiponectin were associated with shorter PFS. These findings suggest potential avenues for prognostic and therapeutic innovation.

Abstract Background: Hyperinsulinemia is considered to be important in the development of colon cancer, but few studies have investigated the associations of hyperinsulinemia with colon cancer survival via dietary scores. Methods: Empirical dietary index for hyperinsulinemia (EDIH) was derived to assess the insulinemic potential of daily diets reflecting the long-term insulin exposure, with higher (more positive) scores indicating higher insulinemic diets. We prospectively estimated the HRs and 95% confidence intervals (CI) to investigate the association of EDIH with disease-free, recurrence-free, and overall survival among patients with stage III colon cancer (1999–2009) enrolled in a randomized adjuvant chemotherapy trial (CALGB 89803). Results: Of 1,024 patients (median follow-up: 7.3 years), 311 died, 350 had recurrences, and 394 had events for disease-free survival. Compared with patients in the lowest quintile of EDIH, the corresponding HRs of patients in the highest quintile for disease-free survival events, cancer recurrence, and overall mortality were 0.80 (95% CI, 0.56–1.15), 0.76 (95% CI, 0.51–1.11), and 0.77 (95% CI, 0.52–1.14). Conclusions: Higher EDIH was not associated with the risk of colon cancer recurrence or mortality in this population of patients with stage III colon cancer. Impact: EDIH, as a measure of dietary insulinemic potential, may be associated with colon cancer risk but not survival in patients with late-stage colon cancer.

4086 Background: The randomized phase III CALGB/SWOG 80405 trial found no difference in overall survival (OS) in first-line mCRC pts treated with either bevacizumab (Bev) or cetuximab (Cet) combined with the same chemotherapy. We investigated the potential prognostic and predictive value of HER2 amplification and HER2 gene expression using NGS and Nanostring data. Methods: Primary tumor DNA from 559 patients (pts) was profiled for HER2 amplification by NGS (Foundation One). Tumor tissue from 925 pts was tested for Nanostring gene expression using an 800 gene panel. OS and progression free survival (PFS) were the endpoints as time-to-event variables. Cox proportional hazard models with gene expression fitted with linear spline (one internal knot at median) were used, adjusting for pts baseline characteristics, treatment assignment, and molecular features (microsatellite instability, BRAF, all RAS). Results: Of 505 tumors with both NGS and Nanostring data, 16 harbored HER2 amplification (copy number variation > 6), limited to microsatellite stable tumors and significantly associated with HER2 expression ( P < 0.001) and wild-type RAS ( P = 0.036). HER2 amplification was neither prognostic nor predictive for OS or PFS. Conversely, HER2 expression higher than median was associated with longer PFS ( P = 0.018) but not OS ( P = 0.13). Among pts with HER2 not amplified, higher HER2 expression was associated with better OS (hazard ratio [HR], 0.83; 95%CI, 0.72-0.97; P = 0.016) and PFS (HR, 0.85; 95%CI, 0.74-0.98; P = 0.027) when the expression was less than median. Additionally, in pts with no HER2 amplification and HER2 expression lower than median, treatment with Cet was associated with worse PFS compared to Bev (HR, 1.46; 95%CI, 1.12-1.90; P = 0.005). This effect was not observed with expression higher than median regardless of HER2 amplification status. Conclusions: To our knowledge, this is the largest analysis of HER2 amplification and gene expression in mCRC pts treated with standard therapy. Our results provide novel insight on the predictive and prognostic value of HER2 gene expression in pts treated with Cet- and Bev-based regimens. Upon validation, these findings could inform pts selection and the design of more effective treatment options for pts with low HER2 expression. Clinical trial information: NCT00265850.

4003 Background: Aspirin and cyclooxygenase-2 (COX-2) inhibitors have been associated with a reduced risk of colorectal polyps and cancer in observational and randomized studies. CALGB/SWOG 80702 tested the effect of celecoxib, a COX-2 inhibitor, on reducing the risk of recurrence in stage III CC. Methods: CALGB/SWOG 80702 is a 2x2 randomized controlled phase III trial of 3 v 6 months of adjuvant FOLFOX (data previously reported as part of the IDEA collaboration) with concurrent celecoxib (400 mg daily) v placebo x 3 yrs for patients (pts) with resected stage III CC. The primary endpoint of the trial is disease-free survival (DFS), defined as time from randomization to recurrence or death from any cause. The trial was designed to provide 91% power to detect a hazard ratio (HR) of 0.79 in favor of celecoxib with 2-sided alpha = 0.05 (775 events required); due to slowing accumulation of events 4 years after complete accrual, power was lowered to 85% with same HR and alpha assumptions (696 events required). The DSMB released data on February 24, 2020 at median f/u of 5.6 yrs with 689 DFS events. Results: Between June 2010 and November 2015, 2,526 pts were consented and randomized to the trial. Treatment arms were well balanced by patient and tumor prognostic features, as well as low-dose aspirin use. Baseline characteristics included 45% female, 18% non-White, 8% Hispanic, 15% T4, 26% N2. 3-yr DFS for celecoxib was 76.3% v 73.3% for placebo (HR 0.89 [95% CI 0.77-1.04]; P = 0.14). 5-yr overall survival (OS) was 83.9% for celecoxib v 81.7% for placebo (HR 0.87 [95% CI 0.72-1.05]; P = 0.14). When considering the 4 treatment arms separately, 3-yr DFS was 77.0% for 12 months FOLFOX + celecoxib, 74.9% for 12 months FOLFOX + placebo, 75.5% for 6 months FOLFOX + celecoxib, and 71.9% for 6 months FOLFOX + placebo (log rank P = 0.22; P interaction = 0.64). There were no significant differences in grade 3-4 toxicity with celecoxib v placebo. Compliance with protocol celecoxib treatment, defined as 3 yrs of therapy completion or recurrence/death while on treatment, was 58.1% pts on celecoxib and 60.2% pts on placebo. Conclusions: The addition of celecoxib to standard chemotherapy did not significantly improve DFS or OS. Clinical trial information: NCT01150045 .

