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Morshed, Ramin A.

https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8464-6041

Mayo Clinic

University of California, San Francisco

Citations 44

Preoperative serum prolactin as a predictor of endocrine outcomes in nonfunctioning pituitary adenoma surgery: revisiting the "stalk effect"
Shinya, Yuki , Palit, Sandhya R. , Hong, Sukwoo , Sáez-Alegre, Miguel , Erickson, Dana , Donegan, Diane , Meyer, Fredric B. , Atkinson, John L. D., Herndon, Justine S, Pinheiro Neto, Carlos, Shinya, Yuki , Herndon, Justine , Morshed, Ramin A. , Bancos, Irina , Pinheiro‐Neto, Carlos , Gompel, Jamie J. Van

Journal of Neurosurgery | October 18, 2025 | Volume: 144 | Issue: 1 | Pages: 190-199

10.3171/2025.5.jns243206 Get It

OBJECTIVE Nonfunctioning pituitary adenomas (NFPAs) often present with associated mild hyperprolactinemia, described in literature as "stalk effect." The presence of preoperative hyperprolactinemia caused by tumor compression of the pituitary stalk and endocrinological outcomes has been noted; however, a detailed investigation on the impact on perioperative endocrinological outcome is lacking. The authors aimed to determine whether elevated preoperative serum prolactin concentrations are associated with increased risk of perioperative pituitary dysfunction in patients with NFPAs undergoing endonasal transsphenoidal surgery (ETS). METHODS The authors conducted a single-center retrospective cohort study of patients who underwent ETS for NFPAs between January 2013 and April 2023. Patients were divided into two groups based on preoperative prolactin concentrations: normal or hyperprolactinemic (prolactin values above upper limit of reference range, adjusted for sex). Outcomes included perioperative endocrinological function and surgical outcomes. Multivariable analysis was conducted to identify factors associated with perioperative endocrinological function outcomes. RESULTS Of 244 patients (140 [57%] males; median age 59 years) with a median follow-up of 65 months, 131 (54%) had hyperprolactinemia. Compared with patients with normal preoperative prolactin levels (n = 113), the hyperprolactinemia group had similar tumor size (median diameter 2.5 cm vs 2.3 cm, p = 0.102) but higher rates of cavernous sinus invasion (99% vs 91%, p = 0.035), pituitary stalk deviation (95% vs 74%, p = 0.001), stalk bending (14% vs 1%, p = 0.001), preoperative secondary hypothyroidism (39% vs 22%, p = 0.005), and adrenal insufficiency (AI; 34% vs 22%, p = 0.048). Postoperatively, the hyperprolactinemia group showed higher rates of new secondary hypothyroidism (16% vs 7%, p = 0.048) and new permanent AI (16% vs 6%, p = 0.046). Multivariable analysis revealed preoperative high prolactin as an independent predictor of preoperative secondary hypothyroidism (OR 1.83, 95% CI 1.17–3.44; p = 0.046) and its postoperative deterioration (OR 2.65, 95% CI 1.02–7.69; p = 0.042). Maximum tumor diameter was also a significant predictor of various endocrinological dysfunctions both pre- and postoperatively. CONCLUSIONS Preoperative hyperprolactinemia in patients with NFPA is associated with higher risks of specific perioperative endocrinological dysfunction and pronounced pituitary stalk deviation. These findings highlight the utility of preoperative prolactin levels as a biomarker for predicting postoperative endocrinological outcomes, potentially enhancing risk assessment and guiding personalized perioperative management.
A supervised machine learning approach for predicting the need for postsurgical intervention in acromegaly
Shinya, Yuki , Hong, Sukwoo , Palit, Sandhya R. , Erickson, Dana , Sáez-Alegre, Miguel , Meyer, Fredric B. , Atkinson, John L. D., Herndon, Justine S, Pinheiro Neto, Carlos, Shinya, Yuki , Ghaith, Abdul Karim , Herndon, Justine , Bancos, Irina , Morshed, Ramin A. , Pinheiro‐Neto, Carlos , Gompel, Jamie J. Van

