Goldberg, Richard M.

PURPOSERegular physical activity is associated with reduced risk of recurrence and mortality in patients with nonmetastatic colorectal cancer. Its influence on patients with advanced/metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC) has been largely unexplored.PATIENTS AND METHODSWe conducted a prospective cohort study nested in Cancer and Leukemia Group B (Alliance)/SWOG 80405 (ClinicalTrials.gov identifier: NCT00265850 ), a National Cancer Institute–sponsored phase III trial of systemic therapy for mCRC. Within 1 month after therapy initiation, patients were invited to complete a validated questionnaire that reported average physical activity over the previous 2 months. On the basis of responses, we calculated metabolic equivalent task (MET) hours per week to quantify physical activity. The primary end point of the clinical trial and this companion study was overall survival (OS). Secondary end points included progression-free survival (PFS) and first grade 3 or greater treatment-related adverse events. To minimize confounding by poor and declining health, we excluded patients who experienced progression or died within 60 days of activity assessment and used Cox proportional hazards regression analysis to adjust for known prognostic factors, comorbidities, and weight loss.RESULTSThe final cohort included 1,218 patients. Compared with patients engaged in less than 3 MET hours per week of physical activity, patients engaged in 18 or more MET hours per week experienced an adjusted hazard ratio for OS of 0.85 (95% CI, 0.71 to 1.02; PTrend= .06) and for PFS of 0.83 (95% CI, 0.70 to 0.99; PTrend= .01). Compared with patients engaging in less than 9 MET hours per week, patients engaging in 9 or more MET hours per week experienced an adjusted hazard ratio for grade 3 or greater treatment-related adverse events of 0.73 (95% CI, 0.62 to 0.86; PTrend< .001).CONCLUSIONAmong patients with mCRC in Cancer and Leukemia Group B (Alliance)/SWOG 80405, association of physical activity with OS was not statistically significant. Greater physical activity was associated with longer PFS and lower adjusted risk for first grade 3 or greater treatment-related adverse events.

Abstract Background: In non-metastatic colorectal cancer, a body mass index (BMI) paradox is observed where overweight and early obese patients experience improved outcomes compared to patients with normal, low, or morbidly obese BMI. The influence of obesity on patients with advanced or metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC) is relatively unexplored. Methods: We conducted a prospective BMI companion study in CALGB (now Alliance for Clinical Trials in Oncology)/SWOG 80405, a phase III mCRC treatment trial. BMI was measured at trial registration. Primary and secondary endpoints were overall and progression-free survival, respectively. To minimize confounding by poor and rapidly declining health, we used Cox proportional hazards regression to adjust for known prognostic factors, comorbidities, physical activity, and weight loss, and excluded individuals with low BMI &lt;21 from statistical tests for trend. We also examined self-reported weight loss over the six months prior to trial enrollment as an independent predictor of patient outcome. Results: In this sub-study of a phase III mCRC trial, BMI was recorded for all 2,323 patients enrolled. Following adjustment for confounders, there were no significant associations between BMI and overall or progression-free survival (excluding BMI &lt;21, Ptrend with increasing BMI = 0.12 and 0.42, respectively). Conversely, weight loss prior to treatment was associated with shorter overall and progression-free survival; compared to individuals with weight change &lt;5%, individuals with weight loss &gt;20% experienced an adjusted hazard ratio of 1.46 for all-cause mortality (95% confidence interval 1.15 to 1.85, Ptrend &lt;.0001) and of 1.27 for disease progression or death (95% confidence interval 1.04 to 1.56, Ptrend = .009). Conclusion: In this prospective study of patients with mCRC, BMI at time of first-line chemotherapy initiation was not associated with patient outcome. Weight loss prior to study entry was associated with increased risk of patient mortality and disease progression. Citation Format: Brendan Guercio, Sui Zhang, Alan P. Venook, Fang-Shu Ou, Donna Niedzwiecki, Heinz-Josef Lenz, Federico Innocenti, Hanna Sanoff, Michelle R. Mahoney, Bert H. O'Neil, James E. Shaw, Blase N. Polite, Howard S. Hochster, James N. Atkins, Richard M. Goldberg, Robert J. Mayer, Charles D. Blanke, Charles S. Fuchs, Jeffrey A. Meyerhardt. Body mass index, weight loss, and progression and mortality in metastatic colorectal cancer: Results from CALGB/SWOG 80405 (Alliance) [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the American Association for Cancer Research Annual Meeting 2019; 2019 Mar 29-Apr 3; Atlanta, GA. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2019;79(13 Suppl):Abstract nr 3285.

