Murad, M. Hassan

Abstract Rationale Prompt diagnosis of invasive fungal infections is important because of the associated morbidity and mortality; however, diagnosis is challenging because of the nonspecific symptoms and radiographic findings. Objectives To conduct a systematic review and meta-analysis of studies that evaluated the diagnostic accuracy of serum and bronchoalveolar lavage (BAL) galactomannan (GM) and serum or BAL polymerase chain reaction (PCR) in patients with suspected invasive aspergillosis (IA), β-d-glucan in critically ill patients at risk for candidiasis or candidemia, and serology testing and antigen detection in patients with endemic mycoses (histoplasmosis, blastomycosis, and coccidioidomycosis). Methods Studies were selected and appraised by pairs of reviewers. Bivariate random effects meta-analysis was used to generate pooled sensitivity, specificity, and diagnostic likelihood ratios. Results Serum GM in patients with impaired immunity suspected of having IA had sensitivity of 0.71 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.64–0.78) and specificity of 0.89 (95% CI, 0.84–0.92). A cutoff of 1 optical density index yielded optimal sensitivity and specificity. BAL GM in patients with impaired immunity suspected of having IA had sensitivity of 0.84 (95% CI, 0.73–0.91) and specificity of 0.88 (95% CI, 0.81–0.91). Serum or whole-blood PCR in immunocompromised patients with suspected IA had sensitivity of 0.81 (95% CI, 0.73–0.86) and specificity of 0.79 (95% CI, 0.68–0.86). BAL PCR in patients at high risk for IA had high sensitivity of 0.90 (95% CI, 0.77–0.96) and specificity of 0.96 (95% CI, 0.93–0.98) for diagnosing IA. β-d-glucan assay in patients in the intensive care unit at risk for invasive candidiasis or candidemia had sensitivity of 0.81 (95% CI, 0.74–0.86) and specificity of 0.60 (95% CI, 0.49–0.71). Data on diagnostic accuracy of antigen detection and serology testing for endemic mycoses were limited and heterogeneous (varied according to test, patient immunity, and suspected endemic disease). Conclusions The diagnosis of invasive fungal infections remains a challenge. Various serum and BAL markers can aid in diagnosis. This evidence supports the development of clinical practice recommendations by the American Thoracic Society.

Aim To conduct a systematic review and meta‐analysis to understand the timing and factors associated with anti‐programmed cell death protein‐1 ( PD ‐1)/anti‐programmed cell death protein‐1 ligand ( PD ‐L1) inhibitor‐induced Type 1 diabetes. Methods We searched MEDLINE , EMBASE , SCOPUS and Cochrane databases (August 2000–2018) for studies of any design on immune checkpoint inhibitors. A total of 71 cases were reviewed from 56 publications. Comparisons were made using Fisher's exact and Student's t ‐tests. Results The mean ± sd age at Type 1 diabetes presentation was 61.7±12.2 years, 55% of cases were in men, and melanoma (53.5%) was the most frequent cancer. The median time to Type 1 diabetes onset was 49 (5–448) days with ketoacidosis in 76% of cases. The average ± sd HbA 1c concentration was 62 ± 0.3 mmol/mol (7.84±1.0%) at presentation. All cases had insulin deficiency and required permanent exogenous insulin treatment. Half of the cases had Type 1 diabetes‐associated antibodies at presentation, and those with antibodies had a more rapid onset ( P =0.005) and higher incidence of diabetic ketoacidosis ( P =0.02) compared to people without antibodies. Conclusions Many people developed Type 1 diabetes within 3 months of initial PD ‐1/ PD ‐L1 inhibitor exposure. People presenting with Type 1 diabetes‐associated antibodies had a more rapid onset and higher incidence of ketoacidosis than those without antibodies. Healthcare providers caring for people receiving these state‐of‐the‐art therapies need to be aware of this potential severe adverse event.