Neurosurgical Focus | July 1, 2025 | Volume: 59 | Issue: 1 | Pages: E10

10.3171/2025.4.focus2597 Get It

OBJECTIVE Patients with growth hormone (GH)–secreting pituitary adenomas (PAs) experience various symptoms and comorbidities, which can ultimately lead to increased mortality. This study aimed to develop and validate a machine learning (ML) model for predicting long-term outcomes in patients with GH-secreting PAs following endonasal transsphenoidal surgery (ETS). METHODS The authors conducted a retrospective three-institution cohort study that included patients with GH-secreting PAs treated with ETS between 2013 and 2023. Clinical, radiological, and biochemical data were collected. The main outcome of interest was the intervention-free rate (IFR) after primary ETS. Supervised ML algorithms, including decision trees and random forests, were developed to predict the IFR. Model performance was evaluated using area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) and Shapley Additive Explanations (SHAP) values. RESULTS The median follow-up for 100 patients with GH-secreting PAs (53% female) was 64 months (range 1–130 months). Additional intervention for persistent or recurrent acromegaly was required in 32% of patients. Following primary ETS alone, the 3-year IFR was 70% and the 5-year IFR was 67%. Multiple ML models were developed and evaluated using AUROCs. The decision tree analysis achieved an accuracy of 81% and emphasized the importance of both gross-total resection (GTR) and patient age in determining the long-term IFR. To better understand the factors that contributed to model performance, SHAP analysis was applied to the best-performing model. The SHAP dependence plots showed that key factors associated with a longer IFR included tumor size < 9 mm, GTR, patient age > 65 years, and Knosp grade 0. CONCLUSIONS This ML model offers a more nuanced and potentially more accurate approach to identify patients more likely to develop recurrent or persistent acromegaly following primary ETS and require additional treatment. Following external validation, this ML model could improve personalized treatment planning and follow-up strategies and enhance patient care and resource allocation in clinical practice.
Use of calcium phosphate bone cement in retrosigmoid craniotomies to reduce rates of pseudomeningocele and craniotomy-site CSF leakage: a cohort study and meta-analysis
Webb, Kevin L. , Michaelcheck, Charlotte E., Link, Michael J. , Celda, María Peris, Carlstrom, Lucas P. , Peris Celda, Maria, Bauman, Megan M. J. , Morshed, Ramin A. , Gompel, Jamie J. Van

Journal of Neurosurgery | June 6, 2025 | Volume: 143 | Issue: 4 | Pages: 1027-1036