3583 Background: The Microsatellite instability (MSI) or deficient mismatch repair (dMMR) phenotype is usually taken as a single biological entity whereas no data are available concerning prognosis and response to chemotherapy between sporadic and familial dMMR cases. Methods: Resected KRAS exon 2 wild-type (WT) tumor stage III colon cancers (N = 4596) from patients (pts) randomly assigned to FOLFOX +/- cetuximab in two adjuvant large phase III trials were prospectively analyzed for MSI status and dMMR mechanism (sporadic vs familial). Stratified Cox models were used to assess prognostic and predictive values of dMMR mechanism by treatment arms, adjusting for age, gender, tumor grade, ECOG PS, pT/pN stage and primary tumor location. Results: Among dMMR patients with complete data for dMMR mechanism analysis (N = 354), there were 255 (72%) sporadic ( BRAF mutated or WT with MLH1 methylation) and 99 (28%) familial (loss of MSH2 or MSH6, or loss MLH1 with BRAF WT and unmethylated MLH1) cases. A large proportion of dMMR sporadic cases were mutated for BRAF (n = 200; 80%). In pts treated with FOLFOX, the disease-free survival (DFS) was not statistically different by dMMR mechanism, while for pts treated with FOLFOX + cetuximab, the sporadic cases did worse than familial cases (DFS; adjusted (adj) HR, 2.69; 95% CI, 1.02-7.08; P= 0.04). Considering the predictive value, a deleterious effect of adding cetuximab to FOLFOX was observed in sporadic (DFS; adjHR, 1.68; 95% CI, 1.01-2.79; P= 0.04) but not in familial dMMR pts (interaction P value regarding treatment effect = 0.03). Furthermore, a non-significant trend to a deleterious effect of adding cetuximab to FOLFOX was observed in BRAF mutant (DFS; adjHR, 1.66; 95% CI, 0.95-2.92; P= 0.07) but not in BRAF WT pts. Conclusions: The addition of cetuximab to FOLFOX was associated with reduced DFS in patients with sporadic dMMR cases. Further studies including the methylator phenotype (CIMP) analysis are needed to validate these results. Clinical trial information: NCT00265811 and NCT00079274.

3520 Background: Duration of adjuvant FOLFOX or CAPOX for stage III CC is being guided by pt stratification into low (T1-3N1) and high (T4 or N2) risk groups based on the IDEA study. We determined the relative contributions of clinical and molecular features for prediction of time-to-recurrence (TTR) and survival after recurrence (SAR) within each risk group. Methods: Stage III CC (N=5,430) from 2 trials of adjuvant FOLFOX ± cetuximab with similar outcome by study arm [NCCTG N0147 (Alliance), PETACC-8] were used. Tumors were analyzed for mismatch repair (dMMR vs pMMR), mutations in KRAS (exon 2) and BRAFV600E. Median pt follow-up was 83.4 months. Relative contributions to predicting outcome were assessed using χ2 (Harrell’s rms) based on multivariable (MV) Cox models. Results: N (50.8%) and T (31.8%) stage were the top two contributors to prediction of TTR which supports risk grouping. High risk (n=2566) vs low risk (n=2774) pts had poorer TTR (HR 2.7, 95% CI, 2.4-3.0) and SAR [HR 1.6 (1.4-1.9)], both p<.0001. TTR: KRAS contributed the most to predicting TTR among high (58.6%) and low (51.1%) risk pts (Table). Contribution of MMR (16%) to predicting TTR was limited to low risk pts. Contribution of BRAFV600E to TTR was nearly 3-fold increased in high vs low risk pts. SAR: BRAFV600E contributed the most to predicting SAR, especially in high vs low risk pts (2-fold increase). Tumor sidedness and performance status (PS) were key contributors to SAR, but not TTR. MV associations: TTR: low risk, KRAS [HR 1.7 (1.4-2.3], MMR [HR 0.55 (.35-.87), gender (M/F) [HR 1.3 (1.0-1.5)], all p<.04]; high risk: BRAF [HR 1.3 (1.1-1.7)], sidedness (R vs L) [HR 1.14 (1.0-1.3)], KRAS [HR 1.4 (1.2-1.6)], all p<.04]. SAR: BRAF, sidedness, PS (all p<.05). Conclusions: KRAS mutation was the strongest predictor of shorter TTR in both risk groups whereas BRAFV600E was the primary driver of SAR, especially in high risk pts. Support: U10CA180821, U10CA180882, U24CA196171; BMS, Pfizer, Sanofi. NCT00079274.[Table: see text]