Abstract Objective Electronic (eHealth) and mobile (mHealth) technologies may be a useful adjunct to clinicians treating patients with chronic pain. The primary aim of this study was to investigate the effects of eHealth and mHealth interventions that do not require clinician contact or feedback on pain-related outcomes recommended by the Initiative on Methods, Measurement, and Pain Assessment in Clinical Trials (IMMPACT) guidelines in adults with chronic pain. Methods We searched four databases and included English language randomized controlled trials of ambulatory adults with chronic pain from January, 1 2000, to January 31, 2018, with interventions that are independent of clinician contact or feedback. In the meta-analysis, outcomes were assessed at short- (three months or less), intermediate- (four to six months), and long-term (seven or more months) follow-up. Results Seventeen randomized controlled trials (N = 2,496) were included in the meta-analysis. Both eHealth and mHealth interventions had a significant effect on pain intensity at short- and intermediate-term follow-up. Similarly, a significant but small effect was observed for depression at short- and intermediate-term follow-up and self-efficacy at short-term follow-up. Finally, a significant effect was observed for pain catastrophizing at short-term follow-up. Conclusions eHealth and mHealth interventions had significant effects on multiple short- and intermediate-term outcome measures recommended in the IMMPACT guidelines. Given widespread availability and low cost to patients, clinicians treating patients with chronic pain could consider using eHealth and mHealth interventions as part of a multidisciplinary pain treatment strategy.

Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development and Evaluation (GRADE) methodology is used to assess and report certainty of evidence and strength of recommendations. This GRADE concept article is not GRADE guidance but introduces certainty of net benefit, defined as the certainty that the balance between desirable and undesirable health effects is favourable. Determining certainty of net benefit requires considering certainty of effect estimates, the expected importance of outcomes and variability in importance, and the interaction of these concepts. Certainty of net harm is the certainty that the net effect is unfavourable. Guideline panels using or testing this approach might limit strong recommendations to actions with a high certainty of net benefit or against actions with a moderate or high certainty of net harm. Recommendations may differ in direction or strength from that suggested by the certainty of net benefit or harm when influenced by cost, equity, acceptability or feasibility.

Abstract Background Regorafenib at different dosing strategies and TAS-102 are treatment options for refractory metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC). We aimed to evaluate the comparative effectiveness evidence supporting these different strategies. Materials and Methods We searched different databases for randomized controlled trials evaluating TAS-102 or regorafenib in patients with refractory mCRC who failed prior oxaliplatin, irinotecan, and fluoropyrimidine. Outcomes of interest included overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS). The overall effect was pooled using the DerSimonian random effects model. We conducted network meta-analysis based on White's multivariate meta-regression to pool evidence from direct and indirect comparisons. Results Six trials at low risk of bias (2,445 patients) were included. Direct comparisons showed that Rego 160 and TAS-102 as monotherapy were superior to best-supportive care (BSC) in terms of PFS (Rego 160: hazard ratio [HR], 0.4; 95% confidence ratio [CI], 0.26–0.63; TAS-102: HR, 0.46 CI, 0.40–0.52) and OS (Rego 160: HR, 0.67; CI, 0.48–0.93; TAS-102: HR, 0.67; CI, 0.57–0.80). Network analysis showed no statistically difference in PFS or OS between Rego 160 and TAS-102. Rego 80+ was superior to BSC in terms of OS (HR, 0.44; CI, 0.23–0.84) and PFS (HR, 0.37; CI, 0.21–0.66). Rego 80+ was associated with statistically nonsignificant improvement in OS and PFS compared with TAS-102 and Rego 160. Conclusion Regorafenib 160 and TAS-102 appear to have similar efficacy. Rego 80+ is shown to be superior to BSC. A trend for improved OS was observed with Rego 80+ versus Rego 160 or TAS 102. Implications for Practice Regorafenib at a dose of 160 mg and TAS-102 appear to have similar efficacy in patients with refractory metastatic colorectal cancer. Regorafenib with a dose escalation strategy is superior to best-supportive care. Given its tolerability and the observed trend in survival benefit compared with regorafenib 160, dose escalation strategy of regorafenib (80+) may be the preferred option in this setting.