10.3171/2025.1.jns241076 Get It

OBJECTIVE Calcium phosphate cement (CPC) use has been previously described as a strategy to reduce the rates of pseudomeningocele and CSF leakage following skull base surgery. The authors aimed to present their institutional experience with CPC in retrosigmoid craniotomy and perform a systematic review of the literature to determine the effectiveness of CPC in reducing postoperative complications, including pseudomeningocele and craniotomy-site CSF leakage. METHODS A retrospective single-institution cohort study of patients who underwent retrosigmoid craniotomy with and without CPC cranioplasty from January 2017 to April 2024 was performed. A systematic literature review and meta-analysis of CPC use in retrosigmoid craniotomy was also performed. RESULTS Of 336 patients who underwent retrosigmoid craniotomy, 193 (57%) were female and the median age at surgery was 55 years (range 18–81 years). The median follow-up duration was 23 months (range 3–80 months). CPC was used to seal the edge of the craniotomy in 66 patients (20%). Among all patients, 50 (15%) experienced a postoperative complication, and 28 (8%) were wound-specific complications. Patients in the non-CPC group experienced significantly more postoperative wound-specific complications than those in the CPC group (10% vs 0%, p = 0.002). Specifically, pseudomeningocele occurred in 0 patients (0%) in the CPC group compared with 24 patients (9%) in the non-CPC group (p = 0.006), which progressed to CSF leaks at the craniotomy site in 6 patients (p = 0.60). Additionally, no patients (0%) in the CPC group experienced wound infection, dehiscence, or breakdown compared with 10 patients (4%) in the non-CPC group (p = 0.22). Five patients (8%) in the CPC group reported prolonged mild incisional pain at the craniotomy site, and there were no instances of major complications related to the CPC. In the meta-analysis, 10 studies met the inclusion criteria, yielding a total of 2166 patients (including the current study), 1101 of whom received CPC. In the pooled analysis, CPC was significantly associated with lower risk of CSF leakage at the craniotomy site (OR 0.23, 95% CI 0.13–0.42; p < 0.01) and lower risk of infection (OR 0.17, 95% CI 0.08–0.38; p < 0.01). CONCLUSIONS CPC use in retrosigmoid craniotomies could be a safe and effective strategy to reduce the incidence of pseudomeningocele and craniotomy-site CSF leakage, leading to lower rates of wound-related complications and infection.
Single-Fraction Stereotactic Radiosurgery as Primary Management of Sporadic Meningiomas: A 25-Year Cohort Study
Kumar, Rahul , Carlstrom, Lucas P. , Morshed, Ramin A. , Brown, Paul D. , Mahajan, Anita , Graffeo, Christopher S. , Link, Michael J. , Pollock, Bruce E. , Morshed, Ramin , Graffeo, Christopher Salvatore , Kumar, Rahul , Laack, Nadia N.

Neurosurgery | June 6, 2025 | Volume: 97 | Issue: 6 | Pages: 1267-1274

10.1227/neu.0000000000003528 Get It

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Stereotactic radiosurgery (SRS) is increasingly used as a primary treatment modality for intracranial meningiomas. We aim to describe clinical outcomes after single-fraction SRS for sporadic intracranial meningiomas. METHODS: A prospectively maintained database was reviewed for patients with sporadic meningiomas who underwent SRS (Gamma Knife) as primary treatment modality from April 1997 to February 2022. Primary outcomes included progression-free survival (PFS) and treatment-related complications. RESULTS: Six hundred sixteen patients (653 tumors) underwent SRS with median follow-up of 6.3 years (interquartile range [IQR] 3.1-10.5 years). The median tumor volume was 4.5 cm 3 (IQR 2.0-8.0 cm 3 ). The median margin dose was 15.0 Gy (IQR 14.0-16.0). In-field progression was noted in 7 tumors (1.1%) and marginal progression in 2 tumors (0.3%) for a raw failure rate of 1.4%. PFS estimates at 5, 10, and 15 years were 99.8%, 99.0%, and 93.2%, respectively. Factors associated with reduced PFS on univariable analysis included older age (hazards ratio [HR] 1.14, 95% CI, 1.05-1.22, P < .001), male sex (HR 5.44, 95% CI, 1.45-20.4, P = .010), increasing tumor volume (HR 1.06, 95% CI, 0.99-1.13, P = .028), and lower tumor margin dose (HR 0.65, 95% CI, 0.43-0.97, P = .006). Treatment-related complications were noted in 56 patients (9.1%), of which 45 (7.3%) were temporary, 5 (0.8%) were minor, and 6 (1.0%) were permanent and/or required intervention. Radiosurgical parameters associated with treatment-related complications included increased number of isocenters (odds ratio [OR] 1.09, 95% CI, 1.04-1.14, P < .001), higher 12-Gy volume (OR 1.06, 95% CI, 1.03-1.09, P < .001), larger tumor volume (OR 1.06, 95% CI, 1.02-1.10, P < .001), and lower maximal dose (OR 0.90, 95% CI, 0.82-0.98, P = .11). CONCLUSION: SRS is effective as a primary treatment modality for sporadic, small-volume to medium-volume intracranial meningiomas. Pre-emptive SRS should be discussed as a safe management strategy compared with observation alone for incidentally discovered meningiomas.
Machine learning–based model to predict long-term tumor control and additional interventions following pituitary surgery for Cushing’s disease
Shinya, Yuki , Hong, Sukwoo , Erickson, Dana , Davidge‐Pitts, Caroline , Nguyen, Ryan , Nieves, Antonio Bon, Sáez-Alegre, Miguel , Celda, María Peris, Pollock, Bruce E. , Meyer, Fredric B. , Atkinson, John L. D., Herndon, Justine S, Bon Nieves, Antonio, Sáez Alegre, Miguel, Pinheiro Neto, Carlos D, Peris Celda, Maria, Shinya, Yuki , Ghaith, Abdul Karim , Bancos, Irina , Herndon, Justine , Morshed, Ramin A. , Pinheiro‐Neto, Carlos , Gompel, Jamie J. Van