3502 Background: DFS with 3 years median follow-up (3yDFS) was validated as a surrogate for OS with 5 years median follow-up (5yOS) in adjuvant chemotherapy CC trials prior. Recent data showed improved survival after recurrence and OS, over time, in pts who received adjuvant FOLFOX. Hence, re-evaluation of the association between DFS and OS, as well as the optimal follow-up of OS to aid its utility in future adjuvant trials is needed. Methods: Individual patient data from 8 randomized adjuvant studies conducted from 1998-2009 were included; 3 trials tested anti-VEGF or anti-EGFR agents. Trial-level surrogacy examining the correlation of treatment effect estimates (i.e. hazard ratios) of 3yDFS and 5y to 8yOS was evaluated using both linear regression (R2WLS) and Copula bivariate (R2Copula) models. For the R2, a value closer to 1 indicates a stronger correlation. Prespecified criteria for surrogacy required either R2WLS or R2Copula ≥ 0.80 and neither < 0.7, with lower-bound 95% Confidence Interval (CI) > 0.60. The rank correlation coefficient (ρ) quantified the individual-level surrogacy. Results: Total of 18,886 pts were analyzed, with median age 60, 54% male, 83% stage III, 59% > 12 nodes examined. Median follow-up for survival ranged from 5 to 10 years across trials. Trial level correlation between 3yDFS and OS remained strong (R2WLS ≥0.74; R2Copula ≥ 0.89) and increased as the median follow-up of OS extended longer (see table). Analyses limited to stage III pts and/or trials tested biologics showed consistent results. Conclusions: 3yDFS remains a validated surrogate endpoint for 5yOS in adjuvant trials in CC pts per prespecified criteria. The correlation was strengthened with more than 6 years of follow-up for OS. [Table: see text]

3035 Background: Energy balance-associated biomarkers such as insulin-like growth factors (IGFs) and IGF-binding proteins (IGFBPs) have been associated with risk and prognosis of various malignancies. Their relationship to disease progression and mortality in metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC) requires further study. Methods: In a prospective cohort study, baseline plasma IGFBP-3, IGFBP-7, C-peptide, IGF-I, and adiponectin were measured at trial registration among 1,086 patients participating in a National Cancer Institute-sponsored clinical trial of first-line therapy for mCRC. We used Cox proportional hazards regression to adjust for confounders and examine associations of biomarkers with overall (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS). Results: Higher plasma IGFBP-3 was associated with longer OS (adjusted Ptrend < .001) and PFS (adjusted Ptrend = .003). Compared to patients in the lowest IGFBP-3 quintile, patients in the highest quintile experienced an adjusted HR for all-cause mortality of 0.58 (95% CI 0.42 to 0.78) and for disease progression or mortality of 0.60 (95% CI 0.45 to 0.82). Higher plasma IGFBP-7 was associated with shorter OS (adjusted Ptrend < .001) and PFS (adjusted Ptrend = .02). Compared to patients in the lowest IGFBP-7 quintile, patients in the highest quintile experienced an adjusted HR for all-cause mortality of 1.52 (95% CI 1.24 to 1.88) and for disease progression or mortality of 1.28 (95% CI 1.05 to 1.57). C-peptide and IGF-I were not significantly associated with patient outcomes (adjusted Ptrend = .73 and .30 for OS). Adiponectin was not associated with OS; there was a U shaped association between adiponectin and PFS, wherein low and high values were associated with shorter PFS ( Pnon-linear trend = .03). Conclusions: In patients with mCRC, high plasma IGFBP-3 and low IGFBP-7 were associated with reduced risk of disease progression and mortality. These data suggest that energy-balance associated biomarkers may offer prognostic and biologic insights into mCRC. Support: U10CA180821, U10CA180882, BMS, Genentech, Pfizer, Sanofi; https://acknowledgments.alliancefound.org .

PURPOSETo determine the predictive and prognostic value of the consensus molecular subtypes (CMSs) of colorectal cancer (CRC) that represent a merging of gene expression–based features largely in primary tumors from six independent classification systems and provide a framework for capturing the intrinsic heterogeneity of CRC in patients enrolled in CALGB/SWOG 80405.PATIENTS AND METHODSCALGB/SWOG 80405 is a phase III trial that compared the addition of bevacizumab or cetuximab to infusional fluorouracil, leucovorin, and oxaliplatin or fluorouracil, leucovorin, and irinotecan as first-line treatment of advanced CRC. We characterized the CMS classification using a novel NanoString gene expression panel on primary CRCs from 581 patients enrolled in this study to assess the prognostic and predictive value of CMSs in these patients.RESULTSThe CMSs are highly prognostic for overall survival (OS; P < .001) and progression-free survival (PFS; P < .001). Furthermore, CMSs were predictive for both OS ( P for interaction < .001) and PFS ( P for interaction = .0032). In the CMS1 cohort, patients treated with bevacizumab had a significantly longer OS than those treated with cetuximab ( P < .001). In the CMS2 cohort, patients treated with cetuximab had a significantly longer OS than patients treated with bevacizumab ( P = .0046).CONCLUSIONThese findings highlight the possible clinical utility of CMSs and suggests that refinement of the CMS classification may provide a path toward identifying patients with metastatic CRC who are most likely to benefit from specific targeted therapy as part of the initial treatment.