e23156 Background: A direct meta-analysis was performed to explore the efficacy and safety of direct oral factor Xa inhibitors with dalteparin in patients with cancer associated acute venous thromboembolism (VTE). Also, the comparative efficacy and safety of apixaban, rivaroxaban, and edoxaban was assessed with a network meta-analysis. Methods: MEDLINE, CENTRAL, and EMBASE were searched for trials comparing direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs) to dalteparin for the management of cancer associated acute VTE. A network meta-analysis using both frequentist and Bayesian methods was performed to analyze VTE recurrence, major and clinically relevant non-major bleeding (CRNMB). Results: Three randomized control trials, at low risk of bias, enrolled 1,739 patients with cancer associated VTE. Direct comparison showed a lower rate of VTE recurrence in DOAC compared to dalteparin groups (odds Ratio [OR]:0.48, 95% Confidence interval [CI]:0.24-0.96; I2:46%). Indirect comparison suggested that apixaban had greater reduction in VTE recurrence compared to dalteparin (OR: 0.10; 95% CI: 0.01–0.82), but not rivaroxaban or edoxaban. Apixaban also had the highest probability of being ranked most effective. By direct comparisons, there was an increased likelihood of major bleeding in the DOAC group compared to dalteparin (OR: 1.70; 95% CI: 1.04–2.78). CRNMB did not differ. Indirect estimates were imprecise. Subgroup analyses in gastrointestinal cancers suggested that dalteparin may have the lowest risk of bleeding whereas estimates in urothelial cancer were imprecise. Conclusions: DOACs appear to lower the risk of VTE recurrence compared to daltaparin while increasing major bleeding. Apixaban may be associated with the lowest risk of VTE recurrence compared to the other DOACs.

6596 Background: Several previous systematic reviews and meta-analyses have attempted to summarize toxicity of Immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs). However, very soon after each one of these reviews has been published, it became outdated. ICIs are currently used in 14 different cancers and data is rapidly evolving from new clinical trials. A living Systematic review, which is defined as a systematic review that is continually updated to incorporate relevant new evidence as it becomes available, is necessary in this situations. Therefore, we performed an updated systematic review and a meta-analysis which will serve as a foundation of a living Systematic review. Methods: MEDLINE, EMBASE and Cochrane were searched to identify phase 2 and 3 RCTs of PD-1/PD-L1 ICIs. Included studies compared either immunotherapy alone or combination with existing standard of care treatment and reported data for AE’s of interest. DerSimonian-Laird random effects Meta-Analysis was performed to derive pooled odds Ratio (OR) estimates for AE’s of interest. An infrastructure of a living systematic review is being developed and it includes monthly literature searches, cumulative meta-analysis and an online reporting platform. Results: We screened 6746 studies and 31 phase 3 and 2 phase 2 RCTs (n = 21,421) were included in the analysis. 22 RCTs used PD-1/PD-L1 ICIs as a single agent and 11 as a combination therapy. Selected toxicity estimates are summarized in a table. Conclusions: The meta-analysis updates previously published toxicity estimates and provides additional information about the risk of toxicities in single versus combination regimens. We have initiated the first living systematic review in oncology that will be continuously updated, incorporating relevant new evidence as it becomes available, and will provide accurate and up to date toxicity estimates to support clinical decision making. [Table: see text]

3524 Background: In mCRC, induction combination chemotherapy with targeted agents is considered the mainstay of treatment. This is typically followed by maintenance therapy vs. observation which had been examined in various trials. However, it remains unclear how best optimize maintenance strategy. We aim to evaluate comparative effectiveness to support best maintenance strategy. Methods: We searched PubMed, Embase, and Cochrane CENTRAL for randomized controlled trials (RCT) evaluating different maintenance strategies in previously untreated mCRC patients (pts): observation (obs), bevacizumab (bev), fluoropyrimidine (FP), FP+bev, or continuing induction regimen (CTX). Outcomes of interest included OS and PFS. The overall effect was pooled using the DerSimonian random effects model. We conducted network meta-analysis based on White’s multivariate meta-regression to pool evidence from direct and indirect comparisons. Agents were ranked using surface under the cumulative ranking (SUCRA) probabilities. Higher SUCRA scores correspond to greater efficacy. Results: Twelve trials at low risk of bias (5540 pts) were included. Network meta-analysis shows no benefit of CTX over obs in terms of PFS (HR 0.7; 95% CI 0.46-1.09) and OS (HR 0.95; 95% CI 0.85-1.07). Compared to obs, maintenance therapy shows PFS benefit (HR 0.58; 95% CI 0.43-0.77) with only a trend in OS (HR 0.91; 95% CI 0.83-1.009). All maintenance strategies (FP, FP+bev, and bev) show significant improvement in PFS over obs. On SUCRA analysis, maintenance treatment (FP or FP+bev) has the highest likelihood of achieving better PFS (67.1% for FP and 99.8% for FP+bev) and OS (81.3% for FP and 73.2% for FP+bev). Conclusions: A maintenance strategy with at least a FP with or without the addition of bevacizumab is preferred. However, given the lack of a clear OS benefit, obs is an acceptable alternative. Optimal maintenance strategies should be dependent on factors including patient preferences, cost and toxicities. [Table: see text]