Journal of Neurosurgery | March 14, 2025 | Volume: 143 | Issue: 1 | Pages: 184-193

10.3171/2024.10.jns241338 Get It

OBJECTIVE In this study, the authors aimed to establish a supervised machine learning (ML) model based on multiple tree-based algorithms to predict long-term biochemical outcomes and intervention-free survival (IFS) after endonasal transsphenoidal surgery (ETS) in patients with Cushing’s disease (CD). METHODS The medical records of patients who underwent ETS for CD between 2013 and 2023 were reviewed. Data were collected on the patient’s baseline characteristics, intervention details, histopathology, surgical outcomes, and postoperative endocrine functions. The study’s primary outcome was IFS, and the therapeutic outcomes were labeled as "under control" or "treatment failure," depending on whether additional therapeutic interventions after primary ETS were required. The decision tree and random forest classifiers were trained and tested to predict long-term IFS based on unseen data, using an 80/20 cohort split. RESULTS Data from 150 patients, with a median follow-up period of 56 months, were extracted. In the cohort, 42 (28%) patients required additional intervention for persistent or recurrent CD. Consequently, the IFS rates following ETS alone were 83% at 3 years and 78% at 5 years. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards analysis demonstrated that a smaller tumor diameter that could be detected by MRI (hazard ratio 0.95, 95% CI 0.90–0.99; p = 0.047) was significantly associated with greater IFS. However, the lack of tumor detection on MRI was a poor predictor. The ML-based model using a decision tree model displayed 91% accuracy (95% CI 0.70–0.94, sensitivity 87.0%, specificity 89.0%) in predicting IFS in the unseen test dataset. Random forest analysis revealed that tumor size (mean minimal depth 1.67), Knosp grade (1.75), patient age (1.80), and BMI (1.99) were the four most significant predictors of long-term IFS. CONCLUSIONS The ML algorithm could predict long-term postoperative endocrinological remission in CD with high accuracy, indicating that prognosis may vary not only with previously reported factors such as tumor size, Knosp grade, gross-total resection, and patient age but also with BMI. The decision tree flowchart could potentially stratify patients with CD before ETS, allowing for the selection of personalized treatment options and thereby assisting in determining treatment plans for these patients. This ML model may lead to a deeper understanding of the complex mechanisms of CD by uncovering patterns embedded within the data.
Microsurgical Resection Versus Stereotactic Radiosurgery for Trigeminal Schwannoma: A Meta-Analysis of 949 Patient Treatment Outcomes
Hallak, Hana , Pais, Alex, Metzler, Ashley, Sheehan, Jason , Kshettry, Varun R. , Link, Michael J., Celda, María Peris, Morshed, Ramin A. , Pais, Alex, Gompel, Jamie J. Van , Link, Michael J.