11011 Background: Beyond KRAS status, there are no validated markers for anti-EGFR therapy in mCRC. While expression of genes within the EGF signaling axis has been reported to correlate with benefit, most reports used data from non-randomized trials which cannot distinguish between general prognostic markers and markers that predict for benefit from C. CALGB 80203 was a 238-patient (pt), 4-arm, randomized phase II study of FOLFOX or FOLFIRI +/- C in mCRC pts. Formalin-fixed, paraffin-embedded (FFPE) tumor samples from CALGB 80203 were analyzed for gene expression of HER family ligands, receptors and regulators. Methods: FFPE tumor samples from consenting pts were analyzed for AREG, BTC, CD73, DUSP4, EGF, EGFR, EPGN, EREG, HB-EGF, HER2, HER3, HER4, PHLDA1 and TGFa by RT-qPCR. Interaction between baseline gene expression levels and treatment (C) with respect to progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) was modeled using a multiplicative Cox proportional hazards model. Results: Baseline tumor tissue was available from 103 pts; 55% of tumors were KRAS wild type (WT). Two prognostic markers were identified; higher tumor mRNA levels of HER2 (HR=0.64, p=0.002) and EREG (HR=0.89, p=0.016) were associated with longer PFS across all pts. Potential predictive markers of benefit for C were identified. In KRAS WT tumors, lower HER3 expression was associated with longer OS from C treatment while higher HER3 expression was associated with shorter OS from C treatment (chemo + C: HR=1.15; chemo only: HR=0.48, interaction p=0.029). No association was observed for HER3 and outcome in KRAS mutant (MT) tumors. Interestingly, higher CD73 expression was associated with longer PFS in C-treated pts in both KRASWT (chemo + C: HR=0.91; chemo only: HR=1.57, interaction p=0.026) and MT tumors (chemo + C: HR=0.80; chemo only: HR=1.29, p=0.025). Conclusions: In one of the first reports using data from a randomized study, gene expression of HER3 and CD73 were identified as potential predictive markers for C. These data implicate not only HER axis signaling but also immune modulation as potential mechanisms of C action and sensitivity, and warrant confirmation in other large randomized trials.

3509 Background: FOLFIRI or FOLFOX are 1st-line treatments (Rx) for MCRC. Cetuximab is an IgG1 Mab that targets the epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR) and is approved as monotherapy or in combination with irinotecan in irinotecan-refractory, EGFR + pts with MCRC. CALGB 80203 randomized untreated MCRC pts to FOLFOX or FOLFIRI ± cetuximab (independent of EGFR status.) Methods: Pts with performance status 0–1 with tumor blocks available for EGFR analysis received either irinotecan 180 mg/m2 over 1.5 hours (h) or oxaliplatin 85 mg/m2 over 2h combined with LV 400 mg/m2 over 2h and 5FU 400 mg/m2 bolus, then 46–48h CI 5FU 2400 mg/m2 q o w. Cetuximab dose: 400 mg/m2 loading dose, then 250 mg/m2 qw. Rx continued until progression or toxicity; subsequent Rx was not mandated although information was collected on such rx. Accrual goal was 2200 pts with intended 1° endpt of overall survival (OS). 80203 closed administratively in 1/05 (due to slow accrual) with 238 pts accrued. 2° endpts of response rate (RR), progression free survival (PFS), duration of R and toxicity are now able to be analyzed. Results: Accrual: FOLFIRI (A) - 61; FOLFIRI + cetuximab (B) - 59: FOLFOX (C) - 60; FOLFOX + cetuximab (D) - 58; approx median follow-up (f/u) is 12 months. RR (CR + PR, not all yet confirmed): A - 34%; B - 42%; C - 32%; D - 55%. RR was similar in the FOLFIRI or FOLFOX arms (A+B v. C+D; 38% v. 43%, p=0.44; chi-square) while C225 containing arms (B+D) v. non-C225 arms (A+C) had a superior RR (49% v. 33%; p=0.014, chi-square) It is too early to tell if there are differences in PFS, duration of response or OS. No significant differences in gr III diarrhea or any gr IV toxicities were seen. Conclusions: These results suggest that FOLFIRI and FOLFOX are similar in efficacy for pts with untreated MCRC and that adding cetuximab to either in1st-line Rx appears to increase response rates. PFS and duration of response do not appear different at this analysis. Further f/u and an analysis of prospective companion correlative studies may help to further clarify these results. [Table: see text]