e13096 Background: Several studies have reported the association between atrial fibrillation (AF) and malignant cancer. Recently, results from a large cohort within the Women’s Health Study showed increased incident risk of breast, colon and lung cancer in patients with AF. Therefore, we performed a systematic review to assess the available evidence and a meta-analysis to define the strength of this association. Methods: MEDLINE, Cochrane and Scopus databases were searched for all prospective studies that reported the association between AF and presence of cancer. The HR for incident risk of common cancers was recorded (Breast, Lung, Colorectal) in patients with and without AF. Lung cancer was excluded because the data required for the analysis was not consistently reported. The DerSimonian-Laird random effects meta-analysis was performed to derive pooled Hazard Ratio (HR) estimates for incident risk of colorectal and breast cancer in patients with AF. Q-test was used to assess between-study heterogeneity; I2 statistic was computed to expresses the percentage of the total observed variability due to study heterogeneity. Results: A total of 390,479 participants in 3 prospective studies were included in the analysis. Mean age of participants was 66.3 ± 6.5 with mean follow up for 12.6 years. Patients with atrial fibrillation had 27% more risk of developing colorectal cancer [HR 1.27 (1.07-1.51) p < 0.005, I2= 73%] and 14% more risk of developing breast cancer [HR 1.14 (1.03-1.26) p = 0.01, I2= 37%] as compared to those without atrial fibrillation. Applying these hazard ratios to age adjusted yearly incidence ratios from 2000-2015, one in 5824 new onset AF cases will develop CRC and one in 7474 new onset AF cases will develop breast cancer. Conclusions: There is small but statistically significant increase in risk of subsequent diagnosis of colorectal or breast cancer diagnosis in patients with AF. Shared risk factors such as old age or systemic disease processes may explain this association. While the results of this analysis raise interesting questions for future search, these results should not be used as basis to initiate cancer screening for an occult cancer in a patient with AF.

e12057 Background: Several RCTs have evaluated a shorter duration of T ( < 12 months) with hopes of similar efficacy, reduced cardiotoxicity, cost and burden of treatment. Of the 5 major studies, PERSPHONE showed that 6 months was non-inferior compared to 12 months. However, four additional studies of shorter duration failed to demonstrate non-inferiority. Therefore, we performed an updated systematic review and a meta-analysis to assess the optimal duration of adjuvant T. Methods: MEDLINE, EMBASE, Cochrane, Scopus and conference proceedings were searched to identify RCTs comparing one year of adjuvant T with a shorter duration in early-stage HER2+ breast cancer. The DerSimonian-Laird random-effects Meta-Analysis was performed using CMAv3 software to derive pooled Hazard Ratio (HR) estimates for overall survival (OS, Disease-Free Survival (DFS) and Odds Ratio(OR) estimates of cardiac toxicity. Q-test was used to assess between-study heterogeneity; I2 statistic was computed to express the percentage of the total observed variability due to study heterogeneity. The risk for bias was assessed using the Cochrane Collaboration’s tool. Results: We screened 1772 citations and identified 5 studies(n = 11,377) for analysis. 5691 patients were randomized to 12 months of adjuvant T while 5686 were randomized to a shorter duration (3 studies evaluated 6 vs 12 months, 2 studies evaluated 9 weeks vs 12 months). OS (HR, 1.16, 95% CI 1.03-1.31, P= 0.015,I2 0.00, p= 0.837) and DFS (HR, 1.14, 95% CI 1.02-1.26 , P = 0.016,I2 14.90, p= 0.319) were significantly worse in patients receiving shorter duration T as compared to 12 months. Cardiotoxicity was significantly higher in the 12 month group vs shorter duration (OR, 2.10, 95% CI 1.58-2.80, p = 0.000 ,I2 51.182, p= 0.085). Grade 3/4 cardiac events and cardiac events leading to discontinuation of therapy were significantly higher in patients receiving 12 months (HR 2.06, 95% CI 1.60-2.63, P = 0.000, I2 3.967, p= 0.384). There was no significant heterogeneity among studies. Risk of bias was low. Conclusions: Twelve months of adjuvant T is associated with significantly better DFS and OS compared to a shorter duration. As such, 12 months should remain the standard of care for most patients. There is an unmet need to identify lower risk groups which might do well with from shorter duration of HER2-directed therapy.