Neurosurgery | March 13, 2025 | Volume: 97 | Issue: 3 | Pages: 545-558

10.1227/neu.0000000000003391 Get It

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Schwannomas are benign, slow-growing peripheral nerve sheath tumors. Approximately 8% of intracranial schwannomas originate from the trigeminal nerve. No consensus exists regarding superiority of outcomes after resection vs stereotactic radiosurgery (SRS) in the treatment of trigeminal schwannomas (TS). The aim of this study was to compare the efficacy and outcomes of resection vs SRS for TS management. METHODS: Embase, PubMed, and SCOPUS databases were queried from the date of inception to July 2023 for primary data reporting TS treatment outcomes after SRS or resection. Risk of bias was reported under Newcastle-Ottawa Scale. RESULTS: Overall, 29 retrospective observational studies comprising 949 patients were included in the analysis. A total of 13 studies (n = 589) reported outcomes after SRS, and 16 studies (n = 360) reported outcomes after surgical resection, and 182 patients in the SRS group had previous resection. To ensure statistical validity of comparing the cohorts, 3 checkpoints were assessed: the median age (SRS: 48 vs surgery: 40 years old, P < .01), tumor volume (5.2 vs 8.9 cm 3 , P = .06), and median follow-up (53.9 vs 48.5 months, P = .59), which reflected the choice of treatment. Compared with surgical resection, the SRS group demonstrated significantly higher rates of facial hypesthesia improvement (44% vs 12%, P < .01) and lower rates of new onset (4% vs 15%, P = .051) at last follow-up. Facial pain was less likely to improve (58% vs 81%, P = .024) after SRS compared with surgery. However, worsened (5% vs 1%, P = .71) and new facial pain (2% vs 1%, P = .55) were comparable between cohorts. CONCLUSION: SRS seems to offer improvement in rates of hypesthesia and trigeminal motor deficits compared with surgical resection for TS. However, facial pain improvement was more favorable after surgery. These findings highlight the importance of individualized treatment decisions based on patient characteristics, tumor profile, and pretreatment symptoms.
Angiographic Risk Factors for Mislateralization with Inferior Petrosal Sinus Sampling in Cushing’s Disease
Pena, Nicole M. De La, Atkinson, John L. D., Rinaldo, Lorenzo , Cloft, Harry J. , Pena, Nicole M. De La, Martini, Michael L. , Ransom, R. Chase, Morshed, Ramin A. , O’Keeffe, Derek T. , Young, William F. , Gompel, Jamie J. Van

Journal of Neurological Surgery Part B: Skull Base | February 7, 2025 | Volume: 86 | Issue: No issue available | Pages: No page available

10.1055/s-0045-1803773 Get It

Comparison of Preoperative Imaging Features and Postoperative Outcomes between Null-Cell and Silent Nonfunctioning Pituitary Adenomas
Webb, Kevin, Sáez-Alegre, Miguel , Hinkle, Mickayla L. , Webb, Kevin L., Morshed, Ramin A. , Shinya, Yuki , Gompel, Jamie J. Van

Journal of Neurological Surgery Part B: Skull Base | February 7, 2025 | Volume: 86 | Issue: No issue available | Pages: No page available

10.1055/s-0045-1803765 Get It

Rates and Predictors of Follow-Up Loss after Radiosurgery for Sporadic Vestibular Schwannomas
Alexander, A. Yohan , Nizzola, Mariagrazia , Amini, Misha, Pollock, Bruce E. , Carlson, Matthew L. , Driscoll, Colin L. W., Link, Michael , Morshed, Ramin A. , Alexander, A Yohan , Bauman, Megan M. J. , Brown, Paul

Journal of Neurological Surgery Part B: Skull Base | February 7, 2025 | Volume: 86 | Issue: No issue available | Pages: No page available

10.1055/s-0045-1803655 Get It

Anatomical Step-by-Step Dissection of Complex Skull Base Approaches for Trainees: Medial Cavernous Sinus Wall Resection
Alexander, A. Yohan , Peris‐Celda, Maria , Alexander, A Yohan , Morshed, Ramin A. , Pinheiro‐Neto, Carlos

Journal of Neurological Surgery Part B: Skull Base | February 7, 2025 | Volume: 86 | Issue: No issue available | Pages: No page available

10.1055/s-0045-1803357 Get It